meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Region remains global project finance hotspot

25 October 2024

 

This package also includes: PPP activity eases back but remains strong

While the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region has recently become the focus of global attentions for all the wrong reasons – amid surging conflict in the Levant – advisers continue to see the adjacent Gulf as a standout market for project finance.

“The Middle East market has been buoyant compared to the project finance market in many other parts of the world,” says Matthew Escritt, a partner at the UAE office of law firm Pinsent Masons, who has advised on large regional financings. 

“By far and away, the Middle East is the place to be if you want to do big-ticket project finance.”

Major deals such as the $6.1bn financing for Neom Green Hydrogen Company, which closed in 2023, affirm the region’s continued affinity with large and sometimes complex transactions that involve senior and mezzanine facilities and bring numerous financial institutions into the mix.

The use of project finance structures across a widening array of sectors – from hard and soft infrastructure, to newer asset classes such as green energy – suggests that the Middle East will remain a hotspot for funding activity.

Ratings agency S&P Global has forecast that alongside the energy sector, the region will see significant investments in transport and social infrastructure, as well as in digitalisation, with large outlays on connectivity and a doubling of data centre capacity as the region’s population continues to grow.

Regional reconfiguration

While the Mena region as a whole has seen an uptick in activity, the picture is not even.

“Activity in Saudi Arabia has seen something of a slowdown after it became clear that some of the kingdom’s more ambitious plans were being recalibrated,” says Escritt.

“Liquidity has become tighter and we’re finding that procurers are taking longer to announce their preferred bidder.”

Appetite among international banks has been weaker for some sectors, such as social infrastructure. 

Neom’s large green hydrogen financing of 2023 remains a standout rather than the norm, although local lenders appear ready to step into the breach when circumstances allow. For example, in April of this year, when Neom secured a $2.7bn revolving credit facility to cover short-term financing requirements, it was nine local banks that ended up providing the financing.  It was, according to Neom CEO Nadhim Al-Nasr, a “natural fit” within the company’s wider funding structure.

International banks’ interest remains fixed on energy sector and infrastructure projects. Outside of these, says Escritt, the project finance market is dominated by large local banks. This, he says, has contributed to a tighter liquidity environment as these financial institutions run up against exposure limits. “The key to unlocking that market’s undoubted potential is to create conditions that improve the appetite of foreign lenders for Saudi Arabian credits,” says Escritt.

International lenders’ comfort zones were once largely focused on massive financings such as the kingdom’s Sadara petrochemicals project, which in 2013 drew commitments of $12.5bn.  

“Frankly, the days of the Sadara blockbuster-type projects are over. But there’s still some substantial projects out there,” says John Dewar, a partner at international law firm Milbank, which specialises in energy and infrastructure financings.

Dewar points out that there are still a fair number of $2bn-$4bn projects in the region, but that it is more challenging to syndicate larger scales of debt. Even export credit agency (ECA) support is not a given in the Mena region.

“Even if they’ve got large export content in them, it’s still more difficult to get them mobilised into oil and gas financings, for example. The ECAs are pulling back from those types of deals,” says Dewar. “Petrochemicals is slightly easier, but nonetheless, over the next couple of years we will see fewer agency lenders involved in the petrochemicals sector than we have at the moment.”

The UAE – Abu Dhabi in particular – remains a bright spot in the region.  

 “Abu Dhabi has shown that it is very good at getting things done,” says Escritt, whose team helped bring the Khalifa University student accommodation public-private partnership project to financial close – another significant social infrastructure project in the UAE capital. 

“There’s a strong appetite among the major project finance players for Abu Dhabi risk – they like it. 

“You are also now seeing the larger local banks stepping into this space, with Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank and First Abu Dhabi Bank in particular showing appetite for these credits,” says Escritt.

The Qatari market has proved more sluggish, although the Al-Wakra and Wukair independent sewage treatment plant project – the country’s first – has seen progress this year with a $540m financing on a 75:25 debt-to-equity ratio basis, including a soft mini-perm structure.

Emergent energy markets

Energy has traditionally been a magnet for project financing in the Mena region and should support one of the emerging areas within that segment – carbon capture and storage (CCS), which is an area of focus for regional oil companies.

Saudi Aramco’s first phase of its Accelerated Carbon Capture and Sequestration project is expected to be the world’s largest CCS hub upon completion. Aramco aims to transport and capture 9 million tonnes a year of emissions by 2027 in its first phase.

Carbon-capture financing could prove an attractive opportunity for banks, swelling the liquidity that is already there for hydrogen schemes.

Lender appetite has increased for these new energy schemes. “[Saudi Arabia] had a large splash on solar power recently with Acwa Power financings, while Saudi Aramco will have relatively large financing requirements for its energy transition projects. The [kingdom is] now still very much focused on project finance transactions,” says Dewar.

With Oman pushing green hydrogen projects in Duqm and Dhofar, and Egypt backing an ambitious renewables programme under a structure that investors have found to be attractive and bankable, project financing should make more headway in the low-carbon space across the region. 

In renewables, there is more depth in the market and more lenders willing to participate, although as law firm AO Shearman has noted, there remains a deficiency in bankability and unpredictable development costs in green hydrogen schemes.

This piqued interest in non-fossil fuel project funding contrasts with the reduced appetite globally among banks for traditional hydrocarbons schemes. “If you’re looking at oil and gas financing, then it’s increasingly a struggle outside of some of the Chinese banks,” says Dewar. “That’s not to say that in the Middle East there aren’t still a number of local and regional banks that are happy to participate in the market.”

Government support will remain critical in getting centrepiece financings under way in areas such as green hydrogen. And, as AO Shearman notes, given the nature of the supply chain for green hydrogen projects, there is value in including ECA-supported debt in the financing mix. In particular, where Mena projects involve key equipment coming in from outside the region, ECAs have an important role to play in building confidence.

ECAs remain a mainstay in traditional Gulf downstream sectors such as petrochemicals. For example, South Korea’s Hyundai Engineering & Construction has tapped $1bn of project financing support from the Export-Import Bank of Korea for the Amiral petrochemicals project in Saudi Arabia. As the lone South Korean contractor deployed on the estimated $7bn scheme, it therefore enjoys sole access to this project financing facility.

Project sponsors will also be looking to capital market instruments, despite these losing favour in recent years as the global
interest-rate environment rendered proposed bond components in project financings less appealing to many.

With the US Federal Reserve in a gradual monetary easing cycle, however, the use of project-related bonds may begin to revive.

For example, Saudi Aramco has managed to complete some large gas pipeline financings using acquisition facilities that were refinanced in the bond and sukuk markets.

“As the interest-rate environment changes, that’s going to get more people thinking about bond refinancing activity. We’ll see a bit more in a year’s time, when interest rates have come down and investors readjust and start to look for more attractive yields,” says Dewar.

With a different interest-rate climate in place, and more lenders and project backers gaining experience in the new energy schemes that are emerging in the Gulf and the wider Mena region, the hope is that banks will be dipping back into the region with transactions that will maintain its status as the global project finance hotspot for a while longer.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12678172/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Abu Dhabi extends battery storage bid deadline

    14 March 2025

    Prequalified bidders were given a three-week extension to submit their proposals for a contract to develop and operate a battery energy storage system (bess) plant project in Abu Dhabi.

    The project client, Abu Dhabi-based utility offtaker Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec), expects to receive bids by 24 March, three weeks from the previous tender closing date, according to a source familiar with the project.

    Called Bess 1, the 400MW project will closely follow the model of Abu Dhabi’s independent power project (IPP) programme, in which developers enter into a long-term energy storage agreement (ESA) with Ewec as the sole procurer.

    The first plant will be in Al-Bihouth, about 45 kilometres (km) southwest of Abu Dhabi, and the second plant will be in Madinat Zayed, about 160km southwest of the city.

    Ewec issued the request for proposals to prequalified companies in July last year and initially set 30 November 2024 as the last day to submit proposals. 

    MEED previously reported that up to four consortiums comprising infrastructure investors, developers and contractors have been formed and are preparing to submit their proposals for the contract.

    Ewec prequalified 11 managing partners that can bid either individually or as part of a consortium with other prequalified bidders. These are:

    • Acwa Power (Saudi Arabia)
    • China Electrical Equipment International (China)
    • EDF (France)
    • International Power (Engie)
    • Jera (Japan)
    • Jinko Power (China)
    • Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco, South Korea)
    • Marubeni (Japan)
    • Sembcorp Utilities (Singapore)
    • SPIC Huanghe Hydropower Development Company (China) 
    • Sumitomo Corporation (Japan)

    Ewec prequalified 18 other companies that can bid as part of a consortium. These are:

    • Abrdn Investcorp Infrastructure Investments Manager (UK)
    • AGP Capital (US)
    • Al-Masaood (UAE)
    • Al-Fanar Company (Saudi Arabia)
    • Alghanim International (Kuwait)
    • Aljomaih Energy & Water Company (Jenwa, Saudi Arabia)
    • Amplex-Emirates (local)
    • ATGC Transport & General Trading (local)
    • Amea Power (local)
    • China Electric Power Equipment & Technology (China)
    • China Machinery Engineering Corporation (China)
    • GE Capital EFS Financing (US)
    • Itochu (Japan)
    • Korea Western Power Company (Kowepo, South Korea)
    • Pacific Green (US)
    • Samsung C&T (South Korea)
    • Swift Energy (Malaysia)
    • X-Noor Energy Equipment Trading  (UAE)

    The planned facility is expected to provide up to 800 megawatt-hours (MWh) of storage capacity.

    The ESA will be for 15 years, commencing on the project’s commercial operation date, which falls in the third quarter of 2026. 

    According to Ewec, the bess project will provide additional flexibility to the system and ancillary services such as frequency response and voltage regulation.

    Global bess market

    The overall capacity of deployed bess globally is expected to reach 127GW by 2027, up from an estimated cumulative deployment of 36.7GW at the end of 2023, according to a recent GlobalData report.

    The report named Chinese companies BYD and CATL and South Korean companies LG Energy Solutions and Samsung SDI among the top battery technology providers globally.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13484751/main.gif
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • Indian and Spanish team wins Ras Mohaisen EPC package

    13 March 2025

    A team of India's Larsen & Toubro (L&T) and Madrid-headquartered Lantania has won the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract for the Ras Mohaisen independent water project (IWP) in Saudi Arabia.

    State utility offtaker Saudi Water Partnership Company (SWPC) signed the water-purchase agreement contract for the project with a consortium comprising Riyadh-headquartered utility developer Acwa Power, Hajj Abdullah Ali Reza & Partners and Al-Kifah Holding Company in February. 

    According to L&T,  its Water and Effluent Treatment business division will execute the EPC contract for the desalination facility.

    The state water offtaker received two bids for the contract in April last year. The other bidder was Spain’s Acciona.

    The Ras Mohaisen IWP will be able to treat 300,000 cubic metres of seawater a day (cm/d) using reverse osmosis technology.

    It will also include storage tanks with a capacity of 600,000 cubic metres, equivalent to two operating days, intake and outfall facilities, process units and pumping stations.

    The build, own and operate project will also include electrical, automation and instrumentation systems and a solar photovoltaic plant. 

    The project is expected to reach commercial operation by the second quarter of 2028.

    The plant will be located in Al-Qunfudhah Governorate, about 300 kilometres south of Mecca, on the Red Sea coast in Saudi Arabia’s Western Region.

    The project is expected to enhance water supply chains and is intended to serve the Mecca and Al-Baha regions.

    Netherlands-headquartered KPMG acted as SWPC’s financial adviser, with UK-based Eversheds Sutherland acting as the legal adviser for the project.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13485233/main.gif
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • Egypt faces complex economic reality

    13 March 2025

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13483136/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • LIVE WEBINAR: GCC Projects Market 2025

    13 March 2025

    Register now

    Topic: GCC Projects Market 2025

    Date & time: 11:00 AM GST, 20 March 2025

    Agenda:

    • Introduction and overview of the GCC projects market
    • Data-driven historical and current performance
    • Top clients and contractors
    • Assessment of main market drivers
    • Summary of the Saudi gigaprojects programme
    • Market overview by country and sector
    • Market pipeline and outlook for 2025 and beyond
    • Key trends, opportunities and challenges
    • Selected major projects to watch
    • Q&A session

    Hosted by: Edward James, head of content and analysis at MEED

    A well-known and respected thought leader in Mena affairs, Edward James has been with MEED for more than 19 years, working as a researcher, consultant and content director. Today he heads up all content and research produced by the MEED group. His specific areas of expertise are construction, hydrocarbons, power and water, and the petrochemicals market. He is considered one of the world’s foremost experts on the Mena projects market. He is a regular guest commentator on Middle East issues for news channels such as the BBC, CNN and ABC News and is a regular speaker at events in the region. 

    Click here to register

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13483162/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Dubai property market rebounds in February

    13 March 2025

    Property prices in Dubai rebounded in February following a decline in January. Average property prices hit a record high of AED1,505 ($410) per square foot, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.41% or a rise of AED20.94 compared to January 2025, according to a statement from property agent Better Homes.

    The report also said there was a 17% increase in sales volume, reaching AED41bn across 14,929 transactions, marking a 15% month-on-month rise. This resurgence underscores Dubai's resilience and enduring appeal as a global property investment hub.

    The rebound comes just a month after a slight decline in property prices, which had marked the first decrease in over two years.

    In January, average prices fell by 0.57% to AED1,484 per square foot, raising concerns about market stabilisation. The February figures indicate that the market has quickly regained its momentum, driven primarily by a surge in off-plan properties, which accounted for 59% of all sales.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13483150/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman