Region plays high-stakes AI game
11 June 2024
This package also includes: Data centres meet upbeat growth
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a potential enabler for the economic diversification programmes of the GCC’s hydrocarbons-exporting states.
The UAE launched an open-source large-language model (LLM) last year. Falcon 40B, shortly followed by Falcon 180B, cemented the reputation of the Abu Dhabi government-funded Technology Innovation Institute as a major player in generative AI.
With 180 billion parameters and trained on 3.5 trillion tokens, Falcon 180B soared to the top of the Hugging Face Leaderboard, a benchmark for pre-trained LLMs. Falcon 180B outperformed competitors such as Meta’s Llama 2 in areas including reasoning, coding, proficiency and knowledge tests.
The launch of Falcon followed cumulative investments in research, talent acquisition and digital infrastructure. In recent years, Abu Dhabi has formed government-attached agencies and commercial entities backed by its sovereign wealth funds to focus on AI.
One such company is G42, which has partnered with the US’ OpenAI to develop sector-focused generative AI models, and with Microsoft to run applications on Azure and undertake AI skilling initiatives in the UAE and beyond.
Global AI hubs
The UAE aims to become a world-leading AI hub alongside the US and China, but the country will have to tread carefully when choosing partners to avoid geopolitical complications involving its most important security ally and its largest energy client.
Riyadh seems determined to give Abu Dhabi a run for its AI money. The GCC region’s two largest states have placed
separate multimillion-dollar orders for graphics processing units – powerful chips designed for training AI – from top US supplier Nvidia.
They have also formed AI-focused investment vehicles with a view to maximising investments and returns from AI ventures at home and abroad. Abu Dhabi formed MGX, which aims to build $100bn in assets under management within a few years, while Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund formed a $100bn platform to transform the kingdom into a semiconductor and electronics hub, with AI playing a central role in the plan.
In May this year, the Saudi Data & Artificial Intelligence Authority and New York-based technology company IBM launched an open-source Arabic LLM called Allam on IBM’s Watsonx AI and data platform.
With AI promising to be a $1tn market by 2030, it offers attractive opportunities
Computer power
A potential issue facing the determined push for AI leadership is that AI requires enormous computational power and energy, in addition to vast capital and talent.
A recent article published by the World Economic Forum (WEF) suggests that the computational power required to sustain the rise of AI doubles approximately every 100 days.
Related read: Global AI market to top $1tn in 2030
“The energy required to run AI tasks is already accelerating with an annual growth rate between 26% and 36%. This means by 2028, AI could be using more power than the entire country of Iceland used in 2021,” the WEF article says.
The AI lifecycle impacts the environment in two stages. First is the training phase, when the models learn and develop by digesting vast amounts of data; and second is the inference phase, when they solve real-world problems.
At present, the environmental footprint is split, with training responsible for about 20% and inference taking up 80%.
“As AI models gain traction across diverse sectors, the need for inference and its environmental footprint will escalate,” the WEF warns.
A peer-reviewed analysis in the science journal Joule says that a continuation of the current trends in AI capacity and adoption will likely result in Nvidia shipping 1.5 million AI server units a year by 2027.
When running at full capacity, these servers are expected to consume at least 85.4 terawatt-hours of electricity annually, which is equivalent to 100GW of installed capacity in the next three years.
Data centres, which make up the main AI digital infrastructure, already account for about 1%-1.5% of global electricity use.
In a hypothetical scenario in which everyone shifts to AI for mundane tasks such as performing searches on Google, every data centre would effectively experience a 10-fold increase in energy consumption, according to Alex De Vries, a data scientist at the Central Bank of the Netherlands, which conducted the analysis published by Joule.
As a result, the hydrocarbons-exporting and energy-transitioning GCC states – particularly the UAE and Saudi Arabia – appear to be a natural fit for AI, due to the presence of abundant and cheap fossil-fuel or renewable-energy resources, and the need to diversify their revenue sources away from oil. With AI promising to be a $1tn market by 2030, it offers attractive opportunities.
According to a Dubai-based senior executive with a global infrastructure investor, each country and company will eventually need to consider what part they can play in the AI value chain.
Since Nvidia seems to have captured the microprocessor space, the other areas of opportunity are in developing computing power, algorithms and implementation. “Both Saudi Arabia and the UAE have the theoretical capability to grow into the computing power and implementation spaces, which require computing capacity through data centres and medium-skilled manpower to deploy, migrate, train and maintain [AI],” the executive says.
Greening AI
Policy adjustments could be needed to support such advances, especially when it comes to minimising AI’s carbon footprint, even as it enables the curbing of those in other sectors – including the power sector.
In addition to the vast computing and wattage requirements of AI, the region’s arid weather and very hot summer temperatures mean that regional data centres have greater cooling requirements.
To address this, the Dubai state utility has started to build a solar-powered data centre, which is understood to be the first of its kind in the world.
Saudi Arabia, which aims to have 58.7GW of renewable energy installed capacity by 2030 – accounting for about 50% of its electricity production mix – could follow a similar model.
Abu Dhabi’s quantum computer project, in partnership with researchers at Spain’s Qilimanjaro Quantum Tech, is under way.
Unlike a classic supercomputer that operates on binary states, a quantum computer uses quantum mechanics phenomena including superposition and entanglement to generate and manipulate subatomic particles such as electrons or photons, or qubits.
This allows greater processing powers that can enable the performance of complex calculations that would take much longer to be solved, consuming less power than a supercomputer.
The growing electricity surplus in Abu Dhabi, as all four reactors at the Barakah nuclear power plant come onstream this year, could also be allocated to data centres and AI applications.
In addition, Abu Dhabi’s plan to start procuring phase two of its Barakah nuclear energy plant may not only boost energy exports, but could also create sufficient margins to accommodate future AI computing demand.
Related read: Nuclear power will help region achieve AI ambitions
“I don’t know if that means only nuclear power can solve the demand, but it certainly is a good option and carries some strategic advantage as well,” says Karen Young, senior research scholar at Columbia University’s Centre on Global Energy Policy.
While AI needs a significant amount of electricity for computations, there should be savings through productivity increases
Efficiency gains
While it is difficult to accurately quantify and forecast AI’s overall carbon emissions, a holistic view of its overall environmental impact is required.
In theory, while AI itself needs a significant amount of electricity for computations, there should be savings through productivity increases. “Will people need to go to the office less often, and how about the improved performance of machines?” asks the Dubai-based infrastructure investor.
However, it is also important not to overstate AI’s potential benefits to the region’s economies. While AI could be a major driver of economic diversification, Young has yet to be convinced that it will significantly boost the GCC’s GDP growth.
Job creation is a vital element of economic diversification, she tells MEED, but AI is often used to replace roles in the service sector and lower-skilled opportunities, such as those in the retail banking sector. This could impact efforts under way in several GCC states to boost employment among citizens, such as the Saudi Nationalisation Programme and the UAE’s Emiratisation drive.
On the upside, however, AI can be very good at improving efficiencies in the oil and gas industry and the power sector, and at boosting productivity.
The need of the hour appears to be establishing a clear path towards efficient AI deployment, despite the fact that the results of the technology’s full-fledged implementation remain hard to ascertain.
“The UAE is doing a lot to attract skilled people to provide more value-added services, but that is an organic process and needs a more vibrant ecosystem of education institutions – and companies establishing more than just sales offices – to be truly called a hub,” the infrastructure investor tells MEED. “Saudi Arabia is still a bit far from that.”
Data centres meet upbeat growth
Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.
Exclusive from Meed
All of this is only 1% of what MEED.com has to offer
Subscribe now and unlock all the 153,671 articles on MEED.com
- All the latest news, data, and market intelligence across MENA at your fingerprints
- First-hand updates and inside information on projects, clients and competitors that matter to you
- 20 years' archive of information, data, and news for you to access at your convenience
- Strategize to succeed and minimise risks with timely analysis of current and future market trends
Related Articles
-
Lebanon taps foreign players to assess resource potential8 June 2026
Lebanon’s oil and gas sector received a major boost in January this year when French energy major TotalEnergies, Italy’s Eni and QatarEnergy signed an agreement with the Lebanese government to enter the Block 8 concession in the country’s territorial waters and explore for gas reserves.
Under the terms of the deal, TotalEnergies will operate Block 8 and hold a 35% interest, while Eni and QatarEnergy will hold 35% and 30% stakes, respectively.
Block 8 has long been considered the most promising exploration area in Lebanese waters, but previous efforts to award the exploration permit were repeatedly delayed amid concerns over border tensions and political instability.
The block lies along the previously disputed maritime boundary between Lebanon and Israel. In 2022, the two countries signed an agreement to resolve the long-running maritime border dispute.
In a statement, TotalEnergies said: “The consortium's initial work programme on Block 8 consists of the acquisition of a 1,200-square-kilometre 3D seismic survey in order to further assess the area’s exploration potential.”
Exploration efforts
The Lebanese Petroleum Administration hopes that international oil companies will make discoveries that will help bolster the country’s struggling economy.
Lebanon signed its first offshore oil and gas exploration and production agreement in February 2018, awarding Blocks 4 and 9 to a consortium comprising TotalEnergies, Eni and Russia's Novatek following a licensing round in 2017.
In January 2023, QatarEnergy replaced Novatek in the consortium.
Under the agreement, QatarEnergy acquired Novatek’s 20% stake, as well as 5% each from TotalEnergies and Eni, giving the Qatari company a total stake of 30%. TotalEnergies and Eni each retained a 35% interest.
In TotalEnergies’ latest statement, chairman and CEO Patrick Pouyanne said: “Although the drilling of the Qana 31/1 well in Block 9 did not yield positive results, we remain committed to pursuing our exploration activities in Lebanon.
“We will now focus our efforts on Block 8, together with our partners Eni and QatarEnergy and in close cooperation with the Lebanese authorities.”
Futile attempts
More broadly, Lebanon’s offshore oil and gas sector faces an uncertain outlook, characterised by persistent delays, regional conflict and limited exploration activity.
Despite hopes that maritime agreements and improved diplomatic relations would trigger an energy boom, Lebanon currently produces virtually no oil or natural gas. Political bottlenecks, regional instability and previous dry wells have increasingly shifted attention towards alternative domestic energy solutions.
Lebanon’s ambition to become a hydrocarbon producer remains unfulfilled due to a combination of commercial and political obstacles. Initial optimism was tempered when consortiums led by TotalEnergies announced that no commercially viable gas discoveries had been made in either Block 4 or Block 9.
Despite holding licences for potentially prospective acreage, international companies have remained largely inactive in pursuing further deepwater exploration.
Meanwhile, Lebanon’s third offshore licensing round, launched in 2024, has continued to face delays. Nine offshore blocks within the country’s exclusive economic zone were offered, but interest from exploration and production companies has been limited. As a result, the government has repeatedly extended submission deadlines.
Although the landmark 2022 maritime boundary agreement with Israel removed a major obstacle to exploration in southern waters, regional security concerns continue to influence the pace of development.
In late 2025, Lebanon approved a maritime boundary demarcation agreement with Cyprus aimed at clarifying jurisdictional rights and attracting investment to offshore areas.
Progress in northern waters also remains stalled. More than 652 square kilometres of offshore acreage overlap between Lebanese- and Syrian-claimed waters, making any resolution politically sensitive and diplomatically complex.
Regional volatility continues to weigh on investor confidence. While periodic ceasefires may provide temporary relief, ongoing tensions across the region still make large-scale energy infrastructure investments highly risky.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17145363/main.gif -
EtihadWE to auction Al-Zawra power generation assets8 June 2026
Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access
Etihad Water & Electricity (EtihadWE) is preparing to auction used power generation assets from its Al-Zawra facility in Ajman.
The 200MW Al-Zawra gas-fired power plant was developed by the former Federal Electricity & Water Authority (Fewa), which was succeeded by EtihadWE.
The sale includes gas turbines, generators and associated balance-of-plant equipment from the existing generation facility.
The main equipment being offered comprises two GE Vernova / General Electric heavy-duty gas turbines. The units are PG 9171E / 9E machines designed for dual-fuel operation using natural gas and distillate. The package also includes two generators.
EtihadWE said the assets will be sold on an “as is, where is” basis, with interested parties able to arrange site visits and inspections, subject to the relevant approvals.
According to industry sources, the utility’s two power plants in Ajman and Ras Al-Khaimah have been out of service since 2021, and the Ajman plant was decommissioned in 2023.
Companies interested in taking part in the auction should contact:Mohamed.Shabeer@etihadwe.com
khaled.reda@etihadwe.ae
Horizon.PMO@etihadwe.aehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17143852/main.jpg -
Kuwait plans to award $988m upstream contract within 30 days8 June 2026
State-owned upstream operator Kuwait Oil Company (KOC) is planning to officially award a $988m project contract to India’s Larsen & Toubro within 30 days, according to industry sources.
The contract is focused on developing Jurassic Light Oil (JLO) export facilities and upgrading the existing export network.
Kuwait’s Central Agency for Public Tenders (Capt) has approved the award of the contract for the construction of export crude storage facilities and upgrades to the country’s oil export infrastructure.
Now, talks are expected to take place between KOC and Larsen & Toubro to finalise the contract details.
Just two companies submitted bids for the contract in October last year.
The bidders were:
- Larsen & Toubro (India): KD303.5m ($988m)
- Petrofac (UK): KD310.6m ($1.01bn)
Following bid submission, state-owned Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) discussed the potential cancellation of the contract tender due to the bids coming in significantly over budget and Petrofac becoming ineligible to win contracts in Kuwait.
The financially troubled engineering company was temporarily banned from participation in tenders in Kuwait’s oil and gas sector in December last year.
It was given the ban after the company announced that it had applied to appoint administrators, a move that potentially put thousands of jobs at risk and increased uncertainty for projects worth billions of dollars in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region.
Despite holding talks about the potential cancellation of the tender, KPC ultimately decided to proceed with the contract award process because it considered the project a high priority.
One source said: “Around the same time, projects worth around $8bn were cancelled because of bids coming in over budget, but this one has gone ahead because KPC sees it as an essential project.”
The project was originally tendered in November 2024, with a bid deadline of 1 December the same year.
The bid deadline was extended several times before bids were ultimately submitted.
Kuwait’s oil and gas sector is in turmoil as a result of the ongoing regional conflict that started on 28 February when the US and Israel attacked Iran.
Amid the ongoing conflict, Kuwait’s Ministry of Finance has stopped publishing its monthly report with details about revenues from oil exports.
While there are no official figures available, many experts believe that the country failed to export crude oil during April and May.
This is likely to have a severe impact on the country’s economy, which relies on oil exports for approximately 90% of government revenues.
READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDFGCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: Gulf races to reroute trade> EXPORT ROUTES: Regional war boosts oil and gas pipeline project activity> CURRENT AFFAIRS: UAE’s Opec departure fulfils multiple ends> MEED TOP 100: Middle East stocks recover unevenly> LEADERSHIP: Building the infrastructure that makes net zero possible> TRADE DEAL: UK-GCC trade deal talks concludeTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17143767/main.png -
Amea Power signs 1.5GWh battery storage EPC contracts8 June 2026
UAE-based Amea Power has signed engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contracts with China Energy Engineering Corporation (China Energy) for two standalone battery energy storage system (bess) projects in Egypt with a combined capacity of 1,500 megawatt-hours (MWh).
The contracts cover the 500MWh Horus battery storage project in Zafarana and the 1,000MWh Nefertiti battery storage project in Benban.
The agreements were signed on 4 June in the presence of Mahmoud Esmat, Egypt’s minister of electricity and renewable energy, Sheikh Hussein Al-Nowais, chairman of Al-Nowais Investments and Amea Power, and Ni Jin, chairman of China Energy.
The projects are part of Egypt’s wider programme to expand energy storage capacity and support the integration of renewable energy into the national grid.
According to the Ministry of Electricity & Renewable Energy, Egypt plans to increase battery storage capacity to 14,320MWh by 2028.
The ministry said the expansion of battery storage is required to support the growing share of solar and wind power generation, improve grid stability and reduce reliance on fossil fuels.
The signing ceremony also included an agreement between Amea Power, China Energy and Chinese battery manufacturer Gotion to establish a battery storage manufacturing facility in Egypt.
The planned factory will have an annual production capacity of 3,000MWh.
Amea Power previously signed capacity purchase agreements with the Egyptian government to develop the country’s first standalone bess projects in 2025.
In March, the government announced it had signed power-purchase agreements for several renewable energy and battery storage projects with a combined capacity of 5.6GW.
These include a 900MW wind power project in the Red Sea Governorate, along with a 2,000MW solar power plant and a 2,000MWh battery storage facility in the Qena Governorate.
> Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17143364/main.jpg -
Opec+ approves fourth consecutive oil output quota hike8 June 2026
The Opec+ alliance of oil producers has agreed a fourth increase in its oil output targets in as many months, even though the conflict involving Iran, the US and Israel is still preventing several members from pumping more crude.
The war has disrupted oil flows via the Strait of Hormuz, creating a severe supply crisis. Key Opec+ members, including Saudi Arabia, have been unable to supply customers in full since the end of February. The crisis for Opec+ deepened when the UAE left Opec after almost 60 years of membership.
Seven core members of Opec+ – which comprises Opec countries and a group of non-Opec states led by Russia – raised their output quotas from April to June by almost 600,000 barrels a day (b/d).
In practice, however, the group’s production has fallen sharply due to export cuts by Gulf members, averaging 33.19 million b/d in April compared with 42.77 million b/d in February, according to Opec figures.
At the latest meeting of Opec+ oil ministers on 7 June, the seven members agreed to increase targets by 188,000 b/d from July, Opec said in a statement. This matches the June hike, which was adjusted down from monthly increases of 206,000 b/d in April and May to take account of the UAE’s exit.
Iraq’s oil output quota will rise by 26,000 b/d from July under the agreement, an oil ministry spokesperson told Iraq’s state news agency.
On 5 June, oil prices fell to about $93 a barrel as traders gained confidence that renewed conflict between the US and Iran was becoming less likely. Prices were close to $72 before the war began on 28 February.
Brent crude rose sharply at the start of this week after Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel on the night of 7 June, heightening fears that US-Iran peace talks might once again collapse. Israel has since retaliated with strikes in western and central Iran, despite calls from US President Donald Trump not to respond to the Iranian missiles.
Brent crude jumped by around 4.5% early on 8 June and was trading at $97.52 a barrel as of 11am GST.
The seven key Opec+ members are increasing production as part of the gradual unwinding of a 1.65 million b/d production cut agreed in 2023 by the coalition, which at the time included the UAE.
From July, the seven have about 567,000 b/d of the original cut left to return to the market – taking into account the UAE’s exit from 1 May – according to Reuters calculations.
That would imply the remainder of the cut will be unwound by the end of September if Opec+ maintains monthly hikes of about 188,000 b/d in August and September.
The seven of the 21 Opec+ members who met on 7 June were Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, Russia and Oman. In recent years, only these seven – plus the UAE when it was a member– have been involved in the group’s output-policy decisions.
In a separate meeting on Sunday attended by all Opec+ members, ministers made no change to the group-wide output policy in place until the end of 2026, Opec+ said in another statement.
Opec+ is also reviewing members’ oil production capacity to use as a reference for 2027 production baselines, from which quotas are set. On Sunday, the group reaffirmed the importance of completing the assessment, the statement said.
ALSO READ: UAE to continue working with Opec, energy minister says
READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDFGCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: Gulf races to reroute trade> EXPORT ROUTES: Regional war boosts oil and gas pipeline project activity> CURRENT AFFAIRS: UAE’s Opec departure fulfils multiple ends> MEED TOP 100: Middle East stocks recover unevenly> LEADERSHIP: Building the infrastructure that makes net zero possible> TRADE DEAL: UK-GCC trade deal talks concludeTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17143267/main.jpg