Legacy building at Diriyah
1 August 2024
It is impossible to talk about Saudi Arabia’s history without referencing Diriyah. Founded in 1446 in the Wadi Hanifa valley on the western outskirts of Riyadh, the historic town was the first capital of the Al-Saud dynasty and the launchpad for the kingdom’s unification campaign at the turn of the 20th century. In recognition, its central Turaif district was inscribed as a Unesco World Heritage site in 2010.
Today, the mud-brick settlement, built in the distinctive Najdi architectural style, has lent its name to one of the world’s most ambitious transformative developments. Sensitively conserving and building on its historical importance, it has created a unique cultural, educational, residential and tourism hub in the capital.
With an official budget of some $63bn, Diriyah is one of Saudi Arabia’s five official gigaprojects. It has held this label since early 2023, when responsibility for its development was handed to Diriyah Company, a project company formed as a Public Investment Fund (PIF) subsidiary a year earlier.
Covering an area of 14 square kilometres, Diriyah is targeting a population of 100,000 by its stated completion date of 2030. With more than 40 hotels, nine museums, 400 luxury boutiques, 100-plus restaurants and multiple educational institutions, it hopes to draw in more than 50 million annual visits.
Progress since ground was first broken four years ago has been rapid. As of May 2024, more than SR53bn ($14.1bn)-worth of construction contracts had been awarded. Today, visitors to the area can see hundreds of mobile cranes, plant and piling equipment rising over the boundary wall.
“We are in a good place,” says Mohammed Saad, Diriyah Company’s chief development officer. “We’ve finished our essential underground infrastructure and civil works, the super basement and all the tunnels that connect the basements together.”
But the real work has only just begun. Saad says a further SR30bn-35bn is scheduled to be awarded by the end of 2024, rising to SR40bn-45bn in 2025. By the end of this year, the public can expect to see substantial above-ground construction, particularly on the western side of the gigaproject, providing more tangible evidence of its advancement, which until now has been primarily below ground.
This is not to say that any vertical assets will be particularly tall. Because of the district's traditional low-rise nature, any building must be no higher than the historic structures. It should also emulate the Najdi style. For the same reason, most of the essential infrastructure, utilities and roads are hidden below ground.
Major project scopes
A significant step was made in early July when Diriyah Company awarded an estimated $2bn contract to a joint venture of El-Seif Engineering & Contracting and China State to build the North Cultural District. The deal, the largest let on the gigaproject to date, covers multiple assets, including hotels, the King Salman Foundation Library, King Salman University and the House of Saud Museum.
The work was originally planned as multiple construction packages until Diriyah Company took the commercial decision last year to bundle them into one contract. The decision to adopt super packages was driven by a dynamic market in which contractors have been almost overwhelmed with the volume of tenders from various gigaprojects and where cost inflation is taking hold.
“You will not get the attention of the big contractors if you offer small contracts,” Saad explains. By consolidating projects, contractors can focus their resources more effectively and efficiently and provide more competitive pricing.
“We have a hotel, we have an office building, we have a museum, and when we tendered them as one super package, there was a very solid response and interest from the big players because they could focus their resources and pricing and more efficiently engage their supply chains and subcontractors.”
The approach appears to be working. In late July, another estimated $2bn super package was awarded to a joint venture of local contractor Albawani and Qatar’s Urbacon to construct assets in the Wadi Safar district of the gigaproject. Featuring a mix of residential, residential farm plots, hotels, branded hotel villas, a golf course, an equestrian and polo club, and other leisure and entertainment facilities, including Aman, Chedi, Faena and Six Senses-branded hotels, Wadi Safar is positioned as the most upscale and exclusive development in Riyadh and indeed the kingdom as a whole.
The consolidated contract packages strategy reflects the supercharged nature of the Saudi projects market. With various clients, including the gigaprojects, all competing for a limited amount of contracting, material and labour resources, more innovative procurement strategies need to be adopted.
This is particularly critical for Diriyah and its enormous material requirements. For example, it has previously said that it will ultimately need some 350,000 doors, 1.5 million square metres of tiles, 1.2 million tonnes of rebar and 140,000 HVAC units.
Supply-side obstacles
Despite the progress, the project faces challenges related to contracting, engineering and material supply. The high demand for key materials, coupled with global supply chain disruptions, poses a significant conundrum. However, the delivery team has proactively secured and signed framework agreements with manufacturers to ensure a steady flow of required materials.
Transparent demand signalling is a core component of this. “We’ve analysed our material needs up to 2030 and prepared comprehensive requests for proposals for all key items,” says Saad. “We went out to the manufacturers and the supply chain in general to let them see the pipeline is tangible and secure. We are listening to vendors in order to speed things up and to lock down prices.”
Saad lists specific materials not naturally available in Saudi Arabia, such as finishing stones, as items that may be in short supply, in addition to some specialised MEP equipment that is only manufactured abroad. Overall, he is optimistic about the market’s ability to adapt. “The market will adjust itself,” he states. “Of course, there are challenges, but there are also opportunities for manufacturers to up their game.”
Likewise, contractors are being brought into discussions at earlier stages of contract planning. Diriyah is adopting strategies such as early contractor involvement in the design process to help better understand and manage construction risk. “We’re engaging with contractors and delivery partners as early as the concept design stages to get their feedback on the project’s constructability,” says Saad. “Later, these contractors can be invited to bid for the contract, which makes it easier for them and so they can be aware of any issues.”
Financial constraints
Another increasingly evident challenge is financing. As the gigaprojects programme steps up a gear, there have been growing strains on funding the huge costs associated with it, expenditure which in some cases is considerably higher than when first estimated during the initial master planning stages due to cost inflation and disruptions in the supply chain.
As with the other gigaprojects, Diriyah’s initial work has been fully funded by its PIF parent, but later phases will likely require other financing mechanisms. While some of this will come from the $100m in revenues it expects to make over the next year, the client company has been actively tapping into the capital markets, following in the footsteps of other gigaprojects such as Neom and Red Sea Global, which have concluded sizeable borrowing deals in the past two years.
This includes all options up to and including an initial public offering (IPO). The market consensus is that eventually all the PIF project company subsidiaries will go public when the time is right, and Diriyah is unlikely to be an exception.
For the same reason, the client is also exploring public-private partnerships (PPPs) to enable the private sector to take on some of the financial burden. For instance, City Cool Cooling Company recently won a $186m 25-year build-own-operate (BOO) concession to develop a 72,000-refrigeration-tonne district cooling plant. Future opportunities may include expansion of cooling capacity, other utilities and car parking operations.
“PPPs are a key component of our strategy,” says Saad. They provide a platform for private investors to participate in Diriyah's growth while leveraging the expertise and resources of the public sector. We realise we cannot build 10 million square metres alone. We need the private sector to participate and partner with us and give them an opportunity to be part of this journey.”
Another funding source will be off-plan property sales once its real estate offering comes to market. Based on the development plans, this is expected to be significant. With a mix of some 30,000 villas, apartments and townhouses, the ambition is to attract both local and expatriate residents, if or when the kingdom opens its property market to non-nationals.
Investment pathway
Eventually, third parties will also need to invest in the various real estate elements of the gigaproject. Diriyah Company, as a master developer, is actively seeking to attract other developers, family offices and financial institutions to develop land parcels for mixed-use, residential, hospitality, commercial, education and healthcare assets.
“We are already opening up to investors and meeting developers who are interested in partnering with us or buying land,” notes Saad. “It’s a good problem to have – there’s more interest than we can handle right now, which speaks volumes about the project's attractiveness.”
This is just as well. One criticism of the gigaprojects programme has been the shortfall in both local and international investment to date. A lack of understanding of what the gigaprojects are and will be, demand uncertainty, timeframe ambiguities and general market hesitancy have been identified as the stumbling blocks.
Diriyah is determined to change this situation. It is focusing on increasing public and investor awareness of the potential opportunity through initiatives such as its two-day Bashayer event last November, which showcased the masterplan and construction progress to selected key stakeholders. There has also been a push for greater transparency and publishing more specific details about the overall development to make it stand out from the crowded market.
The giant gigaproject is not being developed in isolation. Experience from successful developments worldwide highlights that connectivity and coordination with other government stakeholders are key. Diriyah is planned to be connected to an extension of Riyadh Metro’s Line 2 and a planned Line 7 linking it with King Khalid International airport and another gigaproject, Qiddiya. In total, four metro stations are planned for the development.
At the same time, talks are under way for Diriyah to be one of the main stations on the planned Q-Express high-speed rail link between the airport and Qiddiya, which will complement the metro network. For those arriving by car, there will be the opportunity to use the three-level, 1 million square-metre underground ‘super basement’ car park, which, with a capacity for 10,500 vehicles, will be the fifth-largest parking facility in the world, and by far the biggest in the region.
As Diriyah’s construction accelerates, it is already starting to define its identity more clearly. Building on the kingdom’s historical roots, it is set to create a new legacy for future generations.
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Local firm wins Riyadh water operations contract9 April 2026
Saudi-based Alkhorayef Water & Power Technologies (AWPT) has won a contract to operate and maintain treated sewage effluent (TSE) networks and facilities in Riyadh.
The contract was awarded by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City (RCRC) on 5 April, according to a market filing by the company.
The scope covers the operation and maintenance of TSE networks and facilities under Group 1 in Riyadh City. The contract is valued at SR69.6m ($18.5m) and has a duration of 30 months.
The deal follows a recent five-year contract from Jeddah Municipality for the operation and cleaning of stormwater networks in the airport’s sub-municipality area of Jeddah.
According to regional projects tracker MEED Projects, RCRC has $1.19bn-worth of water transmission projects under execution.
In 2024, RCRC appointed the local Mutlaq Damook Al-Ghowairi Contracting for the construction of a $100m heat pumping station as part of the Green Riyadh project.
RCRC designed Green Riyadh in 2018 to improve liveability standards in Riyadh. As MEED understands, the pumping station project will begin construction this year.
Elsewhere, in January, AWPT won another contract with state-owned utility National Water Company to operate and maintain water assets in Tabuk City.
The scope of work includes the operation and maintenance of water networks, pump stations, wells, tanks and related facilities over a 36-month period.
READ THE APRIL 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDFEconomic shock threatens long-term outlook; Riyadh adjusts to fiscal and geopolitical risk; GCC contractor ranking reflects gigaprojects slowdown.
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the April 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
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Force majeure will not cure pre-existing construction industry breaches9 April 2026
As the 2026 Iran War disrupts critical maritime chokepoints and aviation corridors, the GCC construction sector faces unprecedented logistical challenges. Consequently, regional engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors are being inundated with force majeure notices.
International suppliers claim the geopolitical crisis prevents them from fulfilling contracts, arguing this shields them from liability and allows them to retain massive advance payments. However, a contentious legal dilemma has emerged: Can a supplier weaponise an active conflict to camouflage a pre-existing breach, such as manufacturing defective materials or missing critical deadlines before the crisis erupted?
For construction executives, GCC civil law provides a highly unforgiving answer. By examining a landmark judgment from the Dubai Court of First Instance (Judgment No. 695/2023) concerning the 2023 Sudan war, contractors can find a definitive legal playbook for the current environment.
The Sudan precedent
The factual matrix of the 2023 Sudan dispute serves as a perfect analogue for today’s supply chain fracturing. A regional contractor paid a 30% advance ($1.27m) for the offshore manufacture of structural steel water tanks destined for Sudan. In March 2023, an independent SGS inspection revealed critical life-safety and structural defects in the steel columns.
Faced with a formal breach notice, the supplier proposed a “fix-it on-site” workaround, planning to fly engineers to Khartoum to alter concrete foundations to compensate for the defective steel. Just two days before this site visit, the Sudanese civil war erupted, shutting down airports.
The supplier preemptively sued in Dubai, claiming the sudden outbreak of war was an unforeseeable event that made it physically impossible to rectify the defects or deliver the goods. They demanded to terminate the contract under force majeure and keep the advance payment.
The Dubai Court fundamentally rejected this conflation. Relying on UAE Civil Transactions Law, the court established a bright-line rule: a subsequent force majeure event cannot cure, excuse or erase a pre-existing contractual breach.
The supplier had breached the contract the moment the SGS report confirmed the defects. The fact that war broke out subsequently, preventing their travel for an ad-hoc fix, was legally irrelevant. The court ordered the supplier to refund the entire $1.27m advance payment, alongside a 5% annual delay interest.
The bank guarantee trap
The judgment also highlights a profound warning regarding financial hygiene. The contractor initially attempted to liquidate the supplier’s unconditional bank guarantee but failed.
The contractor had erroneously wired the advance payment to the supplier’s Bank of China account, rather than the specific Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank account explicitly stipulated in the guarantee draft. This simple administrative routing error meant the guarantee was technically never activated, forcing the contractor into a lengthy substantive lawsuit to recover its funds.
Wider GCC implications
While originating in Dubai, this jurisprudential DNA applies universally across the GCC. The newly codified Saudi Civil Transactions Law, alongside Qatari and Omani civil codes, views construction supply contracts as rigid obligations of result.
Across the region, courts uniformly reject the concept of “concurrent excuse”. If a supplier fails to build structural steel correctly in March, they cannot blame airspace closures in April for their failure to deliver.
A strategic playbook for 2026
For conglomerates battling the commercial fallout of the 2026 Iran War, this precedent offers a clear risk mitigation roadmap:
- Eradicate the “fix-it on-site” culture: In wartime, accepting minor manufacturing defects with a promise of on-site rectification is a fatal misallocation of risk. If borders close, projects are left with unusable materials. Acceptance must be explicitly tied to absolute conformity prior to embarkation.
- Elevate Factory Acceptance Testing (FAT): Never allow suppliers to ship materials blindly to beat port closures. Mandate strict third-party inspections at the point of origin. A failed FAT report legally severs the supplier’s access to a subsequent force majeure defence.
- Issue immediate breach notices: Timing is the difference between a total loss and a full refund. Do not engage in informal workaround discussions while a crisis escalates. Issue formal legal default notices immediately to paper the breach before the fog of war obscures the facts.
- Strict guarantee hygiene: Ensure finance departments route advance payments exactly to the SWIFT text or IBAN stipulated in the guarantee. A minor error can leave millions unsecured.
- Draft pre-existing breach carve-outs: New contracts must explicitly state that suppliers cannot invoke force majeure to excuse delays or non-conformities that originated prior to the onset of the military event.
The escalation of the 2026 conflict offers failing suppliers a tempting shield to hide supply chain mismanagement. However, regional jurisprudence sees through this illusion. By enforcing rapid default notices and rigorous inspections, project owners can ensure the financial risk of non-conformity remains exactly where it belongs: with the defaulting supplier.
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Saudi Arabia’s foreign property ownership milestone9 April 2026
Saudi Arabia’s Real Estate Ownership Law, which came into force in January 2026, represents a significant and long-anticipated development in the kingdom’s approach to foreign ownership of real estate.
It forms part of a broader evolution of the regulatory framework governing the sector, aimed at enhancing transparency, strengthening investor confidence, and supporting long-term market development in line with Vision 2030.
As the framework begins to be implemented, market participants are increasingly focused on how these provisions will operate in practice and the implications for structuring real estate investments in the kingdom.
Under the previous legislative framework, introduced in 2000, foreign ownership of Saudi property was more restricted. Ownership was generally limited to individuals or entities authorised to carry out professional or commercial activities in the kingdom, with property rights closely linked to those activities rather than broader investment or personal use.
The law builds on this position by expanding both the categories of eligible owners and the scope of permitted real estate rights.
The new law applies a broad definition of “non-Saudi”, encompassing foreign individuals, companies, non-profit organisations and other legal entities, within a structured and regulated framework.
Expanding ownership rights
Non-Saudi individuals, whether resident in the kingdom or abroad, may own real estate or acquire real property rights within designated geographical areas, as provided for under the implementing regulations.
The law permits both ownership and the acquisition of other real property rights in accordance with applicable laws and regulations. In practice, this provides a clearer basis for foreign investors to assess how real estate interests may be structured within the kingdom.
Non-Saudi residents are also permitted to own one residential property outside those designated areas. This does not extend to cities of religious significance, including Mecca and Medina, except where permitted under the applicable legal and regulatory framework.
Foreign-owned Saudi companies may own real estate and acquire other real property rights necessary to conduct their licensed activities and to provide housing for employees, both within and outside designated geographical areas. This may, subject to applicable regulatory conditions, extend to properties in Mecca and Medina.
While ownership in the holy cities remains subject to specific regulatory controls, the new law provides a more clearly defined framework under which foreign participation may be permitted in accordance with applicable requirements.
With respect to publicly listed companies, Saudi firms with foreign ownership listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul), as well as investment funds and special purpose entities, may own and acquire real property rights in the kingdom, including in Mecca and Medina, subject to compliance with the relevant regulatory framework.
Registration, compliance and transactional framework
The new Real Estate Ownership law introduces a structured compliance framework for foreign investors. It provides that all non-Saudis, whether corporations or individuals, are required to comply with applicable registration requirements with the competent authorities prior to owning real estate or acquiring other real property rights in the kingdom.
The implementing framework sets out procedures that vary depending on the type of investor. For example:
- Non-resident individuals are required to obtain a valid digital identity profile through the Ministry of Interior’s “Absher” platform, open a Saudi bank account, and obtain a Saudi contact number.
- Foreign companies are required to register with the Ministry of Investment, ensure that their legal representatives hold valid identification issued in accordance with the kingdom’s regulations, disclose their ownership structures, and open a Saudi bank account.
Ownership of real estate and the acquisition of related property rights will only be legally recognised once registration has been completed with the Real Estate Register in accordance with the applicable legal provisions. This reinforces transparency and legal certainty within the market.
The law also regulates the disposal of property interests. Where a non-Saudi sells, transfers or otherwise disposes of a real property right, a disposal fee capped at 5% of the transaction value is payable to the Real Estate General Authority. This fee applies in addition to any other taxes or charges. The applicable rate may vary depending on the type, purpose and location of the property right, as set out in the relevant regulations.
Investors should also be aware of the law’s tiered penalty regime. Depending on the nature of the violation, penalties may range from a warning to fines capped at SR10m, with multiple penalties potentially applied for separate breaches.
The law reflects the kingdom’s continued focus on enhancing the regulatory environment for real estate, within a structure designed to balance market access with appropriate regulatory oversight. For investors and developers, the practical significance of the law lies in the clarity it provides on how foreign ownership can be structured and implemented. In particular, requirements relating to registration, ownership eligibility and permitted use will be key considerations when assessing transactions and investment structures.
As the implementing framework continues to develop, further detail, particularly in relation to designated geographical areas and the application of ownership rules in specific locations, will be important in shaping how the framework operates in practice.
More broadly, the law forms part of a wider programme of reforms aimed at supporting the sustainable development of Saudi Arabia’s real estate market and reinforcing its long-term attractiveness for investment, in line with the objectives of Vision 2030.
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War in the Middle East recalibrates global energy markets9 April 2026

The US and Israel’s war with Iran, and the disruption it is causing to oil and gas shipping, are having a deep impact on global energy markets and will have lasting effects on how decisions are made about energy production and consumption.
In March, the director of the Paris-based International Energy Agency, Fatih Birol, said the world was “facing the greatest global energy security threat in history”, eclipsing even the 1973 oil crisis triggered by Opec’s oil embargo against countries that supported Israel during the Yom Kippur War.
Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has highlighted the fragility of the Middle East oil and gas supply chain, and will incentivise import-dependent economies to pursue greater energy security.
There are already signs around the world that this is taking place in a range of ways, including developing domestic fossil fuel reserves, accelerating nuclear projects, and investing in renewables and battery storage.
At the same time, high oil and gas prices are spurring fossil fuel producers to increase investment in boosting output and protecting export routes, as they seek to maximise profits amid reduced global supplies.
The oil price shocks of the 1970s shaped key oil and gas partnerships between Saudi Arabia and the US, and helped drive the development of strategic petroleum reserves, energy-efficiency policies and broader efforts to diversify energy supply.
In a similar way, the current crisis is dramatically reshaping the global energy landscape, potentially eroding some of the key agreements that emerged in the 1970s and accelerating a new wave of diversification.
Unparalleled crisis
The scale of the current energy crisis is unprecedented, with global markets losing 11 million barrels a day (b/d) of oil supply due to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
On top of this, 20% of the world’s LNG production cannot be shipped.
This combined drop in available oil and gas is far larger than during the price shocks of the 1970s.
In the 1973 crisis, the world lost around 5 million b/d of oil; the same was true of the second shock in 1979, following the Iranian Revolution.
Deepening the current crisis, significant damage is being inflicted on oil and gas infrastructure across the Middle East, which is likely to take years to repair.
Refineries have been attacked across the region, including in Iran, Kuwait, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. There have also been multiple strikes on storage facilities, oil fields, gas processing facilities and shipping terminals.
While the price shocks of the 1970s led to a global recession and had sweeping, long-term consequences for businesses and consumers worldwide, the latest crisis has the potential to be even more severe and is already causing major disruption in energy markets.
Advisory firm Oxford Economics has forecast that, if the war is prolonged and the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for between three and six months, the result would be a global recession and world GDP growth would slow to 1.4% in 2026.
Demand destruction
Experts say the war is already driving oil and gas “demand destruction”, as governments, companies and households respond to price spikes and supply-chain fragility by reducing reliance on hydrocarbon imports.
Decisions being made now to reorient away from oil and gas could have a lasting impact on future import demand worldwide.
Even though it is less than two months since the war started, choices are already being made that could reduce demand for oil and gas in the years ahead.
In Vietnam, conglomerate Vingroup has asked the government to allow it to replace a planned $6bn liquefied natural gas (LNG) power project – which would have been the country’s largest – with a renewable energy project, citing surging fuel prices linked to the Middle East conflict.
Similarly, in New Zealand, plans to develop a new LNG import terminal on the country’s North Island are becoming increasingly uncertain. On 30 March, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said the government would only approve the project if the business case stacked up, and it has been reported that officials are considering replacing it with a large hydroelectric project.
Christopher Doleman, a gas specialist at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (Ieefa), said: “There were existing concerns about the high price of LNG and potential volatility and these concerns have increased significantly since the war began – leading several developers to consider other options, which in some cases include renewables projects.”
At a consumer level, demand destruction is also taking place, as high prices for oil- and gas-linked products drive increased sales of solar panels and electric vehicles.
In March, Octopus Energy, the UK’s largest supplier of domestic electricity and gas, said it had seen a sharp rise in solar panel sales during the price shock, with purchases up 54%.
Also in the UK, March set a monthly record for electric car sales, with 137,000 vehicles sold — a 14% increase on the same period in 2025. Rising electric vehicle sales were also reported in the US and the EU.
French used-car dealer Aramisauto said the share of its total sales accounted for by electric vehicles rose from 6.5% to 12.7% within three weeks of the start of the war. In Germany, the share of electric car search queries on the platform mobile.de rose from 12% to 36%, with dealers reporting 66% more enquiries for used electric cars than in February.
Some Asian countries are also seeing a shift away from gas for cooking. In India, amid an ongoing liquefied petroleum gas shortage, electric stoves have seen a surge in demand, with some retailers reporting they sold three times their usual monthly volume in just a few days.
The global shift away from fossil fuels — both in major power and import projects and at the consumer level — is likely to have significant long-term implications for energy demand.
That would fundamentally alter demand forecasts for Middle East producers and could weigh on revenues in the years ahead.
What we are seeing in the global energy sector is that there are very clear beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict … exporters that aren’t reliant on the Strait of Hormuz can take advantage of high oil prices to post profits and sanction new projects
Slava Kiryushin, HFWBolstered prospects
While many Middle East oil and gas producers are seeing their exports severely restricted due to attacks on infrastructure and the disruption of shipments via the Strait of Hormuz, the war is bolstering the prospects of producers in other regions.
High prices are delivering windfall profits, while investment is flowing towards projects perceived as less exposed to future attacks or a renewed blockade of the strait.
Over time, these forces could contribute to a global divergence: Middle East producers could miss market-share targets, while suppliers elsewhere outperform.
Commenting on the implications of the conflict, Slava Kiryushin, an international oil and gas lawyer and partner at London-headquartered law firm HFW, said: “There has already been a massive impact from this conflict on global energy markets. Producers in the GCC have been impacted more than others.
“The most important factors right now are the damage caused to infrastructure from strikes on energy facilities and how quickly those can be remedied,” he said. “Even if this war ends tomorrow, many will remain concerned about political tensions in the region and the potential for future disruptions.
“What we are seeing in the global energy sector is that there are very clear beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict … exporters that aren’t reliant on the Strait of Hormuz can take advantage of high oil prices to post profits and sanction new projects.”
As revenues fall, repair costs rise and projects stall for national oil and gas companies in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, Kuwait and Bahrain, companies active in regions including the US, Australia, Russia and Africa are seeing significant benefits.
Despite Ukrainian strikes on key Russian oil infrastructure, Moscow has reported surging oil revenues as the war in Iran drives up global crude prices and boosts demand for Russian crude.
In March, Ukraine’s Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) estimated Russia was earning about $760m a day from oil exports, benefitting from high prices and US sanctions waivers.
Even if the conflict ends in the coming weeks, Russia’s annual oil and gas export revenues are projected to reach $218.5bn this year, up 63% from a scenario in which Middle East energy supplies remain uninterrupted, KSE said. That would amount to an additional $84bn in windfall revenue.
US oil companies are also seeing bumper profits and higher share prices. Even as the broader US stock market has moved lower, ExxonMobil and Chevron shares have risen by more than 20% since the start of the year.
Market research firm Rystad Energy has estimated that US oil producers could earn an additional $63bn in profit this year due to elevated prices.
As producers outside the Middle East record large profits and ramp up output, some analysts argue the region’s future standing in global energy markets could be undermined.
Commenting on the outlook for Qatari LNG, Doleman said: “Over the long term, the ongoing conflict could weaken Qatar’s bargaining position when the country is negotiating long-term gas contracts due to perceived risk associated with using the Strait of Hormuz.
“Exports from other suppliers such as producers in the US or Australia could be viewed as more reliable and this could lead to the removal of resale restrictions and other elements that customers in Asia have been pushing back against for some time now.”
Structural changes
While uncertainty remains over how the war will end and how extensive future disruptions to energy supplies may be, it is increasingly likely the crisis will bring structural changes to global energy flows.
There have already been shifts in energy relationships, with clients of GCC oil and gas producers seeking alternative suppliers and sanctions on Iranian and Russian oil being temporarily eased.
While many of the arrangements made in the short period since the war began are likely to be temporary, some could become more durable over time.
Iran has made the removal of sanctions one of its key demands to end the conflict with the US and Israel.
With oil prices remaining high, many countries hit by rising energy costs would welcome the extension of sanctions waivers beyond existing deadlines, to keep crude supplies to global markets as high as possible.
The scale and permanence of these changes will depend on how quickly the conflict can be resolved, and what assurances can be put in place to prevent it flaring up again.
If the conflict is resolved quickly, it is possible that oil and gas sectors in Iraq and the GCC could see a significant rebound, returning towards pre-war operations.
Prior to the war, low production costs in countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq made them among the most profitable exporters in the world, and analysts believe that cost advantage will support a recovery once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.
“Though a lot of damage is being done, Middle East producers still have the advantage of some of the world’s cheapest and easiest-to-produce oil and gas,” Doleman said. “This means they are likely to retain their clients and a functioning business model once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.”
However, if the conflict continues for an extended period, the prospect of a swift recovery would diminish and more dramatic structural changes to the global oil and gas industry would become more likely.
That, in turn, could make the Middle East’s future role in global energy markets significantly smaller than previously forecast.
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Kuwait floats Doha Port feasibility tender9 April 2026
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Kuwait Ports Authority has floated a tender inviting consultants to bid for a contract to undertake feasibility studies for the development of the Doha Port project, located on the southern side of Kuwait Bay in the Capital Governorate.
The tender was issued on 5 April, with a bid submission deadline of 5 May.
Doha Port is a key regional trade port in Kuwait that was handed over to Kuwait Ports Authority in 1977.
The port primarily serves small ships and traditional vessels, facilitating trade with the GCC and other nearby countries.
According to Kuwait Ports Authority, the port spans more than 388,000 square metres and currently has nine berths.
The port’s storage area is over 270,000 sq m and it handles cargo volumes of about 115,869 tonnes, with capacity for 878 vessels.
According to regional projects tracker MEED Projects, Kuwait completed construction works on the second phase of the port’s berths in 2021.
Local firm Specialities Group Holding was awarded the construction contract in 2017.
UK-headquartered analytics firm GlobalData expects Kuwait’s construction industry to record an average annual growth rate of 4.9% between 2026 and 2029, supported by investments in the oil and gas and renewable energy sectors.
The infrastructure construction sector was expected to expand by 4% in real terms in 2025, before stabilising at an annual average growth rate of 5.1% from 2026 to 2029, supported by the government’s focus on cross-border projects to develop the country’s transport infrastructure.
READ THE APRIL 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDFEconomic shock threatens long-term outlook; Riyadh adjusts to fiscal and geopolitical risk; GCC contractor ranking reflects gigaprojects slowdown.
Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the April 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
> AGENDA: Gulf economies under fire> GCC CONTRACTOR RANKING: Construction guard undergoes a shift> MARKET FOCUS: Risk accelerates Saudi spending shift> QATAR LNG: Qatar’s new $8bn investment heats up global LNG race> LEADERSHIP: Shaping the future of passenger rail in the Middle EastTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16318227/main.jpg
