Iraq steps up post-war revival
13 May 2024
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Recent signs of infrastructure project progress in Iraq have generated a renewed sense of optimism that certain major schemes may finally move ahead under the country’s post-war building initiatives.
Contract awards in Iraq’s construction and transport projects market reached $5bn in 2023, the highest value in the sector since 2012 and well above the average of $2.9bn over the past decade. The 2023 awards value was also a much-needed rebound from the disappointing value of just $1.4bn-worth of awards in the sector in 2022.
The sector has more generally been headed on a clear upward path, with awards averaging $3.4bn a year in the past five years (2019-23) compared to $2.4bn a year in the five years prior to that (2014-18).
Benefitting from higher oil prices and a period of relatively stable governance, Baghdad has shifted its focus to reconstructing and modernising Iraq’s deteriorating infrastructure.
The positive sentiment in the sector has been particularly buoyed by the robust 2023 budget, which outlined plans for substantial investments into transport, social infrastructure and housing initiatives.
Key infrastructure priorities for the country include advancing transport plans to capitalise on the expanding Al-Faw Port, including through the delivery of a north-to-south high-speed rail system—a proposal that has been under discussion for more than two decades.
Transport
As part of its 2023 budget, Baghdad approved 16 new projects, with an estimated value of nearly $17bn, for the development and construction of roads, bridges and overpasses in the capital.
The schemes are part of the first package of the master plan revealed in December that included 150 projects intended to modernise and expand infrastructure, address congestion, and improve access and security in central Baghdad and inside the Green Zone.
One of the first contracts to be awarded was the $55m contract to build the Al Zafaraniyah Bridge project, which the Ministry of Construction & Housing awarded to Lebanese contractor Setraco in August 2023.
In a strong positive sign for market activity, Iraq floated tender notices in February 2024 for a combined $4bn-worth of contracts to develop the Baghdad and Najaf-Karbala metro projects on a design, build, operate, maintain, finance and transfer basis.
In April 2024, the country further advanced its infrastructure plans by signing a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Turkiye, Qatar and the UAE to establish a framework for implementing a 1,200km-long Development Road project from Al-Faw Port to Turkiye.
While previous false starts on ambitious transport schemes such as these have eroded investor confidence in the country, there appears to be some hope that Iraq may have reached a tipping point leading to the most recent revival of projects.
One smaller, but still strategically important, transport scheme in the works is the $200m project to rehabilitate and expand Baghdad International airport, which is due to be awarded in 2025. In February, Baghdad also approved the construction of the $800m Diwaniyah International airport.
As the $5.8bn Al-Faw Grand Port masterplan – one of Iraq’s most significant ongoing projects – nears completion in 2025 after a decade of delays, it is also especially critical that new projects proceed to market.
Housing initiatives
Despite past efforts to boost supply, the housing shortfall in Iraq remains critical, with three million homes needed urgently and presenting a supply gap that is increasingly problematic for the government.
Between 2016 and 2020, Iraq reported 971 reconstruction projects, of which 718 were completed.
Most recently, Iraq broke ground on the estimated $2bn Al-Jawahiri residential city project in Abu Ghraib, west of Baghdad. It selected East China Engineering Science & Technology Company and China National Chemical Engineering Company, in collaboration with the local Shams Al Binaa, as the main contractors for the project.
The Jawahiri project is part of a programme to construct five cities across Iraq, including Babil, Karbala, Nineveh and Anbar, to fill the country's housing shortages.
Continuing the Iraq Housing Programme, which aims to build 3 million residential units in the form of low-rise buildings and townhouses nationwide, also remains pivotal for driving future construction activity.
Projects pipeline
Iraq has a total of around $86bn-worth of project work in planning and pre-execution across its construction and transport sectors. This is split roughly evenly between the sectors, at $43bn each.
It is hard to estimate how much of this value consists of work that will likely go ahead soon. Much of the value is still at an early stage, though $30bn-worth of construction projects and $41bn-worth of projects in the transport sector have on paper proceeded past study.
The immediate outlook for transport projects seems optimistic as the government continues to focus on economic revitalisation through expansive infrastructure initiatives.
These projects hold the potential to attract investors, stimulate local employment opportunities and generate significant revenues. The specific allocation of funds for vital metro and airport projects will also likely boost investor confidence.
There nevertheless remains a pressing need for major investments across other project sectors, including energy, utilities, construction and transport, to fully address infrastructural requirements and spur economic growth.
MEED's June 2024 market focus on Iraq also includes:
> Al Sudani struggles to maintain Iraq’s political stability
> Iraq economic revival faces headwinds
> Iraq electricity sector makes slow progress
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QatarEnergy LNG, a subsidiary of state-owned QatarEnergy, has awarded the main engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) contract for a major package for the second phase of its North Field Production Sustainability (NFPS) project.A consortium comprising the Italian contractor Saipem and state-owned China Offshore Oil Engineering Company (COOEC) has secured the EPCI contract for the COMP5 package. The contract value is $4bn, with Saipem declaring its share to be worth $3.1bn.
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QatarEnergy LNG, formerly Qatargas, is said to have issued the tender for the NFPS phase two COMP5 package in the first quarter of the year.
Contractors submitted technical bids for the COMP5 package in late June, while commercial bids were submitted by 8 October, as per sources.
Based upon initial evaluation of bids by QatarEnergy LNG, L&TEH has emerged as the lowest bidder for the COMP5 package, followed by McDermott, with the consortium of Saipem and COOEC in third place, MEED reported in late October.
In the weeks following that, the project operator is said to have engaged all bidders for a final round of negotiations, during which the consortium of Saipem and COOEC is believed to have “clinched the deal”, according to sources.
The detailed scope of work on the COMP5 package covers the EPCI work on the following:
- Two gas compression platforms, each weighing 30,000-35,000 tonnes, plus jacket
- Two living quarters platforms, plus jacket
- Two gas flare platforms, plus jacket
- Brownfield modification work at two complexes
NFPS scheme
QatarEnergy’s North Field liquefied natural gas (LNG) expansion programme requires the state enterprise to pump large volumes of gas from the North Field offshore reserve to feed the three phases of the estimated $40bn-plus programme.
QatarEnergy has already invested billions of dollars in engineering, procurement and construction works on the two phases of the NFPS project, which aims to maintain steady gas feedstock for the North Field LNG expansion phases.
The second NFPS phase will mainly involve building gas compression facilities to sustain and gradually increase gas production from Qatar’s offshore North Field gas reserve over the long term.
Saipem has been the most successful contractor on the second NFPS phase, securing work worth a total of $8.5bn.
QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem a $4.5bn order in October 2022 to build and install gas compression facilities. The main scope of work on the package, which is known as EPCI 2, covers two large gas compression complexes that will comprise decks, jackets, topsides, interconnecting bridges, flare platforms, living quarters and interface modules.
The gas compression complexes – CP65 and CP75 – will weigh 62,000 tonnes and 63,000 tonnes, respectively, and will be the largest fixed steel jacket compression platforms ever built.
Following that, Saipem won combined packages COMP3A and COMP3B of the NFPS project’s second phase in September last year.
The scope of work on the combined packages encompasses the EPCI of a total of six platforms, approximately 100 kilometres (km) of corrosion resistance alloy rigid subsea pipelines of 28-inches and 24-inches diameter, 100km of subsea composite cables, 150km of fibre optic cables and several other subsea units.
Separately, QatarEnergy LNG awarded McDermott the contract for the NFPS second phase package known as EPCI 1, or COMP1, in July 2023. The scope of work on the estimated $1bn-plus contract is to install a subsea gas pipeline network at the North Field gas development.
In March this year, India’s Larsen & Toubro Energy Hydrocarbon (LTEH) won the main contract for the combined 4A and 4B package, which is the fourth package of the second phase of the NFPS project and is estimated to be valued at $4bn-$5bn.
The main scope of work on the package is the EPCI of two large gas compression systems that will be known as CP8S and CP4N, each weighing 25,000-35,000 tonnes. The contract scope also includes compression platforms, flare gas platforms and other associated structures.
LTHE sub-contracted detailed engineering and design works on the combined 4A and 4B package to French contractor Technip Energies.
NFPS first phase
Saipem is also executing the EPCI works on the entire first phase of the NFPS project, which consists of two main packages.
Through the first phase of the NFPS scheme, QatarEnergy LNG aims to increase the early gas field production capacity of the North Field offshore development to 110 million tonnes a year.
QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem the contract for the EPCI package in February 2021. The package is the larger of the two NFPS phase one packages and has a value of $1.7bn.
Saipem’s scope of work on the EPCI package encompasses building several offshore facilities for extracting and transporting natural gas, including platforms, supporting and connecting structures, subsea cables and anti-corrosion internally clad pipelines.
The scope of work also includes decommissioning a pipeline and other significant modifications to existing offshore facilities.
In addition, in April 2021, QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem two options for additional work within the EPCI package, worth about $350m.
QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem the second package of the NFPS phase one project, estimated to be worth $1bn, in March 2021.
Saipem’s scope of work on the package, which is known as EPCL, mainly covers installing three offshore export trunklines running almost 300km from their respective offshore platforms to the QatarEnergy LNG north and south plants located in Ras Laffan Industrial City.
Saipem performed the front-end engineering and design work on the main production package of the first phase of the NFPS as part of a $20m contract that it was awarded in January 2019. This provided a competitive advantage to the Italian contractor in its bid to win the package.
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