meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

UAE food producers struggle with global challenges

29 November 2022

Local food and beverage (F&B) producers in the UAE say the sector is being severely constrained by rising input costs and unprecedented challenges caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The impact of the war, which began in February this year, has reverberated across the globe, creating uncertainty and insecurity in global food supply chains. 

The food industry is among the vital focus industrial sectors of the UAE’s Ministry of Industry & Advanced Technology’s (MoIAT) Operation 300bn plan, not only to enhance its contribution to GDP but also to support long-term food security and self-sufficiency by facilitating local production.

Food security strategy

For industry stakeholders gathered at the MEED-Mashreq Manufacturing Business Leaders Forum, the Covid-19 crisis and conflict in Ukraine have only further underlined the importance of pursuing a food security strategy.

“The UAE F&B industry has more than 550 manufacturing units and employs more than 80,000 workers with a value of production of over AED35bn and exports of more than AED15bn,” said Ahmed Bayoumi, CEO of Global Food Industries (GFI) and board member of the UAE Food & Beverage Manufacturers Group.

“The Ministry of Climate Change and the Ministry of Industry are jointly spearheading efforts to increase the domestic supply of food products and to make the UAE one of the most food-secure countries in the world,” explained Bayoumi. 

“The two strategies, food security and Operation 300bn, both have many programmes to support the industry. We also really appreciate the new free trade agreements and the building of new trade routes with India, Indonesia and Israel.”

Import dependence

The UAE and other Gulf nations – considered food-secure due to their economic and political stability – have not faced food shortages since the pandemic outbreak. But food security and limiting vulnerability to import disruptions remains a key strategic long-term goal for the UAE government, as it lacks control over its sources.

GCC countries, including the UAE, typically import nearly 85 per cent of their food.

Compounding the situation is the harsh climate, with the expansion of local food production limited due to the scarcity of natural resources such as water and arable land.

According to the World Resources Institute, the Middle East and North Africa is the most water-stressed region globally, with the World Bank forecasting that the region will experience the highest economic losses from climate-related water scarcity compared with other global regions, at about six to 14 per cent of their GDP by 2050.

Conflict stress

Closed-off access to the lower-priced Black Sea grain since the outbreak of the war has induced commodity shortages and exacerbated inflationary pressures for purchasers already struggling with still fragile pandemic-disrupted supply chains, high import costs and spikes in energy costs.

“Because of the Ukraine war, sunflower oil and flour prices are up by almost 60 per cent,” a local food manufacturer said during the forum.

“Additionally, the Indian government has banned wheat exports from India. This has created an increase in commodity prices in the local market. It directly impacts me because almost all my products use wheat. Wheat flour is 60 per cent of my raw material.” 

The challenge, he said, is further compounded because commodity suppliers have been demanding advance payments as they capitalise on the shortages. 

But in the credit-driven UAE market, manufacturers are still bound by 90 to 120-day payment cycles.

“At the same time, I am restricted from increasing my prices,” the manufacturer said. “It is not healthy for the industry. There must be some intervention from the ministry to address this.”

Almost 99 per cent of food products in the UAE are no longer regulated in terms of pricing. This is due to the dialogue between the Ministry of Economy and the industry – credit where credit is due

Ahmed Bayoumi, Global Food Industries

Countering inflation

Inflation has risen to historic levels in many markets worldwide, significantly impacting consumers and businesses. 

In the UAE, the IMF forecasted that inflation will be at 5.2 per cent this year.

One local manufacturer at the forum said businesses have “no other way” to protect their finances and margins than to raise the prices of their goods.

“The government does not like to disturb consumers with price increases, but this is a very big challenge for manufacturers,” he said. “If manufacturers don’t increase prices, they will lose money.”

A 2022 Grant Thornton survey of 5,000 mid-market businesses across 28 countries, including the UAE, revealed that 87 per cent of businesses in the UAE have opted to pass the cost of surging inflation to consumers in a bid to protect their margins by increasing their prices, “at the same level or above our cost increases”.

According to the study, businesses have seen increases of 18 per cent in their energy and utility bills, 17 per cent in raw materials costs and 14 per cent in salaries or staff compensation. Businesses also saw a 16 per cent increase in outgoings related to equipment, as well as bank, interest and taxes.

The UAE government typically caps prices of staple food items to keep inflation in check and ensure shopping remains affordable for families. In April 2022, however, the Ministry of Economy said it was monitoring 300 frequently bought essential food items to identify products whose prices could be raised in line with rising import costs, subject to approvals.

“Almost 99 per cent of food products in the UAE are no longer regulated in terms of pricing,” said GFI’s Bayoumi. “This is due to the dialogue between the Ministry of Economy and the industry – credit where credit is due.

“There are only some basic staples that are regulated, and this was a major breakthrough after almost 20 years of everything being regulated.”

Achieving self-sufficiency

The long-term vision of the UAE’s food security strategy is to achieve self-sufficiency, creating an optimum balance between domestic production and securing food production channels overseas.

Ongoing challenges, however, are impacting the speed with which this vision can be achieved. 

“Producers who perhaps enjoy more subsidies or, due to currency fluctuations, can access the UAE market at low cost. This tends to come at the cost of demand for local manufacturers,” said Bayoumi.

The strong dollar, meanwhile, has been a “double-edged sword”.

“On the one side, it helps you with your imports from everywhere in the world. So, imports are cheaper in terms of raw materials or equipment. But, on the other hand, in terms of exports, nations using the Euro, for example, are screaming that they can’t buy our product anymore because they have appreciated by 20 per cent.”

“I think the UAE has to think to have some kind of ownership of lands abroad,” a manufacturer at the forum said. “This might open a big door for the UAE. That will secure our raw materials in terms of availability and prices.”

The UAE is already taking steps in this area, with efforts spearheaded by its investment vehicles. 

In 2020, Abu Dhabi’s International Holdings Company (IHC) said it would invest over $225m to develop and cultivate over 100,000 acres of farmland in Sudan to help secure high-quality agricultural output. 

Earlier this year, Abu Dhabi holding company ADQ bought a majority stake in Cyprus-headquartered agriculture company Unifrutti. The firm produces, trades and distributes more than 100 varieties of fresh produce, and sells 560,000 tonnes of fresh fruit a year. It has 14,000 hectares of farms across four continents and customers in 50 countries.

ADQ previously acquired a 45 per cent stake in French firm Louis Dreyfus, and has stakes in local companies, including fresh produce and agri-tech group Silal; forage and agribusiness group Al-Dhahra Holding; and food and beverage group Agthia.

Equal opportunities

Bayoumi noted that overall, demand within the UAE is recovering “very strongly” after the pandemic.

“Especially with visitor numbers growing, we see market demand growing, and we anticipate that this growth will continue going forward,” he said. 

“But also, competition is intensifying. More players are seeing the Gulf as one of the most attractive markets globally over the next three to five years, more players are coming into the market, and more players are vying for a piece of the cake.”

Medium-sized enterprises are at a further disadvantage when compared to regional giants.

“One of the things being discussed and under study is how medium-sized enterprises can be provided with access to centres of excellence that would pool resources in areas such as research and technology, which an individual entity might not be able to afford otherwise. That would make them more competitive over the long term versus the big players,” he said.

“The concentration of retail power also needs to be addressed. In the past, there were thousands of places to sell your product and hardly pay anything. Now two or three major retailers have 50 to 60 per cent of the market. They impose demands and if you do not comply, you could end up delisted or chucked off shelves.”

By Megha Merani

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/10391937/main.gif
MEED Editorial

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Caution governs Jordanian bank lending

    12 June 2026

     

    In a region where geopolitical turbulence has amplified by an order of magnitude, Jordan is managing to stand out as a beacon of relative stability, with the Hashemite kingdom’s banking sector acting as a case in point.

    Lending has grown in recent years, with credit up by an average 4.9% between 2020 and 2025, according to the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) – a faster rate than average nominal GDP growth of 2.3% over the same period.

    The IMF took care to note an increase in credit to the private sector in its latest Article IV assessment of Jordan, standing at 80.1% of GDP at end-2024, compared to just 66.6% 10 years earlier.

    Banks in the kingdom ended 2025 in a liquid state, but caution remains the watchword for local lenders. The loan-to-deposit relationship bears that out. For that year, deposits ended up 7.1% to JD50bn ($70.5bn), while credit facilities were up just 3.7% to JD36.1bn ($50.9bn).

    Analysts see this as a case of Jordanian banks being prudent, given the tricky operating environment and limited lending opportunities, rather than banks being excessively defensive. 

    According to Christos Theofilou, an analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, it is cautious lending in fraught macroeconomic conditions.

    “On the one hand, we’ve seen a structurally strong and stable deposit base that has been growing more compared to lending. That indicates a certain degree of limited risk appetite, but also the fact that, given the challenging operating conditions, there were limited business opportunities in the market,” says Theofilou.

    Liquidity banked

    Jordan’s banks look able to withstand further shocks, given solid capital positions and relatively strong earnings performances. Arab Bank, the largest lender, saw net profits grow 12% last year to $1.13bn, despite a highly charged geopolitical situation across Jordan and the neighbouring Palestinian territories.

    As Moody’s notes, Jordanian banks’ funding base remains stable, with banks mainly deposit-funded – with deposits at 67% of total assets as of December 2025 – mostly comprising well-diversified retail deposits. The ratings agency noted that banks retain the capacity to increase lending without relying on more volatile and costly external funding, as indicated by the 72% loan-to-deposit ratio.

    The earnings outlook in Jordan may be better than other banking sectors in the immediate region, but this does not translate into a picture of booming profits going forward.

    “Profits should remain resilient, but we’re not expecting any significant improvement,” says Theofilou. “We have the challenging operating conditions, and the lower interest rates that have come down over the past few years. On the other hand, banks have had lower provisioning in the past 12 to 18 months compared to the period prior to that.”

    Asset quality remains a strong point, despite some weakening over recent years. Moody’s sees non-performing loans (NPLs) falling below 5.5% this year from 5.8% in June 2025.

    However, the continuing Iran conflict and its deleterious regional impacts – including on the West Bank, where about 9% of Jordanian banks’ loans are located – suggest that bank exposures to troubled sectors will require focus.

    Concentration bites

    Another challenge is the banks’ high credit concentration among large corporates, with a noted high exposure to real estate.

    Commercial and residential real estate loans accounted for 17.4% of total credit facilities as of year-end 2024, while residential mortgages accounted for 40.9% of household credit. Regulatory oversight may limit the impacts – the CBJ caps loans for real estate at 20% of local currency customer deposits.

    The real estate exposures are meaningful, but Moody’s views overall concentration risk as more material rather than real estate risk per se.

    “So, on the one hand, Jordanian banks have real estate loans, both commercial and residential, slightly below a fifth of the total credit facilities,” says Theofilou. “Banks also face challenges in quickly disposing of properties, but within the context of a relatively lengthy foreclosure process. On the flipside, we see Jordanian banks having fairly high collateralisation, so they do hold a lot of collateral against the real estate exposures.”

    The CBJ has earned plaudits for its regulatory oversight, with the IMF lauding its strengthening of the Financial Stability Committee, while refocusing its role on macroprudential policies and systemic risks. 

    Jordanian banks’ brisk uptake of digital technologies has also been a positive.

    Last year, digital payment systems in Jordan recorded over 184 million digital transactions, exceeding $38bn in value. The CBJ has introduced an AI regulatory framework for the sector and the authorities are now working to burnish the country’s credentials as a fintech hub, based on a 90% plus internet penetration. 

    In the year ahead, Jordanian banks will be looking to find exposures to new lending opportunities, given the past risk aversion that has prevented them from building stronger growth avenues.

    Projects beckon

    Big new infrastructure projects could yet come to the fore as bankable opportunities for local players. For example, the National Water Carrier Project, costed at $5.8bn and aiming to increase water supply by 40%, is looking to achieve financial close this summer. It is the type of project that could prove significant in helping diversify local lenders’ exposure away from real estate towards infrastructure.

    “If we see a lot of these infrastructure projects requiring financing coming to the market, then we could see a bit of a pickup in lending growth as well,” says Theofilou.

    New lending opportunities will come from large corporates and infrastructure-related lending. Those will play the key role in any significant pickup in credit growth, says the Moody’s analyst, in contrast to the small- and medium-enterprise (SME) sector, which poses a different challenge for banks.

    “The SME segment does represent a potential growth opportunity and it’s supported by policy focus, however its expansion is constrained by the operating environment. The sector is exposed to high overall credit risks, and when conditions are challenging, banks tend to be more cautious in lending to the SME markets,” says Theofilou.

    So long as the regional conflict persists, banks will be inclined more towards caution than exuberance in their lending approaches. And yet that strong and stable inclination may be what serves them best in a notably turbulent year in the Middle East’s recent history.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17204176/main.gif
    James Gavin
  • Oman tenders environmental survey consultancy contract

    12 June 2026

    Nama Power & Water Procurement Company (Nama PWP) has issued a tender seeking consultancy firms to provide environmental and seawater quality surveys under an ad hoc services contract.

    The selected consultants will be appointed for a four-year period and engaged on an as-needed basis to undertake environmental survey work.

    According to the tender notice, the scope of work includes environmental surveys, vertical profiling of seawater quality, seawater sampling and testing, environmental and social baseline studies, and bird and bat surveys.

    Bids are due by 1 July.

    Environmental and seawater studies are typically undertaken during the early development stages of power generation, desalination and other water infrastructure projects.

    Oman’s project pipeline includes a series of large-scale independent power projects (IPPs) scheduled for delivery between 2027 and 2031, according to the seven-year plan released by Nama PWP in March.

    Earlier in June, Nama PWP issued a supervisory consultancy tender for the 280MW Marsa solar IPP project in North Al-Batinah Governorate.

    The project is scheduled to enter commercial operation in the first quarter of 2028.

    The company is seeking project management and supervisory consultancy services during the construction, commissioning and testing phases of the project.

    The bid submission deadline is 26 July.

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17209109/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Emirates to offer passengers insurance amid travel warnings

    12 June 2026

    Dubai-based airline Emirates is to offer its own insurance product to passengers flying to or through Dubai, as it seeks to reassure travellers deterred by government advisories against travel to the region.

    The airline’s president, Tim Clark, confirmed the move in an interview with the London-based Financial Times. He said Emirates was working with insurance companies to introduce a “reasonably priced” product that would guarantee passengers could get home regardless of whether they returned on Emirates or another carrier.

    The move is designed to address concerns that travellers could become stranded if the conflict were to restart. More than three months after fighting began, several countries continue to maintain no-fly recommendations covering Gulf routes, leaving passengers unable to obtain conventional insurance for trips to or through the region.

    “I think one of the big concerns is that if they get caught overseas and they can’t get back,” Clark said. The group was working with insurance companies “to do the right thing”, he added.

    Emirates has played a leading role in supporting Dubai’s tourism sector since Iran began targeting the UAE with missiles and drones on 28 February.

    In early June, the Department of Economy and Tourism told stakeholders attending its bi-annual City Briefing that the emirate worked closely with airports and aviation partners, including Emirates and FlyDubai, to ensure continued connectivity for travellers.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17206867/main.jpg
  • Conflict to push global growth to post-pandemic low

    12 June 2026

    The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to drag global economic growth to its lowest level since the Covid-19 pandemic, with Gulf states bearing the heaviest burden of any region, the World Bank Group has warned in its latest Global Economic Prospects report.

    Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.5% in 2026, down from 2.9% in 2025, with forecasts downgraded for two-thirds of economies. Economies in the Gulf directly affected by the conflict are expected to see growth collapse from 3.9% in 2025 to nearly zero this year, marking the steepest regional decline.

    The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has severely disrupted energy markets, with Brent crude prices projected to average $94 a barrel in 2026, 36% above 2025 levels, assuming the worst disruptions ease by July. Fertiliser price increases are compounding the pressure, feeding through to food prices and pushing global inflation to an expected 4.0% this year, up from 3.3% in 2025.

    The World Bank says downside risks remain substantial. Should energy supply disruptions prove more severe than currently assumed and be accompanied by significant financial stress, global growth could fall as low as 1.3% in 2026, with inflation climbing to 4.4%.

    The World Bank is making up to $50bn-$60bn immediately available through existing instruments, including $25bn in pre-arranged financing, to support affected countries through social safety nets, fiscal capacity and working capital for businesses. More than 30 countries are actively working with the bank to enhance readiness under the response plan. If the conflict and its economic fallout persist, support could be scaled to $80bn-$100bn over 15 months.

    Despite the severity of the near-term shock, the bank projects a significant Gulf rebound, with growth recovering to around 5% in 2027-28 as trade normalises and reconstruction spending begins.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17204153/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Emaar announces $55bn Dubai project

    12 June 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Mohammed Alabbar, the founder of Emaar Properties, has released a statement saying that the Dubai-based real estate developer is about to announce a $55bn project in Dubai.

    On his social media channels including Instagram and X, he said: “Emaar is preparing to unveil its most ambitious project yet: a development worth AED200bn (around $55bn), commanding an extraordinary vista that brings together, in a single frame, three of the city’s timeless icons – Burj Khalifa, Burj Al-Arab and Palm Jumeirah – complete with the finest essentials of modern living, in the city of Dubai.”

    Emaar has delivered some of the world’s most ambitious real estate projects, including the world’s tallest tower, the 828-metre-tall Burj Khalifa, and the surrounding Downtown Dubai development.

    Commenting on the new project, Alabbar added: “This is no ordinary new development. It is a landmark that takes its place in the legacy of the United Arab Emirates, writing a new chapter in the story of a nation that knows no limits to its ambition.”

    In a statement on the Dubai Financial Market on 11 June, Emaar Properties said it “stands on the threshold of a historic announcement” and revealed more details about the project. It said it will have a total development value of AED200bn, with a gross floor area exceeding 4.5 million square metres.

    It added that it will include a mix of landmark residential towers, signature villas and mansions, Grade-A commercial offices, world-class retail destinations, luxury hospitality, and civic and cultural amenities. Altogether, the development will accommodate a projected population of nearly 150,000 residents. The statement also said the development will be connected to proposed metro lines.

    The exact location of the development was not revealed. Emaar has announced major projects in the past without giving precise locations. In June 2023, it announced the $20bn Oasis project. At the time, the details on the site’s location indicated it was situated in a prime location in Dubai, surrounded by high-end developments and within proximity to four international golf courses. It was later confirmed that the site sits between Damac Properties’ Lagoons development and Dubai Investment Park.   

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17203921/main5547.gif
    Colin Foreman