meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

UAE economy defends gains

25 October 2024

Analysis
John Bambridge
Analysis editor

The UAE economy seems set to maintain its positive heading as the already upbeat forecasts for growth in 2024 and 2025 turn rosier at the prospect of increased output in the hydrocarbons sector amid the anticipated rollback of Opec-led restrictions on oil production.

The Central Bank of the UAE now expects a real GDP growth rate of 4% in 2024, while growth in 2025 is projected to rise as high as 6% if national oil producers are allowed to ramp up their output as expected.

This buoyant forecast is due both to the extremely positive outlook for the oil sector, which is expected to expand by 7.7% in 2025 and far exceed its 0.7% rise in 2024, and the constant support of the UAE’s highly robust non-oil sector.

Pursuant to maintaining this momentum, the UAE is investing heavily both domestically and abroad in sectors that might build on its existing industry or expand into emerging high-growth sectors.

A prominent example of the former is Adnoc International’s $16bn acquisition bid for German plastics group Covestro, which represents a major push into the value chain downstream from the UAE’s oil and gas sector. More broadly, the UAE is investing diversely and buying up stakes in heavy industry, renewables, finance and retail – wherever it espies long-term non-oil value. 

Locally, consolidation is key, with banks and real estate developers engaging in mergers to restructure local assets into more streamlined profits vehicles. Growth continues apace in the UAE’s financial sector as fund managers use the emirates as a springboard to launch into project finance and investment opportunities across the region.

At the same time, the UAE aims to place itself at the cutting edge of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom as investors and entrepreneurs vie for market share in the emerging ecosystem for AI-powered tools capable of leveraging existing systems to generate new value across the global economy. There are already more than 400 AI companies in Abu Dhabi and the capital’s state-owned firms are busy forging strategic alliances with global technology giants such as Microsoft, which is actively growing its UAE footprint.

The UAE is also weighing in with its political clout to advance its AI agenda. Easing restrictions on AI chips export from the US to the Middle East was a central theme when UAE President Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan travelled to Washington in September.

Amid worrying signs in many of the dominant global markets, including China, the EU and the US, the UAE is demonstrating comparatively few signs of underlying weakness. On the contrary, the UAE economy currently appears to be thrumming along like a particularly well-oiled dynamo.

 

This month's special report on the UAE includes: 

> GOVERNMENT: UAE ups growth forecasts and targets AI opportunities
> BANKING: UAE banks reap the harvest
> UPSTREAM: Adnoc’s upstream goals drive spending spree
> DOWNSTREAM: Adnoc curates vast downstream portfolio
> POWER: UAE utilities ramp up capacity procurement
> WATER: UAE PPP activity rises
> CONSTRUCTION: UAE construction consolidates
> TRANSPORT: UAE infrastructure sector is on an upward trajectory

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12772665/main.gif
John Bambridge

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Construction advances on Riyadh King Salman airport

    19 May 2026

    King Salman International Airport (KSIA) is advancing airside infrastructure works under its long-term expansion programme in Riyadh, including the delivery of a third runway and new private aviation facilities.

    Construction activity on the central runway programme is progressing across several operational zones, with works covering excavation, grading, site preparation and taxiway-enabling infrastructure to support upcoming phases.

    The third runway is intended to increase airfield capacity and cater to the airport’s future operational requirements.

    In a separate development, KSIA has completed initial landside works for the private aviation apron, marking a milestone in the rollout of its executive aviation infrastructure.

    The completed scope includes pavement markings, waterproofing systems, firefighting infrastructure chambers and final operational inspections to support readiness for the next stages.

    KSIA has also secured General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) approval for phase one airside works, which includes the planned connection of Taxiway Alpha to the private aviation facilities, strengthening operational integration between executive aviation assets and airfield movement areas.

    The packages form part of the wider KSIA masterplan, which covers about 57 square kilometres and supports Saudi Arabia’s objective of positioning Riyadh as a global aviation and logistics hub.

    The airport aims to accommodate up to 100 million passengers by 2030.

    Saudi Arabia plans to invest $100bn in its aviation sector. The Saudi Aviation Strategy, announced by GACA, aims to triple annual passenger traffic to 330 million travellers by 2030. It also targets air cargo growth to 4.5 million tonnes and an increase in total air connections to more than 250 destinations.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16906496/main.jpeg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Aldar launches Al-Ghadeer Gardens project

    19 May 2026

    Abu Dhabi-based real estate developer Aldar Properties has launched the Al-Ghadeer Gardens project, located on the Abu Dhabi-Dubai border.

    The new residential development will feature 437 villas and townhouses, offering two-, three- and four-bedroom homes.

    Al-Ghadeer Gardens will include more than 30,000 square metres of landscaped open space, supporting a pedestrian-friendly layout and outdoor-focused living.

    As part of its sustainability and wellbeing approach, the project is targeting Estidama Pearl 2 and Fitwel 2-star certifications.

    Earlier this month, Aldar announced its Q1 financial results, reporting a 20% year-on-year increase in net profit after tax to AED2.3bn ($626m).

    Aldar Development recorded a 14% year-on-year rise in revenue to $1.7bn, while earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) increased 23% to $599m.

    UAE revenue backlog rose to $17bn at the end of March from $16.6bn at the end of December, with an average duration of 29 months.

    The group attributed its performance to revenue from its development backlog and steady income from its investment properties.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16906154/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Iraq trucks oil from the south to Kurdish pipeline

    19 May 2026

     

    Iraq is trucking crude from Basra to the north of the country to be exported via the Iraq-Turkiye Pipeline (ITP), according to industry sources.

    The oil is being loaded into trucks at fields in Basra before being driven to the north, where it is injected into the pipeline network at Khurmala Dome, in the northern section of the Kirkuk field.

    Once it has entered the network at Khurmala Dome, it is transported to the main ITP export pipeline and eventually to the port of Ceyhan in Turkiye, where it can be loaded onto ships.

    The volumes of crude being transported using trucks have surged in Iraq since the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February, starting a regional conflict that has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

    One source said: “Most of the crude that is being trucked out of Iraqi oil fields at the moment is going to Syria, but some is being trucked to the north where it is being funnelled through the pipeline.”

    Even with the additional volumes being trucked from the south, Iraq is struggling to boost exports using the ITP.

    At the end of March, Amer Khalil, the director-general of Iraq’s state-run North Oil Company, said that Iraq was exporting 200,000 barrels a day (b/d) through the ITP.

    At the time, he said that the pipeline, which runs from Kirkuk in Iraqi Kurdistan to the port of Ceyhan in Turkiye, was expected to start transporting 300,000 b/d “in the near future”.

    As of early May, the pipeline was still exporting about 200,000 b/d, despite having a nameplate capacity of 1.4 million b/d.

    One of the factors said to be stopping increased volumes from being shipped through the pipeline is that several key oil fields in northern Iraq evacuated staff and stopped production after the US and Israel started their war with Iran.

    Another factor is that Iraq has not invested in domestic pipeline infrastructure to pipe production from Basra to Kurdistan, where it could be exported via the Kurdish ITP route.

    READ THE MAY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the May 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16902345/main1824.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Kuwaiti oil services company secures credit facility

    19 May 2026

    The Kuwaiti drilling and oilfield services provider Action Energy Company (AEC) has secured a new credit facility and renewed and expanded an existing facility in order to support the company’s rig fleet expansion.

    The new facility and the expansion were obtained from two Kuwaiti banks and had a combined value of KD40.9m ($132.8m).

    In its statement, AEC said that the facilities support the financing and deployment of new rigs linked to contract awards previously announced with the state-owned upstream operator Kuwait Oil Company (KOC).

    The company added: “They further reinforce AEC’s financing structure and strengthen its ability to execute its contracted fleet expansion plan through 2026 and beyond, while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation.”

    The new credit facility was obtained from Kuwait International Bank (KIB).

    It is worth KD7.3m ($23.7m) and will finance two new 750-horsepower (HP) rigs.

    The renewal and expansion of the existing facility is worth KD33.6m ($109.1m) and was obtained from Commercial Bank of Kuwait (CBK) to finance four new 1,500 HP rigs and one 1,000 HP rig, in addition to the renewal of the existing facilities.

    AEC announced its financial and operational performance for the first quarter earlier this month.

    The company reported a net profit of KD2.2m ($7.1m).

    The company’s revenue grew by 69.2% year-on-year, primarily driven by the expansion of the operating rig fleet from 13 rigs in the first quarter of 2025 to 20 rigs in the first quarter of 2026, including the full-quarter contribution of 10 new rigs deployed during 2025.

    The company is benefitting from a substantial multi-year contracted backlog with KOC.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16902234/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Emirates awards $5bn engineering complex deal

    18 May 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Emirates Airline has awarded a AED19bn ($5bn) contract to build one of the world's largest engineering complexes in Dubai South.

    The contract was awarded to Beijing-headquartered China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC).

    CRCC is being supported by French firm Artelia, as the project consultant.

    The complex will cover over 1 million square metres (sq m).

    It will comprise 77,000 sq m of dedicated workshop space for maintenance and repairs, 380,000 sq m of storage and logistics capacity, a 50,000 sq m administrative building for Emirates Engineering and 15,000 sq m of training facilities.

    It will be the world's only complex with a capacity to service 28 wide-body aircraft simultaneously.

    The airline officially broke ground on the project on 18 May. 

    The groundbreaking ceremony was attended by Sheikh Ahmed Bin Saeed Al-Maktoum, chairman and CEO of Emirates Group; Tim Clark, president of Emirates Airline; Khalifa Al-Zaffin, executive chairman of Dubai Aviation City Corporation and Dubai South; and Dai Hegen, chairman of CRCC.

    The facility will enable large-scale retrofits, cabin redesigns and structural modifications to be performed in-house, thereby reducing turnaround times.

    The engineering complex is scheduled for completion in 2030 and will be located at Al-Maktoum International airport.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16895218/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal