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UAE construction strives to decarbonise

29 June 2023

There are several reasons for the UAE construction sector to decarbonise. The most compelling stand in stark contrast to each other. On one hand, the industry is a significant contributor to the national economy. On the other, it is one of the biggest contributors to global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

This discrepancy makes it inevitable that the industry will have to adopt more sustainable practices.

“Can UAE construction truly achieve decarbonisation? Yes, in the long term,” says Craig Thackray, vice president – environment MEA at US-based consultancy Aecom.

“Today, it is more a matter of when this would be realistically achievable.”

A report by the Arab Monetary Fund in 2022 highlights that the construction sector contributed almost $39bn to the UAE’s GDP in 2021, accounting for 9 per cent of the nation’s $402.9bn GDP that year.

The sector is also linked to every other major sector in the UAE: it is the starting point for industries through the construction of physical environments and supporting infrastructure.

In the UAE, construction is synonymous with innovation and growth, enabling world-class projects such as the Burj Khalifa, Palm Jumeirah, Louvre Abu Dhabi and Dubai Metro.

As the country’s real estate sector enjoys demand growth, its construction players reap the benefits. Recent months have seen project announcements including Al-Habtoor Group’s estimated AED9.5bn ($2.6bn) residential developments, the AED1.2bn Upper House project by Dubai Multi Commodities Centre in partnership with Ellington Properties and the $5.4bn mixed-use Dubai South project announced by Azizi Developments. All of these represent major opportunities for contractors and their suppliers.

Environmental impact

Against all its positive contributions, however, weighs the construction industry’s negative impact on the environment.

The built environment is responsible for almost 40 per cent of global carbon emissions annually. This includes both operational carbon, which is emitted during daily use, and embodied carbon from the building materials themselves.

The World Bank estimates that about 70 per cent of global GHG emissions come from infrastructure construction and operations such as power plants, buildings and transport.

A report from the Global Alliance for Buildings & Construction during the 27th UN Climate Change conference (Cop 27) in 2022 highlights that, despite increasing investment in boosting energy efficiency and lowering energy intensity, the building and construction sector’s energy consumption and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions have rebounded since the Covid-19 pandemic.

With rising real estate demand there comes increasing pressure from sustainability-focused investors. Property consultancy JLL notes that 63 per cent of leading real estate investors strongly agree that “green strategies can drive higher occupancy, higher rents, higher tenant retention and overall higher value”. This means that investors are actively seeking more sustainable ventures.

In a bid to stay ahead of the curve, over the past decade the UAE has introduced regulations and standards to incentivise sustainable development. These include Dubai’s green building rating system (Al-Sa’fat) and the Dubai building code, which integrates some sustainability principles; Abu Dhabi’s Pearl rating system (Estidama); and Ras al-Khaimah’s green building regulations (Barjeel) and green public procurement guidelines. More are expected to follow.

“Sustainability is on the strategic agenda in the UAE construction sector,” says Tamara Bajic, associate director – strategy and advisory at engineering consultancy AESG.

“Driven by operational expenditure reduction and green financing schemes, and supported by the UAE’s Net-Zero by 2050 pathway, a growing number of businesses are demonstrating their commitment to decarbonisation.”

Bajic says that developers are driving decarbonisation by investing in low-carbon construction materials and building envelopes; designing for solar energy utilisation; thinking upfront about operational emissions; and planning energy-efficient mechanical, electrical and plumbing systems.

Challenges arise during the implementation process, however, as well as in aligning project requirements with a contractor or supplier’s “decarbonisation maturity”, says Bajic.

At present, in the UAE market there is a lack of visibility into the sustainability processes of suppliers, and limited availability of low-carbon materials and technological solutions. “In most cases, developers cannot directly control emissions from construction activities as they are dependent on outsourced construction contractors,” adds Bajic.

Procurement teams can play a role in spotting the data blind spots and building sustainable procurement systems. “This will be key to influencing the contractors’ business models to take into account product life cycle emissions and activities performed on the construction site, and to implementing carbon-reduction initiatives,” she says.

However, reluctance remains when it comes to overhauling entrenched industry practices, notes Aecom’s Thackray.

“Change within the construction industry is a challenge as the magnitude required is significant and the proposed implementation time is limited,” he says.

Financial barriers also limit the implementation of decarbonisation measures, but this is slowly changing in light of recent commitments made by financial institutions and large clients in the UAE. First Abu Dhabi Bank has committed to lending, investing, and facilitating $75bn in sustainable finance by 2030, while Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank plans to provide AED35bn in green finance by 2030. Meanwhile, Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) is supporting decarbonisation by allocating $15bn for projects focused on clean power, carbon capture and storage and energy efficiency.

“Carbon-reduction initiatives are not necessarily costly if we are looking at the long-term goals,” says Bajic. “In most cases, the carbon reductions have a highly positive impact on the operational expenses, and offer fast returns.”

Working together

As changes are introduced in the industry, and the shift towards the use of sustainable building materials and cleaner fuels picks up pace, it is important to take into account the current footprint of new and existing developments, says Bajic.

“Clients and consultants can then identify initiatives that support decarbonisation and prioritise them by conducting a cost/benefit analysis to understand what is achievable within the company’s absorption capacity.

“This needs to be followed up with clear minimum sustainability requirements for new projects, as well as with incentives to support the scale-up of new technologies and access to renewable energy infrastructure.”

Thackray says that governments and clients can facilitate change through incentivisation schemes to provide tangible benefits to contractors.

“There needs to be a combination of incentives – this includes financiers and organisations establishing contract provisions to drive sustainable practices,” he says.

“Government regulation would be the most effective incentive, however, as failure to comply would have significant consequences. Legislative requirements can thus drive meaningful change to meet sustainability targets.”

Ultimately, the construction industry must take a whole life cycle approach to its projects, from design and procurement through to construction, operations and end-of-life.

“The opportunities lie in the multi-level approach and collaboration for decarbonisation,” says Bajic.

“Once the decarbonisation initiatives are drafted across the value-chain, the involved players must identify areas of collaboration and co-create the delivery of sustainable projects together with designers, architects, suppliers, contractors, and also governments and financial institutions.”

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Mehak Srivastava

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    Kuwait has not been alone. After the conflict erupted on 28 February, Iranian strikes targeted some of the region’s most important aviation infrastructure. Dubai International airport, Zayed International airport in Abu Dhabi and Hamad International airport in Doha have all been hit. The attacks caused unprecedented disruption: between 28 February and 5 March alone, more than 15,000 flights were cancelled across seven major regional airports, affecting over 1.5 million passengers. 

    Although the Gulf’s national carriers have resumed services, many international airlines have yet to return.

    Aviation is crucial for the region. The sector is one of the most important drivers of economic growth across the GCC. In Dubai, it contributed an estimated AED137bn ($37bn), or 27% of GDP, in 2024 and supported 631,000 jobs. Those figures are expected to rise to AED196bn and 816,000 jobs by 2030. In Saudi Arabia, Vision 2030 targets 330 million annual passengers, connectivity to more than 250 destinations and air freight capacity of 4.5 million tonnes a year. The sector’s economic contribution is targeted to reach $74.6bn by 2030, up from $21.3bn.

    Sector deteriorating

    The financial community has been quick to update its assessment of the sector’s prospects. Fitch Ratings revised its global airport sector outlook from ‘neutral’ to ‘deteriorating’ in early June. The agency said the conflict has increased uncertainty over regional airspace availability, airline operations and travel demand, with implications for route stability and traffic quality.

    Fitch’s assessment is a warning sign for the Gulf. The region’s major airports have built their business models on international connectivity, long-haul flying and transfer traffic – precisely the categories Fitch identifies as most exposed to rerouting risk and weaker visibility on demand. Gulf hub operators also face the prospect of further airspace restrictions affecting routes linking Asia, Europe and Africa.

    The knock-on effects extend beyond airline revenues. Transfer passengers are also the highest-spending travellers in duty-free, retail and food and beverage outlets. Fitch noted that some Asia-Pacific airports have already begun benefiting from the redistribution of transit and long-haul traffic away from disrupted Gulf hubs.

    The global body representing airlines, the International Air Transport Association (Iata), was equally downbeat when it released its latest financial outlook on 8 June. The organisation now expects the global airline industry to achieve a combined net profit of $23bn in 2026 – roughly half the $41bn previously projected and about half the $45bn estimated for 2025. The net profit margin is forecast at 2%, compared with the earlier projection of 3.9% and last year’s 4.2%. Net profit per passenger is expected to be $4.50, down from $9.10 in 2025.

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    Fuel costs are a key part of the problem. Jet fuel prices are expected to average $152 a barrel for the year – an increase of almost 70% on the $90-a-barrel average recorded in 2025. The crack spread, or the premium for jet fuel over Brent crude oil, is expected to average $57 a barrel, an historic high. Total fuel costs for the global airline industry are forecast to rise by nearly 40% from $252bn in 2025 to $350bn in 2026. This is based on an expected average Brent crude oil price of $95 a barrel for the year, up 37% from $69 in 2025. Overall, industry operating expenses are expected to grow by 13% to $1.117tn, outpacing total revenue growth of 9.4% to $1.165tn.

    Fitch also raised concerns about the availability of jet fuel in Europe, noting potential disruption to Middle Eastern supply chains. While the agency expects European fuel reserves to cover the summer months even if the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, it cautioned that winter operations could prove more challenging if the disruption persists. Higher airfares and fuel surcharges could further weigh on near-term demand – a headwind for Gulf airports that have benefited in recent years from the restoration of long-haul leisure travel following the Covid-19 pandemic.

    The insurance market adds another layer of complexity. Aviation policies typically grant insurers the right to cancel cover during active conflict, and the terms on which cover is being extended in a region that has seen airports repeatedly targeted are likely to be materially more expensive than before.

    Jet fuel prices are expected to average $152 a barrel for the year – an increase of almost 70% on the $90-a-barrel average recorded in 2025

    Carrier optimism

    The Gulf’s airlines are more optimistic about the future. Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways said in early June that it is operating at 90% of its pre-war available seat kilometres – the key industry capacity metric – and that by 15 June the airline will surpass 100%. Planes are 84% full, and crucially, fares are back at pre-war levels. Officials at the airline say that demand for transit through Abu Dhabi from Paris to Asia is running so strongly that the airline is laying on two of its A380 aircraft a day on that corridor from July. 

    While the expectation in the industry outside the Gulf had been that carriers such as Etihad and Emirates would need to discount heavily to entice passengers back after the ceasefire, Etihad has said that it does not expect prices to come down.

    The airline will not be entirely unscathed. Etihad had been on course to deliver a 10% operating margin in 2026, up from 8% in 2025, but that target will now be missed. The airline was badly hit in March, April and May and will not be fully back on track until August.

    Dubai’s Emirates Group released its 2025-26 annual results in May, which confirmed the airline’s status as the world’s most profitable carrier for the reporting year. The group posted a record profit before tax of AED24.4bn ($6.6bn), up 7% year-on-year, on revenues of AED150.5bn, also a record. 

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    The context is important: the results cover the financial year to 31 March 2026, meaning only the final month of March was affected by the conflict. For the first 11 months, the group was surpassing its targets every month. March then brought what Emirates’ chairman and chief executive Sheikh Ahmed Bin Saeed Al-Maktoum described as an “unprecedented situation”. Emirates was flying just 58% of its capacity by 31 March.

    Despite the disruption, the results illustrate the depth of the financial cushion the group has built. Emirates also announced a 20-week salary bonus for employees – far exceeding the 13-week payout that had been linked to performance targets. For the year ahead, Sheikh Ahmed said Emirates would continue taking aircraft deliveries and pressing ahead with its retrofit programme, without resorting to “knee-jerk cost control measures”. The group has hedged its fuel exposure through to 2028-29. “Our fundamentals are strong,” he said.

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    Much remains uncertain. A ceasefire is in place and, as Sheikh Ahmed noted in the Emirates annual report, there are hopes for “a clear resolution to the hostilities soon, and a return to market stability”. But the drone attack on Kuwait shows that the threat from Iran to the region’s aviation infrastructure has not been neutralised. The coming months will be crucial in determining the long-term trajectory of Gulf aviation. 

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    • Flex: includes seat selection, ticket changes and refunds

    Etihad Rail said introductory fares are designed to encourage early uptake and will be available for a limited period, with pricing expected to transition “towards a more advanced fare structure and, ultimately, a broader fare framework” as the service matures.

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    Etihad Rail said the onboard experience is designed around “comfort and time well spent”, enabling passengers to work, relax or switch off in a “calm and spacious environment” with guaranteed seating, Wi‑Fi and charging points.

    Etihad Rail’s network currently supports freight operations across 11 terminals and four major ports, underpinning supply chain efficiency, emissions reduction and national connectivity.

    The company also pointed to the broader economic value of the UAE Railway Programme, stating that it creates opportunities worth AED200bn, while passenger rail is expected to generate around AED91bn in economic and social benefits over the next 50 years, driven by faster, safer and more efficient travel.

    Etihad Rail also differentiated the new passenger service from the UAE’s future high-speed rail plans, saying passenger rail is intended to connect more communities across the country with an affordable and comfortable service, while high-speed rail is being designed for “very fast journeys between central points of our major cities”, describing the two as “different products and services designed for different types of journeys”.

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