meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

UAE banks enjoy the good times

13 October 2023

MEED's November 2023 special report on the UAE also includes: 

> UAE construction sector returns to form
> Hail and Ghasha galvanises UAE upstream market
> UAE closes ranks ahead of Cop28
> UAE ramps up decarbonisation of water sector
> UAE aviation returns to growth

 

Talk to any Gulf banking analyst and the message is unanimous: UAE banks are doing very well, and there are few clouds dampening the outlook heading into 2024.

Nearly all UAE banks have reported strong growth in operating profit on the back of higher interest rates, wider margins, good loan growth and higher fees and commissions.

“Good GDP growth and improved business confidence have also contributed to an overall sense of wellbeing,” says Karti Inamdar, senior credit analyst at CI Ratings.

Fat profits reflect the robust environment for UAE banks. The big four UAE lenders – First Abu Dhabi Bank (Fab), Emirates NBD, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank and Dubai Islamic Bank, which account for more than three-quarters of system assets – reported a combined net profit of $7.4bn in the first six months of 2023, up from $4.4bn for the same period of 2022.

“Bottom line profit is growing significantly for the four largest UAE banks, and that is a reflection of operating income growth, driven both by interest and non-interest income,” says Francesca Paolino, lead analyst at Moody’s Investors Service.

“That, in turn, has resulted from greater consumer confidence as macroeconomic conditions in the UAE remain strong.”

Region-beating returns

UAE banks topped the GCC region in the second quarter of this year in terms of return on equity, at 15.9 per cent – against a GCC-wide trend of 13 per cent. Net interest margins (NIMs) in the quarter were 3.44 per cent, compared with 2.44 per cent in the year-earlier period.

“Higher interest rates have helped banks in NIM expansion, as more than 60 per cent of banking sector deposits are still low or non-interest bearing,” says Puneet Tuli, financial institutions rating analyst at S&P Global Ratings.

Meanwhile, the cost of risk is reducing thanks to the more benign economic environment and stronger non-oil activity, which has also led to higher lending growth compared with S&P’s original expectations.

According to Fitch Ratings, UAE banks have been well-positioned for higher interest rates and, since 2021, their earning assets yields have risen more than their funding costs due to a still-high share of cheap current and savings accounts (Casa), and a large percentage of floating lending on their loan books. 

Higher interest rates and increased business volumes drove net interest income up 37 per cent in the first half of 2023, Moody’s Investors Service notes in relation to the four largest lenders. Again, interest income growth outweighed funding cost growth, as low-cost Casa accounts remained a big contributor to the banks’ funding.

The higher operating income reflects a combination of interest and non-interest income, supported by greater consumer confidence. Strong activity in non-oil sectors in the UAE, such as trade, tourism and real estate, is a pointer to this effect.

“A driver for UAE banks’ increased non-interest income is their foreign exchange and derivative income. They are also reporting higher fee-generating activity from both retail and investment banking,” says Paolino.

As of June 2023, non-interest income constitutes around one-third of the total operating income at the larger UAE banks. This reflects the large banks seeking to diversify their revenue streams while growing locally and internationally.

Robust fundamentals

Liquidity and capital positions are unsurprisingly robust, providing a layer of insulation should conditions for UAE lenders deteriorate.

The big four UAE banks maintained strong capital buffers with a tangible common equity ratio of 15.1 per cent in aggregate as of June 2023. Strong earnings contributed to higher core capital buffers, more than offsetting risk-weighted assets growth.

UAE lenders’ liquidity has been strong for several years now, given that deposit growth in the country is dependent on energy prices, which have been favourable.

“In the UAE, deposits are not difficult to find, especially if you are willing to pay a price, so it’s the cost of deposits that needs to be managed,” says Inamdar.

“There’s usually plenty of funding available in the financial system when oil prices are high.”

The main issue on the funding side is high customer concentration levels – a side-effect of the UAE’s large number of high-net-worth individuals and wealthy institutions.  

Asset quality has nonetheless improved in the UAE. New non-performing loan (NPL) classifications have declined and loan recoveries have been good, partly due to the improvement in the real estate sector, says Inamdar.

According to Moody’s, the overall NPL ratio declined to about 5 per cent as of the first half of 2023, from 5.4 per cent a year earlier, reflecting the recovering operating environment in the country. Yet this ratio is still one of the highest in the GCC.

“On the one side, you can expect some solid operating conditions to provide some improvements to NPL ratios,” says Paolino.

“But on the other side, UAE banks remain exposed to the real estate sector and also to single borrower concentrations, as well as to large loan restructurings.”

While continued high interest could stoke future asset quality problems, local banks have built up provisions with a coverage ratio in excess of 100 per cent.

Technological dividends

Looking ahead, UAE banks will focus on their digital proposition, meaning investment in innovation and technology will likely continue and operating costs remain high. 

Banks in the UAE are already benefitting from years of significant investment in technology.

“We have seen a reduction of banks' physical footprint, with one of the banks reducing its network from 50 branches to just five without any significant impact on activity,” says Tuli.

“Banks did not experience any major cyber risk issues as well. All this is helping their overall profitability.”

In terms of future growth, some cross-border forays can be expected.

For example, Fab and Emirates NBD have strong regional ambitions that could help grow their individual balance sheets. Their diversified business base – in terms of geography, products and customer segments – renders them less vulnerable to a downturn in any of the markets they operate in.

There are few downside risks facing UAE banks, barring an unexpected drop in oil prices or – notes S&P’s Tuli – a significantly higher-than-expected migration of deposits from non-interest-bearing instruments to remunerated instruments that will reduce the benefits of higher interest rates.

That should leave analysts continuing to tell a positive story about the country’s banking prospects.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11207028/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Firms submit Saudi customs warehouses PPP bids

    7 November 2025

     

    Three Saudi-based firms submitted bids on 29 September for a contract to build new customs warehouses in Saudi Arabia.

    The project is being tendered as a public-private partnership (PPP) on a design, build, finance, operate, maintain and transfer basis, with a contract duration of 15 years, including the construction period.

    The bidders include:

    • Al-Drees Petroleum & Transport Services Company
    • Lamar Holding
    • Mada International Holding

    The contract scope covers the development of 13 warehouses – including the design and construction of 12 new facilities and the renovation of one – across 13 different points of entry in the kingdom, along with the maintenance of all sites.

    The contract also includes the supply of equipment, as well as logistical support and cleaning services, for all new and existing warehouses at 38 points of entry across the kingdom.

    In January, the Zakat, Tax and Customs Authority (Zatca), through the National Centre for Privatisation and PPP (NCP), prequalified five companies to bid, MEED reported.

    The client issued the expressions of interest (EOI) and request for qualifications (RFQ) notices for the project in October last year.

    PPP plans

    In April 2023, Saudi Arabia announced a privatisation and public-private partnership (P&PPP) pipeline comprising 200 projects across 16 sectors.

    The P&PPP pipeline aims to attract both local and international investors and ensure their readiness to participate in the schemes tendered to the market.

    The initiative supports the kingdom’s efforts to enhance the attractiveness of its economy and increase the private sector’s contribution to GDP.

    READ THE NOVEMBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Mena players up the ante in global LNG production race; Investment takes UAE non-oil economy from strength to strength; Project finance activity draws international lenders back to market

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the November 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15040496/main.gif
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Turkish contractor wins Aldar Verdes by Haven project

    7 November 2025

     

    Abu Dhabi-based real estate developer Aldar Properties has appointed Turkish firm Nurol Construction as the main contractor to build its Verdes by Haven residential complex in the Wadi Al-Safa 5 area of Dubai. 

    Aldar is developing the project in partnership with Dubai Holding.

    Verdes by Haven is a multi-building complex featuring 1,050 one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments.

    The broader Haven development will include 2,428 residential units and cover 1 square kilometre. The first phase comprises 462 residential units, including three- and four-bedroom townhouses and three- to six-bedroom villas. 

    Construction of the first phase began last year, and the project is slated for completion in the third quarter of 2027.

    The project is located opposite the Al-Habtoor Polo Resort on the Dubai-Al-Ain road.

    Dubai-based architectural firm Dewan Architects & Engineers is the lead design consultant for the project, working alongside US-based OBM International, the architectural design consultant.

    UK-based data analytics firm GlobalData predicts that the UAE construction sector will grow by 4.2% in real terms in 2025, driven by infrastructure, energy, utilities and residential construction projects. It is also estimated that projects worth more than $323bn are in the execution or planning stages in the UAE.

    The construction industry is expected to register an annual average growth of 3.8% in 2025-28, supported by investments in transport, housing and renewable energy projects. 

    READ THE NOVEMBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Mena players up the ante in global LNG production race; Investment takes UAE non-oil economy from strength to strength; Project finance activity draws international lenders back to market

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the November 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15037432/main.png
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Procurement begins for Abu Dhabi light rail transit

    7 November 2025

     

    Abu Dhabi Transport Company (ADTC) has asked contractors to express interest in a design-and-build contract covering the construction of the first phase of the light rail transit network.

    The project's first phase will span 19 kilometres (km) and include 23 stations, connecting Zayed International airport (AUH) with nearby areas, including Yas Island, Al‑Raha Beach and Khalifa City.

    The key sections of the tram are:

    AUH to Yas Island: The tram will start from Terminal A at AUH and run through the Yas tunnel to Yas Gateway Park. It will serve areas including Yas Bay, Media Zone, Yas Plaza, Yas Drive, Yas Mall, Sea World and Water Edge.

    This section covers 13km and includes 13 at-grade stations and one underground station.

    Al-Raha: This section will stretch for 4.3km and run along Al-Raha Street. It will serve areas including Al-Zeina, Al-Muneera and Al-Bandar, towards the Aldar head office. The section will include seven at-grade stations.

    Etihad Plaza: This section will pass the Etihad Aviation Training Centre and span about 1.7km. It will feature a main depot near the Etihad Airways headquarters, along with two at-grade stations.

    The tender also covers the procurement of 25 trams, each with a capacity of 270 people, along with associated systems.

    The project was officially launched at the GlobalRail exhibition in Abu Dhabi in early October.

    Referred to as Abu Dhabi Tram Line 4, the project will be delivered in three phases.

    Construction of the first phase is expected to start next year. The tram is slated to begin operations by 2030.

    Future phases will extend towards Khalifa City and serve additional destinations across Yas Island.

    The project forms a key part of the recently announced AED170bn ($46bn) package of national transport and road projects to be implemented by 2030.

    The announcement was made by the UAE’s Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Suhail Al-Mazrouei, while speaking at the UAE Government Annual Meetings in Abu Dhabi on 5 November.

    Al-Mazrouei said the projects are part of a comprehensive national strategy aimed at easing traffic congestion and enhancing mobility across the country.

    The initiatives include expanding major roads, upgrading public transport, and implementing high-speed and light rail projects.

    ADTC was established in 2023 to implement, operate and develop transport systems in rural and urban areas across the emirate.

    The company is responsible for developing rail systems and related services and operations, and providing integrated transport services, including vehicle and bus rental.

    ADTC was established by UAE President Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan in his capacity as Ruler of Abu Dhabi.

    READ THE NOVEMBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Mena players up the ante in global LNG production race; Investment takes UAE non-oil economy from strength to strength; Project finance activity draws international lenders back to market

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the November 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15037199/main0652.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • UAE unveils $46bn road and rail spending plan

    6 November 2025

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    The UAE’s Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, Suhail Al-Mazrouei, has announced a AED170bn ($46bn) package of national transport and road projects to be implemented by 2030.

    Speaking at the UAE Government Annual Meetings in Abu Dhabi on 5 November, Al-Mazrouei said the projects form part of a comprehensive national strategy aimed at easing traffic congestion and enhancing mobility across the country.

    The initiatives include expanding major roads, upgrading public transport, and implementing high-speed and light rail projects.

    Road expansion projects

    Road projects include adding six lanes to Etihad Road – three in each direction – increasing its capacity by 60% to a total of 12 lanes.

    Emirates Road will be expanded to 10 lanes along its full length, raising capacity by 65% and reducing travel time by 45%.

    Sheikh Mohammed Bin Zayed Road will also be widened to 10 lanes, enhancing capacity by 45%.

    The plan further includes a study for a fourth federal highway, extending 120 kilometres with 12 lanes and a capacity of up to 360,000 trips per day.

    Work has already started on the AED750m Emirates Road upgrade, which is scheduled for completion within two years.

    In July, Kuwaiti contractor Combined Group Contracting Company (CGCC) announced that its local subsidiary had secured a AED685m contract to upgrade Emirates Road from the Al-Badea intersection in Sharjah to the E55 intersection in Dubai.

    Rail services

    For rail, Etihad Rail remains on track to launch its passenger transport services by 2026 and has received bids from contractors for the design-and-build contract covering civil works and station packages for the high-speed railway (HSR) line connecting Abu Dhabi and Dubai.

    The HSR trains will have a design speed of 350km/h and an operating speed of 320km/h.

    The proposed HSR programme will be developed in four phases, gradually extending connectivity across the UAE:

    The first phase involves constructing a railway line connecting Abu Dhabi and Dubai, which is expected to be operational by 2030. The second phase will develop an inner‑city railway network with 10 stations within the city of Abu Dhabi. The third phase of the railway network involves constructing a connection between Abu Dhabi and Al-Ain. The fourth phase involves developing an inter-emirate connection between Dubai and Sharjah.

    Light rail projects include the Abu Dhabi tram scheme, which was announced by Abu Dhabi Transport Company (ADTC) in October. It will connect Zayed International airport (AUH) with nearby areas, including Yas Island, Al‑Raha Beach and Khalifa City.

    Referred to as Abu Dhabi Tram Line 4, the project will be delivered in three phases. The first phase will connect AUH with Yas Island and the residential areas of Al‑Raha Beach. Future phases will extend towards Khalifa City and serve additional destinations across Yas Island.

    Construction of the first phase is expected to start next year. The tram is slated to begin operations by 2030.

    READ THE NOVEMBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Mena players up the ante in global LNG production race; Investment takes UAE non-oil economy from strength to strength; Project finance activity draws international lenders back to market

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the November 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15032097/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Egypt awards contracts for 1,200MW solar plants

    6 November 2025

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    A consortium of Egypt’s Hassan Allam Utilities Energy and Infinity Power has won contracts to develop two major solar projects with a combined capacity of 1,200MW and 720 megawatt-hours (MWh) of battery storage.

    The agreements were signed with Egypt’s Ministry of Electricity & Renewable Energy and Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company (EETC).

    The consortium will develop a 200MW solar plant in Benban, including 120MWh of connected battery storage, which is scheduled to reach commercial operation by the third quarter of 2026.

    A second, larger 1,000MW solar plant will be built in Minya, incorporating 600MWh of storage and targeting completion by the third quarter of 2027.

    The projects will be developed under the Hassan Allam Utilities Energy Platform, a renewable energy investment vehicle co-owned by Hassan Allam Utilities, the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development (EBRD) and France-based investment firm Meridiam.

    The platform currently has 2.3GW of projects under development, with a total investment of about $2bn and commercial operation expected between 2026 and 2027.

    Its wider pipeline includes 1.65GW of additional projects, comprising 350MW of solar and 1.3GW of wind capacity valued at $1.5bn.

    Infinity Power, a joint venture of Egypt’s Infinity and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar), said the new projects form part of its strategy to reach 10GW of renewable capacity across Africa by 2030.

    The company operates solar, wind and storage projects in Egypt, South Africa and Senegal.

    US/India-based Synergy Consulting is providing financial advisory services to the consortium for the project.

    The signing took place in the presence of Egypt’s Electricity Minister Mahmoud Esmat. The developments support Egypt’s goal of generating 42% of its total electricity from renewable sources by 2035.

    READ THE NOVEMBER 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Mena players up the ante in global LNG production race; Investment takes UAE non-oil economy from strength to strength; Project finance activity draws international lenders back to market

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the November 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15031708/main.JPG
    Mark Dowdall