Trump tariffs hit 13 Mena states

4 April 2025

Over a dozen Middle East and North Africa (Mena) countries will face US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs – at rates varying between 10% and 41% – from 5 April.

Trump announced an executive order on 2 April regarding “regulating imports with a reciprocal tariff to rectify trade practices that contribute to large and persistent annual US goods trade deficits”.

Six of these countries – Egypt, Kuwait, Morocco, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE – face 10% tariffs, which is the minimum rate, or universal tariff, imposed on US trading partners.

Goods from Syria and Iraq face the highest tariff rates of 41% and 39%, followed by Libya and Algeria, which each face tariffs of 31% and 30%, respectively.

The executive order imposes 28% tariffs on goods originating from Tunisia, 20% from Jordan and 17% from Israel.

The impact of the new tariffs on regional businesses is less clear compared to their effect on US consumers, who will have to bear the brunt of increased prices of imported products.

US media outlets report that goods included in the reciprocal tariff regime include electronics, automobiles, clothing and shoes, wine and spirits, furniture, coffee and chocolates.

Dubai-based global ports operator DP World said that businesses will face significant adjustments in response to the tariffs, according to a report by the UAE’s The National.

“With tariffs increasingly shaping policy, we recognise that businesses are facing significant adjustments. As supply chains realign, new manufacturing and trading hubs may emerge in response to shifting cost structures and market access considerations,” DP World said.

The firm added that it is working closely “with our customers to navigate these complexities – helping them maintain continuity, find efficiencies and build resilience in an evolving global landscape”.

Photo credit: Pixabay, for illustrative purposes only

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Jennifer Aguinaldo
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    In March, the director of the Paris-based International Energy Agency, Fatih Birol, said the world was “facing the greatest global energy security threat in history”, eclipsing even the 1973 oil crisis triggered by Opec’s oil embargo against countries that supported Israel during the Yom Kippur War.

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    At a consumer level, demand destruction is also taking place, as high prices for oil- and gas-linked products drive increased sales of solar panels and electric vehicles.

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    That would fundamentally alter demand forecasts for Middle East producers and could weigh on revenues in the years ahead.

    What we are seeing in the global energy sector is that there are very clear beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict … exporters that aren’t reliant on the Strait of Hormuz can take advantage of high oil prices to post profits and sanction new projects
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    Bolstered prospects

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    High prices are delivering windfall profits, while investment is flowing towards projects perceived as less exposed to future attacks or a renewed blockade of the strait.

    Over time, these forces could contribute to a global divergence: Middle East producers could miss market-share targets, while suppliers elsewhere outperform.

    Commenting on the implications of the conflict, Slava Kiryushin, an international oil and gas lawyer and partner at London-headquartered law firm HFW, said: “There has already been a massive impact from this conflict on global energy markets. Producers in the GCC have been impacted more than others.

    “The most important factors right now are the damage caused to infrastructure from strikes on energy facilities and how quickly those can be remedied,” he said. “Even if this war ends tomorrow, many will remain concerned about political tensions in the region and the potential for future disruptions.

    “What we are seeing in the global energy sector is that there are very clear beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict … exporters that aren’t reliant on the Strait of Hormuz can take advantage of high oil prices to post profits and sanction new projects.”

    As revenues fall, repair costs rise and projects stall for national oil and gas companies in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iraq, Kuwait and Bahrain, companies active in regions including the US, Australia, Russia and Africa are seeing significant benefits.

    Despite Ukrainian strikes on key Russian oil infrastructure, Moscow has reported surging oil revenues as the war in Iran drives up global crude prices and boosts demand for Russian crude.

    In March, Ukraine’s Kyiv School of Economics (KSE) estimated Russia was earning about $760m a day from oil exports, benefitting from high prices and US sanctions waivers.

    Even if the conflict ends in the coming weeks, Russia’s annual oil and gas export revenues are projected to reach $218.5bn this year, up 63% from a scenario in which Middle East energy supplies remain uninterrupted, KSE said. That would amount to an additional $84bn in windfall revenue.

    US oil companies are also seeing bumper profits and higher share prices. Even as the broader US stock market has moved lower, ExxonMobil and Chevron shares have risen by more than 20% since the start of the year.

    Market research firm Rystad Energy has estimated that US oil producers could earn an additional $63bn in profit this year due to elevated prices.

    As producers outside the Middle East record large profits and ramp up output, some analysts argue the region’s future standing in global energy markets could be undermined.

    Commenting on the outlook for Qatari LNG, Doleman said: “Over the long term, the ongoing conflict could weaken Qatar’s bargaining position when the country is negotiating long-term gas contracts due to perceived risk associated with using the Strait of Hormuz.

    “Exports from other suppliers such as producers in the US or Australia could be viewed as more reliable and this could lead to the removal of resale restrictions and other elements that customers in Asia have been pushing back against for some time now.”

    Structural changes

    While uncertainty remains over how the war will end and how extensive future disruptions to energy supplies may be, it is increasingly likely the crisis will bring structural changes to global energy flows.

    There have already been shifts in energy relationships, with clients of GCC oil and gas producers seeking alternative suppliers and sanctions on Iranian and Russian oil being temporarily eased.

    While many of the arrangements made in the short period since the war began are likely to be temporary, some could become more durable over time.

    Iran has made the removal of sanctions one of its key demands to end the conflict with the US and Israel.

    With oil prices remaining high, many countries hit by rising energy costs would welcome the extension of sanctions waivers beyond existing deadlines, to keep crude supplies to global markets as high as possible.

    The scale and permanence of these changes will depend on how quickly the conflict can be resolved, and what assurances can be put in place to prevent it flaring up again.

    If the conflict is resolved quickly, it is possible that oil and gas sectors in Iraq and the GCC could see a significant rebound, returning towards pre-war operations.

    Prior to the war, low production costs in countries such as Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Iraq made them among the most profitable exporters in the world, and analysts believe that cost advantage will support a recovery once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.

    “Though a lot of damage is being done, Middle East producers still have the advantage of some of the world’s cheapest and easiest-to-produce oil and gas,” Doleman said. “This means they are likely to retain their clients and a functioning business model once the Strait of Hormuz reopens.”

    However, if the conflict continues for an extended period, the prospect of a swift recovery would diminish and more dramatic structural changes to the global oil and gas industry would become more likely.

    That, in turn, could make the Middle East’s future role in global energy markets significantly smaller than previously forecast.

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    Wil Crisp
  • Kuwait floats Doha Port feasibility tender

    9 April 2026

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    Kuwait Ports Authority has floated a tender inviting consultants to bid for a contract to undertake feasibility studies for the development of the Doha Port project, located on the southern side of Kuwait Bay in the Capital Governorate.

    The tender was issued on 5 April, with a bid submission deadline of 5 May.

    Doha Port is a key regional trade port in Kuwait that was handed over to Kuwait Ports Authority in 1977.

    The port primarily serves small ships and traditional vessels, facilitating trade with the GCC and other nearby countries.

    According to Kuwait Ports Authority, the port spans more than 388,000 square metres and currently has nine berths.

    The port’s storage area is over 270,000 sq m and it handles cargo volumes of about 115,869 tonnes, with capacity for 878 vessels.

    According to regional projects tracker MEED Projects, Kuwait completed construction works on the second phase of the port’s berths in 2021.

    Local firm Specialities Group Holding was awarded the construction contract in 2017.

    UK-headquartered analytics firm GlobalData expects Kuwait’s construction industry to record an average annual growth rate of 4.9% between 2026 and 2029, supported by investments in the oil and gas and renewable energy sectors.

    The infrastructure construction sector was expected to expand by 4% in real terms in 2025, before stabilising at an annual average growth rate of 5.1% from 2026 to 2029, supported by the government’s focus on cross-border projects to develop the country’s transport infrastructure.


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    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16318227/main.jpg
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