Trump 2.0 targets technology
30 January 2025
As Donald Trump settles into his second term, dubbed ‘Trump 2.0’, the administration is set to bring about a seismic shift in global technology, artificial intelligence (AI) regulation, data sovereignty, cryptocurrency and the ever-escalating US-China tech war.
The central role that technology is expected to play was demonstrated at Trump’s inauguration on 20 January, where Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Alphabet Inc CEO Sundar Pichai and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos had prime seats.
With Trump championing policies prioritising domestic interests and reshaping international dynamics, Middle Eastern investors and companies will play a key role in shaping this new era of tech-infused geopolitics.
The wheels are already turning. On 22 January, just two days after Trump’s inauguration, he announced that Abu Dhabi- based AI-focused fund MGX has teamed up with US-based tech firms Oracle and ChatGPT creator OpenAI, and Japan’s Softbank, to form the Stargate project, which aims to invest $500bn to build AI infrastructure in the US.
When announcing the project, Trump described it as “the largest AI infrastructure project by far in history”.
America first
Two weeks earlier, on 7 January, Hussain Sajwani, founder and chairman of UAE-based Damac Properties and Damac Group, made headlines by pledging $20bn to develop data centres in the US.
Sajwani’s $20bn commitment to US data centres is not just a business transaction – it demonstrates the UAE’s strategic pivot to align with Trump’s America First policy. Unlike the real estate deals offered by Sajwani that Trump publicly declined in 2017, the latest investment offer places resources directly into the US, promising jobs, innovation and a fortified tech infrastructure in states including Texas, Ohio and Michigan.
For MGX, Sajwani and other Gulf investors, the deal offers not only financial returns but also political capital in an administration that values loyalty and mutual economic benefit.
The timing is also strategic: as Trump prepares to loosen regulatory constraints on AI and data, Gulf nations have the opportunity to tap into US expertise while positioning themselves as indispensable partners in the rapidly shifting tech landscape.
Tech wars
Geographically and politically, the Middle East – particularly the GCC states – sits in the middle of the simmering tech war between China and the US, which may boil over during the Trump presidency.
The decoupling of the two economies is expected to continue, with Trump reinforcing policies that discourage US companies from engaging with Chinese firms.
Policies could involve stricter foreign investment vetting and expanded technology transfer restrictions to China. The Trump administration has also threatened to impose high tariffs on Chinese goods, which could disrupt the established ties between US and Chinese tech industries.
The ongoing tensions could lead to a bifurcation of global supply chains, with significant implications for companies operating in both markets.
For Middle Eastern countries, this decoupling offers a rare window of opportunity. As the US and China distance from one another, GCC players can position themselves as neutral ground for technology partnerships. The region could bridge the two worlds by attracting global firms to invest in regional tech hubs that offer a haven for talent and innovation.
Trump’s America First policies are also expected to accelerate the development of the US semiconductor sector, a critical component of the tech war. While this could disrupt global supply chains, it may also create demand for GCC investments in US tech manufacturing and research facilities, further deepening economic ties.
Another transformative area of Trump’s second term will be his approach to AI.
On 13 January, just days before Trump took office, the White House issued a brief of a regulation by the Department of Commerce imposing controls on the exports of advanced computing integrated circuits that support AI.
The regulation’s final draft divides countries into three tiers. Chip exports to the top-tier countries, comprising 18 of the closest US allies, are “without limit”, while the third tier is reported to comprise countries of concern, including Macau (China) and Russia.
All other nations and states, including those in the GCC, are presumed to be mid-tier countries, where a cap of approximately 50,000 graphics processing units between 2025 and 2027, will apply.
Individual companies from these countries will be able to achieve higher computing capability if they comply with US regulations and obtain validated end-user status.
The White House brief is no longer available online, but a copy of the regulation can still be found in the Federal Register, the US government’s daily journal.
Middle Eastern investors and companies will [help shape] this new era of tech-infused geopolitics
Deregulation likely
The regulation-heavy approach of former president Joe Biden’s administration will likely give way to a deregulatory environment, emphasising commercial innovation over antitrust crackdowns.
For GCC countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, this presents a double-edged sword. Both nations have ambitious AI investment plans – Abu Dhabi’s MGX partnership with BlackRock and Microsoft aims to mobilise $100bn for AI infrastructure, while Riyadh’s Project Transcendence seeks to redefine the region’s technological footprint. Trump’s deregulatory policies could catalyse innovation and partnerships with US firms, offering access to cutting-edge AI solutions.
The emphasis on deregulation may also create challenges. Without robust ethical and safety guidelines, the global AI ecosystem could face reputational risks, making cross-border collaborations more complex. For the GCC, balancing the benefits of US technological advancements with the need for ethical AI development will be a delicate dance.
As geopolitical tensions rise, the effects of Trump’s focus on data sovereignty will reach far beyond US borders. Nations increasingly prioritise data protection, creating stricter regulations to control where and how data is stored, and the GCC, with its ambitious AI and data centre projects, must adapt swiftly to these changes.
The outlook for developing energy-hungry data centres in the US could be further bolstered by plans to deregulate the energy industry.
“If energy deregulation is unleashed, the biggest beneficiaries of Trump’s energy policies could be in data centre buildout, with implications for US leadership in AI, both in next-generation technologies and economic dominance over the coming generation,” according to a report by GlobalData’s TS Lombard.
For Middle Eastern businesses, Trump’s policies could mean stricter requirements when working with US tech firms. Data from US companies and citizens may need to be stored domestically, complicating cross-border operations.
However, this also presents an opportunity for the GCC states to bolster their data sovereignty frameworks, attracting investments from companies seeking alternatives to US or Chinese infrastructure.
The unexpected should be expected, and the future belongs to those who adapt the fastest
Backing Bitcoin
Cryptocurrency is another major opportunity for the GCC.
Trump’s surprising endorsement of Bitcoin – the price of which recently surged past $75,000 – signals a potential shift in US crypto policy. A more favourable regulatory environment under Trump could drive mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies, attracting investors and innovators alike.
As regional players such as the UAE have been pioneers in blockchain technology, this could catalyse further growth.
Dubai’s Blockchain Strategy 2025, aimed at positioning the emirate as a global blockchain hub, aligns well with Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance. By collaborating with US firms and leveraging blockchain’s potential for financial and governmental applications, the GCC could cement its position as a leader in the cryptocurrency space.
As his backing of Bitcoin demonstrates, Trump’s position on tech issues is hard to predict. This was reinforced when he issued an executive order allowing social media application TikTok to resume services to its 170 million users in the US.
On 18 January, the Chinese-owned app stopped working in the US after a law banning it on national security grounds came into effect. Trump had previously supported plans to ban the app.
For business and government alike, the message is clear: the unexpected should be expected, and the future belongs to those who adapt the fastest.
As Trump reshapes the global tech landscape, GCC investors like Sajwani are well positioned to capitalise on the changes. The US-China decoupling, AI deregulation and a focus on data sovereignty create openings for Middle Eastern nations to assert themselves as key players in the global tech economy.
Challenges remain. Trump’s America First policies could lead to tighter restrictions on foreign investments, requiring Gulf investors to navigate a more complex regulatory environment. Additionally, the potential talent drain to the US, driven by Trump’s prioritisation of domestic commercial interests, could slow the region’s AI ambitions.
To stay competitive, GCC nations will need to double down on their investments in education, infrastructure and innovation. By fostering homegrown talent and creating favourable conditions for international partnerships, the region can mitigate the risks of Trump’s policies while reaping the rewards.
READ MEED’s YEARBOOK 2025
MEED’s 16th highly prized flagship Yearbook publication is available to read, offering subscribers analysis on the outlook for the Mena region’s major markets.
Published on 31 December 2024 and distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the MEED Yearbook 2025 includes:
> PROJECTS: Another bumper year for Mena projects
> GIGAPROJECTS INDEX: Gigaproject spending finds a level
> INFRASTRUCTURE: Dubai focuses on infrastructure
> US POLITICS: Donald Trump’s win presages shake-up of global politics
> REGIONAL ALLIANCES: Middle East’s evolving alliances continue to shift
> DOWNSTREAM: Regional downstream sector prepares for consolidation
> CONSTRUCTION: Bigger is better for construction
> TRANSPORT: Transport projects driven by key trends
> PROJECTS: Gulf projects index continues ascension
> CONTRACTS: Mena projects market set to break records in 2024
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Contributing to Vision 2030
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Delivering priority event-driven projects in Saudi Arabia
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As Saudi Arabia accelerates preparations to host a series of landmark global events, including the 2027 AFC Asian Cup, the 2029 Asian Winter Games in Trojena, Expo 2030 in Riyadh and the Fifa World Cup in 2034, momentum is building across the kingdom’s construction sector to chart out strategies to deliver event-driven projects.
Earlier this week, MEED hosted a panel discussion on the sidelines of the MEED 2025 Saudi Gigaprojects summit in Riyadh that brought together senior stakeholders from fields including architecture, project management, ESG and contracting to address how to deliver event-driven construction schemes.
The session explored how the kingdom can balance ambition with execution, manage complexity, and promote Saudi Arabia as a global hub for international sports and entertainment events.
The consensus was that the success of these large-scale, complex projects depends on early, sustained and transparent collaboration between all stakeholders – from clients and designers to contractors, operators and regulators.
You simply can’t deliver something as complex and time-sensitive as a stadium or expo venue if people are working in silos
Chris Seymour, MaceSerious coordination is non-negotiable
“Big projects live or die by early engagement,” said Chris Seymour, managing director – Middle East and Africa at Mace, a global consultancy involved in many of the region’s most ambitious schemes.
“You simply can’t deliver something as complex and time-sensitive as a stadium or expo venue if people are working in silos. The earlier you bring the ecosystem together, the more agile and successful the project becomes.”
Seymour highlighted that the challenge is not just scale, but the dynamic and high-pressure environment in which these projects operate.
“Engagement on these megaprojects is difficult to create and maintain, especially when integrating new technologies or fast-tracking delivery. You need to pre-empt issues, adapt quickly and build trust early,” he said, citing hospitality projects as an example of early coordination leading to better performance.
Delivering a venue such as the Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium in Qiddiya demands intense, sustained collaboration across all project layers
Fatemeh Hosseini, PopulousOvercoming the delivery challenges of architecturally complex schemes
"The stadiums designed for Saudi Arabia represent the next generation of sports venues globally, and are architectural statements which will leave a lasting impression on the global stage," said Fatemeh Hosseini, associate at leading global design firm Populous, who spoke about the architectural ambition behind these developments.
“These schemes are extremely large in scale, with highly complex design and engineering requirements,” she said.
“Take the Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium in Qiddiya – its architectural vision is bold, iconic and layered with advanced technology and fan experiences. Delivering such a venue demands intense, sustained collaboration across all project layers.”
Hosseini noted that while Vision 2030 sets a clear ambition, translating that into buildable, operational venues in time for global events is an enormous challenge.
“We need a shared vision and a collaborative delivery model from day one – not just between consultants and contractors, but with operators, planners and city authorities,” she added.
Green buildings don’t just reduce carbon – they also command higher values, improve tenant appeal and future-proof assets
Wesley Thomson, Knight FrankSustainability as a strategic imperative
Alongside design excellence and timely delivery, sustainability emerged as a critical theme in the panel discussion. Saudi Arabia’s commitment to environmental responsibility is growing, and mega-events provide an opportunity to demonstrate leadership in green building practices.
“Sustainability is increasingly becoming a value driver in the built environment,” said Wesley Thomson, partner and head of ESG at UK-headquartered firm Knight Frank.
“Green buildings don’t just reduce carbon – they also command higher values, improve tenant appeal and future-proof assets. If we get this right now, it’s a long-term win for Saudi Arabia.”
However, Thomson stressed that the kingdom needs a more robust regulatory framework to meet sustainability goals across the project lifecycle.
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“Coordination and communication on sustainability must be centralised, especially for large, time-critical projects that could easily miss the mark if not carefully managed.”
When contractors are engaged early, they can feed real-world constraints and opportunities into the design process
Michael Al-Kurdi, AlbawaniEarly contractor involvement is key to success
From a construction delivery perspective, one message rang loud and clear: contractors must be brought to the table early to avoid late-stage risks and costly redesigns.
“When contractors are engaged early, they can feed real-world constraints and opportunities into the design process,” said Michael Al-Kurdi, business development and relationship manager at Albawani, one of Saudi Arabia’s leading construction firms.
“Early contractor involvement (ECI) unlocks true collaboration and ensures harmony between vision and feasibility.”
Al-Kurdi noted that early involvement allows contractors to prepare the supply chain more effectively and anticipate delivery risks well in advance.
“It’s not just about feasibility – it’s about preparedness. These are huge, fast-moving projects, and the more aligned the stakeholders are from the outset, the smoother the execution phase will be.”
The panellists agreed that Saudi Arabia has a rare opportunity to reshape its global image through these sporting and cultural mega-events. But with tight deadlines and high global expectations, success will hinge not only on design and engineering innovation but also on collaboration, coordination and clarity of vision.
“We have an opportunity to lead the world – not just in the scale of what we’re building, but in how we build it,” Seymour said.
“That means doing things differently: being open, integrated and agile. If we can embed that mindset into every stadium, arena and event venue we build, we’ll not just meet the deadlines – we’ll set a new global benchmark.”
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