Transmission and distribution sector heads for record year
3 October 2024
The GCC region’s power transmission and distribution (T&D) sector is set to experience its best year in terms of the value of awarded contracts.
Based on data from regional projects-tracking service MEED Projects, the total value of awarded contracts for substations, control centres, overhead lines and cables across the six GCC states reached an estimated $13.8bn between January and September 2024.
This figure already exceeds by 81% the total value of contracts awarded in the preceding full year.
It also exceeds by 31% the total value of awarded contracts in 2021, which registered a record-high of $10.5bn in the 10 years starting in 2014.
Project activity within the T&D sector is expected to remain buoyant over the next few years, with roughly $35.9bn-worth of planned and unawarded contracts.
Of these, some $8.5bn are in the bid evaluation stage as of early October, with a further $6.5bn under tendering.
Some $12bn of projects are in the front-end engineering and design (feed) phase.
Energy diversification
Ambitious national energy diversification and net-zero targets across the region, which traditionally relied almost entirely on thermal power plants, will spur significant investments in T&D infrastructure in the future.
According to experts, the ongoing expansion of electricity generation capacity across the region, particularly from renewable energy sources, requires a more robust, integrated and stable electricity grid.
This is in addition to the projected increase in electricity demand as most states expand their downstream and petrochemical sectors, develop new communities and megaprojects in remote regions, and build more data centres to support smart cities, and internet-of-things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications.
The region’s largest economy, Saudi Arabia, for instance, aims for renewable energy to account for 50% of its electricity generation capacity by 2030.
Operational renewable installed capacity in the kingdom jumped from roughly 300MW in 2020 to 3,500MW this year, with a further 16,000MW currently under construction or about to start construction, and gigawatts more under tender.
Crucially, the kingdom’s energy minister confirmed earlier this year that the kingdom has plans to procure up to 20,000MW of renewable capacity every year, subject to demand.
Saudi Arabia is also ramping up its procurement programme for new gas-fired power plants, in line with a plan to decommission fleets running on liquid fuel and at the same time secure baseload as more renewable energy enters the grid.
There is also a marked increase in terms of T&D packages or contracts interconnecting the kingdom’s various regions from central Riyadh to the eastern, northern and southern provinces.
It comes as no surprise that the kingdom accounted for 72% of the $13.8bn-worth of T&D contracts awarded in the GCC region in the first three quarters of 2024.
Oman, which awarded T&D contracts with the same value as the UAE between January and September this year, has also been working to integrate its smaller electricity grids with the sultanate’s main electricity grid to boost electricity supply in its smaller, remote regions.
Unlike the noticeable peaks and throughs in T&D capital expense in other GCC states, the UAE’s spending has remained pretty consistent since 2014, averaging roughly $1.4bn annually. The exemption was in 2021 when a team comprising South Korea’s Kepco, Japan’s Kyushu Electric Power Company (Kyuden) International and France’s EDF won the contract to develop Abu Dhabi’s first high-voltage, direct current (HVDC) subsea transmission system.
It is worth mentioning that the completion of the four units of Abu Dhabi’s 5,600MW Barakah nuclear power plant this year and the expected completion of Dubai’s first hydropower plant in Hatta mean the UAE will have the most diverse energy sources for electricity generation among its peers.
Power links
The goal to expand electricity trade within the GCC member states and with other countries such as Egypt, Jordan and Iraq is another key driver for T&D investments.
Work is under way to increase the capacity of the GCC regional grid and enable its member-states to procure backup or emergency capacity when the need arises. Kuwait availed of this in May when it purchased 500MW from the GCC grid in anticipation of its inability to meet peak demand in the summer months.
An HVDC network linking Saudi Arabia and Egypt is under construction, which will allow bidirectional electricity trade as well as access to the wider European and African markets.
A second GCC link with Oman and a first link with Jordan are also planned. Another HVDC transmission project linking Neom in the northern tip of the Red Sea to Yanbu, stretching 605 kilometres, is under way.
It turns out that the need to invest in T&D infrastructure to support electricity generation capacity buildout, following years of underinvestment, is a global phenomenon.
Juan Diego Zuluaga, Suncolombia CEO, told the ongoing World Green Energy Summit in Dubai that there is a major mismatch between the buildout of transmission lines and electricity generation capacity.
Experts like Zuluaga think that failing to invest in T&D can potentially lead to issues such as curtailment or wastage in renewable power, particularly in the absence of suitable energy storage systems or efficient interconnections or electricity links.
Utility companies are under pressure not only to expand their transmission capacities and coverage but to make these infrastructure and facilities more efficient, too.
New technologies, most of them driven by IoT or AI, for instance, can be used to improve demand and supply management and forecasting, leading to improved grid performance.
“In this region, in particular, consumers expect 24x7 electricity supply. In fact, it is a given,” notes a senior executive with a European technology company. “The hope is for that to continue in the future.”
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Petrofac completes sale of Abu Dhabi business unit
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UK-headquartered Petrofac has completed the sale of Petrofac Emirates, a business unit it established in Abu Dhabi in 2008.
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In a statement, Petrofac said the sale was completed after the satisfaction of all required conditions and approvals.
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Leadership role
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The sale of Petrofac Emirates follows the completion of the sale of Petrofac Asset Solutions in April.
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Amid Petrofac’s dramatic restructuring, there has been disruption to progress at some of the company’s projects.
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The news about the Algeria project came just over two weeks after MEED reported that Petrofac had also stopped work on an oil project in Libya and cut staff in the North African country.
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Middle East stocks recover unevenly
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The combined market capitalisation of the MEED Top 100 largest listed companies in the Middle East and North Africa rose to $3.73tn in mid-May 2026, against $3.48tn a year earlier – a 7.2% gain that recovers most of the value lost in the prior two years’ editions. The aggregate is not the story.
Saudi Aramco recovered by $181bn, rising from $1.64tn to $1.82tn and providing substantial support to the aggregate Top 100 valuation. The broader movements in the list differentiated along sectoral lines, with key trends including the continued growth of regional banks, the upward repricing for fertiliser and logistics names amid the Hormuz crisis, and the correction of Saudi mid-tier stocks as valuation peaks have failed to hold.
Oil and gas reweights
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The company reported first-quarter 2026 net profit of $32.5bn, up 25%, on revenue of $115.5bn – giving it a price-to-earnings ratio of about 18, in line with the Saudi market average as of April.
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In the UAE, by contrast, Adnoc Gas has remained broadly flat at $66.7bn, with its Q1 2026 net income dropping 15% and conflict damage estimates indicating that full capacity will not be restored until 2027. Borouge meanwhile held, while Adnoc Drilling and Adnoc Distribution gained by 14% and 8%, respectively.
There was some slippage in the petrochemicals sub-cluster, with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) posting a net loss of $6.96bn and sliding 3%, alongside a 2% slide for the energy sector-adjacent Industries Qatar.
Banking and industry
The banking sector, which accounts for 33 of the 100 entries and 18% of the list by value, expanded by an aggregate 6.3% in absolute terms. Al-Rajhi Bank, the largest banking entry at $107.9bn, reported FY2025 net profit up 26% to SR24.8bn ($6.6bn); total assets passed SR1tn for the first time and Q1 2026 net profit rose a further 14%.
Emirates NBD, up 23% year-on-year to $47.1bn, reported FY2025 record profit before tax of AED29.8bn ($8.1bn) and likewise crossed AED1tn in total assets.
Kuwait Finance House also rose by 19%, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 19% to $28.7bn and Saudi National Bank 11%. Qatar National Bank stalled and slid 1%, while several smaller banks saw gains. Egypt’s Commercial International Bank rose 74% to $8.4bn off a depressed base, Jordan’s Arab Bank meanwhile rose 55%, Oman’s Bank Muscat by 52% and RakBank by 32%.
Several sectors have gained significantly owing to their direct exposure to the Iran conflict’s supply-chain repricing, including logistics, fertilisers and mining.
Logistics firms in the list gained 44% in absolute terms, with Saudi Arabia’s Bahri reporting Q1 2026 net profits up 303% year and revenue up 129%.
Marsa Maroc, the Casablanca-listed port operator, also entered the list at $6.6bn, up 85% on an African expansion that spans 34 terminals across 20 ports following a Liberia management deal signed in February.
Adnoc Logistics rose 32% to $11.6bn, while Air Arabia, the Sharjah-based low-cost carrier, joined the list at $6.1bn as it absorbed redirected long-haul flows. Nakilat, the Qatari liquefied natural gas shipping operator, was the sector’s sole softener, down 12% on slower throughput.
Mining and fertiliser entries sit alongside the logistics gainers. Jordan Phosphate Mines is the cleanest single expression of the post-Hormuz repricing visible on the list – up 127% year on year to $13.2bn, as the World Bank’s April 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook projects fertiliser prices to rise nearly 31% in 2026.
Maaden rose 23% to $65.3bn after FY2025 net profit jumped 156%, backed by record phosphate production; high aluminium output; and rising silver, copper and aluminium prices linked to artificial intelligence, data centre, solar and electric vehicle demand.
Morocco’s Managem also entered the list at $19.7bn, having almost tripled in value in the past two years on cobalt, silver and copper prices and African expansion.
Sabic Agri-Nutrients rose 44% on a 30% 2025 net profit increase, while Fertiglobe rose by 40% – both potentially anticipating a 60% forecasted rise in urea prices.
Property and other trends
The direction of the property and real estate sector has been uniformly downward. The Iran conflict has driven both a slump in UAE property sales and prices and a similar tourism-adjacent correction in Saudi Arabia. Both the Mecca-focused Umm Al-Qura and Jabal Omar development firms have seen their valuations slashed by more than a third, while Makkah Construction & Development slid by 15%.
The UAE’s Emaar Properties and Dar Al-Arkan and Qatar’s Ezdan Holding have also all seen slides of more than 15%. Kuwait’s Mabanee, which rose by 22%, is the one exception in the sector.
In Saudi Arabia’s mid-tier, Acwa Power shed 29% in value even as its revenue rose 18% and its net income 5.4%. Elm Company likewise shed 33%, Dr Sulaiman Al-Habib 19% and the Saudi Tadawul Group 21%.
Mouwasat Medical Services, MBC Group, Nahdi Medical and Saudi Logistics Services fell out of the list entirely on the same trajectory. Each had reported FY2025 earnings rises before the decline. What corrected was the valuation, not the operations.
Acwa Power’s trailing four-quarter average price-to-earnings ratio was 166x, and even after this year’s decline sits at 88x against the Saudi market average of 17.8x. Elm sits at 26x, Al-Habib at 33x, Saudi Tadawul Group at 42x – all rich by any comparable benchmark.
Many of these entries have fallen away from their peak valuations as the cooling of the gigaproject programme since early 2025 has undermined sentiment.
One example that sits on the same axis from the UAE side is Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa), which fell by 28% from $95.3bn to $69.0bn despite a 6% net income rise, even as capital expenditure also expanded by 50%.
There are now nine entries from Morocco’s Casablanca bourse against six a year ago, with an aggregate value of $74.7bn, up from $50.8bn. Industrial contractor Societe Generale des Travaux du Maroc,entered via a December 2025 initial public offering (IPO). Several Moroccan stocks have also slipped, however, including Taqa Morocco, down 42%; Maroc Telecom, down 18%; Banque Populaire, down 13%; and Bank of Africa, down 10%.
There has been a similarly divergent trend among 2024 IPO entrants. While OQ Exploration & Production rose 68% to $10.1bn and is now the largest stock on the Muscat Securities Market, the UAE’s Talabat – 2024’s second-largest IPO at $9.2bn – has corrected 33% to $6.1bn.
The Multiply Group has been replaced on the list through its November 2025 merger into 2PointZero Group, which now sits in the top 30 entries at $19.6bn.
Regional repricing
Four trends underpin the list’s 7.2% recovery. The conflict has repriced specific cohorts sharply higher – logistics up 44%, mining and fertilisers up 43%, the Yanbu refiners returning, and Aramco recovering to $181bn – with gains contingent on the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed.
Regional banks have maintained last year’s momentum, with assets crossing trillion-unit thresholds and loan books supported by project activity. Six names have posted double-digit gains that are unlikely to reverse if conditions normalise.
Saudi mid-tier stocks have corrected largely on valuation rather than operations, despite many reporting earnings growth through 2025, as confidence in gigaproject-driven growth has weakened. Property has also softened in the region as conflict has reduced routine and religious tourism.
The 12-month outlook depends on whether Hormuz reopens, whether Saudi mid-tier valuations stabilise, and whether banking expansion holds under broader repricing.
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Developers win deals for $3.5bn of Mecca projects
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The Royal Commission for Makkah City and Holy Sites has awarded six real estate development deals. The projects, which cover a total land area exceeding 2.7 million square metres (sq m), will require a total investment of SR13.3bn ($3.5bn).
The sites are located within the neighbourhoods of Jurhum South, Al-Khalidiyah, Al-Hajlah, Al-Hindawiyah East, Al-Hindawiyah South and Al-Hindawiyah West. The projects will be delivered as partnerships with domestic real estate developers, institutional investors and dedicated private investment funds.
A consortium consisting of Makkah Construction & Development Company, Umm Al-Qura for Development & Construction Company and Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company will develop the Hindawiya West and Hindawiya South districts, which have a combined area of nearly 1.15 million sq m, adjacent to the Masar Destination project. The consortium informed the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) that it received letters of award for the project on 31 May.
The initial cost of the project is estimated at SR6bn. Umm Al-Qura will act as the consortium leader and development manager, while Makkah Construction & Development Company will serve as the financial partner. The infrastructure works will be executed by Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company as the technical partner, with the entire development financed through a private, closed-ended real estate investment fund overseen by a Capital Market Authority-licensed manager.
A consortium comprising First Avenue for Real Estate Development Company, Dar Al-Majed Real Estate Company and Rekaz Real Estate Company has been awarded the concession for the East Hindawiyah site. Located 1.8 kilometres from the Holy Grand Mosque, the 235,000 sq m plot is expected to cost SR2bn to develop, which includes land acquisition and foundational infrastructure. The development will be structured as a real estate investment fund managed by Jadwa Investment, with the ultimate goal of creating an integrated urban destination featuring retail, office, hospitality and residential components. The final contract signing for this deal is expected by 10 June 2026.
Ladun Investment Company, in partnership with Al-Ayuni Investment & Contracting Company, has signed a deal for the Al-Khalidiyah district. With a targeted sales value exceeding SR6bn, the consortium will establish a closed-ended private real estate investment fund to execute extensive infrastructure works, subdivide the land plots, and handle subsequent marketing and sales. The detailed scope of works involves complete engineering designs, public park planning and utility coordination with entities such as National Water Company and Saudi Electricity Company, before a contract is signed by 9 June.
Saudi property dreams: Read the January 2026 MEED Business Review
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