meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Sudani makes fitful progress as Iraq’s premier

10 May 2023

 

Mohammed al-Sudani has served almost 200 days as Iraq’s prime minister since being sworn into office in late October.

In that time, he has launched a high-profile anti-corruption drive, sought to repair relations between Baghdad and the Kurdistan region, find an amiable balance in relations with Iran on the one hand and the Arab Gulf states and Western powers on the other, as well as giving greater stability to the state’s finances.

These are challenging issues and it remains too soon to judge if he can succeed, but progress on many fronts has often appeared fitful at best.

Soon after coming into office, Sudani threw his weight behind a high-profile anti-corruption drive, prompted by the multibillion-dollar ‘Heist of the Century’, which emerged just before his government took charge. The scandal involved the theft of an estimated ID3.7tn ($2.5bn) from the General Commission for Taxes.

However, after some early positive signs, observers say that the anti-graft drive appears to be losing momentum. One of the main suspects, Haitham al-Jubouri, was released on bail in January. The assets of another suspect, Nour Zuhair Jassim, were unfrozen by a court in April.

Corruption has been endemic in Iraq for years and continues to hobble the economy. There has also been limited progress in other areas of economic activity.

As the Washington-based IMF pointed out in its most recent Article IV report on Iraq, issued in early February, the economy has been growing, but that is in large part due to high oil prices. Indeed, it said Iraq’s dependence on oil revenues has increased rather than decreased.

Gas deal success

The importance of the energy sector is unlikely to diminish anytime soon, given current project activity. Sudani was involved in broking a deal with French oil major TotalEnergies in early April over the $10bn Gas Growth Integrated Project (GGIP), following four meetings with its chief executive Patrick Pouyanne.

The mammoth scheme had been announced in September 2021, but had stalled amid a dispute between Baghdad and Total over what size holdings each side would have. A resolution was helped by the arrival of QatarEnergy, which has taken a 25 per cent stake, leaving Iraq with 30 per cent (held via state-owned Basra Oil Company) and Total with 45 per cent.

That should enable more productive use of the country’s gas resources in the future and will also see the development of a 1GW solar power plant.

On the other hand, oil exports through Turkey have stopped since the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) arbitration court in Paris ruled in favour of Baghdad in late March over Kurdish oil flows to Turkey via a cross-border pipeline.

Sudani has been building good publicity and a positive image for himself domestically and abroad, but it’s a rather thin veneer, behind which the machinery of entrenched interests is carrying on as usual
Omar al-Nidawi, Enabling Peace in Iraq Centre

Mixed reception

The former Iraqi ambassador to the US, Rend al-Rahim, has described Sudani as an “energetic and shrewd politician” – both necessary qualities to rise to the top in Baghdad and even more important to survive. Others have been less impressed by Sudani’s performance, though.

“He has been building good publicity and a positive image for himself domestically and abroad, but it’s a rather thin veneer, behind which the machinery of entrenched interests is carrying on as usual,” says Omar al-Nidawi, director of programmes at the Washington-based Enabling Peace in Iraq Centre (Epic).

Sudani came to power due to the support of former prime minister Nouri al-Maliki and the Coordination Framework, the grouping of Shia-majority parties with close links to Iran. They and their related militias remain influential to this day – part of a political system in which groups continue to use the state’s resources to entrench their own influence.

Budget concerns

Sudani’s budget plans have prompted concern among some about how that system of patronage might grow even larger. A three-year budget covering the period 2023-25 was finalised by the cabinet in mid-March and then sent to parliament in what was his administration’s first major piece of legislative action.

It included record spending of some ID198tn ($152bn) a year, including current spending of ID150tn and capital expenditure of ID48tn, as well as record annual deficits of some ID63tn, based on an average oil price of $70 a barrel and output of 3.5 million barrels a day (b/d). The plans include a sharp rise in the public sector wage bill, taking that item to a total of ID88tn.

That approach was the opposite of what the IMF had urged Sudani to do. In February, it said the government should save “the bulk of the oil windfall” and added that the 2023 budget “should avoid a procyclical spending boost and aim to increase savings with a gradual tightening of the fiscal stance”.

According to Nidawi, the budget plans point to a government that is more focused on using the state’s resources to bolster its support and minimise criticism rather than rebuild the economy. He described the budget as “exceptionally disappointing”, adding that the spending measures “threaten to waste the financial surplus from high oil prices by expanding the already bloated public payroll”.

The budget also included an attempt to find a new modus vivendi with the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), allowing for a 12.7 per cent budget share for Kurdistan and joint management of some 400,000 b/d of oil from the region. Sudani said on 13 March that Baghdad and Erbil had reached “a comprehensive agreement”. However, it remains to be seen if the system they have agreed will work effectively in practice.

In addition, Sudani’s budget has yet to be passed by parliament, and MPs could still force him to change his approach – a final vote may not happen until late May. What is not expected to change, for a time at least, is the parliament itself. When Sudani took office, it was amid speculation that an early election could be called, following the resignation of Moqtada al-Sadr’s bloc of MPs.

Since then, the idea of an early poll has faded and Sadr has remained in the background. Should he decide to change tack once again, Sudani could quickly face a far more challenging political situation, given Sadr’s past ability to quickly fill the streets with his supporters. At that point, Sudani’s political strengths and weaknesses will become far more apparent.

Iraq power projects make headway

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/10834536/main.gif
Dominic Dudley

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Chinese firm announces $1.9bn Abu Dhabi renewables contract

    23 March 2026

    China Power Construction Corporation (PowerChina) has announced details of a contract signed for the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on part of Abu Dhabi’s $6bn round-the-clock solar and battery storage project.

    The independent power project (IPP) will combine 5.2GW of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity with 19GWh of battery storage. Last October, Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) broke ground on what will be the world’s largest combined solar and battery energy storage system (bess), designed to supply 1GW of round-the-clock power.

    India’s Larsen & Toubro and Beijing-headquartered PowerChina were awarded the EPC contract for the project last year, with PwC Middle East advising Ewec on financial structuring.

    According to the Chinese firm, the full project has been divided into two blocks, north and south, indicating at least two major packages. 

    PowerChina’s contract, valued at about $1.9bn, covers the northern block of the project, which includes 2.1GW of DC-side PV installations and a 7.75GWh bess. The scope includes the design, procurement and construction of substations, PV facilities and battery energy storage systems.

    Located in the Mshayrif area of Abu Dhabi, the wider project is designed to supply steady delivery of power between April and October each year, the UAE’s peak electricity demand season due to cooling loads.

    This includes serving large energy users that require 24/7 clean electricity, such as fast-growing data centre operators and technology firms driving artificial intelligence deployment in the region.

    Ewec will act as the offtaker under a long-term power purchase agreement.

    MEED previously reported that China’s CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co), Jinko Solar and JA Solar will supply the bess and PV modules, with Jinko and JA each providing 2.6GW of modules. 

    The project will avoid 5.7 million tonnes of CO₂ emissions annually and provide enough clean energy to power nearly half a million homes.

    Construction is expected to be completed in 2028.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16083288/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Kuwait tenders major infrastructure packages

    23 March 2026

     

    Kuwait’s Ministry of Public Works (MPW) has tendered several contracts for infrastructure works across various parts of the country.

    The first tender covers the construction of rainwater drainage systems in the Sabah Al-Ahmad South, Sabah Al-Ahmad, Al-Khairan and Al-Wafra residential areas.

    The second tender includes the construction of a treated water system in Kuwait’s southern region.

    The third tender covers the construction of a treated water system in Kuwait’s northern region.

    The final tender covers the construction of roads, bridges, stormwater drainage, sewage and other services for a section of the Kabd-Sulaibiya Road, as well as a section of the Kabd-Sulaibiya industrial road link.

    MPW issued all of these tenders on 22 March, with a bid submission deadline of 21 April.

    UK analytics firm GlobalData expects Kuwait’s construction industry to grow by 5.1% in 2026-29, supported by government investment in the oil and gas sector aimed at raising production, as well as investment in the infrastructure sector.

    In the short term, growth will be boosted by planned expenditure under the 2025-26 budget, which was approved in March 2025.

    The construction industry in Kuwait is expected to record an annual average growth rate of 4.9% in 2026-29, supported by investments in renewable energy, transport, and oil and gas projects.

    The commercial construction sector is expected to grow by 4.8% in 2026-29, supported by public and private sector investment in the construction of hotels, retail outlets and office buildings.

    READ THE MARCH 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Riyadh urges private sector to take greater role; Chemical players look to spend rationally; Economic uptick lends confidence to Cairo’s reforms.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the March 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16083252/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Qiddiya tenders new infrastructure package

    23 March 2026

     

    Saudi Arabian gigaproject developer Qiddiya Investment Company (QIC) has tendered a contract inviting firms to bid for new infrastructure works in Qiddiya Entertainment City.

    The scope covers two infrastructure development packages in District 0 of Qiddiya Entertainment City, including the construction of four event park-and-ride facilities.

    The tender was issued on 11 March, with a bid submission deadline of 22 April.

    Lebanese firm Dar Al-Handasah and Saudi-based Sets International are serving as project consultants.

    QIC is accelerating plans to develop additional assets at Qiddiya City. Earlier this month, the company set a 16 April deadline for firms to submit prequalification statements for the Qiddiya high-speed rail project in Riyadh.

    Previously, MEED reported that QIC had received bids from contractors on 23 February for a SR980m ($261m) contract covering the construction of staff accommodation at Qiddiya Entertainment City.

    The project will cover an area of more than 105,000 square metres (sq m).

    Last month, QIC started the main construction works on its performing arts centre at Qiddiya Entertainment City.

    The Qiddiya City performing arts centre is one of several major projects within the greater Qiddiya development. Other projects include an e-games arena, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium, a motorsports track, the Dragon Ball and Six Flags theme parks, and Aquarabia.

    In December last year, QIC officially opened the Six Flags theme park to the public.

    The theme park covers an area of 320,000 sq m and features 28 rides and attractions, 10 of which are thrill rides and 18 designed for families and young children.

    The Qiddiya project is a key part of Riyadh’s strategy to boost leisure tourism in the kingdom. According to UK analytics firm GlobalData, leisure tourism in Saudi Arabia has experienced significant growth in recent years.

    The kingdom’s tourism sector posted record-breaking numbers last year, with over 130 million domestic and international visitors entering the kingdom, representing a 6% increase over 2024.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16083013/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Kuwait’s Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery attacked

    23 March 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Several units were shut down at Kuwait’s largest oil refinery after it was hit by drones as Iran targeted energy infrastructure across the Gulf, according to a statement from state-owned Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC).

    Fires broke out across multiple units at the Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery in the morning of 20 March 2026 following the attack.

    The refinery normally processes about 730,000 barrels of oil a day.

    There were no casualties as a result of the attack, according to KPC.

    Kuwait’s oil and gas sector has been severely disrupted by the ongoing regional conflict.

    On 10 March, MEED revealed that the state-owned upstream operator Kuwait Oil Company (KOC) was operating with just 30% of its total workforce in their normal workplaces.

    Earlier in the month, KPC also declared force majeure due to difficulties transporting oil and gas through the Strait of Hormuz caused by the conflict.

    Force majeure, a French term meaning “superior force”, is a clause included in many international commercial contracts. It allows companies to suspend contractual obligations when extraordinary events occur beyond their control.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16067425/main.gif
    Wil Crisp
  • Iraq declares force majeure on foreign-operated oil fields

    23 March 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Iraq has declared force majeure on all oil fields developed by foreign oil companies as the US and Israel’s war with Iran disrupts navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.

    The initial attack and Iran’s response have slashed Iraq’s exports.

    Prior to the war starting on 28 February, Iraq was exporting between 3.3 and 3.5 million barrels a day of crude oil.

    Oil sales account for nearly 90% of Iraq’s government revenues.

    Earlier this month, two drone strikes hit infrastructure at Iraq’s Majnoon oil field, increasing security concerns in the country’s energy sector.

    One of the drones hit a communications tower, and the other hit the office of the US engineering company KBR.

    There were no casualties as a result of the attacks.

    Foreign workers were evacuated from the site days after the US and Israel’s war with Iran started, and only Iraqi staff are currently working at the site.

    Shortly before the war started, KBR announced that it had been awarded a “major contract” by Iraq’s state-owned Basra Oil Company to provide integrated field management services for the Majnoon oil field.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16067302/main.png
    Wil Crisp