Shaping the future of passenger rail in the Middle East
25 February 2026
This feature builds on two previous articles, Saudi Arabia accelerates its rail revolution and Delivering Saudi Arabia’s next phase of rail growth, also written by senior executives from Jacobs, and continues the analysis of the region’s rail transformation.
As major rail programmes progress in the Middle East, attention is shifting from investment scale to how these systems perform in everyday use.
Projects such as the GCC Railway, Etihad Rail, Saudi Landbridge and new metro systems are reshaping how people move across the region.
With funding models and delivery frameworks being defined, attention is increasingly turning to how investments will translate into rail and transit systems that passengers want to use. The passenger experience is emerging as the defining measure of success, influencing design, technology, sustainability and long-term growth.
Passenger-first rail networks
Passenger experience is about more than getting from point A to point B. Travelers want a smooth, comfortable and safe journey.
In the Middle East, passenger experience is defining the region’s ambitious rail expansion.
Strategic vision across the GCC
Projects including the GCC Railway, Etihad Rail, Saudi Landbridge and the region's various metro projects are designed to move people, transform cities and connect communities.
These rail programmes are part of broader national visions, such as Saudi Vision 2030 and the UAE's smart mobility goals, where infrastructure must reflect world-class standards of comfort, efficiency, inclusivity and, most importantly, safety.
Competing with air travel and cars
Flying within the GCC and driving within countries are deeply rooted habits. Rail must offer a compelling alternative by delivering:
- Seamless and efficient end-to-end processes for booking and station experience;
- Robust first- and last-mile connectivity;
- Onboard amenities focused on comfort;
- Reliable, fast and safe journeys.
Designing for commuters and crowd surges
The region hosts some of the world’s largest gatherings, from summits to expos and religious events, which can cause surges in passenger numbers. Balancing event-driven surges with everyday reliability requires strategic foresight, technical innovation and operational agility. Artificial intelligence (AI) can strengthen this balance. Key strategies include:
> Dual-mode design: Rail systems are increasingly built with scalable capacity, including:
- Modular infrastructure: Railway networks, stations and platforms designed for expansion.
- Flexible rolling stock: Trains that can be lengthened by coupling several sets together or deployed more frequently during peak events.
> Smart data for smarter decisions:
- AI-powered demand forecasting to anticipate crowd flows during summits, expos, sports or religious events.
- Dynamic scheduling to adjust train frequency and routing in real time, minimising disruption to commuters.
Building flexibility from the start
Many networks in the region are still at the design stage, with delivery strategies continuing to evolve. To ensure long-term adaptability, it is critical to plan with a long-term view.
While fast timelines are common, rushing can cause missed opportunities, later delays and higher costs. Allowing enough time during early planning ensures ideas – even small ones – are not overlooked.
Service planning, which includes efficient service to address the demand and also passenger experience, is as important as infrastructure development. It should adapt to shifting demographics and travel behaviors.
Key principles include:
- Phased implementation: Starting operations with core routes and expanding based on demand, using predictive modelling.
- Flexible timetables: Using real-time data to adjust frequency and capacity, especially during peak hours or events.
- Intermodal integration: Aligning rail with buses, metros and micromobility options like e-scooters.
- Scenario planning: Preparing for population growth, climate change and economic shifts.
With financing frameworks now largely in place, the challenge for rail authorities and delivery partners is to translate those investments into tangible passenger benefits through design, technology and operations.
Service planning … should adapt to shifting demographics and travel behaviors
Seamless, data-driven journeys
Digital tools and data are invisible architects behind the Middle East’s rail renaissance, quietly transforming how passengers move, connect and experience travel. In a region known for bold infrastructure and visionary planning, the push for frictionless journeys is being powered by smart systems that anticipate needs before passengers even voice them. Here is how I see it unfolding:
> Predictive intelligence for flow management: AI-driven analytics to forecast passenger volumes, enabling operators to adjust train services, staffing and station operations in real time. During major events, systems can dynamically reroute passengers, open overflow zones and deploy extra services – all without disturbing daily commuters.
> Unified mobility platforms: Applications like S’hail in Dubai and future platforms from Etihad Rail are evolving into one-stop mobility solutions to plan trips across different public transport systems, purchase tickets and integrate with airport check-ins and hotel bookings.
This kind of digital cohesion turns fragmented journeys into seamless experiences.
> Smart stations as experience hubs: Stations are becoming digitally responsive environments with the use of smart technologies such as touchless entry and biometric gates, multilingual digital signage and wayfinding, real-time crowd density maps and heat sensors.
Digital tools and data are invisible architects behind the Middle East’s rail renaissance
Sustainability as part of the experience
In the Middle East, sustainability extends beyond carbon reduction – it shapes what passengers feel. Cleaner air, quieter trains, cooler stations and culturally resonant designs all contribute to more comfortable, future-ready journeys.
Key approaches include:
> Energy efficient and comfortable passenger experiences: Using electrified or renewables-powered trains makes for quieter and cleaner journeys.
Similarly, sustainable designs for stations and railway infrastructure should consider natural ventilation, solar shading and greenery for passenger comfort in the hot climate.
> Efficiency and reliability: Smart energy management and regenerative braking mean fewer delays and smoother operations.
> Affordability and accessibility: Passing on lower operating costs to the passengers enables affordability.
> Integration in daily life: Integrating ecofriendly first-mile and last-mile options such as buses, e-scooters and shaded walkways makes it easier to reach stations.
> Cultural and environmental values: Reflecting Middle Eastern heritage in sustainable architecture and preserving natural landscapes are key. Routes designed to minimise environmental impact – with wildlife crossings and desert preservation –create pride in a system that respects nature.
Sustainability in Middle Eastern rail means cleaner, cooler, cheaper and more reliable journeys that fit the region’s climate and culture, while making passengers feel both comfortable and proud to travel by train.
Seamless high-speed travel
Ambitions for high-speed and cross-border rail links in the GCC are now closer to reality. Delivering a consistent, seamless and comfortable experience on these longer journeys will require shared standards, interoperable systems and a unified approach to passenger service across borders.
This new era of intercity connectivity will mark a milestone not only for the UAE and Saudi Arabia, but for the entire region, creating a new model of smart, sustainable and people-centered rail.
Delivering a consistent, seamless and comfortable experience on these longer journeys will require shared standards, interoperable systems and a unified approach
Looking ahead
As the Middle East’s rail network moves from funding and planning to design and delivery, success will depend on how effectively engineering and operations come together to serve passengers.
A world-class rail system is not defined only by its scale or speed, but by how seamlessly it connects people, cities and experiences. By embedding passenger-first thinking at the design and delivery stage, the region can transform its investments into journeys that are smart, sustainable and deeply human – completing the progression from finance and planning to future-ready delivery.
By Vijay Borse, rail engineering director at Jacobs
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US–Iran deal sets Hormuz road map17 June 2026
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The US-Iran agreement, declared complete on 14 June, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, lifts the US naval blockade and ends a war that has closed the Gulf’s export artery since 28 February. The strait reopens at Friday’s signing on paper, but the recovery will take months.
US President Donald Trump announced the deal on Truth Social, authorising the "toll-free opening" of the strait and the immediate removal of the blockade, with formal signing set for Geneva on 19 June – with vice-president JD Vance to sign for Washington and parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf for Tehran in the highest-level US-Iran meeting since 1979.
Iran’s deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi confirmed the text was finalised but said Tehran would not implement it until signing, with the strait staying closed in the interim.
Signing versus substance
The signing on 19 June is merely the starting line that will set in motion a partial reopening to traffic alongside a clearance operation to remove the mines laid by Tehran across key sections of the strait.
The memorandum gives Iranian forces 30 days from signing to clear the strait of mines. At the same time, the Pentagon’s estimates appear to suggest that a full minesweeping could take up to six months, even with three dedicated vessels in the region.
Such gaps – here a 30-day treaty obligation against a six-month operational reality – have become the running feature of the bilateral negotiations, which have been framed by mutual distrust and plagued by an absence of granular detail.
The deal is welcome for the region despite its uncertainty. Behind the mines sits a tanker backlog built over more than 100 days, and Gulf producers that throttled back production and need time and assurances to restore flow.
Before the war, roughly 100 ships transited daily; Kpler now projects around 40 a day could sail within the first month, but with an estimated 300 loaded vessels stranded on either side of the strait, and 250 more sitting empty and idle in the Gulf, it is a pressure release valve, not an immediate restoration of flow.
A total restoration of oil and trade flows is unlikely to come into view before the year’s end.
Insurance represents the second brake, with war-risk premiums standing at 1-4% of vessel value per transit, or about $8m for a $200m tanker – against less than 0.1% before the war.
Shipping associations are no less cautious, with the Baltic and International Maritime Council calling for verified mine-free routes before volume traffic resumes.
Insurance underwriters are likewise unlikely to relent on prices until clearance is confirmed.
Conditional relief
Markets have already traded the sentiment, however. Brent settled at $87.33 on 13 June – an eight-week low – and have fallen further as the deal has firmed. As of early morning trading on 16 June, the first full day of trading after the Islamic New Year, Brent was down at $78.
Yet the relief remains highly conditional: a 60-day nuclear negotiation now follows the signing, and a breakdown in either this, passage through the strait or peace in Lebanon could return the strait to crisis.
The US-touted toll-free terminology is also narrower than billed, with the Iranians instead affirming a 60-day grace period for fees but not eliminating the possibility of “fees” for navigation, environmental and insurance services after that point.
The distinction is legal, not rhetorical, with international maritime law barring tolls on passage through natural straits but permitting the imposition of service fees on vessels passing through territorial waters.
It is through this terminology that Iran is now consistently framing its plans to charge fees from passing vessels through the office of its Persian Gulf Strait Authority – established 5 May and since sanctioned by the US Treasury.
For the Gulf, a 60-day waiver that resolves into an Iranian (and possibly joint Omani) fee regime is a pause in Iran’s tollgate economy, not its end – and would represent a strategic concession for the US, the Gulf and the globe.
Levant entanglement
Lebanon is another conditional space that the deal cannot fully escape, with a flare-up on that front being the final potential trigger that could collapse the 60-day agreement.
Iran has explicitly tied a ceasefire in Lebanon to the resolution of transit in the strait, but Israel does not agree with this, and the linkage may have inadvertently handed Tel Aviv the exact tool it needs to disrupt the US–Iran ceasefire – through the simple of continuing a conflict that it already wants to continue.
Within a day of the deal, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said the IDF would stay in southern Lebanon “without any time limit”, with US officials corroborating that Israeli withdrawal was never a condition of a deal.
On the ground, the ceasefire is already looking frail, with post-deal fire straying in both directions and already endangering the regional calm and Hormuz reopening the Gulf is already pricing.
For Gulf producers and shippers, the distinction and in some cases friction between what the deal declares and what it actually delivers remains a cause for uncertainty.
A declaration is easy, but the delivery requires nuclear negotiation, mine-clearance verification, insurance repricing and a 60-day political test before barrels can again move at volume.
Trump, who has been frustrated for months with the slow progress on Iran from a US perspective, is also more than likely to be distracted by other concerns on a timeline shorter than 60 days – risking the political will to peace coming up short.
In the Gulf, whether Saudi Arabia and the UAE send cabinet-level representatives to Geneva on Friday will signal whether the region’s political leaders are willing to wield the political capital necessary to keep the US on track and pursue the ceasefire to fruition.
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