Saudi oil and gas spending to surpass 2024 level
26 March 2025

When Saudi Arabia’s Energy Ministry directed Saudi Aramco in January 2024 to abandon its campaign to expand oil production spare capacity from 12 million barrels a day (b/d) to 13 million b/d by 2027, there were concerns that it would lead to a slow year for oil and gas project spending.
Indeed, as a consequence of that government decision, Aramco cancelled the tendering process for at least 15 contracts involving the engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) of structures at offshore oil and gas fields.
Since then, however, the Saudi energy giant has gone the other way. In its financial results for 2024, Aramco reported that it increased its capital investment last year to $53.3bn, which includes $50.4bn of organic capital expenditure (capex), marking a rise of 27% compared to 2023.
Offshore spending
The capex figure for 2024 includes an estimated $5bn that Aramco spent on EPCI contracts for maintenance, modification and upgrade of infrastructure at its offshore oil and gas fields.
Italian contractor Saipem was the biggest beneficiary of Aramco’s offshore spending, winning five of the eight Contracts Release and Purchase Orders (CRPOs) awarded last year.
In early May 2024, Aramco awarded Saipem the contract for CRPO 143, which involves replacing an oil line between the Berri and Manifa oil fields in the kingdom’s Gulf waters. Aramco then awarded Saipem the contract for CRPO 138, which involves laying a trunkline at the Abu Safah offshore field. The contract is estimated to be worth $500m.
The Milan-listed contractor then scooped three CRPOs in August, starting with CRPOs 132 and 139, the combined value of which is estimated to be about $1bn. In early September, Saipem began work on the two contracts, which involve the EPCI of structures to upgrade the Marjan, Zuluf and Safaniya offshore field developments.
Aramco also awarded the Italian contractor CRPO 127 in September. The $2bn contract involves the EPCI of topsides and jackets for wellhead platforms, a tie-in platform jacket and topside, rigid flowlines, submarine composite cables and fibre optic cables at the Marjan oil and gas field.
In late November, Aramco awarded three further CRPOs, worth more than $500m. China Offshore Oil Engineering Company won CRPOs 149 and 152, which are estimated to be valued at $30m and $250m-$300m, respectively. UK-based Subsea7 secured CRPO 153, which is understood to be valued at $200m-$250m.

Upstream increase
Saudi Aramco is expected to increase spending even further in 2025, based on its capital investment guidance in the range of $52bn-$58bn for 2025, excluding about $4bn of project financing.
It is anticipated that the majority of this capex budget will be allocated to upstream schemes, as Aramco is still responsible for maintaining Saudi Arabia’s spare oil production capacity at 12 million b/d. With Riyadh set to raise its oil production from April as part of a wider Opec+ plan, Aramco will be required to tap into its spare output capacity.
In its financial statement for 2024, Aramco said its spare capacity of 12 million b/d “provides flexibility to help meet potential oil demand growth”, adding that if necessary, using 1 million b/d of existing spare capacity could “generate an additional $12bn in operating cash flow, based on 2024’s average price” of $80.2 a barrel.
In addition, Amin Nasser, Aramco’s president and CEO, was quoted in the financial statement as saying that “global oil demand reached new highs in 2024, and we expect further growth in 2025”.
“With dependable and more sustainable energy key to global economic growth, we continue to make progress on projects to maintain our maximum sustainable crude oil capacity, expand our gas capabilities, achieve further integration of our upstream and downstream businesses to capture additional value, and help mitigate greenhouse gas emissions,” Nasser said.
Saudi Arabia’s offshore fields contain most of the kingdom’s hydrocarbons reserves and it has therefore been forecast that offshore EPCI projects will dominate Aramco’s upstream spending in 2025.
Aramco is in the bid evaluation and tendering stages for a total of 12 additional offshore tenders, including four CRPOs – numbers 145, 146, 147 and 148 – for work on the expansion of the Zuluf field development.
In December, contractors in Aramco’s Long-Term Agreement (LTA) pool of offshore service providers submitted bids for the four tenders, which are estimated to be worth a total of $6bn. The contract awards are due in the second quarter of this year.
LTA contractors also submitted bids in December for CRPO 150, a $350m-$400m tender involving the installation of structures at Aramco’s Northern Area Oil Operations.
Also in December, Aramco issued seven further CRPOs to its LTA pool of contractors. Bids for CRPOs 157, 158, 159 and 160 – relating to the EPCI of several structures at the Abu Safah, Berri, Manifa and Zuluf fields – are due to be submitted by 13 April.
CRPOs 154, 155 and 156 cover the next expansion phase of the Safaniya field. Offshore LTA contractors are due to submit bids for these three tenders by 31 July.
Gas focus
In line with its aim of increasing gas production by 60% by 2030, with 2021 as its baseline, Aramco is on course to further advance its Jafurah unconventional gas production programme. Located in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province, the Jafurah basin holds the largest liquid-rich shale gas play in the Middle East, with an estimated 200 trillion cubic feet of gas in place. This shale play covers an area of 17,000 square kilometres.
The Jafurah project is a key component of Aramco’s long-term gas production strategy. The company expects the overall lifecycle investment at Jafurah to exceed $100bn.
In February 2020, Aramco received a capex grant of $110bn from the Saudi government for the long-term phased development of the Jafurah unconventional gas resource base.
Aramco is estimated to have spent a total of $25bn on three development phases of the Jafurah unconventional gas reserve. Most recently, in July 2024, a consortium of Spanish contractor Tecnicas Reunidas and China’s Sinopec Group was awarded a $2.24bn contract to perform engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on the third expansion phase.
The fourth Jafurah expansion phase is estimated to be valued at about $2.5bn. The main scope of work involves the EPC of three gas compression plants, each with a capacity of 200 million cubic feet a day (cf/d).
Bids for the fourth phase of Jafurah were submitted in mid-January and are being evaluated by Aramco, with the contract award due in the second quarter of 2025.
Looking ahead, Aramco is preparing to start the tendering process for the fifth Jafurah expansion phase later this year. The project, which is in the front-end engineering and design stage, is expected to add another 200 million cf/d of output capacity at the Jafurah master development.
MEED’s April 2025 report on Saudi Arabia also includes:
> DOWNSTREAM: Aramco’s recalibrated chemical goals reflect realism
> POWER: Saudi power sector enters busiest year
> WATER: Saudi water contracts set another annual record
> CONSTRUCTION: Reprioritisation underpins Saudi construction
> TRANSPORT: Riyadh pushes ahead with infrastructure development
> BANKING: Saudi banks work to keep pace with credit expansion
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Saudi-Dutch JV awards ‘supercentre’ metals reclamation project22 December 2025
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QatarEnergy LNG awards $4bn gas project package22 December 2025
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Managing risk in the GCC construction market19 December 2025
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Photo credit: SARBV
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QatarEnergy LNG, formerly Qatargas, is said to have issued the tender for the NFPS phase two COMP5 package in the first quarter of the year.
Contractors submitted technical bids for the COMP5 package in late June, while commercial bids were submitted by 8 October, as per sources.
Based upon initial evaluation of bids by QatarEnergy LNG, L&TEH has emerged as the lowest bidder for the COMP5 package, followed by McDermott, with the consortium of Saipem and COOEC in third place, MEED reported in late October.
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The detailed scope of work on the COMP5 package covers the EPCI work on the following:
- Two gas compression platforms, each weighing 30,000-35,000 tonnes, plus jacket
- Two living quarters platforms, plus jacket
- Two gas flare platforms, plus jacket
- Brownfield modification work at two complexes
NFPS scheme
QatarEnergy’s North Field liquefied natural gas (LNG) expansion programme requires the state enterprise to pump large volumes of gas from the North Field offshore reserve to feed the three phases of the estimated $40bn-plus programme.
QatarEnergy has already invested billions of dollars in engineering, procurement and construction works on the two phases of the NFPS project, which aims to maintain steady gas feedstock for the North Field LNG expansion phases.
The second NFPS phase will mainly involve building gas compression facilities to sustain and gradually increase gas production from Qatar’s offshore North Field gas reserve over the long term.
Saipem has been the most successful contractor on the second NFPS phase, securing work worth a total of $8.5bn.
QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem a $4.5bn order in October 2022 to build and install gas compression facilities. The main scope of work on the package, which is known as EPCI 2, covers two large gas compression complexes that will comprise decks, jackets, topsides, interconnecting bridges, flare platforms, living quarters and interface modules.
The gas compression complexes – CP65 and CP75 – will weigh 62,000 tonnes and 63,000 tonnes, respectively, and will be the largest fixed steel jacket compression platforms ever built.
Following that, Saipem won combined packages COMP3A and COMP3B of the NFPS project’s second phase in September last year.
The scope of work on the combined packages encompasses the EPCI of a total of six platforms, approximately 100 kilometres (km) of corrosion resistance alloy rigid subsea pipelines of 28-inches and 24-inches diameter, 100km of subsea composite cables, 150km of fibre optic cables and several other subsea units.
Separately, QatarEnergy LNG awarded McDermott the contract for the NFPS second phase package known as EPCI 1, or COMP1, in July 2023. The scope of work on the estimated $1bn-plus contract is to install a subsea gas pipeline network at the North Field gas development.
In March this year, India’s Larsen & Toubro Energy Hydrocarbon (LTEH) won the main contract for the combined 4A and 4B package, which is the fourth package of the second phase of the NFPS project and is estimated to be valued at $4bn-$5bn.
The main scope of work on the package is the EPCI of two large gas compression systems that will be known as CP8S and CP4N, each weighing 25,000-35,000 tonnes. The contract scope also includes compression platforms, flare gas platforms and other associated structures.
LTHE sub-contracted detailed engineering and design works on the combined 4A and 4B package to French contractor Technip Energies.
NFPS first phase
Saipem is also executing the EPCI works on the entire first phase of the NFPS project, which consists of two main packages.
Through the first phase of the NFPS scheme, QatarEnergy LNG aims to increase the early gas field production capacity of the North Field offshore development to 110 million tonnes a year.
QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem the contract for the EPCI package in February 2021. The package is the larger of the two NFPS phase one packages and has a value of $1.7bn.
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QatarEnergy LNG awarded Saipem the second package of the NFPS phase one project, estimated to be worth $1bn, in March 2021.
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Managing risk in the GCC construction market19 December 2025

The scale and complexity of construction projects under way in the GCC region has attracted global attention. And while large-scale project announcements continue to dominate the headlines, the underlying risks – insufficient financing, harsh contract clauses and a tendency to delay dispute resolution – are often overlooked.
Around the region, many contractors are experiencing difficulties once projects have started because they mistakenly believe they have the necessary in-house skillsets to navigate these complex issues.
MEED has convened a panel of construction consultants and specialists to develop a checklist to help contractors and subcontractors operating in the region to navigate the market’s challenges as the sector moves into 2026.
The proactive steps are aimed at positioning a company so that it can maximise recovery and mitigate threats posed by unresolved claims and poor commercial or contractual administration.
Systemic risk
The regional market is characterised by several systemic issues that amplify risks for contractors.
The fundamental problem is finance. Projects frequently suffer because they are not fully financed from the start, which places financial strain on contractors. This problem is then compounded by the region’s traditional contractual environment, which means disputes are typically not finalised until well after jobs have been completed, creating cash flow problems for contractors, particularly near the end of such projects.
Further financial strain is created by unconditional performance guarantees and retention. The combined requirement for advance payment bonds, a 10% performance bond and sometimes 5%-10% retention represents a significant draw on contractors’ cash flow. The growing tendency of employers to pull bonds further exacerbates the situation.
Many contractors sign up to one-sided contracts so as to secure more work, rather than challenging their employers. Key contractual issues include:
> Unrealistic timelines: Contractors set themselves up to fail by accepting unrealistic timescales on projects, despite the knowledge that the work often takes twice as long.
> Deficient design: A major risk, particularly on high-profile projects, is a lack of specification and design progress. Many contracts, such as the heavily modified Silver Book – a standard contract published by the International Federation of Consulting Engineers (Fidic) for turnkey engineering, procurement and construction projects – presuppose that the contractor has sufficient information to design, build and deliver, even when there is substantive information missing, which renders lump-sum pricing obsolete and inevitably leads to dispute.
> Lowest-bid mentality: Contractors often fail to factor necessary commercial support from legal and claims specialists into their tender figures, making their bid appear more competitive but leaving them without a budget to seek help until it is too late. As a result, projects are managed with budgets that are barely sufficient, rather than being run properly to a successful conclusion.

Supply-chain erosion
The quality and capacity of the subcontractor market, particularly in the mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) field, has eroded significantly.
Some major MEP players have closed or left the market due to underpricing, prompting contractors to call in their performance bonds. This means the region is receiving progressively lower quality for increasingly higher costs, further straining the delivery phase for main contractors.
The risk of subcontractor insolvency is increasing and must now be considered a primary project risk. Contractors should monitor financial health, diversify subcontractor dependencies, challenge allocated resources and secure step-in rights wherever possible.
Many Silver Book contracts in the GCC now include heavily amended, employer-friendly clauses that push design and ground-risk even further onto the contractor – often beyond what Fidic intended. These amendments require careful review and firm pushback.
The GCC remains a market of opportunity, but success in 2026 will belong to contractors that combine disciplined tendering, transparent commercial governance and early issue resolution. Optimism is not a strategy; preparation is.
A 10-point checklist for contractors in 2026
1. Mandate contractual due diligence: Invest time and money into a thorough contract review before signing. Be prepared to challenge harsh clauses, particularly those unfairly allocating risk, such as unknown conditions and full design responsibility. Assume that bespoke rather than standard amendments govern your entitlement. Treat the special conditions as the real contract.
2. Factor commercial support into the budget: Do not omit the cost of essential commercial support from the tender, such as quantity surveyor teams, quantum and delay specialists, legal review and claims preparation. Even if not visible in the front-line figures, this cost – which could be as low as 0.01% of the project value – must be factored in to ensure a budget for early and continuous engagement.
3. Prepare a realistic baseline programme: Stop committing to programmes just to fit the tender. Develop a realistic programme from the start, identifying risks and including necessary code books to track delays early. Consider commissioning an independent programme review at the tender stage – this is common internationally and reduces later arguments about logic, durations and sequencing.
4. Confirm project funding: Ensure that the project financing is fully in position before starting work. Many problems stem from projects that are only partially financed, leading to cash running out near completion. Gone are the days of not asking employers for greater transparency when it comes to funding projects.
5. Establish a strong commercial and claims function: This is where commercial management starts. Set up systems to ensure contractual compliance, including seven-day claim notifications. Variations are inevitable, and proper substantiation is required to secure entitlement – if it is not recorded, it cannot be recovered. Diaries, cost records and notice logs remain the foundation of entitlement.
6. Seek early specialist engagement: Prevention is better than a cure. Bring in specialists early to examine time and cost issues before problems arise. Consultants can provide advice, help set up the correct commercial systems and prevent the escalation of unresolved issues.
7. Adopt an old-school approach to claims management: Technology is useful, but nothing beats resolving issues face to face. Engage directly with the employer’s team regularly to negotiate and agree claims early. This manages the client’s expectations when it comes to budgeting and allows the contractor to secure cash flow sooner. A simple early-warning culture – even when not contractually required – prevents surprises and builds trust with the client.
8. Avoid wasting resources: Focus claims efforts only on events that are actually recoverable and demonstrably critical. Contractors often waste time chasing things that will not be recoverable. Prioritise issues that are both time-critical and clearly fall under the employer’s risk – everything else should be logged but not pursued aggressively.
9. Upskill internal teams: Use specialist involvement as an opportunity to upskill your in-house commercial team. Have them sit alongside specialist consultants to learn proper commercial and contractual administration processes, creating a lasting work-culture benefit.
10. Push for faster dispute resolution: When a dispute arises, advocate for a swift resolution mechanism like adjudication, mediation or expert determination to temporarily resolve cash flow issues. Dispute adjudication boards are intended to give quick, interim decisions. However, if not set up from the start of the project, the process becomes protracted – sometimes taking many months – so fails to provide the cash-flow relief contractors urgently need. Where clients resist adjudication, propose interim binding mediation or expert determinations, or failing this, milestone-based dispute workshops – anything that accelerates getting cash back on site. MEED would like to thank Refki El-Mujtahed of REM Consultant Services (refki@rem-consultant.com; www.rem-consultant.com) for facilitating this article, as well as the following co-contributors:
Aevum Consult | Lawrence Baker | lawrence.baker@aevumconsult.com | www.aevumconsult.com
Decerno Consultancy | Lee Sporle | leesporle@decernoconsultancy.com | www.decernoconsultancy.com
Desimone Consulting | Mark Winrow | Mark.Winrow@de-simone.com | www.de-simone.com
Forttas | Derek O’Reilly & Martin Hall | derek.oreilly@forttas.com & martin.hall@forttas.com | www.forttas.com
IDH Consult | Ian Hedderick | ian.hedderick@idhconsult.com | www.idhconsult.com
White Consulting | Nigel White | nigelwhite@whiteconsulting-me.com | www.whiteconsulting-me.com
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