meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Saudi lenders gear up for corporate growth

13 March 2024

MEED's April 2024 special report on Saudi Arabia includes:

> GVT & ECONOMY: Saudi Arabia seeks diversification amid regional tensions
> UPSTREAM: Aramco spending drawdown to jolt oil projects
> DOWNSTREAM: Master Gas System spending stimulates Saudi downstream sector
> POWER: Riyadh to sustain power spending
> WATER: Growth inevitable for the Saudi water sector
> CONSTRUCTION: Saudi gigaprojects propel construction sector
> TRANSPORT: Saudi Arabia’s transport sector offers prospects

 

As Saudi Arabia’s once rapacious mortgage market slows down, lenders in the kingdom are building up their corporate loan books. 

Banks’ exposure to the retail market is steadily reducing as the growth of the mortgage market – the big driver of credit growth in recent years – abates. Saudi lenders reported mortgage lending growth of 8% in the first nine months of 2023, compared to 19% in September 2022.

And where once the split between new business booked by Saudi banks was weighted 60:40 on retail and corporate, the split in 2023 was 50:50.

“We have noticed a decrease in Casa (current account and savings accounts). It used to be almost 70% a couple of years ago, but now it is close to 50%, and it means that the cost of funding is growing too,” says Anton Lopatin, senior director, financial institutions at Fitch Ratings.

Changing landscape

One component of this is the moderation of mortgage financing on the back of tightening subsidies and higher interest rates. “In general, the affordability of mortgage financing is less now and we see banks switching their focus to corporate lending. There’s a bit of reshuffling going on and we think that about 60% of the financing growth in 2024 will be from the corporate sector,” says Lopatin.

While Saudi Arabia's Vison 2030 projects have yet make little impact on local banks’ loan books, the expectation is that this will change, and that major economic diversification initiatives will yield good business for Saudi banks.

In the meantime, these lenders must deal with some near-term challenges in 2024, notably higher liquidity – a contrast to the situation in 2022, when financing growth of 14% outpaced deposit growth at 9%, and higher interest rates intensified competition for funding, according to Fitch Ratings. Data from the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (Sama) shows that the kingdom’s money supply surged 10% in January 2024 to reach SR2.72tn ($726bn).

That growth was primarily driven by a significant rise in banks’ term and savings accounts, which recorded a rise of 31% to reach SR864.32bn ($230.4bn). These deposits have attracted savings looking for higher yields.

Government reallocation

Another trend has been that government-related entities (GREs) have made moves to increase deposits in the banking system. According to Fitch, liquidity has been supported by increased deposit inflows from GREs, which grew by SAR147bn ($39.2) or 23% in the 12 months to the end of October 2023. Another ratings agency, S&P, noted that the contribution of government and GRE deposits increased to 30% of the total by 2023 from almost 20% in 2020.

According to Fitch, these inflows are mainly term deposits, which are an expensive source of funding for banks. This increase, plus higher competition for funding, has significantly raised the average cost of funding for Saudi banks; it rose to 2.7% in the first nine months of 2023, compared to just 0.4% in 2021. 

“There’s been a change in how the Saudi authorities are managing GRE liquidity,” says Lopatin, who notes that GREs are now choosing to invest their surplus liquidity in higher income-generating deposits with commercial banks, rather than with Sama.

“Since July last year, we’ve seen a significant increase in government-related deposits in the banking sector. And we understand they have adjusted this approach, and now the government entities directly deposit with banks, instead of using the central bank as an additional chain into distribution of liquidity. That is also more efficient.”

Challenging conditions

Banking conditions in Saudi Arabia are looking more challenging in 2024 than in previous years. As Fitch notes, Saudi banks on average saw financing growth slightly above 10% for 2023, and the expectation is that growth will also be about 10% in 2024 – below the expansion of 14% seen in 2022.

Some banks that used to have stronger net margins have reported declines because of the focus on mortgage financing –which is under fixed rates in the kingdom – in conjunction with an increased cost of funding on the back of a declining proportion of Casa accounts. For example, Al Rajhi Banking & Investment Corporation reported that funding costs increased by 74% in year-on-year terms in 2023.

“Al Rajhi’s margins were under pressure last year but are now roughly in line with the sector average of 3.2%,” says Lopatin.

In general, UAE banks reported stronger margins than Saudi banks in 2023, says Lopatin. This is because, in combination with tightening liquidity, Saudi lenders have less ability to manage their margins.

Corporate lending in the kingdom will likely receive a boost from Vision 2030 projects.

“We expect more Vision 2030-related financing to appear on banks’ books this year. It’s still not very material, but most banks want to participate as they see these projects as having a decent balance between risk and reward,” says Lopatin.

Rating agency S&P has said that Saudi banks will need stronger access to international capital to sustain growth and continue financing projects related to Vision 2030. For now, the dependence of Saudi banks on external funding is limited.

Over the long-term, if Saudi banks do build more external debt, that could pose another challenge. International investors now have sustainability at the centre of their investment mandates, and local lenders will also need to look more seriously at their own sustainability metrics.

For example, last year, a panel of UN-appointed human rights specialists was reported to have sent letters to Saudi Aramco and financiers including Citi, Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas, noting that their financing of the state energy company may be in violation of global human rights rules due to the company’s contribution to climate change. The letter urged the banks to take reasonable steps to prevent or mitigate the impact.

If Saudi banks do become major lenders to Vision 2030 schemes, and therefore need to source funds from outside the kingdom, they too will have to acclimatise to the new global reality – even if that is not a pressing requirement right now.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11587887/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Adnoc Distribution signs deal to enter South Africa

    14 July 2026

    Adnoc Distribution, the fuel retailing business of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc Group), has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire 100% of the share capital of UK energy major Shell’s downstream unit in South Africa.

    The proposed acquisition is estimated to have an enterprise value of approximately $1bn for 100% of the share capital of Shell Downstream South Africa (SDSA), part of Shell South Africa Holdings, prior to adjustment for net debt and working capital.

    The transaction is expected to close in 2027, subject to customary regulatory conditions, other conditions precedent and closing conditions, Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange-listed Adnoc Distribution said.

    Additionally, Adnoc Distribution intends to sell a 28% stake in SDSA to a local empowerment partner and employee stock option plan following completion of the acquisition.

    Furthermore, Adnoc Distribution will enter into a long-term brand licensing agreement upon completion of the acquisition, to retain the Shell brand for retail service stations and lubricants businesses in South Africa.

    BofA Securities acted as the sole financial advisor. A&O Shearman and ENS provided legal counsel to Adnoc Distribution on the transaction.

    SDSA represents Shell’s downstream business in South Africa, including a network of 580 company- and dealer-owned mobility and convenience sites, as well as lubricants, commercial fuels, aviation and marine businesses. The brand had fuel volumes of approximately 3.5 billion litres and operated 360 convenience stores as of 2025.

    The proposed acquisition will mark a step forward in Adnoc Distribution’s international expansion, as well as in its drive to grow its fuel retail presence in Africa.

    South Africa is the fourth country where Adnoc Distribution will operate and follows its acquisition of a 50% stake in TotalEnergies Marketing Egypt in 2023 and the 2018 launch of its retail fuel stations in Saudi Arabia.

    Established in 1973, Adnoc Distribution has 1,032 service stations – 568 in the UAE, 219 in Saudi Arabia and 245 in Egypt, as of 31 March this year.

    As a non-fuel retail leader in the UAE, it operates 386 Adnoc Oasis convenience stores, 37 vehicle inspection centres and other services such as car wash and lube change, and has 400 electric vehicle charging points installed under the E2Go brand in the UAE.

    The company is also a marketer and distributor of fuels to commercial, industrial and government customers throughout the UAE.

    READ THE JULY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Stress test for Gulf aviation; Mixed performance as country outlooks diverge in the Levant; GCC tourism sector pivots from crisis to recovery mode.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17664769/main4804.jpg
    Indrajit Sen
  • Expo 2030 Riyadh construction gathers pace

    14 July 2026

     

    Construction activity at the Expo 2030 Riyadh site is accelerating, with Expo Riyadh 2030 Company (ERC) moving to award its first major vertical contracts and advancing infrastructure works across a programme that will eventually require between 50,000 and 70,000 workers at peak.

    Saudi Arabia’s first World Expo runs from 1 October 2030 to 31 March 2031. Riyadh was awarded the hosting rights in November 2023, winning the vote in the first round, and the event is projected to attract more than 40 million visits over its six months. Beyond the event itself, the project carries significant economic weight: ERC, wholly owned by the Public Investment Fund (PIF), expects the construction phase and legacy development to contribute around $64bn to Saudi GDP and generate approximately 171,000 direct and indirect jobs, with the live event contributing a further $5.6bn.

    The masterplan covers 6 million square metres to the north of Riyadh, adjacent to the future King Salman International airport. After the event closes, ERC plans to transform the site into a global village combining retail, food and beverage and an international residential community – meaning every asset being built now is being designed with its post-Expo purpose in mind.

    Infrastructure works under way

    The earliest works on site – bulk earthworks including cut, fill and levelling – have been completed by local contractor Binyah, with millions of cubic metres of material moved to bring the site to design level.

    The programme has now moved into utility infrastructure, which has been split into two packages. Nesma is constructing the primary utility networks – the main corridor running around the site carrying high-voltage power lines, water mains, sewerage and communications – while Al-Yamama is delivering the secondary networks that bring services into the central event area, with construction expected to commence this month.

    Power has been a priority. ERC has worked with the Saudi electricity sector since 2025 to develop the site’s demand profile, and an agreement for permanent supply has been signed. Design and procurement of the main substation and primary power infrastructure are under way, with a contract award expected within weeks and full permanent power – at a capacity of 400MW – targeted approximately 18 months ahead of the event.

    An initial 25MW supply to power site operations and support testing and commissioning is already installed and ready to be energised.

    On water, ERC is finalising an agreement with the Royal Commission for Riyadh City (RCRC), the Saudi Water Authority and the National Water Company, with an announcement expected in Q3 and construction targeted to start in 2027.

    Transport and connectivity

    With more than 42 million visits anticipated over the six-month event, transport connectivity is treated as central to the project’s success. ERC is working with RCRC on a mobility plan that covers several modes. Two road enhancement projects around the airport and along King Salman Road are expected to be announced shortly, increasing capacity on the main arteries approaching the site.

    A dedicated Expo metro station on Riyadh Metro Line 4 – which connects the airport to the city centre – will be built within the site boundary, forming the first stop from the airport towards Riyadh, and providing a direct link for international arrivals.

    A park-and-ride programme using dedicated bus lanes will serve domestic visitors parking at locations across the city.

    A hotel within the fenced Expo site is also nearing contract, with a design agreement close to signature. ERC says the intention is to give guests staying on site “the full experience from early morning when the gates open until late at night when the gates close” – an offer it expects will prove particularly popular with international visitors.

    Pavilions and vertical assets

    The Expo's masterplan is organised around five districts, each echoing one of the event’s sub-themes under its overarching theme of Foresight for Tomorrow: planet, people, technology, collaboration and culture. ERC is responsible for delivering a signature pavilion in each district, plus an iconic structure in the Global Collaboration district and a convention centre intended to serve both the event and Riyadh’s long-term conference market.

    The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) Pavilion, one of the centrepieces of the event, is also under ERC’s delivery responsibility. Design work is progressing across all these assets with engineering firms taking concepts through to schematic and detailed design.

    For international participating countries, this edition of the Expo marks a significant departure from previous editions. Rather than grouping lower-income countries into shared halls, all participants will have their own national pavilion.

    “In this edition, we are following the ‘one nation, one pavilion’ model, whereby each country has its own pavilion, and we have a dedicated budget to help up to 100 eligible countries deliver those pavilions,” says Murad Al-Sayed, ERC’s chief delivery officer.

    Contracting strategy

    The contracting approach for vertical assets is being calibrated to the complexity of each building. Less complex assets will be procured on a design-and-build basis.

    For the most complex – the KSA Pavilion and the iconic structure – ERC is using a two-stage model, separating enabling works and substructure from the main contract. This allows construction to begin on site while the main package is finalised and brings contractors into the design process earlier.

    “We are adopting different contracting strategies depending on the asset – its size, complexity and anticipated construction duration,” Al-Sayed says.

    For the KSA Pavilion, enabling and substructure works are already in the market, with an award targeted in Q3, allowing construction to start before the main contract – for which nine tier-one contractors, local and international, have been invited to bid – is awarded towards the end of the year. Packages for the remaining signature pavilions are expected to follow later this year and into 2026.

    On commercial terms, ERC is favouring lump-sum contracts where design maturity allows, with provisional sum or remeasurement provisions used where elements remain in development. A final public realm package, covering site-wide finishing works, remains under design and is expected to be tendered in 2026, sequenced deliberately to be installed last and once only ahead of the event.

    Bidding appetite from the market has been strong. ERC says all tenders issued to date have attracted healthy numbers of qualified bids, reflecting a contracting market that has eased over the past 18 months as several gigaprojects elsewhere in the kingdom have reached completion or had their timelines revised.

    Programme and supply chain

    ERC is targeting completion of major construction by the end of 2029, leaving six to nine months for finishing, snagging and operational testing. To ease the build programme for international participants, ERC is making plots available up to 36 months before the event – around nine to 12 months longer than the industry norm – giving countries more schedule float to complete their pavilions.

    On the supply chain, ERC is leaning heavily on local manufacturers for current infrastructure work, covering piping, cabling, electrical equipment and bulk materials. As construction moves above ground and international participants begin work on their pavilions from 2027 onwards, ERC will make its database of prequalified local contractors, suppliers and consultants available to them through a dedicated one-stop shop – a registration exercise already under way and expected to remain open until the event itself.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17664502/main.gif
    Colin Foreman
  • Masdar reaches financial close on world-first 24/7 solar project

    14 July 2026

    Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) has reached financial close on the world's first gigascale round-the-clock renewable energy project, securing a $5.1bn financing package from a consortium of 13 international and local banks.

    The project, being developed in Abu Dhabi with state offtaker Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec), represents a total capital investment of $6.1bn, with Masdar providing $1bn of equity. It integrates a 5.2GW solar photovoltaic (PV) plant with a 19 gigawatt-hour battery energy storage system, which Masdar says is the largest of its kind in the world.

    The 13 lenders providing the financing are Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, France's BNP Paribas, Bank of China, France's Credit Agricole Corporate & Investment Bank, Dubai Islamic Bank, First Abu Dhabi Bank, UK-based HSBC, Germany's KfW Ipex-Bank, France's Natixis, Japan's Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation, UK-based Standard Chartered Bank and France's Societe Generale.

    The independent power project is designed to deliver 1GW of baseload power around the clock, addressing the challenge of solar intermittency by pairing large-scale generation with battery storage. It is intended to serve large energy users requiring 24/7 clean electricity, including data centre operators and technology firms driving artificial intelligence deployment in the region.

    Ewec will act as offtaker under a long-term power purchase agreement, while private offtakers such as data centres will access electricity through back-to-back arrangements.

    India's Larsen & Toubro and Beijing-headquartered PowerChina are handling engineering, procurement and construction works, with PwC Middle East advising Ewec on financial structuring. China's CATL will supply the battery storage system, while Jinko Solar and JA Solar will each provide 2.6GW of PV modules.

    Masdar broke ground on the project in October 2025, and it is expected to be operational in 2027. The scheme will avoid 5.7 million tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions a year and provide enough clean energy to power nearly half a million homes.

    The developer has a diversified portfolio of more than 65GW and has set a target of reaching 100GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030.

    READ THE JULY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Stress test for Gulf aviation; Mixed performance as country outlooks diverge in the Levant; GCC tourism sector pivots from crisis to recovery mode.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17664609/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Jordan tenders IPP8 power project

    14 July 2026

    Jordan’s National Electric Power Company (Nepco) has issued a tender for a contract to develop the 700MW combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) power project known as independent power project 8 (IPP8).

    Companies understood to have prequalified include France’s EDF, Saudi Arabia’s Acwa and Egypt’s Orascom Construction. Bids are due in July, although the market expects the closing date may be extended.

    MEED reported in November last year that Nepco had invited developers to submit prequalification documents for IPP8. The project will be developed on a build, own and operate (BOO) basis and will supply power to the national grid under a 25-year agreement.

    Natural gas will serve as the primary fuel, with light distillate as backup. The facility will be connected to Nepco’s 132kV/400kV transmission infrastructure, which will be built separately.

    In April, MEED reported that Nepco had signed an agreement to establish a natural gas supply point for the 700MW IPP7. The agreement was signed with Fajr Jordanian-Egyptian for Natural Gas Transmission and Supply to support fuel provision for the CCGT plant.

    The plant will be developed in partnership with Etihad Development Company, a subsidiary of the UAE’s Etihad Water & Electricity (EtihadWE), following recent approval by the Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources.

    The IPP7 plant is expected to meet about 10% of Jordan’s electricity demand once operational. It is also intended to enhance the reliability and efficiency of the national power system.

    The project is scheduled to become operational between 2027 and 2028.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17662814/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Indian firm wins Oman’s Al-Dhahirah economic zone deal

    14 July 2026

    Oman Shapoorji Company, the local branch of India's Shapoorji Pallonji, has won an estimated $67m contract to construct an administrative and commercial buildings complex within the Economic Zone at Al-Dhahirah (Ezad).

    The scope of work includes the construction of an administration building, a commercial centre, a hotel and a health centre.

    The scope also covers the construction of roads, sewers and water, irrigation and landscaping works.

    Oman’s Public Authority for Special Economic Zones & Free Zones (Opaz) tendered the contract.

    In July last year, MEED reported that Opaz had signed seven agreements and memorandums of understanding (MoUs) for the first phase of development of Ezad.

    The zone is located in Al-Dhahirah Governorate in northwestern Oman, on the sultanate’s borders with Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Oman’s Finance Ministry and the Saudi Fund for Development signed an MoU in February 2023 to jointly invest $320m in developing Ezad.

    Among the agreements was a contract awarded by Opaz for the construction of main roads and the surface water drainage system at Ezad, valued at $58m. A consortium of Omani and Saudi contractors won the contract, which had a duration of 24 months.

    Opaz awarded two further contracts for engineering consultancy work to Oman-based Al-Watanyiah United Engineering and Saudi Arabia’s Dar Al-Riyadh. As part of their contracts, both firms were to prepare architectural, structural and infrastructure designs for projects in Ezad; provide technical advice; perform feasibility studies; and assist with approvals.

    Opaz intends to develop 20 square kilometres (sq km) of the total land area allocated to Ezad as part of the first phase of development, with 7.5 sq km of that earmarked for fast-track development.

    READ THE JULY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Stress test for Gulf aviation; Mixed performance as country outlooks diverge in the Levant; GCC tourism sector pivots from crisis to recovery mode.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17661726/main.gif
    Yasir Iqbal