Riyadh steps up the Vision 2030 tempo
22 March 2023

Riyadh has begun pushing ahead with many of its Vision 2030 initiatives at a faster pace and in a much more tangible manner in the past six months, with the go-ahead given for several infrastructure packages on the kingdom’s flagship Neom project.
More than $13bn-worth of work has been awarded on Neom-linked projects since the start of 2022, including initial piling and tunnel blasting and drilling work for the Line development. More than $7bn has also been awarded in just the past five months, including $4.5bn across community housing schemes.
There has been equally robust activity on the other four official Public Investment Fund (PIF) gigaprojects. Projects worth another $1.8bn have been awarded since 2021 on the Diriyah Gate project, alongside $1.5bn-worth on the Roshn housing programme and $1.1bn each on the Red Sea Project and Qiddiya entertainment city.
Investment uptick
The shift in project tempo has also been matched by a step-up in other Vision 2030 initiatives, including the Shareek investment programme, which is aimed at supporting large Saudi companies in boosting the economic contribution of the kingdom’s private sector.
On 1 March, Saudi Arabia announced $51bn-worth of investments across eight Saudi companies as part of the programme. By 2030, Riyadh wants to increase the private sector GDP contribution to 65 per cent, while increasing the country’s non-oil exports from 16 to 50 per cent.
For external investors too, Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 plans are the top opportunity in the region, according to a recent poll by Egyptian financial services firm EFG Hermes. The survey showed that 34 per cent of respondents viewed Vision 2030 as the most important source of current investment opportunities.
There are meanwhile 23 companies waiting to list on the Saudi stock exchange. Those companies “are essentially on the runway waiting for the appropriate time, and obviously market conditions”, according to Mohammed ElKuwaiz, the chairman of the Capital Market Authority.
Last year was a record-breaking year for Saudi Arabia’s capital markets, with companies raising about $10.7bn (SR40bn) from initial public offerings (IPOs). The country also led regional IPO activity, with 34 out of the 48 GCC IPOs debuting on either the Tadawul or the Nomu.
Looking ahead, the Saudi market regulator is reviewing a further 77 IPO applications. It is also formulating a framework for dual listings, following the example of Americana, the first company to be dually listed in the kingdom and the UAE.
More broadly, the business confidence in the non-oil private sector continues to swell. In February, Saudi Arabia’s non-oil business activity reached its highest level in eight years due to a surge in demand, according to the Riyad Bank–S&P Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index.
The index – in which a figure above 50 indicates expansion – increased from 58.2 to 59.8 in the fastest rate of increase since March 2015. The new orders component of the index rose to a record high of 68.7, with over 42 per cent of surveyed companies reporting a rise in new orders. The overall higher output also saw further employment and purchasing expansion.

Despite tighter monetary conditions, Naif al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank’s chief economist, noted the robust demand and supply balance spurred by the ongoing projects in the kingdom, which has caused “sharper uplifts in output and new orders for firms, as well as rising demand for labour”.
He added that while “prices have responded to the surge in demand, with the increase in input costs evident especially in the services and construction sectors”, business confidence remains high amid expectations for strong ongoing activity over the next 12 months.
Growth forecast
Despite the positive economic signs, the IMF reduced its 2023 GDP projection for Saudi Arabia to 2.6 per cent in January. This is in response to Opec+ agreements to restrict oil production 1.3 percentage points below the projection of 3.9 per cent growth in its October outlook.
Though non-oil growth remains strong, the reduction in oil output will unavoidably impact Saudi Arabia’s topline GDP. At the same time, the toll on oil revenue should be relatively contained and not unduly affect the kingdom’s capital spending, which is at this point being backed by a diverse pool of both sovereign and private assets.
According to a late February forecast by Riyad Capital, Saudi Arabia’s economy could grow by 3 per cent in 2023, driven principally by a pick-up in the non-oil sector, which it predicts will see a growth rate of 5 per cent this year.
In 2022, Saudi Arabia witnessed its strongest growth in the third quarter, when the GDP rate hit 8.8 per cent, according to the IMF, boosted by a 6.2 per cent growth rate for non-oil activity.
Riyad Capital also expects the weaker oil prices during the first half of 2023 to recover in the second half of the year, with Brent crude expected to end 2023 at a level above $100 a barrel.
MEED's April 2023 special report on Saudi Arabia includes:
> CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction project ramp-up accelerates
> UPSTREAM: Aramco slated to escalate upstream spending
> DOWNSTREAM: Petchems ambitions define Saudi downstream
> POWER: Saudi Arabia reinvigorates power sector
> WATER: Saudi water begins next growth phase
> BANKING: Saudi banks bid to keep ahead of the pack
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Saudi projects hold steady24 September 2026
Commentary
Colin Foreman
EditorSaudi Arabia’s project market is holding steady in 2026, with contract awards reaching $68bn in the year so far. The resilience is notable given the regional conflict that began in February and ongoing security threats that have disrupted shipping through key maritime chokepoints.
The kingdom’s investment strategy has also shifted. After years of aggressive project spending through sovereign wealth vehicle the Public Investment Fund, Riyadh has moved towards event-driven procurement with fixed deadlines: the 2034 Fifa World Cup, Expo 2030 Riyadh and non-negotiable housing and healthcare commitments, together with a focus on the future economy with major investments earmarked for data centres.
The approach is leaner than the sprawling gigaproject model that characterised early Vision 2030 years, and more focused on achieving tangible milestones.
Construction contract awards hit $20bn in the first half of this year, maintaining momentum against the backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty and a GDP contraction in the second quarter.
Saudi Aramco’s upstream investment programme remains substantial, with $50bn-$55bn committed for 2026, split about 65%-70% towards oil and gas. Major projects including the Dorra gas field development and the Jafurah unconventional gas expansion are progressing, underpinned by the company’s strategy of maintaining oil production at 12 million barrels a day while expanding gas capacity.
Downstream activity is also contributing. Chemicals giant Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) approved $3.6bn in projects this year, led by the San VII ammonia and urea complex, which was awarded to South Korea’s Samsung E&A for $3.47bn. The company is returning to significant capital investment after several years of constrained spending.
Power sector activity is shifting towards transmission and battery storage infrastructure to support renewable energy targets. The kingdom’s infrastructure pipeline encompasses $175bn of projects in the transport, rail, aviation and roads segments.
Private sector participation is expanding through public-private partnership (PPP) structures, with the National Centre for Privatisation & PPP managing about 200 projects in 17 sectors, worth approximately $190bn.
The market needs more awards. Project completions have reached $91.5bn in 2026, outpacing awards by 35%. While this reflects successful execution of work awarded in prior years, it also indicates that new deals are required in the coming months to maintain activity levels into 2027.

MEED’s September 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:
> GOVERNMENT: Riyadh looks to reset its regional defence outlook
> ECONOMY: Conflict bolsters case for Saudi economic diversification
> BANKING: Saudi lenders readjust to lower lending and deposit climate
> UPSTREAM: Aramco upstream spending gathers pace
> DOWNSTREAM: Sabic steps up Saudi petchems investment
> POWER: Saudi Arabia’s power award activity slows
> WATER: Saudi water sector hits sharp slowdown
> CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction defies the headwinds
> TRANSPORT: Saudi infrastructure pushes forward amid conflictTo see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click herehttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19794535/main.gif
