meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Resurging projects uplift UAE and Saudi economies

29 January 2024

 

The UAE and Saudi Arabia are almost neck-and-neck – with the UAE marginally in the lead – at the top of the MEED Economic Activity Index, which assesses the near-term economic health of regional markets.

In October 2023, both countries were forecast by the Washington-based IMF to grow at a region-beating rate of 4% in real GDP terms in 2024, though without taking into account the deepening of voluntary oil production cuts in November by half a dozen Opec+ countries, among them Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

In the Q4 Opec+ meeting, in addition to the voluntary cuts announced in April 2023 and extended until the end of 2024, Saudi Arabia and the UAE agreed to cut their oil production by a further 1 million barrels a day (b/d) and 163,000 b/d, respectively, until the end of Q1 2024.

The impact of these additional cuts, as well as the trailing of the oil price below the IMF’s forecast of $79.9 a barrel in 2024, remains to be seen, but – other factors notwithstanding – it should be negative.

In spite of this, some think tanks and ratings agencies have given both countries even more bullish real GDP projections since the start of the year. Aljazira Capital has forecast a 4.4% real GDP growth figure for Saudi Arabia in 2024 and ratings agency Moody’s has projected an even higher 4.6% growth rate.

Aljazira Capital stated that weaker oil revenues “would be offset by growth in non-oil revenues” from the private sector amid the implementation of non-oil spending programmes under Saudi Vision 2030.

For the UAE, ratings agency Standard and Poor’s (S&P) meanwhile forecast 5% growth in 2024 – also driven by the non-oil sector, which grew by 6% in 2023, led by hospitality, retail and financial services.

Beyond the headline figures, both countries are keeping their inflation and fiscal balance in check and have relatively contained unemployment levels. However, Saudi Arabia’s figures of 5.6% unemployment and 23.8% youth unemployment both remain well above average for the GCC countries.

Projects boom

Both countries have also seen a surge in projects activity. Together, they were responsible for the bulk of the $253bn in contracts that made 2023 a record year for regional project activity.

In Saudi Arabia, the total awards value for the year was 59% higher, rising to $95bn – double the long-term average value of project awards over the preceding 10 years. New work also outstripped project completions by a ratio of almost four to one, adding $70bn to the net value of projects under execution.

In the UAE, the value of project awards leapt by 175% to hit $81.5bn – a value almost close to double the long-term average. Significant project completions worth more than $48bn nevertheless weighed on the market and reduced the net change in the value of projects under execution to $33bn.

Other markets

The other GCC countries have mixed outlooks, with varying growth forecasts and projects market activity.

Qatar has a modest 2.2% growth projection for 2024 and has maintained recent project awards at a level matching the rate of completion of legacy projects, as well as the long-term award value average.

Kuwait’s economy was given a 2024 growth forecast of 3.6% by the IMF in October, after contracting in 2023, but this does not include the voluntary production cuts announced in November. The country’s projects market meanwhile continues to slip, with its 2023 awards sitting at just 76% of its average.

The revision of Oman’s 2024 growth forecast by the IMF in January provides a glimpse into the impact of the additional voluntary oil production cuts announced in November for Q1, with the country’s real GDP growth projection for the year having been revised down markedly from 2.7% to 1.4%. The country’s projects market is nevertheless largely holding its own, with its 2023 contract awards clocking in at 88% of the long-term average, even as completions slightly exceeded new awards.

Bahrain continues to struggle with a persistent fiscal deficit and deepening debt, and the squeezing of the country’s cash flow is being reflected in its sinking projects market. The $1.2bn in awards in 2023 flagged 32% behind completions and 65% below the market’s long-term average.

Morocco has increasingly emerged as one of the least troubled markets in the wider Middle East and North Africa region, with a solid 3.6% growth projection for its largely non-hydrocarbons economy. Inflation in the country has also been curbed and the $2.4bn in project awards in 2023 exceeded completions by 24%, despite dipping below the long-term average.

Egypt is heading into 2024 facing severe economic headwinds, with high inflation amid falling foreign exchange reserves and the looming prospect of a further currency devaluation, short of an IMF bailout. The country’s mounting fiscal trouble has been reflected by falling projects activity, with the $12.6bn in awards in 2023 being both below the level of completions and 44% below the long-term average.

Tunisia has a forecast of just 1.9% real GDP growth, but an unexpected burst of $1.5bn in project awards in 2023 boosted projects activity – with the value nearly double both completions and average awards.

Algeria, Iraq and Jordan face various headwinds, but chief among their problems is that their middling growth rates are insufficient to accommodate either their rising debt or double-digit unemployment. All three countries also had projects markets that underperformed in 2023, with award values below both the level of completions and long-term averages.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11466710/main1207.gif
John Bambridge

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Saudi housing entity awards infrastructure contract

    24 November 2025

     

    Saudi Arabia’s National Housing Company (NHC) has awarded Riyadh-based Alomaier Trading & Contracting Company a contract to carry out infrastructure works at its Khuzam residential development in Riyadh.

    The scope of work covers all infrastructure works across an area of 4,000,000 square metres (sq m) in stage three, phase three of the Khuzam residential project.

    Construction works have started, and the project is expected to be completed in 2028.

    NHC’s Khuzam project is located to the north of Riyadh, near King Khalid International airport and the Expo 2030 site.

    The development will offer more than 50,000 residential units and will include parks, commercial areas and other associated amenities.

    It will also feature a grand park spanning an area of more than 4.5 million sq m.

    MEED reported in 2020 that Riyadh planned to oversee the development of more than 1 million homes by 2025 to meet growing demand in the kingdom.

    By 2030, the Saudi capital aims to more than double its population, from 7-8 million to 15-20 million, and become one of the 10 wealthiest cities in the world.

    Alomaier Trading & Contracting is undertaking some major infrastructural development projects across the kingdom.

    In 2023, MEED reported that Saudi Arabia’s National Water Company had awarded a contract worth SR371m ($99m) to Alomaier Trading & Contracting. It covers the construction of a sewage network in Dammam’s King Fahd suburb and adjacent areas.

    The contract also involves the construction of regression lines with diameters of up to 700 millimetres (mm) and a total length of 300 kilometres (km), as well as five ejection lines with diameters of up to 500mm and a total length of 15km, according to data obtained from the regional projects tracker MEED Projects.

    The firm specialises in the construction of roads, railways and other infrastructural development works.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15141143/main.jpeg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Saudi utility firm awards water transmission contract

    24 November 2025

    Saudi Arabia’s state-owned utility National Water Company (NWC) has awarded a contract for the operation and maintenance of water distribution networks to local firm International Water Distribution Company (Tawzea).

    The project comprises the operation and maintenance of water transmission pipelines in Medina province, Sisco Holding announced.

    Sisco Holding, also known as Saudi Industrial Services Company, holds a 50% stake in Tawzea. The other 50% stake is owned by Amiantit Water, a subsidiary of Saudi Arabian Amiantit Company.

    The contract is valued at SR133.4m ($35.6m) and has a duration of 36 months.

    It covers main and secondary pipelines, reservoirs, pumping stations, valves and all related components of the water distribution system.

    NWC has also been advancing major sewer network expansion plans in Hafar Al-Batin and Al-Qaisomah.

    The utility recently awarded local firm Alkhorayef Water & Power Technologies (AWPT) a contract to deliver the next phase of this project.

    The phase four (part two) package involves constructing about 184 kilometres of sanitary sewer pipeline.

    As of September, NWC had awarded $337m-worth of contracts. This includes a separate contract awarded to AWPT in August for a sewage network scheme in Al-Kharj governorate.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15140733/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Larsen & Toubro climbs EPC contractor ranking

    24 November 2025

     

    The oil, gas and petrochemical engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) sector in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) has enjoyed another strong year in historical terms.

    This remains true even though the total value of awards in 2025 – $62.5bn as of the first week of November – looks set to fall short of the record highs of $86bn in 2023 and $95bn in 2024. The level of market activity nevertheless remains well above the long-term average of $46bn and the 10-year average of $50bn.

    Looking beyond the top line, the most notable trend of the year is the outsized success of India’s Larsen & Toubro (L&T) in securing many of the largest recent schemes in Saudi Arabia and Qatar. 

    Chinese contractors have also made steady progress in increasing their market share. Some industry stalwarts, by contrast, have seen considerably less success.

    While some of this can be attributed to the cyclical nature of tendering and more selective bidding by established players with already large order books, MEED’s ranking of total execution values bears out the broader trends.

    L&T’s dramatic surge

    The most dramatic shift in the EPC landscape over the past 12 months (Q4 2024-Q3 2025) has been a $12.7bn surge in awards secured by L&T. This rapid expansion of its value of work under execution to $25.4bn has brought the company to within one place of the top of MEED’s EPC contractor rankings – falling just shy of the $26.9bn currently being executed by Italy’s Saipem.

    L&T’s recent successes include the March win of the $4bn combined package 4A and 4B (Comp4) of QatarEnergy LNG’s North Field Production Sustainability programme – the largest project awarded during the period. L&T also won the $2.5bn fifth natural gas liquids train (NGL-5) project from QatarEnergy, and four separate contracts worth more than $1bn each with Saudi Aramco.

    These wins built on an already burgeoning order book – one that also includes the $3.6bn phase 2: package 1 of the Jafurah gas treatment facility, awarded by Aramco in September 2023.

    L&T’s rise has also been helped by relative inactivity among other top firms. Both Saipem and Italy’s Maire Tecnimont achieved prominent ranking positions a year earlier after securing, respectively, the $8.2bn offshore and $8.7bn onshore packages of Adnoc’s Hail and Ghasha programme in October 2023. Those awards, together with other contracts, saw the two Italian firms secure roughly $12bn in awards each in a single 12‑month stretch, catapulting them up the ranking.

    However, neither company has added significantly to their pools of work over the past 12 months, in sharp contrast with L&T, which has seized momentum in the regional contracting landscape. So far, L&T has displaced Maire Tecnimont to reach second place regionally; another year of even marginally comparable momentum should put it at the top.

    Also notable is the gap between L&T’s total awards over the past 12 months and those of its nearest competitors. L&T’s $12.7bn in wins rivals the combined value of the next three largest EPC contractors. As a share of an estimated $70bn in total awards across the sector over the same period, L&T secured about 18% of the work.

    The previous year, Saipem and Maire Tecnimont each secured closer to 12% of awards. This underlines L&T’s considerable momentum both in terms of its order book and market share growth.

    Chinese push

    Two other significant winners over the past 12 months are China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Corporation (CPECC) and China Offshore Oil Engineering Company (COOEC), which secured $5bn and $4.3bn-worth of awards, respectively.

    These contracts wins have moved the two Chinese firms up into the top 20 EPC contractors. CPECC’s success is largely attributable to the niche it has developed in Iraq and Algeria, where about $4.4bn of its awards were won – led by a $1.6bn contract to deliver the central gas complex for Basra Oil Company’s Artawi development.

    COOEC’s recent wins have been concentrated in the GCC, specifically on phases one and two of QatarEnergy’s Bul Hanine offshore oil field expansion, which are worth a combined $4bn.

    The US’ McDermott and Spain’s Tecnicas Reunidas – two long-term regional players – recorded the next strongest order-book additions, securing about $3.8bn and $3.4bn, respectively. McDermott’s new work includes the $2bn phase two of Adnoc Offshore’s Umm Shaif long‑term development plan and a $1.8bn contract to lay offshore pipelines and subsea power cables for QatarEnergy LNG’s North Field South programme.

    The next five biggest bookers over the period were South Korea’s Samsung C&T and Samsung E&A, the UAE’s Lamprell and Target Engineering, and Qatar’s Doha Petroleum Construction Company (DOPET) – each securing more than $2bn.

    Samsung C&T’s top award was for QatarEnergy’s $2.5bn carbon sequestration complex; Samsung E&A’s was for Taziz Chemicals’ $1.7bn methanol plant in phase one of its industrial chemicals zone.

    Lamprell secured five separate contracts from Saudi Aramco, the largest a $1.5bn award for offshore infrastructure on the Zuluf development.

    Target secured three UAE contracts, led by a $1.5bn award from Adnoc Offshore for phase five of its Das Island terminal facilities (part of the Lower Zakum long‑term development).

    DOPET secured two contracts from QatarEnergy, led by a $2bn award for phase three of the Bul Hanine offshore oil field expansion.

    Across the activity, it remains conspicuous how rapidly values fall away from the top winners and how concentrated the recent awards are with L&T. While the contraction in total award value may partly explain this dynamic, the broader trend is clear: the concentration of work with L&T makes it the company to watch in regional bidding rounds in the year ahead.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15140734/main.gif
    John Bambridge
  • Chinese firm signs deal for Algerian steel project

    24 November 2025

    China’s Sinomach Heavy Equipment has signed a contract to develop a steel rolling facility in Algeria.

    The project will be executed by its subsidiary, China National Heavy Machinery Corporation (CNHMC).

    The turnkey contract includes planning, design, equipment supply, construction, installation and commissioning.

    The scope of the project includes:

    • A rolling mill production line
    • Auxiliary facilities
    • Steel structure workshops

    In a statement, CNHMC said: “The signing of this contract marks a new stage in the company's market expansion in the African metallurgical sector.

    “CNHMC will fully leverage its technological and management advantages in the metallurgical field, strictly control the project's quality and schedule, and strive to complete and deliver the project on schedule with high quality and high standards, making it a benchmark project in the Algerian market.”

    The company said it will use its regional headquarters in Turkiye to ramp up its activities in the Algerian market and other neighbouring countries.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15139865/main3657.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Contractors submit Riyadh Expo infrastructure bids

    24 November 2025

     

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Saudi Arabia’s Expo 2030 Riyadh Company (ERC), which is tasked with delivering the Expo 2030 Riyadh venue, received commercial bids from contractors on 23 November for the tender to undertake the initial infrastructure works at the site.

    The tender for the project’s initial infrastructure works was issued in September, MEED previously reported.

    In October, MEED revealed that 16 firms had been invited to bid for the contract to undertake the initial infrastructure works at the Expo 2030 Riyadh site.

    The firms invited to bid include:

    • Shibh Al-Jazira Contracting (local)
    • Hassan Allam Construction (Egypt)
    • El-Seif Engineering Contracting (local)
    • Al-Ayuni Investment & Contracting (local)
    • Kolin Construction (Turkiye)
    • Al-Yamama Trading & Contracting Company (local)
    • Saudi Pan Kingdom (local)
    • Unimac (local)
    • Mapa Insaat (Turkiye)
    • Yuksel Insaat (Turkiye)
    • IC Ictas / Al-Rashid Trading & Contracting (Turkiye/local)
    • Mota-Engil / Albawani (Portugal/local)
    • Almabani / FCC Construction (local/Spain)

    The overall infrastructure works – covering the construction of the main utilities and civil works at Expo 2030 Riyadh – will be split into three packages:

    • Lot 1 covers the main utilities corridor
    • Lot 2 includes the northern cluster of the nature corridor
    • Lot 3 comprises the southern cluster of the nature corridor

    In July, US-based engineering firm Bechtel Corporation announced it had won the project management consultancy deal for the delivery of the Expo 2030 Riyadh masterplan construction works.

    The masterplan encompasses an area of 6 square kilometres, making it one of the largest sites designated for a World Expo event. Situated to the north of the Saudi capital, the site will be located near the future King Salman International airport, providing direct access to various landmarks within Riyadh.

    Countries participating in Expo 2030 Riyadh will have the option to construct permanent pavilions. This initiative is expected to create opportunities for business and investment growth in the region.

    The expo is forecast to attract more than 40 million visitors.

    The Public Investment Fund (PIF), Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth vehicle, launched ERC in June as a wholly owned subsidiary to build and operate facilities for Expo 2030.

    In a statement, the PIF said: “During its construction phases, Expo 2030 Riyadh and its legacy are projected to contribute around $64bn to Saudi GDP and generate approximately 171,000 direct and indirect jobs. Once operational, it is expected to contribute approximately $5.6bn to GDP.”

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15140538/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal