Regional stock market listings near record level

23 December 2024

 


This report also includesGulf debt markets make their mark


The Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region’s capital markets got off to a fairly strong start in 2024, with two sizeable listings on the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) in January. Broadcaster MBC Group’s listing on 8 January raised $222m, while Middle East Pharmaceutical Industries Company (Avalon Pharma) followed up with a $131m share sale on 24 January.

The year ended with a far bigger bang, however, with several multibillion-dollar listings in the UAE and Oman in the final quarter. Among them, grocery chain Lulu Group International raised $1.7bn on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) in early November. The following month, food delivery and quick commerce business Talabat Middle East raised $2bn when it launched on the Dubai Financial Market (DFM).

Between those bookends to the year there were dozens of other initial public offerings (IPOs) on the region’s stock markets. According to data compiled by EY, there were 29 new listings in the opening nine months of the year, the same as in the equivalent period of 2023 and only just behind the 31 IPOs in 2022.

The final quarter of the year has been the busiest. MEED’s analysis points to the tally reaching 49 IPOs as of mid-December, with several more listings still on the cards for the closing weeks of the year. As such, the previous record for the most IPOs in the region in a year – the 51 seen in 2022 – could well be surpassed.

As has been the case for many years, the GCC bourses have been the dominant focus of activity, with Saudi Arabia hosting 13 IPOs on the main Tadawul market and 24 on the smaller Nomu bourse.

The UAE has had a further seven, with four on the ADX and three on the DFM, while the Kuwait and Muscat exchanges have had one apiece.

Beyond the Gulf, activity has been more limited, but some markets that were dormant for several years have reawakened. There have been two IPOs in Egypt – Act Financial and United Bank of Egypt – and one on the Algiers Stock Exchange, where Credit Populaire d’Algerie’s listing in March was the first in eight years.

Fluctuating activity

IPO activity has ebbed and flowed through the year. According to EY, there were 10 IPOs in the first quarter, the same as in the equivalent period the year before, although this did not include the Algiers listing.

Saudi Arabia saw nine listings in Q1 2024, raising a combined $724m, the most significant being Modern Mills, which raised $314m. That was overshadowed by Parkin Company, however, which raised $429m by listing on the DFM.

In the second quarter, a further 14 companies came to market, raising $2.6bn between them. This was slightly up on the 13 IPOs in Q2 2023 and the proceeds were also up 45%.

Of the total, 11 were in Saudi Arabia, with five on the Tadawul and six on the Nomu. The biggest was Dr Soliman Abdul Kader Fakeeh Hospital Company at $764m, followed by Alef Education Consultancy on the ADX at $515m.

Notably, Kuwait Boursa saw its first listing in two years, with Beyout Investment Group coming to the market in June. The only other IPO outside Saudi Arabia was retailer Spinneys, which listed on the DFM, raising $375m.

Activity slowed in the third quarter, with just five new listings, which raised $930m between them. Almost all of this was accounted for by the listing of NMDC Energy on the ADX, which involved a raise of $877m – the largest of the year at the time, although that figure was overtaken several times in the final quarter.

Saudi Arabia saw three more listings on the Nomu market in Q3, raising $27m in total. During this period, Act Financial also made its market debut, becoming the first new listing on Egyptian Exchange (EGX) in two years.

At the end of Q3, EY estimated that a further 11 companies were planning to list on exchanges in the Mena region before the year was out.

Not all of these listings have gone ahead, but a number of major IPOs have been completed, including OQ Exploration & Production on the Muscat Stock Exchange (MSX), which raised $2bn on 28 October. It was followed by the IPOs of hypermarket chain Lulu Group and food delivery operator Talabat over the next two months.

In addition, there have been five more listings on the Tadawul, including Al-Majed Oud Company and Arabian Mills for Food Products Company, and nine more on the Nomu market.

Other deals have been announced but have so far yet to be completed. These included Oman’s OQ Base Industries, which in November announced plans to sell up to 49% of its shares and seek a listing on the MSX by mid-December.

The huge listings in the fourth quarter of 2024 mean that the downward trajectory of 2023 has been turned around, even if the heights of 2022’s fundraisings have not quite been matched. 

After the $22bn raised in 2022, the total fell to $10.7bn in 2023. In 2024, the total reached about $12.5bn by 10 December, including $8bn raised in the final quarter.

Diverging indices

The wider market performance of regional bourses has been decidedly mixed in 2024. 

There have been a handful of standout performers across the region. The Moroccan All Shares Index (MASI), for example, was up 22.7% between January and the end of November, with Egypt’s EGX 30 Index not far behind at 21.5%, according to data compiled by Kuwait’s Kamco Invest.

In the Gulf region, Dubai’s DFM General Index was up 19.4% over the same period, while Tunisia’s TunIndex also saw a creditable 12.7% gain.

In contrast, Riyadh’s Tadawul All-Share Index (Tasi), the FTSE ADX General Index, Qatar’s QE20 Index and Jordan’s ASE Index all saw their values fall in the first 11 months, with drops of between 1% and 4%.

Other major bourses saw more limited gains, with the Kuwait All Share Index posting a rise of 6.3%, while the Bahrain All Share Index was up 3.1% and Oman’s MGX 30 Index gained just 1.1%.

It is hard to see any clear pattern in these results. To date, five regional bourses have posted a better overall performance in 2024, compared to 2023, but six are faring worse.

This fits in with the mixed performances seen on the global level. The MSCI World Index gained more than 20% in the first 11 months of the year, helped by a strong performance in the US, where the S&P 500 rose by 26.5%. In contrast, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index was up just 5.4% over the same period.

The buoyant market for regional IPOs suggests that many companies and investors feel relatively optimistic, however.

A second IPO is due to take place in Algeria before the end of the year, with the listing of Banque de Developpement Local, and more are pencilled in for 2025. 

In neighbouring Morocco, irrigation specialist CMGP Group is also aiming for a $110m IPO on the Casablanca Stock Exchange in the near future.

However, Gulf markets are likely to continue to dominate in the near future. At least four more listings are planned in Saudi Arabia in the closing weeks of 2024 and the start of 2025, and many more are sure to follow. 


Main image: Food delivery business Talabat raised $2bn with its IPO on the Dubai Financial Market in December. Credit: WAM

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Dominic Dudley
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    The theory with theme park development is bigger is better. 

    A destination needs a series of parks to create a critical mass to attract visitors who can stay and enjoy multiple parks in one visit. The example always cited is Florida, which is home to many of the world’s largest theme parks, including Disney World. 

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    Although it opened with Legoland, Legoland Waterpark, Motiongate and Bollywood theme parks, insiders said that the problem with the development was that it did not have enough attractions to turn it into a successful theme park destination. 

    The financial performance of theme parks on Yas Island has not been publicly disclosed. While it is accepted that they have been more successful than their counterparts in Dubai, some say that the island still does not have the critical mass required to establish itself as a global destination for theme park visitors.


    Miral has developed a series of theme parks and other entertainment-related attractions on Yas Island 


    Enter Disney

    Disney changes that. It is the largest brand in the theme park space and will be a major attraction, but with limited information released on the project so far, it is difficult to fully gauge how significant the project will be. 

    The official release said that the project will be developed and operated by Abu Dhabi developer Miral, adding that Disney’s in-house design and engineering unit, Walt Disney Imagineering, will lead creative design and operational oversight to provide a world-class experience. It did not give any details on the ownership of the project. 

    In Hong Kong, for example, a company, Hong Kong International Theme Parks, was established as a joint venture, with the Government of Hong Kong holding 57% and The Walt Disney Company holding 43%. 

    In Japan, the structure is different. The Tokyo Disney Resort is owned and operated by Oriental Land, and the company pays licences and royalties to The Walt Disney Company.

    In interviews following the launch announcement, Miral CEO Mohamed Abdalla Al-Zaabi confirmed the arrangement will be like Tokyo. 

    Waterfront location

    The official release for the Abu Dhabi launch also said that the project is on Yas Island, which only has limited areas of land to develop. The release also said that the land is waterfront, and imagery in the launch video shows the Abu Dhabi skyline in the background, suggesting the land is on the northern waterfront of Yas Island. 

    There is a substantial tract of undeveloped land on the north shore of the island, which measures about 13 square kilometres (sq km). This is larger than the 4 sq km site that Hong Kong Disneyland occupies, but much smaller than Disney World in Florida, which spans an area of 111 sq km – nearly five times the size of the whole of Yas Island and nearly double the size of Abu Dhabi Island.

    The hope is that Yas Island will become a leading global theme park destination and attract large numbers of visitors wanting a holiday with multiple theme park visits

    Exclusivity clause

    Another area of interest will be whether Abu Dhabi has an exclusivity agreement with Disney for the region. No exclusivity was mentioned at the launch, but in Hong Kong, the issue became contentious when Disney announced plans to build a park shortly after Disneyland Hong Kong opened. Local politicians criticised the Hong Kong government for not including an exclusivity clause in its deal with Disney. 

    Tourism gateway

    Like Hong Kong, Abu Dhabi is a smaller economy sitting next to a larger regional player. With Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030 strategy and its existing roster of theme park developments at Qiddiya, which includes a Six Flags, a water park and a Dragon Ball Z theme park, developers in Riyadh would likely be keen to have a Disney theme park, too. 

    For now, with Disney on board in Abu Dhabi, the hope is that Yas Island will become a leading global theme park destination and attract large numbers of visitors wanting a holiday with multiple theme park visits.

    The potential is certainly there. During the project launch, Disney highlighted that the UAE is located within a four-hour flight of one-third of the world’s population, making it a significant gateway for tourism. It is also home to the largest global airline hub in the world, with 120 million passengers travelling through Abu Dhabi and Dubai each year.

    If that potential is realised, then the bigger is better theory will be proved right. If the park’s performance disappoints, then it will suggest the region is not such a great destination for theme parks after all. 

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    “Yet, this access could become costlier, driven by trade tariff wars, heightened regulations and limited access to grid infrastructure,” Obeid says.

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    “Proximity to reliable power supply at an affordable cost, and speed in licensing processes and grid connections, are increasingly becoming strategic factors in data centre deployment – and the GCC offers that.”

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    Li-Chen Sim, assistant professor of civil security at Abu Dhabi’s Khalifa University, says that AI investments are, on the one hand, “all part of a carefully conceived strategy to … diversify out of a hydrocarbons-driven economy, to create new revenue streams from overseas data centres, build new growth sectors, support business requirements and offer more knowledge-based jobs as opposed to traditional manufacturing from domestic investments”.

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    “We will have to see how governments align their educational curricula with the AI policies and electricity infrastructure development,” she says.

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    Sim agrees that renewables combined with battery storage is part of the answer when it comes to building sustainable data centres. “Globally, data centres consume about 1% of electricity, and this figure – together with carbon emissions by data centres – is expected to grow significantly.”

    He notes that Goldman Sachs Research forecasts that global power demand from data centres will increase 50% by 2027, and 165% by the end of the decade, compared to 2023.

    “The other part of the puzzle with regard to sustainability is water consumption by data centres, particularly those in the Gulf, where high temperatures necessitate even more cooling measures.

    “Singapore, for instance, has pioneered integrated water systems that recycle treated wastewater for reuse – and this circular water model could be an option for data centres in the Gulf, instead of using expensive desalinated water,” says Sim.

    As things stand, the GCC can play a key role in the advancement of these and other technologies, along with efficiency measures and the optimisation of server utilisation through AI applications such as digital twins, says Obeid.

    This is just as well, since the region appears to be on the cusp of a boom in inbound and outbound investments that will build data centre capacity abroad and closer to home.

    “We are at a pivotal moment for innovation, where the intersection of digital advancements and energy innovation could position the GCC as a global leader, shaping the future of sustainable digital infrastructure,” concludes Obeid.

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    8 May 2025

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    The company awarded several significant contracts last year, including three contracts worth over SR21bn ($5.5bn). These included an estimated $2bn contract awarded to a joint venture of El-Seif Engineering & Contracting and China State to build the North Cultural District.

    In late July, Diriyah also awarded a $2.1bn package to a joint venture of local contractor Albawani and Qatar’s Urbacon to construct assets in the Wadi Safar district of the gigaproject.

    In December, MEED reported that Diriyah Company had awarded an estimated SR5.8bn ($1.5bn) contract to local firm Nesma & Partners for its Jabal Al-Qurain Avenue cultural district, located in the northern district of the Diriyah Gate project.

    Once complete, Diriyah will have the capacity to accommodate 100,000 residents and visitors.


    MEED’s April 2025 report on Saudi Arabia includes:

    > GOVERNMENT: Riyadh takes the diplomatic initiative
    > ECONOMY: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy forges onward
    > BANKING:
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    > UPSTREAM: Saudi oil and gas spending to surpass 2024 level
    > DOWNSTREAM: Aramco’s recalibrated chemical goals reflect realism
    > POWER: Saudi power sector enters busiest year
    > WATER: Saudi water contracts set another annual record
    > CONSTRUCTION: Reprioritisation underpins Saudi construction
    > TRANSPORT: Riyadh pushes ahead with infrastructure development
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