Regional downstream sector prepares for consolidation

30 December 2024

 

The Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region’s midstream and downstream oil, gas and petrochemicals sectors together had one of their best years on record in 2024, with state-owned companies and private players collectively spending close to $38bn on projects.

Saudi Arabia emerged as the biggest regional spender on midstream and downstream projects. To address incremental volumes of gas entering the grid as Saudi Aramco increases its conventional and unconventional gas production, the state enterprise has spent more than $17bn on gas processing and transportation projects this year.

In April 2024, Aramco awarded $7.7bn in engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contracts for a project to expand the Fadhili gas plant in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia. The project is expected to increase the plant’s processing capacity from 2.5 billion cubic feet a day (cf/d) to up to 4 billion cf/d.

On 30 June, Aramco awarded 15 lump-sum turnkey contracts for the third expansion phase of the Master Gas System (MGS-3), worth $8.8bn. Then, in August, the company awarded contracts for the remaining two packages of the MGS-3 project, which were worth $1bn. 

Saudi Aramco divided EPC works on the MGS-3 project into 17 packages. The first two packages involve upgrading existing gas compression systems and installing new gas compressors. The 15 other packages relate to laying gas transport pipelines at various locations in the kingdom.

The Master Gas System expansion will increase the size of the network and raise its total capacity by an additional 3.15 billion cf/d by 2028 with the installation of about 4,000 kilometres
of pipelines and 17 new gas compression trains.

Abu Dhabi capex

The UAE has been the second-largest spender on midstream, downstream and chemicals projects in 2024, led by investments from Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) and Taziz – its 60:40 joint venture with industrial holding entity ADQ.

Adnoc’s biggest capital expenditure (capex) was in the form of a $5.5bn EPC contract that it awarded to a consortium of France’s Technip Energies, Japan-based JGC Corporation and Abu Dhabi-owned NMDC Energy to develop a greenfield liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal complex in Ruwais. 

The upcoming Ruwais LNG export terminal will have the capacity to produce about 9.6 million tonnes a year (t/y) of LNG from two processing trains, each of which has a capacity of 4.8 million t/y. When the project is commissioned, Adnoc’s LNG production capacity will more than double to about 15 million t/y.

Adnoc Group subsidiary Adnoc Gas has also advanced a project to expand its sales gas pipeline network across the UAE, which is known as Estidama. The Abu Dhabi-listed company has awarded two EPC packages of the project this year, which together were worth more than $500m. 

Adnoc Gas is expected to award the contract for another Estidama package before the end of 2024 that covers the construction of a pipeline that will provide feedstock from its Habshan gas processing plant to the upcoming Ruwais LNG complex.

Taziz, meanwhile, awarded three EPC contracts totalling $2bn for infrastructure works at the industrial chemicals zone that it is developing in Ruwais Industrial City.

Spending to plateau

Having reached a peak in spending, and with EPC contracts awarded for strategic midstream, downstream and chemicals projects in 2024, the Mena region is set to enter a period of more pragmatic project spending in 2025. However, this does not imply that a slump in project capex is likely, and the region could once again equal the level of contract awards made in 2024.

One of the largest projects that may be awarded in 2025 is the main contract for the North Field West LNG project – the third phase of QatarEnergy’s LNG expansion programme. 

The North Field West project will have an LNG production capacity of 16 million t/y, which is expected to be achieved through two 8 million t/y LNG processing trains, based on the two earlier phases of QatarEnergy’s LNG expansion programme. 

The new project will draw feedstock for LNG production from the western zone of Qatar’s North Field offshore
gas reserve.

Taziz is also on course to make progress with the second expansion phase of its derivatives complex, which will more than double the number of chemicals produced at the industrial hub. The expansion’s centrepiece will be a large-scale steam cracker that will supply feedstocks to the several new chemical plants earmarked for third-party investments.

In Saudi Arabia, there has been speculation that Aramco may be revisiting its investment strategy and execution approach for its strategic liquids-to-chemicals programme. 

The aim of the programme is to derive greater economic value from every barrel of crude produced in the kingdom by converting 4 million barrels a day (b/d) of Aramco’s oil production into high-value petrochemicals and chemicals feedstocks by 2030.

Aramco has divided its liquids-to-chemicals programme into four main projects. It took a major step forward
in September 2023 by selecting US firm KBR, France’s Technip Energies, UK-based Wood Group and Australia- headquartered Worley to provide project management consultancy services for the four different segments of the scheme.

Progress on a programme as big as the liquids-to-chemicals scheme is expected to be measured and laboured. 

While day-to-day the advancement might appear sluggish, Amin Nasser, Aramco’s president and CEO, said earlier in 2024 that the Saudi energy giant is on track to achieve its crude oil-to-chemicals conversion goal by 2030.

“We are on track to achieve our target of 4 million b/d liquids-to-chemicals [conversion capacity] by 2030,” he said.

Meanwhile, Kuwait is in a similar situation with its planned Al-Zour integrated complex upgrade programme (Zicup), which has suffered significant delays in recent years. However, state-owned Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (Kipic), the project’s operator, recently appointed a team to look into the logistics of developing a benzine pipeline as part of the estimated $10bn Zicup scheme.

Although this may be a small step, it does indicate that Kuwait remains determined to achieve its ambition of developing a large-scale petrochemicals facility, which, when integrated with its $16bn Al-Zour refinery, could become one of the biggest integrated refining and petrochemicals complexes in the Mena region.

 

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13145202/main.gif
Indrajit Sen
Related Articles
  • Batteries shape the region’s energy future

    18 December 2025

     

    This package also includes:

    > TECH THEMES: Key technology themes poised to shape 2026
    > EVs: Middle East drives electric vehicle revolution


    Batteries, having progressed from enabling consumer electronics to powering the first wave of electric vehicles (EVs), are now poised to become one of the world’s most significant industrial and geopolitical forces in the next decade, says GlobalData’s Strategic Intelligence platform. 

    According to a recently published report, this progress is due to stored energy’s accelerating and expanding role in mitigating climate change. 

    For the Middle East, a region defined by its energy leadership and major economic diversification strategies, the battery revolution presents not just a commercial opportunity, but a strategic imperative focused on securing key components of the new global supply chain. The region’s success in the coming years will be judged by its ability to navigate the raw material shortages, geopolitical rivalries and technological shifts that define the market.

    The cornerstone of this theme is the soaring demand for cheap, safe and high-performance batteries, driven predominantly by the automotive sector, which is forecast to account for over 80% of aggregate battery demand between now and 2035.

    Industry growth 

    Global lithium-ion battery industry revenues are forecast to surge to over $408bn by 2035, up from $88.6bn in 2022. 

    This growth is spurring industrial expansion, with the global transition to EVs requiring an accompanying build-out of battery gigafactories. While China currently dominates this landscape, accounting for 77% of EV gigafactories in 2022, Europe and North America are taking steps to reduce their dependence on Chinese supply chains by 2030, driven by the US Inflation Reduction Act and European ambition.

    This geopolitical tension directly impacts the Middle East’s emerging industrial strategy. The need for regionalised supply chains is critical, and North Africa has already taken a step towards this with Chinese investment establishing a battery gigafactory in Morocco, aimed at supplying the European market. 

    Furthermore, Gulf nations are exploring direct investment in manufacturing capability, demonstrated by the Statevolt plan to build a $3.2bn gigafactory in the UAE’s northern emirate of Ras Al-Khaimah, specialising in advanced battery cells. 

    These efforts are essential to integrating the Middle East into the global manufacturing network, leveraging its geographical position between the major consuming markets of Europe and Asia.

    Beyond manufacturing, the most significant threat to the industry is the impending shortage of low-cost, easy-to-purify raw materials like lithium, cobalt and nickel, which is largely due to a lack of investment in new mines over the past five years. 

    Lithium extraction, in particular, requires significant investment to meet the growing demand. This crunch has been exacerbated by China’s control over the entire supply chain, from the mines to the refining of critical battery metals. 

    This situation is as much an environmental and geopolitical concern as it is an economic one, necessitating a shift towards a circular battery economy. The region, therefore, has an immediate need to invest in recycling facilities to offset near-term supply shortages, securing local access to processed materials for its emerging domestic battery production capabilities.

    Green hydrogen capacity in the region is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of nearly 150% in 2025-30

    Clean energy edge

    The Middle East’s position as a source of clean energy and a major energy exporter makes the deployment of hydrogen fuel cells a crucial complementary theme. Hydrogen has been championed for decades as a clean fuel, and a UN-sponsored Green Hydrogen Catapult Initiative, involving Saudi and European founding partners, aims to scale up green energy production. 

    The Middle East is pursuing this with projects like Dubai’s Green Hydrogen project, which uses solar power to produce hydrogen, signalling the region’s intention to be a major player in clean fuel production. 

    Though hydrogen is unlikely to power small vehicles like cars, its future dominance is expected in heavy industrial processes and heavy transport, such as lorries, trains, ships and planes, making it highly relevant to the Gulf’s core logistics and industrial sectors. 

    Green hydrogen capacity in the region is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of nearly 150% in 2025-30, although this starts from a low base.

    Finally, the shift towards battery-powered EVs appears to be gaining regional momentum. Although EV adoption in the Middle East is still in its early stages – with the UAE leading with just a 3% penetration of new car sales – projections show EVs could account for as much as 64% of the new car market by 2035. The transition is supported by major investment in charging infrastructure and a market poised to be worth tens of billions of dollars. 

    Impending consumer demand will be a primary driver for the strategic battery manufacturing and hydrogen production investments now being made by policymakers and industrial leaders in the GCC. The confluence of these factors – securing the raw materials, establishing domestic manufacturing and deploying complementary clean fuels like hydrogen – will be central to the Middle East’s role in the global energy transition over the next decade. 

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15278484/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Middle East drives electric vehicle revolution

    18 December 2025

     

    This package also includes:

    > TECH THEMES: Key technology themes poised to shape 2026
    > BATTERIES: Batteries shape the region's energy future


    The global automotive landscape is undergoing a seismic shift as electric vehicles (EVs) become increasingly central to the industry’s future, according to GlobalData’s Strategic Intelligence platform. 

    This is not just a technological evolution but a geopolitical one, with the Middle East poised to play a pivotal role. The region, traditionally known for its oil reserves, is now at the forefront of the EV revolution, driven by strategic investments, policy shifts and a commitment to sustainability.

    In recent years, the Middle East has witnessed a surge in initiatives aimed at fostering the growth of EVs. Governments across the region are implementing policies to encourage EV adoption, recognising the dual benefits of reducing carbon emissions and diversifying their economies away from oil dependency. 

    The UAE, for example, has set ambitious targets to increase the number of EVs on its roads, supported by substantial investments in charging infrastructure and incentives for EV buyers.

    The strategic location of the Middle East, bridging Europe, Asia and Africa, provides a unique advantage in the global EV supply chain. This geographical positioning allows the region to serve as a critical hub for the distribution and manufacturing of EVs and their components. Countries like Saudi Arabia are capitalising on this by investing in local manufacturing capabilities, aiming to become leaders in the production of EVs and related technologies.

    The Middle East’s abundant natural resources, particularly in minerals essential for battery production, position it as a key player in the EV market. The region’s focus on developing a sustainable supply chain for these materials is crucial, as the global demand for batteries continues to rise. This strategic move not only supports the local economy but also strengthens the region’s influence in the global automotive industry.

    The shift towards EVs in the Middle East is also driven by a broader commitment to sustainability and climate goals. The region’s governments are increasingly aligning their policies with international environmental standards, recognising the
    importance of transitioning to cleaner energy sources. This alignment is reflected in the growing number of partnerships between Middle Eastern countries and leading global automotive companies, aimed at accelerating the development and deployment of EV technologies.

    Despite the challenges, momentum towards EVs in the Middle East remains positive

    Tackling challenges

    The transition is not without its challenges. The Middle East faces significant hurdles in terms of infrastructure development and consumer acceptance. 

    The establishment of a comprehensive charging network is critical to support the widespread adoption of EVs. Additionally, changing consumer perceptions and encouraging the shift from traditional combustion engines to EVs requires concerted efforts on the part of both the public and the private sector.

    Despite the challenges, the momentum towards EVs in the Middle East remains positive. The region-wide commitment to innovation and sustainability is evident in the proactive approach to addressing these issues. By investing in research and development, fostering international collaborations and implementing forward-thinking policies, the Middle East is positioning
    itself as a leader in the global transition to EVs. 

    As the world moves towards a more sustainable future, the region’s efforts to embrace EVs will not only transform its own transportation landscape, but also contribute significantly to global environmental goals. 

    The Middle East’s journey towards becoming a central player in the EV market is a compelling narrative of change, resilience and forward-thinking leadership.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15277963/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Key technology themes poised to shape 2026

    18 December 2025

     

    This package also includes:

    > EVs: Middle East drives electric vehicle revolution
    > BATTERIES: Batteries shape the region's energy future


    The technological landscape in 2026 is poised for transformative shifts that promise to redefine industries and reshape societal norms. 

    The predictions for the coming year, as outlined in the Tech Predictions 2026 report published by UK analytics firm GlobalData’s Strategic Intelligence unit, highlight several areas where technology will make significant strides, from the Internet of Things (IoT) to artificial intelligence (AI), and from robotics to the future of mobility. 

    These advancements are not just incremental; they represent a paradigm shift in how technology integrates with and enhances human life.

    Anticipated advances

    The IoT is set to become an even more integral part of our daily lives, with the market expected to surpass $1.4tn by 2026. This growth is driven by advancements in wireless technologies, such as 5G and satellite networks, which will enhance connectivity and enable IoT devices to operate in remote locations. 

    The integration of AI into IoT, known as AIoT, will further revolutionise the field by enabling automated operations and predictive maintenance. 

    Security concerns remain a significant hurdle, as the fragmented security standards landscape poses risks to IoT deployments. The challenge lies in creating robust security frameworks that can protect vast networks of interconnected devices from cyber threats, ensuring that the benefits of IoT are not overshadowed by vulnerabilities.

    In the realm of AI, 2026 will witness the expansion of the agentic AI ecosystem. This new phase of AI development involves AI agents capable of autonomous decision-making, which will be utilised across various sectors. 

    Despite the potential of these technologies, the adoption of AI tools in enterprises will be tempered by uncertainties regarding their business value. Nonetheless, AI’s influence is undeniable, with its applications ranging from enhancing workplace productivity to transforming the gaming industry. 

    The ethical implications of AI, particularly in terms of decision-making and data privacy, will continue to be a topic of debate. As AI systems become more autonomous, the need for transparent algorithms and accountability mechanisms becomes increasingly critical.

    Robotics, too, is on the brink of a new era, fuelled by advancements in AI and cloud computing. These technologies will unlock new use cases for robots, particularly in service settings where they can assist humans in non-industrial environments. 

    The interest in humanoid robots is also expected to grow, driven by their potential to address labour shortages and perform tasks in hazardous environments. As major tech companies seek to expand their stake in the robotics industry, we can anticipate a wave of acquisitions and mergers. 

    The integration of robots into everyday life will raise questions about the future of work and the role of humans in an increasingly automated world. While robots can enhance efficiency and safety, there is a need to address the socioeconomic impacts of automation, particularly in terms of employment and skill development.

    The adoption of AI tools in enterprises will be tempered by uncertainties regarding their business value

    Driving change

    The future of mobility is another area where significant changes are anticipated. Expected to be a pivotal year for the adoption of robotaxis, in 2026 pilot projects will transition to commercial rollouts. This shift is facilitated by the collaboration between technology developers, ride-hailing platforms and regulators, which lowers the barriers to entry. 

    The electric vehicle market in North America is predicted to plateau, hindered by policy uncertainties and the expiration of key federal tax credits. 

    The development of autonomous vehicles will also necessitate advancements in infrastructure, such as smart roads and traffic management systems, to ensure safety and efficiency. Moreover, the environmental impact of increased vehicle automation and electrification will be a critical consideration, as the world grapples with the challenges of climate change.

    In the space economy, the market is projected to reach $453.9bn in 2026, driven by advances in communications and navigation technologies. The deployment of low Earth orbit satellite constellations will continue to enhance global connectivity, providing significant downstream capacity. 

    The convergence of space and quantum technologies is also on the horizon, with quantum sensing and cryptography being integrated into space-borne systems. This integration will open new frontiers in space exploration and security, offering unprecedented opportunities for scientific discovery and commercial ventures. 

    The militarisation of space and the potential for conflicts over space resources will require careful international cooperation and regulation.

    Streaming platforms, meanwhile, will face a profitability crunch as the market becomes increasingly saturated. To survive, platforms will need to consolidate and focus on dual content strategies that cater to both global and local audiences. 

    AI will play a crucial role in this transformation, enabling platforms to personalise content and streamline production processes. The competition for viewer attention will drive innovation in content delivery and user engagement, with immersive technologies such as virtual reality and augmented reality offering new ways to experience media. 

    The ethical implications of AI-driven content curation, particularly in terms of bias and misinformation, will need to be addressed to maintain trust and integrity in digital media.

    Positive outlook

    As we look to 2026, it is clear that technology will continue to be a driving force in shaping the future. Advancements in IoT, AI, robotics and mobility, among others, will not only transform industries but also redefine how we interact with the world around us. 

    However, these developments also bring challenges, particularly in terms of security, regulation and ethical considerations. As such, it is imperative for stakeholders to navigate these changes with a balanced and considered approach, realising the benefits while mitigating potential risks.

    The journey in 2026 is not just about technological innovation; it is about harnessing these advancements to create a more connected, efficient and sustainable world. As we embrace the possibilities of the future, we must also remain vigilant about the challenges that lie ahead, ensuring that technology serves humanity and not the other way around. The path forward will require collaboration, foresight and a commitment to ethical principles, as we strive to build a future that is inclusive, equitable and resilient.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15277938/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Qiddiya tenders Janadriyah cultural district hotels

    18 December 2025

    Saudi gigaproject developer Qiddiya Investment Company (QIC) has issued a tender inviting firms to bid for a contract to build two hotels at the Janadriyah cultural district.

    The tender was issued on 11 December. Technical bids are due on 29 January, and the commercial bid submission deadline is 19 February.

    The package comprises the construction of the Wadi Hotel and the Gateway Hotel.

    Firms are also bidding for the Janadriyah cultural district main works. The tender for this package was issued in November.

    QIC is expected to receive bids for this package by 30 December.

    QIC is accelerating plans to develop additional assets at Qiddiya City.

    In December, MEED exclusively reported that QIC is expected to float a tender soon for the construction of the estimated SR7bn ($1.8bn) National Athletics Stadium at its Qiddiya entertainment city development.

    MEED understands that the prequalification process has reached an advanced stage and the tender for the main contract is likely to be issued within a few weeks.

    The multipurpose stadium will cover an area of approximately 182,000 square metres and its design is inspired by the London Olympic Stadium.

    Firms are bidding for a SR980m ($261m) contract covering the construction of staff accommodation. Earlier in December, MEED exclusively reported that QIC has allowed firms until 8 January to submit their bids.

    The tendering follows QIC’s October announcement that it had awarded a SR5.2bn ($1.4bn) construction contract to build the performing arts centre at Qiddiya Entertainment City.

    The centre will have over 3,000 seats across three theatres. It will also include a cantilevered amphitheatre overlooking Qiddiya City’s lower plateau, with a 500-seat centre suspended from above.

    The Qiddiya City performing arts centre is one of several major projects within the greater Qiddiya development. Other projects include an e-games arena, the Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium, a motorsports track, the Dragon Ball and Six Flags theme parks, and Aquarabia.

    The project is a key part of Riyadh’s strategy to boost leisure tourism in the kingdom. According to GlobalData, leisure tourism in Saudi Arabia has experienced significant growth in recent years.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15277573/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Iraq-Turkiye pipeline exporting around 212,000 b/d of oil

    18 December 2025

     

    The Iraq-Turkiye Pipeline (ITP) is currently exporting around 212,000 barrels of oil a day (b/d), according to industry sources.

    Before the 2023 shutdown, the pipeline was transporting about 450,000-500,000 b/d of crude.

    One source said: “Some thought that by now the export flows through the pipeline would be higher, but a lack of drilling at oil fields in Iraqi Kurdistan during the shutdown has led to a decline in pumping capacity.”

    On 27 September, oil flows restarted from Iraqi Kurdistan to the Turkish port of Ceyhan via the ITP.

    The restart followed an agreement between oil companies operating in Iraqi Kurdistan, the Iraqi federal government in Baghdad and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).

    Under the terms of the deal, the KRG is delivering the crude to Iraq’s state-owned oil marketing company, Somo, and an independent trader is handling sales from the Turkish port of Ceyhan using Somo’s official prices.

    Research and consultancy firm Wood Mackenzie is preparing a report that will help determine the prices oil-producing companies receive.

    Eight oil producers have agreed to accept a temporary price of $16 a barrel until the Wood Mackenzie review is completed.

    The final review is expected to lead to a retroactive adjustment of payments.

    The initial shutdown of the ITP started in March 2023, when the International Chamber of Commerce ordered Turkiye to pay Iraq $1.5bn in damages for what it decided were unauthorised exports by the Kurdish regional authorities.

    Turkiye has stated that it plans to continue its appeal against this compensation order.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15274411/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp