Region advances LNG projects with pace
30 August 2024
Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) liquefaction capacity is expected to more than double by 2028, potentially increasing from 473 million tonnes a year (t/y) in 2023 to 968 million t/y in 2028 through new build and expansion projects, according to a recent report by GlobalData.
North America dominates globally among the regions, in terms of new build and expansion liquefaction capacity growth, contributing around 54% of the total global capacity additions or 268 million t/y by 2028, GlobalData says in the report.
The Middle East comes in at second position, followed by the Former Soviet Union, with capacity additions of 78 million t/y and 71 million t/y, respectively.
Since the start of this decade, there has been a sharp increase in investments in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena), and particularly in the Gulf region, in projects to expand LNG production. Capital expenditure close to $45bn has been made by Mena hydrocarbon producers in the past 10 years on various LNG projects, mainly for output capacity building, MEED Projects data shows. Almost three-fourths of that spending took place in the past four years, and predominantly in the GCC.
A desire to cater to the steady growth expected in global LNG demand and dominate the global supply market is fuelling the wave of investments into large-scale production capacity expansions and terminal construction by Gulf players.
Qatar guns for top spot
Qatar has been jostling with the US and Australia for the status of being the largest LNG provider to the world for many years now. The three countries have all clinched the top spot, only to be unseated by another the very next month.
However, when its mammoth North Field LNG expansion programme begins to come online later this decade, Qatar will be able to consolidate its position as the world’s largest producer and exporter of LNG in the long term.
State enterprise QatarEnergy is understood to have spent almost $30bn on the two phases of the North Field LNG expansion programme, North Field East and North Field South, which will increase its LNG production capacity from 77.5 million tonnes a year (t/y) to 126 million t/y by 2028. Engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on the two projects are making steady progress.
QatarEnergy awarded the main EPC contracts in 2021 for the North Field East project, which is projected to increase LNG output to 110 million t/y by 2025. The main $13bn EPC package, which covers the engineering, procurement, construction and installation of four LNG trains with capacities of 8 million t/y, was awarded to a consortium of Japan’s Chiyoda Corporation and France’s Technip Energies in February 2021.
QatarEnergy awarded the $10bn main EPC contract for the North Field South LNG project, covering two large LNG processing trains, to a consortium of Technip Energies and Lebanon-based Consolidated Contractors Company (CCC) in May last year.
When fully commissioned, the first two phases of the North Field LNG expansion programme will contribute a total supply capacity of 48 million t/y to the global LNG market.
Qatar is, however, not stopping at that. QatarEnergy, in February, announced a third phase of its North Field LNG expansion programme. To be called North Field West, the project will further increase QatarEnergy’s LNG production capacity to 142 million t/y when it is commissioned by 2030.
The North Field West project will have an LNG production capacity of 16 million t/y, which is expected to be achieved through two 8 million t/y LNG processing trains, based on the two earlier phases of QatarEnergy’s LNG expansion programme. The new project derives its name from the western zone of Qatar’s North Field offshore gas reserve, from where it will draw feedstock for LNG production.
Oman moves up the ladder
Oman has been supplying LNG to customers, mainly in Asia, for many years now. Majority state-owned Oman LNG operates three gas liquefaction trains at its site in Qalhat, with a nameplate capacity of 10.4 million t/y. Due to debottlenecking, the company’s complex now has a production capacity of about 11.4 million t/y.
As recently as late July, the Omani government announced that Oman LNG will build a new train at its Qalhat LNG production complex in Sur, located in the sultanate’s South Al-Sharqiyah governorate. Oman LNG will perform the preliminary engineering study for the planned LNG train.
The LNG train will have an output capacity of 3.8 million t/y. When commissioned in 2029, it will increase Oman LNG’s total production capacity to 15.2 million t/y.
Aside from Oman LNG, France’s TotalEnergies has now committed itself to becoming a major LNG supplier in the sultanate. In partnership with state energy holding conglomerate OQ, TotalEnergies achieved final investment decision earlier this year for a major LNG bunkering and export terminal in Oman’s northern city of Sohar.
TotalEnergies leads a joint venture named Marsa LNG, which is the Sohar LNG terminal project developer. Marsa LNG was formed in December 2021 through an agreement between TotalEnergies and the sultanate’s state energy holding company OQ. The partners own 80% and 20% stakes, respectively.
Marsa LNG intends to develop an integrated facility consisting of upstream units that will draw natural gas feedstock from TotalEnergies’ hydrocarbon concessions in the sultanate, particularly from Blocks 10 and 11; an LNG bunkering terminal and storage units located in Sohar port; and a solar photovoltaic plant to power the LNG terminal.
The Marsa LNG terminal will have a single train with the capacity to process about 1 million t/y of natural gas into LNG. The bunkering terminal will mainly supply LNG as a marine fuel to vessels. Marsa LNG has picked France-based Technip Energies to perform EPC works on the estimated $1bn LNG terminal project.
Adnoc gives shape to ambitions
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has been a relatively smaller LNG producer in comparison to its GCC peers. Adnoc Group subsidiary, Adnoc Gas, operates three large gas processing trains on Das Island. At its Das Island terminal, Adnoc Gas has an LNG liquefaction and export capacity of about 6 million t/y. The first and second trains were commissioned in the 1970s and have a combined output capacity of 2.9 million t/y. The third train came into operation in the mid-1990s, with a capacity of 3.2 million t/y.
Adnoc Gas’ LNG production and export capability, however, will receive a major fillip when a new greenfield terminal it has committed to developing in Ruwais, Abu Dhabi, comes online before the end of this decade. The planned LNG export terminal in Ruwais will have the capacity to produce about 9.6 million t/y of LNG from two processing trains, each with a capacity of 4.8 million t/y.
Adnoc awarded the full EPC contract and achieved the final investment decision for the LNG terminal complex in June. A consortium of France’s Technip Energies, Japan-based JGC Corporation and Abu Dhabi-owned NMDC Energy was awarded the EPC contract, worth $5.5bn.
Jordan takes a step forward
Jordan imports more than 90% of its oil, gas and refined product needs and therefore has a strong economic case for developing projects to boost its domestic hydrocarbon infrastructure, particularly for gas.
The country recently took a key step forward when Aqaba Development Corporation awarded the main EPC contract in August for a project to develop the Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah LNG onshore regasification facility at the port of Aqaba.
The contract was won by a consortium of Singapore-based AG&P and South Korea’s Gas Entec, along with their local partner, Jordan’s Issa Haddadin.
In a statement, Gas Entec said that the facility will have the capacity to process 720 million cubic feet a day of natural gas.
“Jordan relies heavily on natural gas for its power and industrial needs, but faces challenges with supply reliability,” Gas Entec said.
“The new LNG terminal will provide Jordan with the flexibility to access LNG from various global suppliers, ensuring a stable and secure energy source.”
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Driving tech in the Middle East
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Heading into 2025, a spate of technological breakthroughs are set to fundamentally reshape industries worldwide, driving unprecedented innovation across critical sectors.
Cutting-edge developments in artificial intelligence (AI), renewable energy, digital currencies, transportation and healthcare are converging to create transformative opportunities, according to the Tech Predictions 2025 report by GlobalData Thematic Intelligence.
AI stands at the forefront of this technological revolution, with generative models and autonomous systems pushing the boundaries of what is possible.
Simultaneously, advancements in battery technology and mineral exploration are accelerating the global transition to sustainable energy solutions.
In the Middle East, these global technological trends are not just being adopted but actively amplified
Emerging technologies such as blockchain are revolutionising finance, while the mobility sector is being reshaped by autonomous and electric transportation technologies.
Healthcare is experiencing a digital renaissance, leveraging AI, telemedicine and bio-technology to deliver more personalised and accessible medical services.
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Regional priorities
In the Middle East, these global technological trends are not just being adopted but actively amplified through strategic national initiatives.
Regional governments and enterprises are making significant investments in AI-driven startups, renewable energy infrastructure and advanced technologies. From pioneering smart city projects like Neom to emerging leadership in cryptocurrency and gaming industries, the Middle East is positioning itself as a global innovation hub.
The region’s commitment to technological diversification is evident in its targeted investments across multiple sectors.
Global technology giants are establishing significant cloud and data centre infrastructure, while local initiatives in health tech, gaming and digital innovation are gaining international recognition.
These efforts collectively demonstrate the Middle East’s strategic vision to transform its economic landscape and establish a prominent role in the global digital economy.
By embracing these technological advancements, the region is not merely adapting to global trends, but actively shaping a more interconnected, sustainable and digitally sophisticated future.
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
The global AI market is on a trajectory of major growth, with projections indicating it will surpass $1tn by the end of the decade.
Generative AI is emerging as a particularly transformative capability, promising to drive growth through unprecedented automation and a reimagining of traditional business models.
Another emerging trend is the increasing focus on small language models (SLMs), which offer greater cost-effectiveness, enhanced security and simplified management over their larger counterparts and are especially powerful in domain-specific applications.
Big tech firms such as Microsoft, Open AI and Amazon are well-positioned in both the generative AI and SLM spaces.
Looking ahead, the next technological frontier appears to be agentic AI – intelligent, autonomous systems that are capable of sophisticated multi-step reasoning and dynamic context adaptation. This holds immense potential and could revolutionise efficiency and customer experiences across diverse sectors.
Market winners will successfully develop and implement enterprise AI solutions while laggards risk obsolescence.
The Middle East is positioning itself as a global AI innovation hub, with countries including the UAE and Saudi Arabia investing heavily in areas such as AI governance, autonomous systems and smart city technologies.
Projects like Saudi Arabia’s Neom and Dubai’s smart city initiatives are integrating AI for urban management, enhancing infrastructure and optimising public services through real-time data analysis.
DATA CENTRES
The demand for AI-ready data centres is surging as cloud providers like Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud expand their capabilities to host advanced AI models, such as Open AI’s GPT-4. According to GlobalData, total investment in data centres reached $70.6bn in 2024 and is projected to grow by 5% to $74.3bn in 2025.
This rapid growth is bringing challenges such as power shortages and increasing pressure from governments to reduce energy consumption in alignment with climate targets.
The International Energy Agency estimates that data centre electricity consumption will hit 1,000 terawatt-hours by 2026, doubling from 2023 levels. To meet this rising demand sustainably, tech giants are turning to low-carbon energy solutions, including solar, wind, biofuel and nuclear power.
The Middle East data centre market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increased digital adoption and internet access. The region’s data centre construction market is projected to reach $4.39bn by 2029, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 10.99%.
The UAE has the highest concentration of data centres, while Saudi Arabia is the fastest-growing regional market, attracting global players like Google and Huawei.
Sustainability initiatives are also gaining traction, with both countries aiming for significant renewable energy integration in their power mix.
Overall, the Middle East and North Africa region is poised for major investment in the development of data infrastructure.
The region’s data centre construction market is projected to reach $4.39bn by 2029
CYBERSECURITY
The cybersecurity landscape is undergoing a transformation, with the market projected to expand to $208.5bn by 2025, representing a 10% growth from $188.8bn in 2024.
This growth will be accompanied by increasingly sophisticated threats that leverage AI to create more complex and dangerous cyber attacks.
AI is shaping both defensive and offensive cybersecurity strategies. Cybercriminals are now utilising generative AI to craft more convincing phishing attempts and develop more advanced malware.
The scale of this threat is alarming, with AI-powered malware attacks surging by an extraordinary 275% in 2024 compared to 2023, presenting unprecedented challenges for cybersecurity vendors and organisations worldwide.
Ransomware attacks continue to escalate, with criminals estimated to have extracted $1.1bn in ransom payments during 2023.
The democratisation of cyber attack tools through AI and ransomware-as-a-service platforms is making more sophisticated attacks increasingly accessible to less technically skilled individuals.
While direct ransom payments remain unbanned, emerging regulations are expected to introduce mandatory breach reporting and enhance international collaborative efforts to combat these threats.
In line with global trends, cybersecurity is a growing concern in the Middle East, with governments and enterprises prioritising advanced cyber defence strategies, including AI-based security solutions and regional collaboration to enhance risk assessment, address cyber risks and detect fraud.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
The digital financial landscape is undergoing a transformation as cryptocurrencies are increasingly accepted by institutional investors as a mainstream asset.
This, alongside regulatory developments that could create a more favorable environment for digital asset adoption, are positioning the sector for significant growth in 2025.
The anticipated regulatory approach suggests increased institutional interest and broader mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrency technologies.
The US is expected to develop a more accommodating regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, potentially reducing enforcement barriers and creating a more welcoming global environment for financial innovation. This shift could make it easier for financial institutions to invest in and manage crypto assets, signalling a potential mainstream breakthrough for digital currencies.
The Middle East is similarly emerging as a cryptocurrency hub, with Dubai leading in regulatory frameworks and blockchain innovation.
Crypto exchanges, tokenised real estate projects and interest in decentralised finance are gaining momentum throughout the region.
HEALTH TECH
The healthcare industry stands on the cusp of a technological revolution, with AI and three-dimensional (3D) printing poised to transform medical care and patient outcomes.
AI is rapidly emerging as a game-changing technology in the fields of medical diagnostics and imaging.
Computer vision technologies are already demonstrating remarkable capabilities in assisting radiologists, enabling quicker and more precise identification of abnormalities in medical scans.
This technological frontier is experiencing explosive growth, with the global computer vision market projected to expand from $19bn in 2023 to $125.1bn by 2030, signalling the immense potential of AI in healthcare.
Also emerging as a revolutionary technology in healthcare, 3D printing enables the production of highly personalised medical devices such as prosthetics and implants.
This technology promises to dramatically reduce production costs while providing customised solutions tailored to individual patient needs.
The 3D-printing healthcare market is forecast to grow from $1.4bn in 2023 to $9bn by 2035, reflecting the technology’s enormous potential to reshape medical device manufacturing.
In the Middle East region, governments are investing in health tech startups that are adopting emerging technologies, including the use of AI analytics or predictive diagnostics and telemedicine based on patient data, as a means of enhancing healthcare access and boosting efficiency.
FUTURE OF WORK
The future of work is undergoing a profound metamorphosis, with technology emerging as the primary catalyst for transforming traditional workplace environments. This evolution promises a more dynamic, collaborative ecosystem in which human capabilities are augmented and enhanced by digital technologies.
Generative AI is poised to become a cornerstone of workplace innovation, capable of driving unprecedented levels of automation and business process optimisation.
The generative AI market is projected to reach $75.7bn by 2028, reflecting the huge potential of these intelligent systems to reshape organisational productivity and efficiency.
Hybrid working models are rapidly transitioning from experimental approaches to standard operational practices.
Despite some organisations advocating for a return to traditional office environments, sophisticated collaboration technologies are enabling employees to work effectively across diverse settings. This flexibility represents more than a temporary trend – it signifies a fundamental reimagining of workplace dynamics and productivity.
Talent acquisition and development will face significant challenges as digital technologies continue to evolve.
Automation, AI, augmented reality, virtual reality and digital twin technologies are creating an urgent need for comprehensive workforce upskilling.
By 2025, proficiency in data management and generative AI tools will become an expected competency across various professional roles, not merely for technical positions.
Remote work and hybrid models are being embraced, driven by investments in digital infrastructure and upskilling initiatives. AI-driven human resources tools and collaboration platforms are helping to shape a more flexible and digitally enabled workforce in the Middle East.
GAMING
The gaming software industry is poised for significant growth, with projections indicating an expansion from $219bn in 2023 to $246bn by 2025, and an ambitious target of $337bn by 2030.
This trajectory is being driven by transformative technologies including AI, augmented reality, virtual reality, e-sports and cloud gaming.
Co-streaming is emerging as a revolutionary approach to content delivery in the increasingly popular field of e-sports, enabling several streamers to broadcast events simultaneously.
In 2024, content created by co-streamers demonstrated significantly higher engagement rates compared to official streams, a trend expected to continue gaining momentum in 2025. This innovative approach is reshaping audience interaction and creating new monetisation opportunities.
The boundaries between streaming platforms and social media are becoming increasingly blurred. Platforms such as Twitch and YouTube are integrating with social media applications such as TikTok and Instagram, enabling real-time interactions and creating enhanced monetisation channels.
This convergence represents a fundamental transformation in how gaming content is created, shared and consumed.
The Middle East is rapidly emerging as a significant gaming ecosystem, with substantial investments in e-sports, mobile gaming and local game development. Saudi Arabia, in particular, is positioning itself as a global gaming hub through strategic initiatives like the Savvy Gaming Group.
FUTURE MOBILITY
The future of mobility is poised for a radical transformation, driven by technological innovation and evolving societal needs. Emerging trends such as autonomous vehicles, electric mobility, shared transportation, electrification and enhanced connectivity are reshaping how people and goods will move in the coming years.
China is emerging as a global leader in both electric and autonomous vehicle technology, and in the case of the latter is positioning itself to be the first to deploy commercial Level 4 autonomous driving at scale.
Benefitting from supportive government policies and more relaxed regulatory environments, China is advancing faster than the US in autonomous vehicle development.
Breakthrough advances in battery technology are meanwhile set to unlock new frontiers in mobility, particularly for electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) vehicles.
Innovations in lithium-ion and solid-state battery technologies are expected to make commercial eVTOL operations viable within the next 12-18 months. Solid-state batteries are particularly promising, offering superior energy efficiency, rapid charging capabilities and enhanced durability that could revolutionise aerial transportation.
The Middle East is likewise witnessing transformations in mobility that include the expansion of electric vehicles, autonomous transport pilots and innovative urban mobility solutions like smart public transit systems. Projects such as Neom in Saudi Arabia are setting the stage for futuristic transportation networks.
Autonomous vehicles and electric mobility are reshaping how people and goods will be transported
BATTERIES
The lithium-ion battery market is poised for substantial growth, with projections indicating an expansion from $130.5bn in 2023 to an impressive $408.3bn by 2035. This trajectory represents a consistent 10% annual growth rate, reflecting the increasing global demand for advanced energy storage solutions.
Lithium-ion batteries will maintain their technological supremacy, characterised by superior energy density and rapid charging capabilities. Simultaneously, sodium-ion batteries are emerging as an intriguing alternative, attracting significant investment.
Geopolitical complexities and potential mineral supply disruptions – particularly concerning lithium, nickel and cobalt – are anticipated to create temporary global battery shortages. Despite ongoing advances in recycling technologies, these supply-chain challenges will pose significant obstacles for manufacturers and consumers alike.
With the push for renewable energy and electric vehicles, the Middle East is exploring advanced battery technologies. Efforts are being made to localise battery production and establish strategic partnerships for energy storage solutions that are tailored to the region’s climatic conditions.
Morocco is planning to establish the region’s first battery gigafactory, with a planned capacity of 20 gigawatt-hours annually, focusing on electric vehicle batteries.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is also establishing battery manufacturing capabilities to meet growing demand for lithium-ion batteries due to investments in renewable energy projects and EV adoption.
MINERALS
The global demand for critical minerals is experiencing an unprecedented surge, driven by ambitious net-zero targets and the rapid adoption of transformative energy transition technologies. Lithium, copper, nickel, cobalt and rare earth elements have become pivotal resources in the production of electric vehicles, solar panels and wind farms, creating significant pressure on mineral prices and global supply chains.
China’s historical monopoly on rare earth element production has gradually diminished, with its market share dropping from a near-total 97% in 2010 to approximately 70% today.
While other nations are pursuing diversification strategies, China remains a dominant force in both rare earth element production and refinement, maintaining substantial control over this critical market segment.
Latin America is emerging as a crucial player in the critical minerals landscape. Countries like Argentina, Bolivia and Chile boast extensive lithium reserves, while Brasil holds the world’s third-largest rare earth element reserves. This geological wealth positions the region as a potential game-changer in global mineral supply.
The Middle East region’s focus on economic diversification has likewise spurred interest in mining critical minerals. Significant mining projects are under way, including copper and gold projects in Oman and expansions of existing gold mines in Saudi Arabia.
There is a regional race to secure lithium deposits and access to other rare earth elements necessary for the technology and energy sectors.
GLOBALDATA REPORTS
This article was written by GlobalData Thematic Intelligence. Click here to see more thematic research.
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Saudi Arabia retenders Shoaiba 6 water contract
20 December 2024
Saudi Water Authority (SWA), the kingdom’s main producer of desalinated water, has retendered a contract to build a new water desalination plant on Saudi Arabia’s western coast, using reverse osmosis technology.
When the Shoaiba 6 seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) plant was previously tendered, Jeddah-based Alfatah Water & Power offered the lowest bid for the contract.
The retendered contract indicates a capacity of between 500,000 cm/d and 545,000 cm/d.
SWA expects to receive bids for the retendered contract by 10 January 2025.
Shoaiba 6 is one of four contracts that SWA has tendered this year using an engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) contracting model.
The other three SWRO projects are Yanbu 5, Ras Al-Khair and Jubail.
VA Tech Wabag submitted the lowest bid for Yanbu 5 and won the $317m contract to build the plant in September. The plant will have the capacity to treat 300,000 cm/d of seawater.
However, on 16 December, SWA cancelled the contract and informed the bidders that it intended to recalibrate the plant’s capacity and issue a new tender over the coming weeks.
The Jubail and Ras Al-Khair SWRO projects will each have the capacity to treat 600,000 cm/d of seawater.
MEED recently reported that Najran-based Emar Al-Janoub for Contracting (EJC) had won the contract to build the Ras Al-Khair SWRO plant.
EJC offered SR2.346bn ($625.6m) to win the contract, seeing off competition from other bidders including the local Civil Works Company and Saudi Services for Electro Mechanic Works, and the Saudi branch of India’s VA Tech Wabag.
SWA is the world’s largest producer of desalinated water, with a capacity of at least 6.6 million cm/d. Plants using older and more energy-intensive techniques, such as multi-stage flash technology, account for the majority of the current capacity.
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