Region advances LNG projects with pace
30 August 2024
Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) liquefaction capacity is expected to more than double by 2028, potentially increasing from 473 million tonnes a year (t/y) in 2023 to 968 million t/y in 2028 through new build and expansion projects, according to a recent report by GlobalData.
North America dominates globally among the regions, in terms of new build and expansion liquefaction capacity growth, contributing around 54% of the total global capacity additions or 268 million t/y by 2028, GlobalData says in the report.
The Middle East comes in at second position, followed by the Former Soviet Union, with capacity additions of 78 million t/y and 71 million t/y, respectively.
Since the start of this decade, there has been a sharp increase in investments in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena), and particularly in the Gulf region, in projects to expand LNG production. Capital expenditure close to $45bn has been made by Mena hydrocarbon producers in the past 10 years on various LNG projects, mainly for output capacity building, MEED Projects data shows. Almost three-fourths of that spending took place in the past four years, and predominantly in the GCC.
A desire to cater to the steady growth expected in global LNG demand and dominate the global supply market is fuelling the wave of investments into large-scale production capacity expansions and terminal construction by Gulf players.
Qatar guns for top spot
Qatar has been jostling with the US and Australia for the status of being the largest LNG provider to the world for many years now. The three countries have all clinched the top spot, only to be unseated by another the very next month.
However, when its mammoth North Field LNG expansion programme begins to come online later this decade, Qatar will be able to consolidate its position as the world’s largest producer and exporter of LNG in the long term.
State enterprise QatarEnergy is understood to have spent almost $30bn on the two phases of the North Field LNG expansion programme, North Field East and North Field South, which will increase its LNG production capacity from 77.5 million tonnes a year (t/y) to 126 million t/y by 2028. Engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on the two projects are making steady progress.
QatarEnergy awarded the main EPC contracts in 2021 for the North Field East project, which is projected to increase LNG output to 110 million t/y by 2025. The main $13bn EPC package, which covers the engineering, procurement, construction and installation of four LNG trains with capacities of 8 million t/y, was awarded to a consortium of Japan’s Chiyoda Corporation and France’s Technip Energies in February 2021.
QatarEnergy awarded the $10bn main EPC contract for the North Field South LNG project, covering two large LNG processing trains, to a consortium of Technip Energies and Lebanon-based Consolidated Contractors Company (CCC) in May last year.
When fully commissioned, the first two phases of the North Field LNG expansion programme will contribute a total supply capacity of 48 million t/y to the global LNG market.
Qatar is, however, not stopping at that. QatarEnergy, in February, announced a third phase of its North Field LNG expansion programme. To be called North Field West, the project will further increase QatarEnergy’s LNG production capacity to 142 million t/y when it is commissioned by 2030.
The North Field West project will have an LNG production capacity of 16 million t/y, which is expected to be achieved through two 8 million t/y LNG processing trains, based on the two earlier phases of QatarEnergy’s LNG expansion programme. The new project derives its name from the western zone of Qatar’s North Field offshore gas reserve, from where it will draw feedstock for LNG production.
Oman moves up the ladder
Oman has been supplying LNG to customers, mainly in Asia, for many years now. Majority state-owned Oman LNG operates three gas liquefaction trains at its site in Qalhat, with a nameplate capacity of 10.4 million t/y. Due to debottlenecking, the company’s complex now has a production capacity of about 11.4 million t/y.
As recently as late July, the Omani government announced that Oman LNG will build a new train at its Qalhat LNG production complex in Sur, located in the sultanate’s South Al-Sharqiyah governorate. Oman LNG will perform the preliminary engineering study for the planned LNG train.
The LNG train will have an output capacity of 3.8 million t/y. When commissioned in 2029, it will increase Oman LNG’s total production capacity to 15.2 million t/y.
Aside from Oman LNG, France’s TotalEnergies has now committed itself to becoming a major LNG supplier in the sultanate. In partnership with state energy holding conglomerate OQ, TotalEnergies achieved final investment decision earlier this year for a major LNG bunkering and export terminal in Oman’s northern city of Sohar.
TotalEnergies leads a joint venture named Marsa LNG, which is the Sohar LNG terminal project developer. Marsa LNG was formed in December 2021 through an agreement between TotalEnergies and the sultanate’s state energy holding company OQ. The partners own 80% and 20% stakes, respectively.
Marsa LNG intends to develop an integrated facility consisting of upstream units that will draw natural gas feedstock from TotalEnergies’ hydrocarbon concessions in the sultanate, particularly from Blocks 10 and 11; an LNG bunkering terminal and storage units located in Sohar port; and a solar photovoltaic plant to power the LNG terminal.
The Marsa LNG terminal will have a single train with the capacity to process about 1 million t/y of natural gas into LNG. The bunkering terminal will mainly supply LNG as a marine fuel to vessels. Marsa LNG has picked France-based Technip Energies to perform EPC works on the estimated $1bn LNG terminal project.
Adnoc gives shape to ambitions
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has been a relatively smaller LNG producer in comparison to its GCC peers. Adnoc Group subsidiary, Adnoc Gas, operates three large gas processing trains on Das Island. At its Das Island terminal, Adnoc Gas has an LNG liquefaction and export capacity of about 6 million t/y. The first and second trains were commissioned in the 1970s and have a combined output capacity of 2.9 million t/y. The third train came into operation in the mid-1990s, with a capacity of 3.2 million t/y.
Adnoc Gas’ LNG production and export capability, however, will receive a major fillip when a new greenfield terminal it has committed to developing in Ruwais, Abu Dhabi, comes online before the end of this decade. The planned LNG export terminal in Ruwais will have the capacity to produce about 9.6 million t/y of LNG from two processing trains, each with a capacity of 4.8 million t/y.
Adnoc awarded the full EPC contract and achieved the final investment decision for the LNG terminal complex in June. A consortium of France’s Technip Energies, Japan-based JGC Corporation and Abu Dhabi-owned NMDC Energy was awarded the EPC contract, worth $5.5bn.
Jordan takes a step forward
Jordan imports more than 90% of its oil, gas and refined product needs and therefore has a strong economic case for developing projects to boost its domestic hydrocarbon infrastructure, particularly for gas.
The country recently took a key step forward when Aqaba Development Corporation awarded the main EPC contract in August for a project to develop the Sheikh Sabah Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah LNG onshore regasification facility at the port of Aqaba.
The contract was won by a consortium of Singapore-based AG&P and South Korea’s Gas Entec, along with their local partner, Jordan’s Issa Haddadin.
In a statement, Gas Entec said that the facility will have the capacity to process 720 million cubic feet a day of natural gas.
“Jordan relies heavily on natural gas for its power and industrial needs, but faces challenges with supply reliability,” Gas Entec said.
“The new LNG terminal will provide Jordan with the flexibility to access LNG from various global suppliers, ensuring a stable and secure energy source.”
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Yet, policy shifts in Washington – particularly the rollback of the Inflation Reduction Act’s incentives – have cooled investor momentum in the US. This has created an opening for regions such as the Gulf, where national visions place decarbonisation and energy diversification at the centre of long-term strategies.
Regional expansion
Against this backdrop, the Mena region is expected to expand by 4.9% in 2025, outpacing the global average and positioning itself as one of the world’s most attractive construction markets.
Saudi Arabia continues to deliver gigaprojects such as Neom, Diriyah Gate and the Red Sea Project, alongside infrastructure linked to Fifa World Cup 2034. These schemes are not only boosting construction output, but also building domestic supply chain capacity.
The UAE is pressing ahead with large-scale urban development, transport and clean energy projects. Dubai and Abu Dhabi have placed diversification at the centre of their agendas, with Mohammed Bin Rashid Al-Maktoum Solar Park and the Barakah nuclear power plant symbolising their pivot towards sustainable growth.
Egypt, despite macroeconomic challenges, is allocating resources to residential, transport and utilities projects in an effort to sustain employment and absorb demographic pressures.
Elsewhere in the Gulf and North Africa, regional governments from Oman to Morocco are aligning construction activity with diversification and decarbonisation agendas, with Morocco’s preparations for the 2026 Africa Cup of Nations and Fifa World Cup 2030 providing an additional catalyst.
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For Middle Eastern contractors and investors, the global picture has several implications. The region is relatively insulated from the global housing downturn given its emphasis on commercial, industrial and infrastructure-led growth.
Rising input costs remain a concern, particularly as tariff-driven inflation filters through to project budgets. Long-term procurement contracts and regional steel production capacity will be critical in mitigating these risks. At the same time, the slowdown in Western renewable investment momentum has created an opportunity for Gulf states to capture a larger share of global capital flows seeking stable, policy-backed projects.
Geopolitical risk remains a permanent variable. The flare-up in June between Israel, the US and Iran underscored how quickly regional tensions can resurface, reminding investors that large-scale project financing and execution remain vulnerable to sudden shocks even as governments push forward with diversification plans.
Looking further ahead to 2029, forecasts by GlobalData suggest that global construction will average moderate but steady growth, with emerging markets continuing to narrow the gap with advanced economies.
For the Middle East, the outlook is more robust, anchored by long-term national visions in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman and Egypt, and reinforced by large-scale energy transition investments. Global sporting and tourism events are adding additional impetus to infrastructure demand.
While challenges around financing, cost escalation and geopolitical risk will persist, the region’s sovereign-backed model and extensive project pipeline suggest that the Mena region will be a growth leader through to 2029.
READ MORE: Region remains top of construction momentum index
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