Ras al-Khaimah real estate counters growing pains
21 December 2022
Even as global business conditions deteriorate due to rising benchmark interest rates and inflationary pressures, the UAE’s northernmost emirate is on its way to boasting one of the most active construction pipelines in the GCC.
Led by a strong roster of high-profile multibillion-dollar announcements by firms such as US-based Wynn Resorts, Aldar Properties, Abu Dhabi National Hotels, Dubai Investments and Emaar, it is fast emerging as one of the most exciting project destinations in the region.
But the prospect of significant development on the horizon also brings challenges of equal proportion.
As project activity intensifies, Ras al-Khaimah needs to simultaneously accelerate the scale of investment in adjacent infrastructure and facilities that can draw talent to accommodate the scale of work ahead and create an attractive living environment for its growing population.
“In the next two years, we will see a lot of cranes coming over the skyline of Ras al-Khaimah,” said Abdulla al-Abdouli, CEO of Marjan.
“Given the robust project pipeline – more than 5,000 hotel keys and more than 4,000 residential units – a slew of new requirements will come into play, beginning with the construction industry.”
“First and foremost, the demand for quality contractors and subcontractors, architectural consultants, designers, and landscape architects will undoubtedly increase,” he said.
In the next two years, we will see a lot of cranes over Ras al-Khaimah's skyline
Abdulla al-Abdouli, CEO of Marjan
Al-Abdouli said Ras al-Khaimah could incentivise construction companies to establish a base in the emirate by providing their employees with superior facilities and a quality lifestyle.
“We require more staff accommodations, not only to house workers during the construction period, but also to serve employees for all the job opportunities that will arise once the developments are completed. Coming up with good amenities for people is a must, and we need more businesses to support the supply chain.”
With such massive growth on the horizon and Ras al-Khaimah’s plans to target three million visitors by 2025, Al-Abdouli said that the emirate’s government is currently conducting a gap analysis for the destination.
“Infrastructure is our top priority to ensure that by 2026 when we open the Wynn resort, we do not have any disparities in the market,” he said. “It is about ensuring optimum quality of life through well-equipped facilities like airports, roads, networks, logistics and so on. The ultimate goal is for people to be content living in Ras al-Khaimah.”
The demand for infrastructure, retail and commercial offerings is expected to skyrocket by thousands of square metres in the next few years as Ras al-Khaimah evolves beyond its current primary waterfront tourist destination status.
Sameh al-Muhtadi, CEO of RAK Properties, said tapping into the opportunities surrounding the emirate’s real estate boom needs longer-term thinking – and fast.
“There’s a lot of support sectors that are going to be very much in demand,” he said.
“What will be needed in healthcare and education? The reality is that the whole emirate is transforming, and so with the white-collar jobs coming into play, with families moving here, with consultants moving here, we must think well in advance and prepare for that. We need to take the necessary actions and make the necessary decisions now, so we don’t miss the boat.”
One contractor attending the Business Leaders Forum added that despite the strong pipeline ahead, the size of the Ras al-Khaimah market remains “relatively small”, making it difficult to appeal to or attract large international or regional facility management and technology partners.
Marjan’s Al-Abdouli said regulators are firmly committed to finding solutions to market challenges.
The reality is that the whole emirate is transforming, and so with the white-collar jobs coming into play, with families moving here, with consultants moving here, we must think well in advance and prepare for that
Sameh al-Muhtadi, CEO of RAK Properties
Macroeconomic headwinds
Even with the undeniable positive sentiment in Ras al-Khaimah’s future direction, evolving macroeconomic challenges worldwide remain a concern.
Economic activity in the region has been resilient so far, with a multispeed recovery continuing in 2022. The Washington-based IMF projects Middle East GDP growth at 5 per cent in 2022, up from 4.1 per cent in 2021.
But growth is forecast to slow to 3.6 per cent in 2023 on deteriorating global conditions thanks to rising interest rates, high inflation and increased energy costs.
According to the IMF, inflation for the region was projected at 14.2 per cent in 2022 and is expected to remain elevated next year.
Gulf oil exporters are expected, on average, to enjoy budget surpluses of about 33 per cent between 2022 and 2026, leading to a strong improvement in their balance sheets.
The UAE hopes the economy will grow by 5 to 6 per cent this year, and by the same pace over the next few years to double its economy by 2031.
“I think the challenge we all have today is around planning and forecasting due to the current volatility and uncertainties around the world,” said Khalid Anib, CEO of Abu Dhabi National Hotels.
“It is something that is extremely difficult to deal with. But we must keep trying.”
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UK-headquartered Petrofac has completed the sale of Petrofac Emirates, a business unit it established in Abu Dhabi in 2008.
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Leadership role
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The sale of Petrofac Emirates follows the completion of the sale of Petrofac Asset Solutions in April.
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Middle East stocks recover unevenly
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The combined market capitalisation of the MEED Top 100 largest listed companies in the Middle East and North Africa rose to $3.73tn in mid-May 2026, against $3.48tn a year earlier – a 7.2% gain that recovers most of the value lost in the prior two years’ editions. The aggregate is not the story.
Saudi Aramco recovered by $181bn, rising from $1.64tn to $1.82tn and providing substantial support to the aggregate Top 100 valuation. The broader movements in the list differentiated along sectoral lines, with key trends including the continued growth of regional banks, the upward repricing for fertiliser and logistics names amid the Hormuz crisis, and the correction of Saudi mid-tier stocks as valuation peaks have failed to hold.
Oil and gas reweights
Aramco’s share price recovered from about SR25 to SR30, lifting the company’s market cap by 11% and raising the oil and gas sector’s share of the list back to 54.5%.
The company reported first-quarter 2026 net profit of $32.5bn, up 25%, on revenue of $115.5bn – giving it a price-to-earnings ratio of about 18, in line with the Saudi market average as of April.
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Other Saudi names also benefiting from this combination of ongoing access through Yanbu and energy repricing produced the cleanest gains, with Rabigh Refining more than doubling in value to $11.7bn despite a $1.1bn loss, Ades Holding rising 40% to $5.8bn, Luberef rising 28% to $5.8bn and Yansab also seeing double-digit returns.
In the UAE, by contrast, Adnoc Gas has remained broadly flat at $66.7bn, with its Q1 2026 net income dropping 15% and conflict damage estimates indicating that full capacity will not be restored until 2027. Borouge meanwhile held, while Adnoc Drilling and Adnoc Distribution gained by 14% and 8%, respectively.
There was some slippage in the petrochemicals sub-cluster, with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) posting a net loss of $6.96bn and sliding 3%, alongside a 2% slide for the energy sector-adjacent Industries Qatar.
Banking and industry
The banking sector, which accounts for 33 of the 100 entries and 18% of the list by value, expanded by an aggregate 6.3% in absolute terms. Al-Rajhi Bank, the largest banking entry at $107.9bn, reported FY2025 net profit up 26% to SR24.8bn ($6.6bn); total assets passed SR1tn for the first time and Q1 2026 net profit rose a further 14%.
Emirates NBD, up 23% year-on-year to $47.1bn, reported FY2025 record profit before tax of AED29.8bn ($8.1bn) and likewise crossed AED1tn in total assets.
Kuwait Finance House also rose by 19%, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 19% to $28.7bn and Saudi National Bank 11%. Qatar National Bank stalled and slid 1%, while several smaller banks saw gains. Egypt’s Commercial International Bank rose 74% to $8.4bn off a depressed base, Jordan’s Arab Bank meanwhile rose 55%, Oman’s Bank Muscat by 52% and RakBank by 32%.
Several sectors have gained significantly owing to their direct exposure to the Iran conflict’s supply-chain repricing, including logistics, fertilisers and mining.
Logistics firms in the list gained 44% in absolute terms, with Saudi Arabia’s Bahri reporting Q1 2026 net profits up 303% year and revenue up 129%.
Marsa Maroc, the Casablanca-listed port operator, also entered the list at $6.6bn, up 85% on an African expansion that spans 34 terminals across 20 ports following a Liberia management deal signed in February.
Adnoc Logistics rose 32% to $11.6bn, while Air Arabia, the Sharjah-based low-cost carrier, joined the list at $6.1bn as it absorbed redirected long-haul flows. Nakilat, the Qatari liquefied natural gas shipping operator, was the sector’s sole softener, down 12% on slower throughput.
Mining and fertiliser entries sit alongside the logistics gainers. Jordan Phosphate Mines is the cleanest single expression of the post-Hormuz repricing visible on the list – up 127% year on year to $13.2bn, as the World Bank’s April 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook projects fertiliser prices to rise nearly 31% in 2026.
Maaden rose 23% to $65.3bn after FY2025 net profit jumped 156%, backed by record phosphate production; high aluminium output; and rising silver, copper and aluminium prices linked to artificial intelligence, data centre, solar and electric vehicle demand.
Morocco’s Managem also entered the list at $19.7bn, having almost tripled in value in the past two years on cobalt, silver and copper prices and African expansion.
Sabic Agri-Nutrients rose 44% on a 30% 2025 net profit increase, while Fertiglobe rose by 40% – both potentially anticipating a 60% forecasted rise in urea prices.
Property and other trends
The direction of the property and real estate sector has been uniformly downward. The Iran conflict has driven both a slump in UAE property sales and prices and a similar tourism-adjacent correction in Saudi Arabia. Both the Mecca-focused Umm Al-Qura and Jabal Omar development firms have seen their valuations slashed by more than a third, while Makkah Construction & Development slid by 15%.
The UAE’s Emaar Properties and Dar Al-Arkan and Qatar’s Ezdan Holding have also all seen slides of more than 15%. Kuwait’s Mabanee, which rose by 22%, is the one exception in the sector.
In Saudi Arabia’s mid-tier, Acwa Power shed 29% in value even as its revenue rose 18% and its net income 5.4%. Elm Company likewise shed 33%, Dr Sulaiman Al-Habib 19% and the Saudi Tadawul Group 21%.
Mouwasat Medical Services, MBC Group, Nahdi Medical and Saudi Logistics Services fell out of the list entirely on the same trajectory. Each had reported FY2025 earnings rises before the decline. What corrected was the valuation, not the operations.
Acwa Power’s trailing four-quarter average price-to-earnings ratio was 166x, and even after this year’s decline sits at 88x against the Saudi market average of 17.8x. Elm sits at 26x, Al-Habib at 33x, Saudi Tadawul Group at 42x – all rich by any comparable benchmark.
Many of these entries have fallen away from their peak valuations as the cooling of the gigaproject programme since early 2025 has undermined sentiment.
One example that sits on the same axis from the UAE side is Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa), which fell by 28% from $95.3bn to $69.0bn despite a 6% net income rise, even as capital expenditure also expanded by 50%.
There are now nine entries from Morocco’s Casablanca bourse against six a year ago, with an aggregate value of $74.7bn, up from $50.8bn. Industrial contractor Societe Generale des Travaux du Maroc,entered via a December 2025 initial public offering (IPO). Several Moroccan stocks have also slipped, however, including Taqa Morocco, down 42%; Maroc Telecom, down 18%; Banque Populaire, down 13%; and Bank of Africa, down 10%.
There has been a similarly divergent trend among 2024 IPO entrants. While OQ Exploration & Production rose 68% to $10.1bn and is now the largest stock on the Muscat Securities Market, the UAE’s Talabat – 2024’s second-largest IPO at $9.2bn – has corrected 33% to $6.1bn.
The Multiply Group has been replaced on the list through its November 2025 merger into 2PointZero Group, which now sits in the top 30 entries at $19.6bn.
Regional repricing
Four trends underpin the list’s 7.2% recovery. The conflict has repriced specific cohorts sharply higher – logistics up 44%, mining and fertilisers up 43%, the Yanbu refiners returning, and Aramco recovering to $181bn – with gains contingent on the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed.
Regional banks have maintained last year’s momentum, with assets crossing trillion-unit thresholds and loan books supported by project activity. Six names have posted double-digit gains that are unlikely to reverse if conditions normalise.
Saudi mid-tier stocks have corrected largely on valuation rather than operations, despite many reporting earnings growth through 2025, as confidence in gigaproject-driven growth has weakened. Property has also softened in the region as conflict has reduced routine and religious tourism.
The 12-month outlook depends on whether Hormuz reopens, whether Saudi mid-tier valuations stabilise, and whether banking expansion holds under broader repricing.
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Developers win deals for $3.5bn of Mecca projects
1 June 2026
The Royal Commission for Makkah City and Holy Sites has awarded six real estate development deals. The projects, which cover a total land area exceeding 2.7 million square metres (sq m), will require a total investment of SR13.3bn ($3.5bn).
The sites are located within the neighbourhoods of Jurhum South, Al-Khalidiyah, Al-Hajlah, Al-Hindawiyah East, Al-Hindawiyah South and Al-Hindawiyah West. The projects will be delivered as partnerships with domestic real estate developers, institutional investors and dedicated private investment funds.
A consortium consisting of Makkah Construction & Development Company, Umm Al-Qura for Development & Construction Company and Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company will develop the Hindawiya West and Hindawiya South districts, which have a combined area of nearly 1.15 million sq m, adjacent to the Masar Destination project. The consortium informed the Saudi Stock Exchange (Tadawul) that it received letters of award for the project on 31 May.
The initial cost of the project is estimated at SR6bn. Umm Al-Qura will act as the consortium leader and development manager, while Makkah Construction & Development Company will serve as the financial partner. The infrastructure works will be executed by Al-Rajhi United Real Estate Company as the technical partner, with the entire development financed through a private, closed-ended real estate investment fund overseen by a Capital Market Authority-licensed manager.
A consortium comprising First Avenue for Real Estate Development Company, Dar Al-Majed Real Estate Company and Rekaz Real Estate Company has been awarded the concession for the East Hindawiyah site. Located 1.8 kilometres from the Holy Grand Mosque, the 235,000 sq m plot is expected to cost SR2bn to develop, which includes land acquisition and foundational infrastructure. The development will be structured as a real estate investment fund managed by Jadwa Investment, with the ultimate goal of creating an integrated urban destination featuring retail, office, hospitality and residential components. The final contract signing for this deal is expected by 10 June 2026.
Ladun Investment Company, in partnership with Al-Ayuni Investment & Contracting Company, has signed a deal for the Al-Khalidiyah district. With a targeted sales value exceeding SR6bn, the consortium will establish a closed-ended private real estate investment fund to execute extensive infrastructure works, subdivide the land plots, and handle subsequent marketing and sales. The detailed scope of works involves complete engineering designs, public park planning and utility coordination with entities such as National Water Company and Saudi Electricity Company, before a contract is signed by 9 June.
Saudi property dreams: Read the January 2026 MEED Business Review
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