Qatar economy rebounds alongside diplomatic activity

13 January 2025

 

Qatar welcomed some 5.1 million visitors in 2024, the highest number on record and representing a 25% year-on-year increase. But the growing waves of holidaymakers have not been the only notable arrivals of late – regional political figures have also been showing up, as Doha resumes its efforts to resolve the Gaza conflict while also seeking to play a role in rebuilding Syria.

The diplomatic activity comes at a time when the broader economy is emerging from its post-World Cup slump. After the football tournament ended in 2022, there was something of a slowdown, as activity in the construction and services sectors eased off.

According to the Washington-based IMF, real GDP growth fell from 4.2% in 2022 to just 1.2% in 2023. In its latest report on the economy, published in early December, the IMF suggested the rebound had started, with GDP growth of about 2% in 2024/25.

Over the medium term, the IMF expects growth to rise to about 4.75%, helped by a significant expansion of LNG production.

Others take a similar view. On 7 January, Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD revised down its 2024 GDP growth forecast for Qatar to 1.7%, from 2% previously. But it said it expects growth to tick up to 2.6% this year and then accelerate to 4.8% in 2026, as more gas exports come online.

While hydrocarbons will continue to be the most important element of the economy for many years, tourism will play an increasingly important role in economic diversification efforts. 

The country now has more than 40,000 hotel rooms – substantially more than the 31,000 permanent rooms in place when the football tournament was on (augmented by 100,000 temporary rooms on cruise ships and in fan villages and rented homes and apartments).

The number of visitors since the tournament has risen substantially: from 2.6 million in 2022, the figure rose to 4.1 million in 2023 and over 5 million last year. Many more travel through Hamad International airport, which handled almost 53 million passengers in 2024, some 15% more than the year before.

Citizens of more than 100 countries are eligible for visa-free entry to Qatar. That open-minded approach also informs the country’s diplomatic activities.

Diplomatic re-engagement

On 28 December, Prime Minister and Foreign Affairs Minister Sheikh Mohammed Bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani met a Hamas delegation led by Khalil Al-Hayya to discuss a potential Gaza ceasefire deal. Doha had shuttered its mediating efforts in early November, saying neither Hamas nor Israel were engaging seriously.

In January, the diplomatic activity stepped up further, as indirect talks mediated by Qatar resumed. David Barnea, the head of Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency, travelled to Doha, as did US President Joe Biden’s Middle East envoy Brett McGurk. Early reports suggest some progress was being made.

“There are extensive negotiations. Mediators and negotiators are talking about every word and every detail. There is a breakthrough when it comes to narrowing old existing gaps, but there is no deal yet,” one unnamed Palestinian official close to the talks told Reuters.

Activity relating to Syria has been even more pronounced. Unlike some other Gulf states, Doha had resisted the urge to normalise relations with Bashar Al-Assad in recent years, even as many observers assumed his regime had survived the revolution and would continue to hold power in Damascus indefinitely.

As other countries reopened their embassies, Qatar’s remained shuttered. That changed nine days after the Assad regime fell, when the Qatari diplomatic presence in Damascus reopened for business on 17 December. Khalifa Abdullah Al-Sharif was appointed as charge d’affaires.

The new Syrian regime led by Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) appears warmly disposed towards Doha. Visiting the Qatari capital on 5 January, Syria’s Foreign Affairs Minister Asaad Al-Shaibani described Qatar as “a strategic partner”.

On 23 December, Minister of State at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Mohammed Bin Abdulaziz Al-Khulaifi had travelled to Damascus, where he met HTS leader Ahmed Al-Sharaa (better known during the revolution by his nom de guerre Abu Mohammad Al-Julani) to discuss bilateral relations.

Among other things, Qatar has been helping to restart operations at Damascus International airport – international flights resumed on 7 January, with the first arrival coming in from Doha (the first departure went to Sharjah). Qatar, along with Turkiye, has also reportedly pledged to supply electricity-generating ships to provide 800MW of power to the country. 

Al-Shaibani’s visit to Doha in early January was part of a wider tour of key Gulf capitals. While in Qatar, he called on Western countries to remove sanctions on his country, saying they “constitute an obstacle to the rapid recovery of the Syrian economy … We renew our demand for the United States of America to lift the sanctions to speed up the recovery and start building the new Syria”.

The following day, the US announced a six-month suspension of sanctions on dealings with the Syrian government. Senior European figures have indicated they could soon take similar steps. Among other things, relaxing sanctions could enable Doha and other Arab governments to help fund salaries for Syrian public sector employees.

The health of Qatar’s public finances means such support is easy to provide. The government has consistently run a budget surplus in recent years, and that is expected to continue. Emir Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani approved the budget for 2025 in mid-December. It includes spending of QR210bn ($58bn) and revenues of QR197bn, pointing to a deficit of QR13bn.

However, UK-based Oxford Economics has pointed out that the figures were based on conservative oil price assumptions. The consultancy expects Doha to actually run a surplus of QR12bn for this year, down from QR25bn in 2024 but still substantial. “These projections underscore Qatar’s fiscal discipline and sustainable policies,” it said in a 19 December report.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13257617/main.gif
Dominic Dudley
Related Articles
  • Aramco receives interest for major gas processing plant

    30 September 2026

     

    Saudi Aramco has received expressions of interest from contractors to participate in the main tendering exercise for a project to expand the Alhada gas processing plant, located about 85 kilometres northwest of Jubail in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province.

    The Alhada gas processing plant expansion is critical to Aramco’s goal of increasing gas production capacity by 80% by 2030 from a 2021 baseline.

    Aramco issued a solicitation of interest document for the main tendering exercise in early September, with contractors submitting responses by 17 September, sources told MEED.

    The engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) scope of work has been divided into three main packages, sources said.

    The first EPC package relates to the main gas treatment facilities, primarily three processing trains, along with:

    • Three acid gas removal units
    • Triethylene glycol (TEG) dehydration unit
    • Two high-pressure and two low-pressure flares
    • Two flare gas recovery units
    • Two T&l flares
    • Two burn pits
    • A digital twin

    The acid gas removal units will treat sour gas by removing hydrogen sulphide and carbon dioxide to produce sales gas, as well as acid-gas feed for the downstream acid gas enrichment unit and sulphur recovery unit.

    The acid gas removal units will also process gas from the flare gas recovery units through a dedicated amine contactor to meet specifications for use as fuel gas. The TEG dehydration unit will then remove water from the treated gas to meet sales-gas specifications.

    The project’s second EPC package covers the sulphur recovery units. The third package involves inlet channels for monoethylene glycol, as well as common utilities and supporting structures.

    ALSO READ: Contractors express interest in sixth Jafurah expansion phase
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20127671/main4900.jpg
    Indrajit Sen
  • Libya refinery expected to be worth more than $600m

    30 September 2026

     

    The main contract for Libya’s planned South Refinery project is expected to be worth more than $600m, according to industry sources.

    The project, located in Ubari in southern Libya, has gained momentum over the past year. The main contract is expected to be procured under an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) model.

    In March, US-based engineering company KBR was awarded a contract by Zallaf Exploration, Production & Refining of Oil & Gas Company to provide project management and technical services for the project.

    Under the terms of the contract, KBR will provide contract management, project management and supporting technical services throughout the project’s EPC phases.

    The EPC work is expected to take 50 months, and the facility will be designed to process 30,000 barrels a day (b/d) of crude oil.

    The refinery is expected to produce:

    • Propane and butane for domestic and industrial uses
    • Gasoline
    • Kerosene
    • Diesel
    • Fuel oil

    In March, KBR said that the project was aligned with its “long-standing commitment to advancing vital oil and gas infrastructure in Libya”.

    Libya currently operates five main refineries with a combined nameplate capacity of 380,000 b/d, but actual throughput is closer to 180,000 b/d due to poor maintenance and damage from military clashes.

    In addition to the South Refinery project, Libya also plans to upgrade the Zawiya refinery and carry out projects at the Serir, Brega, Tobruk and Ras Lanuf refineries.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20124329/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Joint venture wins $230m Ras El-Hekma buildings

    30 September 2026

    A joint venture of UK-based Innovo Build and Egypt’s Redcon Construction has won a contract worth about E£12bn ($230m) to carry out infrastructure and construction works for the DP03 East package of the Wadi Yemm development at Ras El-Hekma on Egypt’s North Coast.

    Wadi Yemm is being developed by the UAE’s Modon Development as the first phase of its Ras El-Hekma masterplan, which will comprise 17 planned districts.

    DP03 East has a built-up area of 323,000 square metres and is scheduled for completion within 21 months.

    The scope of work includes more than 660 residential units – comprising standalone villas and townhouses – as well as public service areas, lakes, a commercial mall, landscaping and roadworks.

    The delivery of units at Wadi Yemm is expected to begin in the third quarter of 2029.

    Ras El-Hekma is located on a spur of land on Egypt’s northern Mediterranean coast, about 240 kilometres west of Alexandria.

    Abu Dhabi-based holding company ADQ appointed Modon Holding as master developer for the Ras El-Hekma project in 2024. Modon will oversee the overall development, which covers more than 170 million square metres (sq m).

    Modon will develop the first phase, covering 50 million sq m. The remaining 120 million sq m will be developed in partnership with private developers, under the supervision of the recently established ADQ subsidiary Ras El-Hekma Urban Development Project Company and Modon.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20123189/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Hassan Allam wins $1bn Cairo mixed-use project deal

    30 September 2026

    Grova Developments, the real estate development arm of Egypt’s Hassan Allam Holding, has awarded Hassan Allam Construction a $1bn contract to deliver the Grova Westfields project in West Cairo.

    Hassan Allam Construction’s scope of work includes a 150-key five-star hotel, branded residences, luxury villas and apartments, as well as infrastructure and landscaping works.

    The project spans about 1.2 million square metres and is being developed in partnership with the Egyptian Kuwaiti Company for Real Estate Development.

    Broadway Malyan has been appointed to lead the master planning and architectural design.

    In October last year, Hassan Allam Construction announced that it had won a $550m contract to build another mixed-use development spanning more than 128 hectares in New Cairo.

    That development comprises villas, townhouses, commercial and office space, mixed-use buildings, infrastructure and other associated facilities.

    Hassan Allam Properties is co-developing the project with Grova Developments.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20123048/main.jpeg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Neom tenders Oxagon freight rail design

    30 September 2026

     

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Neom has tendered a contract to prepare a concept design, feasibility study and route-alignment studies for a freight rail network connecting to the Port of Neom at Oxagon.

    Neom issued the tender last week, with a submission deadline of 29 October.

    Consultants expressed interest in the contract on 16 September, as MEED previously reported.

    The estimated 400-kilometre (km)-plus rail line is expected to connect the Port of Neom with Saudi Arabia Railways’ (SAR) North-South Railway at the Al-Baseeta junction.

    SAR’s North-South Railway is a 2,750km network built primarily to move minerals from mines in the north of the kingdom to industrial and export hubs on the Gulf coast. Its core route links the Al-Jalamid and Baitha phosphate and bauxite mines to Ras Al-Khair, Jubail and Dammam, with branch lines to Riyadh and to the Jordanian border at Al-Haditha.

    Al-Baseeta junction, where Oxagon’s proposed line would connect, sits on this network in Al-Jawf province, in the northwest of the country. The railway also carries passengers between Riyadh and Qurayyat, and has transported commercial freight such as sulphur and phosphoric acid.

    The Port of Neom currently has no rail link to the rest of Saudi Arabia, meaning cargo landing there depends on road transport or a further sea leg to reach Riyadh, the Gulf coast or export markets beyond.

    Connecting to the North-South network at Al-Baseeta would give the port direct rail access to the kingdom’s interior and, via existing branch lines, to Jordan and the Gulf coast industrial cluster around Ras Al-Khair, Jubail and Dammam.

    The proposed link would also give SAR’s network a new outlet to the Red Sea. To date, the North-South Railway has focused on Gulf coast export points, but a connection to Oxagon would provide a second maritime gateway on the opposite coast, allowing mineral and freight traffic from the north of the kingdom to reach either coastline.

    The latest development follows Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) naming Neom as one of six strategic ecosystems in its 2026-30 strategy.

    This backing comes as Neom’s operational focus appears to be evolving in response to shifting regional dynamics and global economic conditions. For example, on 15 April, Neom posted on its official X account about a new Europe-Egypt-Neom-GCC corridor, describing it as a faster route for time-sensitive goods.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20122376/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal