meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Qatar banks look to calmer waters in 2025

15 January 2025

 

Doha’s lenders enter 2025 with a sense of quiet confidence, backed by broadly favourable macroeconomic trends shaped by still-solid oil prices and non-oil growth that will provide an uplift for operating conditions and loan growth.

Although these operating conditions are not as supportive for Qatari banks as for their peers in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, growth is nonetheless coming back to the sector, enabling banks to book more loans.

Credit growth is looking stronger. In the first 10 months of 2024, Qatari banks registered an annualised credit growth of 6.3%, more than double that of 2023, which was 2.9%.

“Resuming growth is supporting operating conditions for Qatari banks,” says Amin Sakhri, primary rating analyst at Fitch Ratings.

According to Sakhri, non-oil economic activity is also increasing. But it is the cornerstone hydrocarbons project, the North Field liquefied natural gas (LNG) expansion, that will likely give ballast to lenders in the next two to three years.

By the end of 2025, Qatari LNG production capacity will have risen to 110 million tonnes a year (t/y), ahead of a further increase to 126 million t/y by 2027. That sets the economy up well, with banks positioned to feel the impact.

“The LNG project, which benefits related sub-sectors, also supports credit growth. So there’s also another supportive element for Qatari banks,” says Sakhri.

Robust profitability

Profits have been healthy in the past year, benefitting from banks’ strong capitalisation levels and adequate liquidity.

Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) expects this trend to continue with only a modest drop in net interest margins owing to interest rate cuts – and the impact of replacing non-resident funding (which is high in Qatar relative to other regional banking sectors) with higher-cost domestic funding sources.

Full-year 2024 results are awaited, but indications are it will have proved another solid year for banks’ bottom lines.

Qatar National Bank (QNB), which represents over 50% of total system assets – with just eight domestic commercial banks, it is one of the Gulf’s most concentrated banking sectors – reported a Q3 2024 net profit of QR4.5bn ($1.23bn), a 5.4% increase over the previous year. Loans and advances were up by 11% in the same period.

Profits were helped by still high interest rates in the first half of the year. While the lower interest rate environment will have some erosion effect on margins, Qatari banks are generally less sensitive to rates than other banks in the region.

Other metrics also look healthy. “We’ve seen the return on average equity increasing to 16.7% from 15.8% in 2023. This is despite still high loan impairment charges in Qatar, which are some of the highest in the GCC,” says Sakhri.

Property market uncertainty

One area of weakness is in the real estate sector, which has suffered from excess supply over a number of years, bringing down prices. According to Fitch, the banking sector’s exposure to the real estate and contracting sectors remains high, representing 17% of total sector lending.

“The real estate and construction sectors remain under pressure, and we see that in the banks’ loan books,” says Sakhri. “The cost of risk is still elevated in a GCC context, at 78 basis points in the first nine months of 2024 for the Qatari banking sector as a collective, well above the level observed in the UAE and Saudi Arabia.”

Those real estate pressures have contributed to higher loan impairment charges compared to the rest of the region. S&P envisages non-performing loans (NPLs) remaining elevated at 4% in 2025.

“If you look at stage 2 loans, the average for the Qatari banking sector is around 10-11%, whereas for the UAE and Saudi, it’s about 5%. Some of the smaller banks are heavily exposed to the real estate and construction sectors, leading to about a third of the loan book being classified as Stage 2, which is quite substantial,” says Sakhri.

However, Qatari lenders have tightened their underwriting standards in the real estate and contracting sectors, focusing on government-related projects and assignment of cash flow proceeds to reduce their repayment risks, notes Fitch. Some banks have also been reducing their exposure to these sectors.

In S&P’s view, while continued pressure on real estate prices could accelerate the migration of stage 2 loans to NPLs at some midsize banks, public sector initiatives and interest rate cuts will help prevent a more severe deterioration in asset quality.

Underlying strength

In any case, the sector’s strong capitalisation and conservative provisioning remain two core strengths. The average CET1 stood at a solid 15.5% at the end of September 2024. This, says Fitch, is further supported by strong provisioning practices, with 140% of stage 3 loans covered by provisions, among the strongest in the GCC.

Aside from the real estate exposure, the other key risk in Qatar is its long-standing reliance on external funding. The sector’s non-resident funding accounted for a still-high 42% of the banking sector’s funding at the end of October 2024, and the sector’s net external funding was a substantial 50% of GDP at the end of 2023.

There has been some change as GDP has grown, meaning total funding relative to GDP is decreasing. However, about half of the sector’s funding comes from external sources, which is not expected to reduce significantly.

“Yes, hydrocarbon revenues have been supporting domestic liquidity, but Qatari banks are really quite reliant on external funding. In Saudi Arabia and the UAE, you’re looking at 15%-20% coming from external funding, and Qatar has been traditionally more than twice that,” says Sakhri.

Looking forward, the broader positive impact from the LNG increase will provide improved operating conditions for Qatari lenders, which will impact on banks’ bottom lines – offsetting the lower credit demand that will result from the completion of a number of key infrastructure projects.

What’s more, notes Sakhri, lower rates mean the cost of funding will reduce, which is favourable for Qatari banks because they have some of the highest cost of funds in the GCC, and the impact on net interest margin will be less marked. 

Put that together, and Qatari bank chiefs have reason to view the year as one in which the glass is half-full rather than half-empty.

MEED's February 2025 special report on Qatar includes:

> GOVERNMENT & ECONOMY: Qatar economy rebounds alongside diplomatic activity 
> POWER & WATER: Facility E award jumpstarts Qatar’s utility projects
> DOWNSTREAM: Qatar chemical projects take a step forward

 

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13260830/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Aramco issues tender for gas pipeline at Ras Tanura refinery

    19 June 2026

     

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Contractors are preparing bids for a Saudi Aramco tender involving the replacement of a pipeline that is part of the Gas Line Abqaiq – Ras Tanura (GART) transmission network.

    The GART grid transports associated gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) from the Abqaiq oil processing complex as feedstock, northwards to the Ras Tanura refinery in Saudi Arabia’s Eastern Province.

    The aim of the project is to replace the GART-22 pipeline that connects the Juaymah export terminal on the Gulf coast in the Eastern Province to the Ras Tanura refinery, to ensure reliable fuel gas supply and meet ongoing demand.

    The basic scope of work on the project is to install a new, 24-inch pipeline system that will replace the GART-22 line and the abandoned GART-24 line. It will cover a distance of 18 kilometres between Juaymah and the Ras Tanura terminal.

    The scope also includes the installation of associated scraper trap facilities (launcher and receiver), pressure control valves, motor-operated valves and gas detection and sampling systems.

    Aramco issued the tender for the project in May and has set a deadline of 30 June for contractors to submit proposals.

    The following contractors, among others, are understood to be bidding for the project:

    • ACE Pipeline Arabia
    • Combined Group Contracting Company
    • Gas Arabian Services Company
    • Max Streicher Saudi Arabia
    • National Basics Company
    • Saad Ali Alessa Group
    • Sicim
    • Sinopec Engineering Group Saudi
    • Tecton Engineering & Construction
    Ras Tanura refinery complex

    The Ras Tanura refinery is the oldest, and one of the largest, crude oil refineries in Saudi Arabia. The complex has a refining capacity of 550,000 barrels a day (b/d).

    The facility also has a 305,000 b/d NGL processing facility, a 960,000 b/d crude stabilisation facility, combined steam and gas turbine electrical power generation plants with a summer capacity of 145MW and a winter capacity of 158MW, and a combined 150-pound and 600-pound steam capacity of 6,217 million pounds an hour.

    It has 75 crude oil and products storage tanks with a combined capacity of 5.8 million barrels.

    The Ras Tanura refinery’s major facilities include a 325,000 b/d crude distillation unit, a 225,000 b/d gas condensate distillation unit, a 50,000 b/d hydrocracker and 107,000 b/d of catalytic reforming capacity.

    The facility is Aramco’s only refinery to contain a Visbreaker processing unit, which has a 60,000 b/d capacity.

    The Visbreaker reduces the quantity of residual oil produced in the distillation of crude oil and increases the yield of more valuable middle distillates, heating oil and diesel.

    The refinery complex also produces 17,000 b/d of asphalt, more than any other refinery in Saudi Arabia.

    Ras Tanura receives crude feedstock from the Abqaiq, Safaniya and Manifa oil field developments.

    Crude is typically transferred to Ras Tanura through a pipeline and can also be supplied by ship.

    Most of Ras Tanura’s production is transferred to the Dhahran bulk plant for domestic use, while some products are exported from the nearby Ras Tanura shipping terminal.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17332850/main.JPG
    Indrajit Sen
  • Bahrain opens bids for 1.2GW Sitra IWPP

    19 June 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Two developers have submitted bids for the 1.2GW Sitra independent water and power plant (IWPP), according to details published by Bahrain’s Tender Board.

    The offers were made by Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) and Saudi Arabia's Acwa. The technical element of the bid was opened on 18 June.

    The Sitra IWPP is a combined-cycle gas turbine plant and is expected to have a generation capacity of about 1,200MW of electricity. The project’s seawater reverse osmosis desalination facility will have a production capacity of 30 million imperial gallons a day. 

    The build, own and operate project is being procured by Bahrain’s Electricity & Water Authority (EWA) under a public-private partnership framework for 20-25 years.

    According to a source, "evaluation will be done on technical bids and put up to a tender board for approval".

    Financials will be opened only after the technical element has been approved.

    Other major IWPP projects in the region have also recorded relatively low bidder particpation in recent weeks, reflecting the level of investment required for such projects.

    Earlier this month, MEED reported that just two bids had been received for the first phase of Kuwait’s Al-Khairan IWPP project.

    Three consortiums and two individual companies had previously prequalified to participate in the tender.

    In 2024, Bahrian's EWA received statements of qualifications from nine firms interested in bidding for the Sitra IWPP. Seven international companies and consortiums were then prequalified to bid last year.

    Sitra grid works

    Meanwhile, firms are still awaiting awards for two separate contracts related to the establishment of new Sitra 400kV grid substations.

    The first contract involves transformer and reactor works for the establishment of the substations.

    Switzerland-headquartered Hitachi Energy submitted the lowest bid of BD17.8m ($47.1m). Germany’s Siemens Energy submitted an offer of BD23.9m ($63.2m).

    The second contract involves 400kV and 220kV feeder cable works for the same Sitra 400kV grid substations. Three South Korean companies previously bid for the contract.

    Bids for both contracts were opened in March.

    In September, Siemens Energy won a contract worth BD48.1m ($127m) to build a 400kV transmission substation in Sitra to provide the transmission link for the planned Sitra IWPP.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17329853/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Jordan starts international stadium construction works

    18 June 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Jordan has started preliminary excavation and site preparation work at its Al-Hussein Bin Abdullah II International Stadium, located east of the capital city of Amman.

    The project is part of the first phase of the Amra City development master plan.

    The development is being implemented by Jordan Cities & Facilities Development Company, a Jordan Investment Fund-owned company.

    The main works are expected to begin early next year, with the stadium slated for completion in 2029.

    The project will cover an area of about 1 million square metres and the stadium will have a capacity of 50,000 spectators.

    The stadium is being built within the Amra City development, which is located about 40 kilometres (km) from downtown Amman and 35km from Zarqa City and Queen Alia International airport.

    The project forms part of Jordan's Economic Modernisation Vision (EMV) 2023-25.

    The EMV – Amman’s flagship reform programme – aims to increase real income per capita by an average of 3% annually, create 1 million jobs, and more than double the country’s GDP over the next decade.

    The strategy envisages a leading role for the private sector, which is expected to account for 73% of the estimated $58.8bn investment required.

    To achieve these targets, a substantial pipeline of public-private partnership (PPP) projects is planned in sectors including water desalination, school construction, clean energy, green hydrogen, transport and road infrastructure.

    Last year, the PPP unit at the Investment Ministry said it was targeting seven key PPP projects in 2025.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17325757/main.png
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Chinese firms win $506m Saudi housing project deals

    18 June 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Saudi Arabia’s Municipalities & Housing Ministry has awarded contracts worth over SR1.9bn ($506m) to Chinese contractors for two residential developments in the kingdom.

    The first contract has been awarded to China Architectural Construction Corporation for the construction of 2,010 housing units at the Al-Ruba residential project in Riyadh. The contract value is SR875m ($233m).

    The other contract has been awarded to China State Construction Engineering Corporation for the Al-Rasha Al-Faisaliah residential project in Dammam. The project comprises 2,426 housing units, and the contract value is over SR1bn ($266m).

    The contracts were announced during the official visit of Majed Al-Hogail, Saudi Municipalities & Housing Minister, to China, where he also signed six memorandums of understanding (MoUs) between Saudi and Chinese firms. The MoUs aim to accelerate housing development, localise advanced construction technologies and enhance public-private sector collaboration.

    MEED reported in 2020 that Riyadh planned to oversee the development of more than 1 million homes by 2025 to meet growing demand in the kingdom.

    By 2030, the Saudi capital aims to more than double its population, from 7-8 million to 15-20 million, and to become one of the 10 wealthiest cities in the world.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    GCC looks beyond the Strait; Iraq’s reform window narrows as fiscal assumptions shatter; MEED Top 100 companies.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17322994/main.png
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Diriyah awards $727m Waldorf Astoria superblock deal

    17 June 2026

     

    Saudi gigaproject developer Diriyah Company has awarded a SR2.7bn ($727m) contract for the main construction works on the development’s Waldorf Astoria superblock.

    The contract was awarded to the joint venture of Hassan Allam Construction Saudi and UCC Saudi, the local branch of Qatar’s Urbacon Holding.

    The Waldorf Astoria superblock is a mixed-use development comprising a Waldorf Astoria hotel, Waldorf Astoria-branded residences, commercial and residential facilities, and office space.

    The Waldorf Astoria hotel will feature 200 keys, while the residential component will comprise 47 branded residences.

    The project is located on the Grand Boulevard South and Northern Arterial Road in the Boulevard Northwestern district at Diriyah Gate 2. 

    Diriyah Company tendered the contract in November last year, with submissions due in January, as MEED reported.

    Diriyah Company Group CEO Jerry Inzerillo said: “We are delighted to announce this latest major construction contract for the Waldorf Astoria superblock as we continue to progress at pace across the Diriyah development area. The Waldorf Astoria will be a world-class addition to our growing portfolio of globally renowned hospitality brands, further strengthening Diriyah’s appeal as a globally significant destination that offers world-class hospitality and lifestyle experiences.

    “Together with our partners, we look forward to delivering another landmark development that supports the kingdom’s Vision 2030 ambitions and contributes to the continued growth and success of Diriyah.”

    Hassan Allam, chairman and CEO of Hassan Allam Holding, said: “We are proud to support the development of one of the kingdom’s most ambitious and transformative destinations and to continue our partnership with Diriyah Company in bringing its vision to life.

    “Drawing on more than 90 years of experience across the Mena region, we remain committed to delivering the highest standards of quality and excellence on landmark projects that are helping shape the kingdom’s future.”

    Ramez Al-Khayyat, UCC Holding president and group CEO, said: “Being awarded this contract by Diriyah Company marks another important milestone in our growing partnership and reinforces our shared commitment to delivering world-class developments across the kingdom. This project builds on our ongoing collaboration in Diriyah, including the delivery of four luxury hotels and the Royal Diriyah Equestrian and Polo Club in Wadi Safar.

    “We value the opportunity to contribute once again to one of Saudi Arabia’s most ambitious and prestigious urban development destinations, supporting the vision of creating a world-class cultural, hospitality and lifestyle hub.”

    The latest award follows Diriyah Company’s award of an estimated SR730m ($195m) construction contract for civic quarter buildings within the Diriyah development to local contractor Al-Rashid Trading & Contracting Company (RTCC).

    In April, Diriyah announced a SR1.84bn ($490m) construction contract to build the Saudi Arabia Museum of Contemporary Art (SAMoCA) within the Diriyah development. The contract was awarded to a consortium of Egyptian contractor Hassan Allam Construction Saudi and Saudi Arabia’s Albawani.

    In March, Diriyah Company awarded an estimated SR2.5bn ($666m) contract to build the Pendry superblock in the DG2 area.

    The Pendry superblock includes the construction of the Pendry Hotel alongside residential and commercial assets. The package will cover 75,365 square metres and is located in the northwestern district of the DG2 area.

    The previous month, Diriyah Company also awarded a SR717m ($192m) contract for the construction of the One Hotel, located in the Diriyah Two area of the masterplan, with a gross floor area of more than 31,000 sq m.

    The Diriyah masterplan envisages the city as a cultural and lifestyle tourism destination. Located northwest of Riyadh’s city centre, it will cover 14 square kilometres and combine 300 years of history, culture and heritage with hospitality facilities.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17287718/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal