meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Qatar banks look to calmer waters in 2025

15 January 2025

 

Doha’s lenders enter 2025 with a sense of quiet confidence, backed by broadly favourable macroeconomic trends shaped by still-solid oil prices and non-oil growth that will provide an uplift for operating conditions and loan growth.

Although these operating conditions are not as supportive for Qatari banks as for their peers in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, growth is nonetheless coming back to the sector, enabling banks to book more loans.

Credit growth is looking stronger. In the first 10 months of 2024, Qatari banks registered an annualised credit growth of 6.3%, more than double that of 2023, which was 2.9%.

“Resuming growth is supporting operating conditions for Qatari banks,” says Amin Sakhri, primary rating analyst at Fitch Ratings.

According to Sakhri, non-oil economic activity is also increasing. But it is the cornerstone hydrocarbons project, the North Field liquefied natural gas (LNG) expansion, that will likely give ballast to lenders in the next two to three years.

By the end of 2025, Qatari LNG production capacity will have risen to 110 million tonnes a year (t/y), ahead of a further increase to 126 million t/y by 2027. That sets the economy up well, with banks positioned to feel the impact.

“The LNG project, which benefits related sub-sectors, also supports credit growth. So there’s also another supportive element for Qatari banks,” says Sakhri.

Robust profitability

Profits have been healthy in the past year, benefitting from banks’ strong capitalisation levels and adequate liquidity.

Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s (S&P) expects this trend to continue with only a modest drop in net interest margins owing to interest rate cuts – and the impact of replacing non-resident funding (which is high in Qatar relative to other regional banking sectors) with higher-cost domestic funding sources.

Full-year 2024 results are awaited, but indications are it will have proved another solid year for banks’ bottom lines.

Qatar National Bank (QNB), which represents over 50% of total system assets – with just eight domestic commercial banks, it is one of the Gulf’s most concentrated banking sectors – reported a Q3 2024 net profit of QR4.5bn ($1.23bn), a 5.4% increase over the previous year. Loans and advances were up by 11% in the same period.

Profits were helped by still high interest rates in the first half of the year. While the lower interest rate environment will have some erosion effect on margins, Qatari banks are generally less sensitive to rates than other banks in the region.

Other metrics also look healthy. “We’ve seen the return on average equity increasing to 16.7% from 15.8% in 2023. This is despite still high loan impairment charges in Qatar, which are some of the highest in the GCC,” says Sakhri.

Property market uncertainty

One area of weakness is in the real estate sector, which has suffered from excess supply over a number of years, bringing down prices. According to Fitch, the banking sector’s exposure to the real estate and contracting sectors remains high, representing 17% of total sector lending.

“The real estate and construction sectors remain under pressure, and we see that in the banks’ loan books,” says Sakhri. “The cost of risk is still elevated in a GCC context, at 78 basis points in the first nine months of 2024 for the Qatari banking sector as a collective, well above the level observed in the UAE and Saudi Arabia.”

Those real estate pressures have contributed to higher loan impairment charges compared to the rest of the region. S&P envisages non-performing loans (NPLs) remaining elevated at 4% in 2025.

“If you look at stage 2 loans, the average for the Qatari banking sector is around 10-11%, whereas for the UAE and Saudi, it’s about 5%. Some of the smaller banks are heavily exposed to the real estate and construction sectors, leading to about a third of the loan book being classified as Stage 2, which is quite substantial,” says Sakhri.

However, Qatari lenders have tightened their underwriting standards in the real estate and contracting sectors, focusing on government-related projects and assignment of cash flow proceeds to reduce their repayment risks, notes Fitch. Some banks have also been reducing their exposure to these sectors.

In S&P’s view, while continued pressure on real estate prices could accelerate the migration of stage 2 loans to NPLs at some midsize banks, public sector initiatives and interest rate cuts will help prevent a more severe deterioration in asset quality.

Underlying strength

In any case, the sector’s strong capitalisation and conservative provisioning remain two core strengths. The average CET1 stood at a solid 15.5% at the end of September 2024. This, says Fitch, is further supported by strong provisioning practices, with 140% of stage 3 loans covered by provisions, among the strongest in the GCC.

Aside from the real estate exposure, the other key risk in Qatar is its long-standing reliance on external funding. The sector’s non-resident funding accounted for a still-high 42% of the banking sector’s funding at the end of October 2024, and the sector’s net external funding was a substantial 50% of GDP at the end of 2023.

There has been some change as GDP has grown, meaning total funding relative to GDP is decreasing. However, about half of the sector’s funding comes from external sources, which is not expected to reduce significantly.

“Yes, hydrocarbon revenues have been supporting domestic liquidity, but Qatari banks are really quite reliant on external funding. In Saudi Arabia and the UAE, you’re looking at 15%-20% coming from external funding, and Qatar has been traditionally more than twice that,” says Sakhri.

Looking forward, the broader positive impact from the LNG increase will provide improved operating conditions for Qatari lenders, which will impact on banks’ bottom lines – offsetting the lower credit demand that will result from the completion of a number of key infrastructure projects.

What’s more, notes Sakhri, lower rates mean the cost of funding will reduce, which is favourable for Qatari banks because they have some of the highest cost of funds in the GCC, and the impact on net interest margin will be less marked. 

Put that together, and Qatari bank chiefs have reason to view the year as one in which the glass is half-full rather than half-empty.

MEED's February 2025 special report on Qatar includes:

> GOVERNMENT & ECONOMY: Qatar economy rebounds alongside diplomatic activity 
> POWER & WATER: Facility E award jumpstarts Qatar’s utility projects
> DOWNSTREAM: Qatar chemical projects take a step forward

 

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13260830/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Consortiums prepare bids for Al-Khairan phase one IWPP

    14 May 2026

     

    Two developer consortiums are finalising bids for the first phase of Kuwait’s Al-Khairan independent water and power producer (IWPP) project, the deadline for which has been extended to 1 June.

    The facility will have a capacity of 1,800MW and 150,000 cubic metres a day of desalinated water. It will be located in Al-Khairan, adjacent to the Al-Zour South thermal plant. 

    The project is expected to run on Low Sulphur Fuel Oil (LSFO) as the primary fuel and to accommodate crude oil, gas oil, and natural gas as backup fuels. Later phases will further expand capacity.

    The main contract was tendered last September. Three consortiums and two individual companies were previously prequalified to participate, with the following groups currently preparing offers:

    • Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) / A H Al-Sagar & Brothers (Saudi Arabia) 
    • Acwa (Saudi Arabia) / Gulf Investment Corporation (Kuwait)

    The two individual companies, Sumitomo Corporation (Japan) and Nebras Power (Qatar), are now “unlikely” to submit a bid, according to a source close to the project.

    It is also understood that the third consortium of China Power, Malakoff International (Malaysia) and Abdul Aziz Al-Ajlan Sons (Saudi Arabia) is no longer bidding for the contract.

    The project is being procured by the Kuwait Authority for Partnership Projects (Kapp) and the Ministry of Electricity, Water & Renewable Energy (MEWRE).

    The Al-Khairan IWPP project is part of Kuwait’s long-term plan to expand power and water production capacity through public-private partnerships (PPPs).

    The winning bidder will sign a set of PPP agreements covering financing, design, construction, operation and transfer of the project.

    The energy conversion and water purchase agreement is expected to cover a 25-year supply period.

    Upcoming awards

    Kuwait is also preparing to offer a contract to develop zone one of the third phase of the Al-Dibdibah power and Al-Shagaya renewable energy project.

    In January, three consortiums submitted bids for a contract to develop Kuwait’s first utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) plant.

    The Al-Dibdibah power and Al-Shagaya renewable energy phase three, zone one independent power project (IPP) will have a total power-generating capacity of 1,100MW.

    MEED understands that the preferred bidder announcement will happen after the bid closes for zone two of the third phase of the Al-Dibdibah power and Al-Shagaya renewable energy project.

    The PPP authority is procuring the 500MW solar photovoltaic IPP in partnership with the ministry.

    The bid deadline for this project was recently extended to 31 May.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16835649/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Bidders compete for new Dubai Metro line project

    14 May 2026

     

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Dubai’s Roads & Transport Authority (RTA) has held a pre-bid meeting for the Dubai Metro Airport Express Line with consultants understood to be competing for work on the project.

    It is understood that the RTA has requested firms to form joint ventures for the project. The firms that attended the meeting include:

    • Aecom (US)
    • Arup (UK)
    • ARX (Switzerland)
    • AtkinsRealis (Canada)
    • DB (Germany)
    • Egis (France)
    • Jacobs (US)
    • Mott Macdonald (UK)
    • Parsons (US)
    • Sener (Spain)
    • Surbana Jurong (Singapore)
    • Systra (France)
    • WSP (Canada)

    The consultancy contract covers the study and design of the Airport Express Line, which will extend from the Al-Garhoud area of the city to Al-Maktoum International airport (DWC) in the Jebel Ali area. The proposed line will stretch about 55 kilometres (km) and include five stations, providing passengers with facilities such as remote airline check-in, baggage drop-off and security screening.

    Consultants have been allowed until June to submit their proposals.

    The new line will run from the Red Line metro station at Dubai International airport through Al-Jaddaf, along Al-Khail Road to a new station at Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC) before continuing on to DWC.

    There will be two spur lines. The first will run from the new JVC station to the Al-Fardan Exchange metro station at Emirates Golf Club, while the second will branch out towards Business Bay, where another station will be built.

    The new line appears to follow a similar route to the Etihad Rail high-speed railway project, which is now under construction and due to be completed by 2030.

    Route 2020 extension

    The Airport Express Line scheme is the latest metro project to be tendered by the RTA this year. Tendering activity is already ongoing for the Route 2020 extension, which will start from the Expo 2020 metro station and connect to DWC’s West Terminal.

    In April, MEED exclusively reported that consultants had submitted bids for the project.

    The extension to the line will run for about 3km and will feature two stations.

    The existing Route 2020 metro link is a 15km-long line that branches off the Red Line at Jebel Ali metro station. The line comprises 11.8km of elevated tracks and 3.2km of tunnels, and has five elevated stations and two underground stations.

    The RTA awarded the AED10.6bn ($2.9bn) design-and-build contract for the project to a consortium of Spain’s Acciona, Turkiye’s Gulermak and France’s Alstom in 2016.

    Gold Line

    Dubai’s plans for its metro network do not stop with connecting the extension of the Route 2020 metro line to DWC. There are long-term plans for further extensions.

    In October last year, MEED exclusively reported that the RTA had selected US-based engineering firm Aecom to provide consultancy services for the upcoming Dubai Metro Gold Line project, also known as Metro Line 4.

    The Gold Line will start at Al-Ghubaiba in Bur Dubai. It will run parallel to – and alleviate pressure on – the existing Red Line, before heading inland to Business Bay, Meydan, Global Village and residential developments in Dubailand.

    The existing network includes the Red and Green lines of the Dubai Metro and the Dubai Tram, which connects Al-Sufouh and Dubai Marina to the metro network. The last rail project to start operations in Dubai was the Red Line extension that opened for Expo 2020.

    There are also existing and planned rail lines connecting Dubai to other emirates that are being developed and operated by Abu Dhabi-based Etihad Rail. These include passenger and freight services, as well as a high-speed rail connection.

    Blue Line

    In December 2024, the RTA awarded a AED20.5bn main contract for the Dubai Metro Blue Line project to a consortium of Turkish firms Limak Holding and Mapa Group and the Hong Kong office of China Railway Rolling Stock Corporation.

    The Blue Line consists of 14 stations, including three interchange stations at Jaddaf, Rashidiya and International City 1, as well as a station in Dubai Creek Harbour.

    By 2040, the number of daily passengers on the Blue Line is projected to reach 320,000. It will be the first Dubai Metro line to cross Dubai Creek, doing so on a 1,300-metre viaduct.

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16833450/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Local firm wins $100m Kuwait substation contract

    14 May 2026

     

    The local Al-Ahleia Switchgear Company has won an engineering, procurement and construction contract for a $100m substation project in Wafra in Kuwait’s Al-Ahmadi Governorate.

    According to a source, the firm has been appointed as the contractor for the Wafra 2Z substation 400/132/33kV project, with construction scheduled for completion in January 2029.

    The contract was awarded by US-headquartered Chevron, which is undertaking its first major power project in Kuwait, according to data from MEED Projects.

    It is understood that contractor bids for the project were first submitted in 2023 by National Contracting Company (Kuwait), Al-Ahleia Switchgear (Kuwait), Imco Engineering & Construction Company (Kuwait) and Larsen & Toubro (India).

    The tender was cancelled in 2024, and a new tender was issued last year.

    In April, Al-Ahleia Switchgear won a contract to build a 400/132/11kV substation at the South Surra township for Kuwait’s Public Authority for Housing Welfare.

    The firm also recently won a separate contract in Oman for the supply, installation, execution and maintenance of a main power substation.

    The contract was awarded by Oman’s Public Authority for Social Insurance as part of its affordable housing project, known locally as Al-Masaken Al-Muyassara.

    According to MEED Projects, Chevron owns about $11.2bn-worth of operational oil and gas projects across the Middle East and Africa. It also owns four major power generation projects in Saudi Arabia, valued at $810m.

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16832909/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Al-Ain breaks ground on Four Seasons Saadiyat

    14 May 2026

    Al-Ain Asset Management has held a groundbreaking ceremony for its Four Seasons Private Residences Abu Dhabi project at Saadiyat Beach.

    Due for completion in 2029, the gated beachfront scheme will comprise 116 ultra-luxury homes with direct beach access. The unit mix includes villas, beachfront mansions, suites and penthouses, alongside a range of bespoke amenities and Four Seasons-branded services, Wam reported.

    Al-Ain Asset Management said the majority of the residences have been sold, and that AED250m ($68m) of new villa sales were recorded within one week, underlining demand for ultra-prime homes in Abu Dhabi.

    The developer added that the development set new pricing benchmarks for the emirate’s luxury coastal real estate, achieving prices above AED14,000 a square foot. Total sales have exceeded AED4bn since the project launched less than a year ago.

    The groundbreaking ceremony was attended by senior leadership and key partners, including Four Seasons, Killa Design and Mirage Leisure & Development. LW Design Group is also involved in the development.

    Al-Ain Asset Management is also developing another residential scheme on Saadiyat Island. The Vida Residences development will comprise apartment units geared towards long-stay living, supported by hotel-style facilities and operational spaces. Mimar Architecture & Engineering is working as the consultant.

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16833035/main.jpeg
    Colin Foreman
  • Aldar acquires Dubai Studio City development

    14 May 2026

    Abu Dhabi-based developer Aldar has acquired a residential and community retail development in Dubai Studio City from Dubai-based developer SRG for AED1.1bn ($300m).

    The deal is part of Aldar’s long-term strategy to build a high-quality, recurring-income portfolio and to scale its presence in the city.

    Scheduled for delivery in 2028, the project comprises six mid-rise buildings with 312 homes, including one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments and duplexes. It also includes a community mall with retail, leisure and food-and-beverage offerings, as well as a 16,000-square-metre park.

    “Dubai is a priority growth market for Aldar, and this acquisition reflects our belief in the city’s residential market and the central role that institutionally owned, professionally managed rental housing plays in meeting the needs of a growing population,” said Jassem Saleh Busaibe, CEO of Aldar Investment. 

    “Dubai Studio City’s established infrastructure, vibrant community and strong connectivity make it an excellent location for a high-quality, professionally managed living environment. This transaction is the latest step in a deliberate and broadening strategy to build a diversified portfolio of income-generating assets in Dubai, one that we expect to continue growing as the city attracts increasing global interest and talent,” he added. 

    The transaction expands Aldar’s activities in Dubai across a range of property types. Aldar Investment’s recurring-income portfolio in the emirate now includes residential, commercial, logistics and mixed-use assets. Key holdings include a mixed-use joint venture with Expo City Dubai, a signature office tower in Dubai International Financial Centre, a Grade A office building on Sheikh Zayed Road, and logistics facilities in National Industries Park and Dubai South.

    On the development front, Aldar’s partnership with Dubai Holding continues to gain traction, with three master-planned residential communities already launched and a pipeline exceeding 2.3 million sq m of new gross floor area. 

    > Be recognised among the best in the industry at the MEED Projects Awards 2026 …

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16832033/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman