Power tariffs have room to improve

2 October 2023

 

Click here for MEED's 2023 GCC power developer ranking

A number of variables affect private power production costs or tariffs in the GCC region. These include capacity, power-purchase agreement (PPA) duration, capital, development and fuel costs, as well as the expected internal rate of return by investors.

Between 2015 and 2020, solar photovoltaic (PV) projects in the GCC states benefitted from the rapid decline in module prices, low interest rates and large-scale projects.

During that period, solar independent power producer (IPP) projects managed to achieve world-record low tariffs. This trend peaked in 2021, when Saudi utility developer Acwa Power offered to develop the Shuaibah 1 solar IPP project for $cents1.04 a kilowatt-hour ($c/kWh).

Covid-19-related supply chain constraints triggered record-high solar PV module costs, as well as global inflation, setting tariffs on a different course. Former Acwa Power CEO Paddy Padmanathan warned in June 2022 that solar tariffs could be heading towards $c2.0/kWh, nearly twice the world’s lowest solar tariff achieved the year before.

More recently, a team of France’s EDF, UAE-based Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) and local firm Nesma offered $c1.68/kWh for Saudi Arabia’s 1,100MW Hinakiyah solar scheme. This is 62 per cent higher than the Shuaibah 1 tariff and only 39 per cent lower than the offer made for the 300MW Sakaka solar PV project in 2018-19.

A senior regional executive at France’s Engie, which has not bid for a single renewable energy project in the region since 2016, sees an opportunity in the current market and is planning to resume bidding for upcoming renewable energy projects, particularly wind IPPs.

“It is more sustainable, unlike what we have seen in the past, where there was a lot of competition, very few transactions and a high likelihood of projects incurring some losses,” Francois-Xavier Boul, Engie’s managing director for renewables in the Middle East and North Africa and head of business development for Africa, Middle East and Asia, told MEED.

Gas-fired tariff

Contracts for almost 7,000MW of private gas-fired capacity in Abu Dhabi and 1,500MW in Oman will expire between 2024 and 2030.

Negotiations between the offtakers and project companies will determine whether these contracts are extended and the plants are reconfigured, or terminated and the plants are dismantled.

This presents a double-edged opportunity for developers that have a significant gas-fired fleet. The termination of existing contracts requires private developers to win large new projects to offset lost capacity if they are to maintain or improve their current rankings or market share.

Unlike a public tendering process, direct negotiations are the norm for most brownfield IPP assets, which means offtakers and developers are not obliged to disclose prices.

Tariffs that bidders proposed in 2019 for Abu Dhabi’s Fujairah F3 IPP, the last gas-fired IPP contract awarded in the GCC, could provide a reference point in terms of future trends in gas-fired IPP tariffs.

At the time, Japan’s Marubeni, which eventually won the contract, submitted the second-lowest bid of AEDfils16.812 a kilowatt hour (AEDfils/kWh). Another team led by France’s Engie submitted the lowest bid of AEDfils16.7901/kWh for the F3 contract, while a team of France’s EDF and Japan’s Jera submitted a tariff price of AEDfils17.109/kWh.

The tariffs offered by bidders for Saudi Arabia’s Qassim and Taiba IPPs, once disclosed by Saudi Power Procurement Company, will confirm future gas IPP tariff trends. 

As things stand, a further decline for solar tariffs in the GCC, particularly in Saudi Arabia, may still be on the cards, according to Abdulaziz al-Mubarak, Masdar’s managing director and country manager for Saudi Arabia. “World-record-low levelised electricity costs are a result of the input for each project. The kingdom offers robust contractual agreements, good pre-development work and a robust local EPC ecosystem that these projects can tap,” he says. 

MEED's 2023 GCC power developer ranking

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11167570/main.gif
Jennifer Aguinaldo
Related Articles
  • Jedco maps next phase of Jeddah airport expansion

    22 September 2026

     

    Jeddah Airports Company (Jedco) has outlined plans for the next phase of expansion at King Abdulaziz International airport (KAIA) in Jeddah.

    The programme comprises six upcoming contractor packages spanning airside works, terminal upgrades and utilities as Jedco advances its long-term expansion plans.

    The opportunities include airfield rehabilitation; a five-year construction framework covering multiple workstreams and facility types; a Terminal 3A (T3A) package; Terminal 1 (T1) optimisation; a fuel farm; and Concourse C works.

    The packages cover terminal buildings and ancillary facilities, runways, taxiways and aprons, hangars, fuel systems, airside facilities, supporting infrastructure and utility networks.

    Tendering and award activity will be staggered over the next two years. Airfield rehabilitation is targeted for Q3 2026. The construction framework is scheduled for Q4 2026 and will run for five years.

    The T3A package is planned for Q1 2027 and will be delivered under an early contractor involvement contract. Local contractors are encouraged to bid as part of a joint venture with an experienced international partner.

    T1 optimisation is planned for Q4 2027, the fuel farm for Q2 2027, and Concourse C – currently the latest of the six milestones – for Q2 2028.

    The new packages add detail to Jedco’s wider expansion plans disclosed in 2023, when it was reported that the company would invest SR115bn ($31bn) to increase KAIA’s capacity to 114 million passengers a year, with an overall completion target of 2031.

    Jedco has recently awarded several significant contracts linked to the airport’s upgrade programme.

    In November 2024, a joint venture of local Algihaz Contracting and Turkey’s TAV was awarded a contract to rehabilitate the South Terminal to serve Umrah and Hajj pilgrims, with Singapore’s Surbana Jurong acting as consultant.

    Earlier that year, Jedco also awarded France’s Alstom a contract to increase the capacity of the Innovia automated people mover at Terminal 1, including new cars and upgrades to signalling, communications and controls.

    Surbana Jurong is expected to play a leading role in future KAIA expansion plans and is currently providing technical advisory and project management consultancy for more than 100 capital projects for Jedco, valued at over SR6bn ($1.6bn).

    These upgrades are expected to boost KAIA’s annual capacity in line with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and National Aviation Strategy, enhancing the experience for domestic travellers and millions of Hajj and Umrah pilgrims.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19877992/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Contractor wins $105m Medina university hospital deal

    22 September 2026

     

    Riyadh-based construction firm Al-Mansouria General Contracting Company has been awarded a SR396m ($105.6m) contract to complete the remaining construction works on the Taiba University Hospital project in Medina.

    The contract scope includes structural completion, remaining civil works, mechanical, electrical and plumbing installations, specialised clinical fit-outs and medical gas infrastructure to bring the long-stalled facility into operation.

    Located on King Khalid Road along Medina’s Third Ring Road, the teaching hospital will have a capacity of 563 beds.

    The contract duration is three years, with delivery targeted for late 2029.

    The latest award follows a prolonged procurement cycle that began more than a decade ago as part of a public budget drive to expand Saudi Arabia’s higher education infrastructure.

    The project’s first phase was initially signed in December 2011 with local firm Al-Muhaidib Contracting under a SR500m ($133.3m) contract.

    Groundbreaking for the eight-storey complex took place in July 2013. The project covers a gross floor area of more than 200,000 square metres.

    Progress stalled shortly thereafter due to reported structural delays and the reallocation of public capital budgets across the kingdom’s social infrastructure pipeline.


    READ THE SEPTEMBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Nuclear power ambitions gather pace; Kuwait keeps dealmaking alive despite war; Region invests in raising gas processing capacity.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the September 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19870032/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Oman tenders Thumrait Industrial City infrastructure

    22 September 2026

     

    Oman’s Public Establishment for Industrial Estates (Madayn) has tendered an estimated RO15m ($39m) contract to develop infrastructure for Thumrait Industrial City.

    The tender was issued on 14 September, with bids due by 12 November.

    The scope covers site-wide utilities and services, including an internal road network, stormwater channels and culverts. It also includes installing sewerage and water networks, along with landscaping works.

    In addition, Madayn intends to build plug-and-play industrial units and a facilities building.

    The first phase of the development will cover about 120,000 square metres (sq m).

    Thumrait Industrial City is located in Oman’s Dhofar Governorate and spans an area of more than four million sq m.

    The project location is close to concession blocks, quarry sites and the Najd agricultural areas. It is positioned to attract industrial investments in sectors such as mining and minerals processing (including gypsum and cement), food production, and a range of light and general manufacturing activities.

    In March, Madayn said it is preparing to invest more than RO245m ($637m) to upgrade and expand infrastructure across its industrial cities between 2026 and 2030, as part of efforts to attract new investment and advance economic diversification.

    According to media reports, Madayn chief executive Dawood Bin Salim Al-Hadabi said the programme is part of an expanded, phased plan aligned with Oman Vision 2040 and the authority’s long-term Madayn 2040 strategy.

    The objective is to deepen Oman’s industrial base and spread growth across the sultanate’s governorates.

    Madayn said the pipeline comprises about 90 strategic projects to improve industrial-city infrastructure, extend serviced land and increase the overall ease of doing business for investors.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19866218/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Kuwait halves drilling contractor pool

    22 September 2026

     

    State-owned upstream operator Kuwait Oil Company (KOC) has reduced the number of approved contractors for onshore drilling and shallow-well maintenance from 51 to 24.

    Firms that are no longer qualified include major contractors such as Italy’s Saipem, Oklahoma-based Helmerich & Payne and Houston-based Patterson-UTI Energy.

    The latest list still includes a wide range of Kuwaiti, regional and international companies, according to the latest update on its electronic system, published on 21 September 2026.

    The full list of contractors that are now qualified to participate in tenders is:

    • Burgan Company for Well Drilling, Trading & Maintenance (Kuwait)
    • Kuwait Drilling Company (Kuwait)
    • Sun Drilling Kuwait (Kuwait)
    • TDL Kuwait for Oil Rigs & Natural Gas Extraction Activities, Services and Facilities (Kuwait)
    • United Precision Drilling (Kuwait)
    • Abraj Energy Services (Oman)
    • Adnoc Drilling Company (UAE)
    • Arabian Drilling Company (Saudi Arabia)
    • Anton Oilfield Services (China)
    • China Oilfield Services (China)
    • Egyptian Drilling Company (Egypt)
    • CNPC Bohai Drilling Engineering Company (China)
    • Great Wall Drilling Company (China)
    • John Energy (India)
    • Kerui Oilfield Service (China)
    • KCA Deutag Drilling (Germany)
    • Mohammed Al-Barwani Petroleum Services (Oman)
    • Nabors Drilling International (US)
    • National Drilling & Services Company (Oman)
    • Sea & Land Drilling Contractors (Oman)
    • Sinopec International Petroleum Service Corporation (China)
    • Karamay Jianye Energy (China)
    • Modern Drilling Company (Egypt)
    • Grey Wolf Drilling International (US)

    An earlier list, which was published on 11 February, included 51 qualified companies.

    The reduction in qualified drilling contractors follows KOC’s notice on 27 April this year, informing existing qualified contractors that they would need to reapply.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19863744/main3435.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Abu Dhabi expects 45% emissions cut as electricity demand rises

    21 September 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Abu Dhabi-based Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) expects carbon emissions from power and water production to fall by more than 45% by 2035 as the UAE expands renewable energy and reverse osmosis (RO) desalination.

    The state offtaker's latest long-term system planning forecasts emissions will decline from about 42 million tonnes in 2019 to approximately 23 million tonnes in 2035.

    The reduction is expected despite annual electricity demand that is forecast to rise by about 70% in 2026-33.

    Ewec said the expansion of renewable energy and the shift towards RO desalination will be the principal drivers of the reduction.

    The company plans to increase Abu Dhabi's solar capacity to 14GW by 2030 and more than 35GW by 2035. This will be supported by up to 15GW of battery storage capacity.

    According to regional project tracker MEED Projects, Ewec has over $16bn-worth of power and water projects in the execution stage as part of its long-term procurement programme to increase renewable energy and low-carbon water production capacity.

    This includes a 5.2GW Abu Dhabi solar and battery energy storage system (bess) round-the-clock renewable energy project, as well as three 1.5GW solar photovoltaic independent power projects (IPP): Al-Ajban, Al-Khazna and Al-Zarraf.

    It also comprises the 1GW Al-Dhafra open-cycle gas turbine power plant, the 2.5GW Taweelah C combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plant and a separate 400MW bess IPP.

    As previously reported, it is expected that the developer's agreement for the 3.3GW Al-Nouf 1 CCGT IPP will be signed by the end of the year, while contractors are preparing to submit bids for a separate 2.6GW power plant project in Ajman.

    The expansion of solar and battery storage is expected to reduce the system's reliance on gas-fired generation. However, gas-fired generation will continue to provide flexibility to support the system and balance intermittent renewable power output, according to Ewec. 

    The offtaker also expects RO desalination to account for more than 95% of total water production by 2035, with the procurement programme supporting the Abu Dhabi Department of Energy's Clean Energy Strategic Target 2035 for electricity production and the UAE Net Zero by 2050 Strategy.


    READ THE SEPTEMBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Nuclear power ambitions gather pace; Kuwait keeps dealmaking alive despite war; Region invests in raising gas processing capacity.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the September 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19849749/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall