Opec+ decides to pause oil production increases

5 January 2026

Eight key members of the Opec+ alliance have agreed to adhere to a previously adopted plan to halt oil production increases in the first quarter of 2026, as the coalition seeks to address growing oversupply concerns and shore up oil prices, which fell by more than 18% in 2025 — their steepest annual drop since 2020.

The eight countries – Saudi Arabia, Russia, the UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Iraq, Algeria and Oman – raised their oil production targets by approximately 2.9 million barrels a day between April and December 2025, equivalent to almost 3% of global oil demand, to regain some of their lost market share. In a meeting on 2 November, they agreed to suspend production increases for January, February and March.

The latest meeting of the group of eight, held online on 4 January, took place amid political crises affecting several members.

Tensions between Saudi Arabia and the UAE flared in late December over the decade-long conflict in Yemen, when a UAE-aligned group seized territory from the Saudi-backed government. The crisis triggered the biggest rift in decades between the close allies.

Separately, on 3 January, the US captured Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro, and US President Donald Trump said Washington would take control of the country until a transition to a new administration becomes possible, without saying how this would be achieved.

Ministers from the group of eight within Opec+ did not discuss the Venezuela situation during Sunday’s brief online meeting.

Venezuela has the world’s largest oil reserves, even larger than those of Opec’s leader Saudi Arabia, but its oil production has plummeted due to years of mismanagement and sanctions.

The eight countries will next meet on 1 February, Opec+ said.

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Indrajit Sen
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