Oman recovers investment-grade credit rating

16 July 2025

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Oman’s credit rating has returned to investment grade by the reckoning of two of the three main credit ratings agencies, after Moody’s upgraded its rating earlier in July, following a similar move by S&P last September.

Moody’s upgraded Oman’s credit rating from Ba1 to Baa3 with a stable outlook in July 2025, becoming the second ratings agency to raise the status of Oman's sovereign credit rating back into investment-grade range.

S&P upgraded Oman’s rating from BB+ to BBB- with a stable outlook in September 2024, in the first promotion of the sovereign back to investment grade after seven years in junk territory due to a decline in oil revenues owing to low prices and the Covid-19 pandemic.

The combined upgrade by both agencies makes Oman’s investment-grade status the majority opinion. Fitch, meanwhile, affirmed its BB+ rating for Oman in December 2024, but also significantly changed the sultanate’s outlook from stable to positive.

Moody’s, for its part, cited structural reforms and strengthened macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal indicators – most critically, the country’s reduced public debt as a result of Muscat’s lower public spending and return to a 2.8% fiscal surplus.

The twin upgrade from S&P and Moody’s, together with the positive assessment from Fitch, should serve to lower the cost of borrowing for Oman, including by potentially allowing it to restructure existing debt and lower its interest payments moving forward.

Another significant part of Muscat’s recent structural reforms was the consolidation of state-owned entities operating under the Oman Investment Authority (OIA), and the 19.3% reduction in the aggregated debt associated with OIA assets.

The effective restructuring of debts among OIA holdings, alongside the reduction of government guarantees on loans for major companies, including state energy comglomerate OQ, Asyad and Nama – and the halting of new guarantees – all served to improve Muscat’s credit standing.

The structural reform programme continues in Oman, which in its latest major economic policy development, announced the planned introduction of 5% income tax in the country in 2028.

Such ongoing measures are in line with Muscat’s heightened need to wean itself off a boom-bust spending cycle linked to oil prices and instead diversify its government tax and revenue base to fund public spending on a more sustainable basis.


READ THE JULY 2025 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

UAE and Turkiye expand business links; Renewed hope lies on the horizon for trouble-beset Levant region; Gulf real estate momentum continues even as concerns emerge

Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2025 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

> PROJECTS MARKET: GCC projects market collapses
> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects index continues climb
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John Bambridge
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