Morocco gas and fertiliser project activity surges
13 July 2023
> Maghreb energy project activity doubles
> Morocco fertiliser project progresses towards approval
> Morocco fertiliser company plans four solar plants
> Nigeria to invest $12.5bn in Morocco pipeline
> Genel in talks to develop Moroccan oil assets
> Design completed for Moroccan gas project

Over the past three years, Morocco has seen a surge in early-stage gas and chemical project activity that could potentially be worth multibillion dollars.
The country is taking advantage of its proximity to Europe and demand for fertilisers as well as its potential to benefit as a possible transit route for natural gas.
At the same time, it is advancing exploration and production projects for natural gas that may pay dividends over the long term.
While many of the projects are in their early stages, and some of the largest projects are highly speculative, it is likely that some will ultimately see contracts awarded over the coming years.
Nigeria pipeline
The planned $25bn Nigeria-Morocco gas pipeline is currently the biggest project in Morocco’s gas sector and is also one of the most speculative.
As the project spans 13 countries, it is complicated and will need cooperation between all of the nations involved to succeed.
Despite the challenges, there has been significant progress on the project.
In April, Nigeria’s National Petroleum Company (NNPC) said it was preparing to invest $12.5bn to secure a 50 per cent equity stake in the project.
At the time, Mallam Mele Kyari, group CEO of NNPC, said the first phase of the front-end engineering and design (feed) work had been completed, and the second phase of the feed work was under way.
Earlier this month, NNPC tendered contracts to carry out survey work for pipeline sections with a bid deadline of 20 September this year.
Morocco will host 1,672 kilometres of the pipeline. The country’s head of state, King Mohammed VI, has described it as a strategic turning point that will significantly advance the development of West Africa. The project will extend for 5,600km in total.
The 13 countries involved in the project signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Morocco’s National Office of Hydrocarbons & Mines in December 2022.
Regasification
Other midstream gas projects active in Morocco include two liquefied natural gas (LNG) regasification terminals.
One of these was first announced in 2021 after Algeria shut down a gas pipeline between the two countries.
The client on this project is Morocco’s Ministry of Energy & Mining, and the terminal is due to be developed near the capital city of Rabat.
It is part of a gas-to-power project, and the entire project is estimated to have a value of $1.3bn.
Contractors have submitted bids on this project, but contracts are yet to be awarded.
The second regasification terminal has an estimated value of $200m and is due to be located in Morocco’s Mohammedia Port.
This project is also being developed by Morocco’s Ministry of Energy & Mining and was first announced in 2021.
Like the project slated to be developed near Rabat, bids have been submitted, but contracts are yet to be awarded.
Upstream
Although Morocco continues to be a net gas importer, there has been progress on upstream gas projects within the country since 2021.
In December last year, the Anchois project offshore Morocco took a step forward after London-based Chariot agreed the key principles of a gas sales deal.
Anchois hosts about 1.5 trillion cubic feet of potential gas resources and is being developed via subsea wells tied back direct to an onshore gas processing plant.
Chariot said that, together with its field partner, state-owned ONHYM, it had agreed key principles for long-term gas sales from Anchois with Morocco’s National Office of Electricity & Drinking Water (Onee).
These principles included gas sales of up to 600 million cubic metres a year on a take-or-pay basis for a minimum of 10 years, with gas to be delivered via the Maghreb-Europe gas pipeline.
Earlier this month, another London-listed oil company, Sound Energy, secured funding to execute the second development phase of the company’s Tendrara production concession in Morocco.
The company confirmed the funding arrangement in a statement and said it has “now received a conditioned offer from the arranger for a maximum financing of $237m”, subject to certain conditions being met by September 2023.
Morocco’s Attijariwafa Bank will finance the gas field’s second development phase.
Sound Energy said that the financial facility will be used for the “design, drilling, construction and operation of wells, a treatment facility and a gas pipeline to transport and sell the natural gas produced under the Tendrara production concession”.
The Tendrara gas development project has a total estimated value of $1bn.
Additionally, in December last year, the Israeli independent oil and gas company NewMed Energy struck a controversial deal to take a stake in an exploration licence offshore the disputed territory of Western Sahara.
Morocco currently controls Western Sahara, although the African Union and United Nations do not recognise Rabat’s sovereignty, while the indigenous Saharawi people are fighting for independence.
NewMed Energy signed an agreement with the Moroccan Ministry for Energy & Mining and Adarco Energy to explore and produce natural gas in the offshore Boujdour Atlantique block.
NewMed and Adarco will each have a 37.5 per cent stake in the licence partnership, while the Moroccan ministry will hold the remaining 25 per cent. The licence has been granted for eight years.
The Boujdour Atlantique block was previously operated by US oil company Kosmos Energy, which held a 55 per cent stake in the permit, while its partner UK company Capricorn – a subsidiary of Cairn Energy – had 20 per cent.
The remaining 25 per cent was in the hands of ONHYM.
Fertilisers
Morocco has seen an uptick in activity in ammonia and fertiliser projects in the wake of the Russia-Ukraine war.
In June 2022, the Moroccan phosphate giant OCP announced that its net income had more than doubled compared to the previous year, mostly attributed to the rise in fertiliser prices due to the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Morocco is among the world's top four exporters of fertiliser products, after Russia, China and Canada.
It has a large fertiliser industry, mainly due to its large phosphate reserves, one of the key minerals from which fertilisers are produced.
In January, OCP announced that it had signed supply agreements with India for 1.7 million tonnes of phosphate-based fertilisers in 2023.
Under the deals, OCP will supply India with 700,000 tonnes of a nitrogen-free fertiliser known as triple super phosphate (TSP), in addition to 1 million tonnes of diammonium phosphate (DAP).
One Moroccan fertiliser project that is seeing progress is the Khemisset potash project in the north of the country.
In April, Emmerson, the company developing the project, said it was progressing towards final approval for the project’s environmental permit.
The potash project is anticipated to have a pre-production cost of $387m. It is expected to be able to produce, on average, 810,000 tonnes of muriate of potash (MOP), with a potassium content of 60 per cent, every year over the mine’s first 19 years of production.
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US–Iran deal sets Hormuz road map17 June 2026
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The US-Iran agreement, declared complete on 14 June, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, lifts the US naval blockade and ends a war that has closed the Gulf’s export artery since 28 February. The strait reopens at Friday’s signing on paper, but the recovery will take months.
US President Donald Trump announced the deal on Truth Social, authorising the "toll-free opening" of the strait and the immediate removal of the blockade, with formal signing set for Geneva on 19 June – with vice-president JD Vance to sign for Washington and parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf for Tehran in the highest-level US-Iran meeting since 1979.
Iran’s deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi confirmed the text was finalised but said Tehran would not implement it until signing, with the strait staying closed in the interim.
Signing versus substance
The signing on 19 June is merely the starting line that will set in motion a partial reopening to traffic alongside a clearance operation to remove the mines laid by Tehran across key sections of the strait.
The memorandum gives Iranian forces 30 days from signing to clear the strait of mines. At the same time, the Pentagon’s estimates appear to suggest that a full minesweeping could take up to six months, even with three dedicated vessels in the region.
Such gaps – here a 30-day treaty obligation against a six-month operational reality – have become the running feature of the bilateral negotiations, which have been framed by mutual distrust and plagued by an absence of granular detail.
The deal is welcome for the region despite its uncertainty. Behind the mines sits a tanker backlog built over more than 100 days, and Gulf producers that throttled back production and need time and assurances to restore flow.
Before the war, roughly 100 ships transited daily; Kpler now projects around 40 a day could sail within the first month, but with an estimated 300 loaded vessels stranded on either side of the strait, and 250 more sitting empty and idle in the Gulf, it is a pressure release valve, not an immediate restoration of flow.
A total restoration of oil and trade flows is unlikely to come into view before the year’s end.
Insurance represents the second brake, with war-risk premiums standing at 1-4% of vessel value per transit, or about $8m for a $200m tanker – against less than 0.1% before the war.
Shipping associations are no less cautious, with the Baltic and International Maritime Council calling for verified mine-free routes before volume traffic resumes.
Insurance underwriters are likewise unlikely to relent on prices until clearance is confirmed.
Conditional relief
Markets have already traded the sentiment, however. Brent settled at $87.33 on 13 June – an eight-week low – and have fallen further as the deal has firmed. As of early morning trading on 16 June, the first full day of trading after the Islamic New Year, Brent was down at $78.
Yet the relief remains highly conditional: a 60-day nuclear negotiation now follows the signing, and a breakdown in either this, passage through the strait or peace in Lebanon could return the strait to crisis.
The US-touted toll-free terminology is also narrower than billed, with the Iranians instead affirming a 60-day grace period for fees but not eliminating the possibility of “fees” for navigation, environmental and insurance services after that point.
The distinction is legal, not rhetorical, with international maritime law barring tolls on passage through natural straits but permitting the imposition of service fees on vessels passing through territorial waters.
It is through this terminology that Iran is now consistently framing its plans to charge fees from passing vessels through the office of its Persian Gulf Strait Authority – established 5 May and since sanctioned by the US Treasury.
For the Gulf, a 60-day waiver that resolves into an Iranian (and possibly joint Omani) fee regime is a pause in Iran’s tollgate economy, not its end – and would represent a strategic concession for the US, the Gulf and the globe.
Levant entanglement
Lebanon is another conditional space that the deal cannot fully escape, with a flare-up on that front being the final potential trigger that could collapse the 60-day agreement.
Iran has explicitly tied a ceasefire in Lebanon to the resolution of transit in the strait, but Israel does not agree with this, and the linkage may have inadvertently handed Tel Aviv the exact tool it needs to disrupt the US–Iran ceasefire – through the simple of continuing a conflict that it already wants to continue.
Within a day of the deal, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said the IDF would stay in southern Lebanon “without any time limit”, with US officials corroborating that Israeli withdrawal was never a condition of a deal.
On the ground, the ceasefire is already looking frail, with post-deal fire straying in both directions and already endangering the regional calm and Hormuz reopening the Gulf is already pricing.
For Gulf producers and shippers, the distinction and in some cases friction between what the deal declares and what it actually delivers remains a cause for uncertainty.
A declaration is easy, but the delivery requires nuclear negotiation, mine-clearance verification, insurance repricing and a 60-day political test before barrels can again move at volume.
Trump, who has been frustrated for months with the slow progress on Iran from a US perspective, is also more than likely to be distracted by other concerns on a timeline shorter than 60 days – risking the political will to peace coming up short.
In the Gulf, whether Saudi Arabia and the UAE send cabinet-level representatives to Geneva on Friday will signal whether the region’s political leaders are willing to wield the political capital necessary to keep the US on track and pursue the ceasefire to fruition.
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