Monthly briefing: 22 key developments in the region

28 September 2022

By Indrajit Sen


Opec+ agrees minor production increase

King appoints crown prince as Saudi prime minister

Lebanon parliament approves $1.2bn draft budget

Iraq court rules against national oil company

Libya oil production continues to grow

President approves Egypt's Olympic plans

> Dubai prepares hydrogen strategy

GCC central banks raise interest rates

UK and GCC hold ministerial meeting at the UN


OIL

Oil producers will raise output by 100,000b/d in October

The Opec+ alliance of oil producers decided in September that it would increase oil production by just 100,000 barrels a day (b/d) in October to support crude prices, which have fluctuated in recent weeks amid fears that a global economic recession will curb demand for oil. 

Opec+ members also increased overall oil production by 100,000b/d in September. 

The alliance agreed to increase its July and August crude production by about 50 per cent to 648,000b/d, fully restoring the 5.8 million b/d output that the group had cut at the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Read more


IRAN

Deadly protests follow woman’s death in custody

Thirty-five people have been killed in protests in Iran following the death of Mahsa Amini in police custody on 16 September.

Protests have been reported in 31 provinces.

The 22-year-old Amini had been detained for breaking headscarf rules and was reportedly beaten with batons.

Officials said she suffered heart failure and Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi has stated that she was not beaten. 

President Ebrahim Raisi pledged to crack down on the unrest on 24 September.

The official Islamic Republic News Agency reported on 25 September that there had been large-scale demonstrations to condemn the protests.



21 September: Iranian demonstrators take to the streets of Tehran during a protest for Mahsa Amini, days after she died in police custody. Credit: AFP via Getty Images


SALIK IPO

Dubai toll operator raises over $1bn from oversubscribed stock listing

Dubai toll operator Salik raised $1.017bn from its initial public offering (IPO) on the Dubai Financial Market, as part of a series of IPOs of state enterprises aimed at boosting the size of the emirate's capital market.

The IPO was more than 49 times oversubscribed across all tranches, with total gross demand at $50.2bn.

The company had set its offering price at AED2 ($0.54) a share, giving it a valuation of more than $4bn.

The emirate's government sold more than 1.867 billion shares in the company, or 24.9 per cent, up from the previously announced 1.5 billion shares, equivalent to 20 per cent.


ARAB PEACE

Saudi Arabia, Arab League and EU hold meeting in New York

Saudi Foreign Affairs Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan al-Saud and Arab League secretary-general Ahmed Aboul Gheit attended a meeting of the Arab Peace Initiative Committee and its sponsors in the EU. The meeting took place at the UN General Assembly in New York. 

The Arab Peace Initiative, which Saudi Arabia launched in 2002, is a proposal to end the Arab-Israeli conflict. The members of the Arab Peace Initiative Committee are Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain, Tunisia, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Iraq, Palestine, Qatar, Lebanon, Morocco and Yemen. The initiative is sponsored by Spain, Sweden and France.


GCC

Two years of high oil prices set to improve regional outlook

Rating agency Moody’s Investors Service has said that elevated oil prices during the next two years will lead to a significant improvement in the fiscal and external positions of GCC sovereigns, partly reversing the sharp deterioration in their balance sheets since 2015. 

Improvements in creditworthiness will hinge on the extent to which regional governments utilise the windfall to address constraints posed by their exposure to cyclical oil price and demand volatility, and by longer-term carbon transition risks, Moody’s said.

The agency expects oil prices to average about $105 a barrel in 2022 and $95 a barrel in 2023. As a result, most hydrocarbon-exporting countries in the GCC will run fiscal and current account surpluses, allowing governments to pay down debts, rebuild fiscal reserves and accumulate foreign-currency buffers.


GULF BANKS

Regional banks are returning to pre-pandemic form

After a strong first half, ratings agency S&P Global expects that earnings for most GCC banks will almost reach pre-pandemic levels by the end of this year amid high oil prices and rising interest rates.

In the second half of 2022, S&P forecasts further strengthening of regional banks’ interest margins and a manageable rise in cost of risk amid lingering effects from the Covid-19 pandemic via loans that benefited from support measures and were then restructured. Combined, these factors will be a net positive for banks’ earnings.


SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi infrastructure and property projects top $1.1tn

The aggregate value of property and infrastructure projects since the launch of Saudi Arabia’s National Transformation Plan in 2016 has crossed $1.1tn as the kingdom continues to diversify its economy, according to real estate consultancy Knight Frank. 

The $500bn Neom city development is the biggest of 15 major projects in Saudi Arabia that are currently at various phases of construction. The kingdom plans to have more than 555,000 residential units, 275,000 hotel rooms, 4.3 million square metres (sq m) of retail and 6.1 million sq m of new office space by 2030. 

The country is also developing several large-scale tourism projects as it seeks to increase the economic contribution of the sector from 3 per cent of GDP to 10 per cent by the end of this decade.


JERUSALEM

UK prime minister considers relocating British embassy

UK Prime Minister Liz Truss is considering moving the British embassy in Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. 

Truss spoke about a possible move to the contested city during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York in September. 

Despite Israel having designated Jerusalem as its capital, Britain has long maintained its embassy in Tel Aviv. 

When he was president of the US, Donald Trump took the controversial decision to relocate the American embassy to Jerusalem in May 2018. 

Both Israelis and Palestinians claim the city as their capital.


SAUDI ARABIA

First Saudi woman to be sent to space in a crewed mission

Saudi Arabia plans to send a woman into space for the first time as part of its new mission programme. 

A crew will be launched next year that will include the first Saudi female pilot and astronaut. 

The kingdom’s astronaut programme aims to produce qualified Saudi citizens who will take part in short- and long-term space flights, as well as participate in scientific experiments, international research and future space-related missions. 

The new programme comes under the umbrella of Saudi Vision 2030 and will fall under the National Space Strategy, the details of which will be announced in the coming months.


FIFA WORLD CUP

Qatar to shut borders to non-World Cup ticket holders

Entry to Qatar will be restricted from 1 November to citizens, residents and holders of the World Cup Hayya card, the tournament’s organising committee has announced. 

The suspension of visits by people not attending Fifa World Cup matches will continue until 23 December, five days after the final match takes place in Doha. 

The restrictions apply to all air, land and sea borders into Qatar. 

Football fans in possession of a match ticket for the World Cup must also apply for a Hayya entry permit – a pre-approved digital visa linked to a passport that offers free public transport around the country. 

The Hayya card allows entry into Qatar until 23 January 2023. 

Qatari citizens and residents, GCC citizens holding a Qatari identification card, holders of work entry permits and personal visas, and approved humanitarian cases will be exempt from the restrictions.


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MEED Editorial
Related Articles
  • PIF’s 2025 results back 2026-30 strategy shift

    3 July 2026

    Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) has published its audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025, the first full set of annual results to follow the board’s approval of the fund’s 2026-30 strategy.

    The results show a sharp improvement in profitability last year even as leverage rose and volatility in its listed equity holdings widened. The performance helps explain the strategic shift towards capital discipline and focus on private sector partnerships set out in April.

    In April, PIF’s board, chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Al-Saud, approved a new five-year strategy structured around three portfolios, the Vision Portfolio, the Strategic Portfolio and the Financial Portfolio, and organised around six domestic ecosystems: tourism, travel and entertainment; urban development and liveability; advanced manufacturing and innovation; industrials and logistics; clean energy, water and renewables infrastructure; and Neom as a standalone ecosystem.

    Project reprioritisation

    The strategy followed a period of reprioritisation across PIF’s gigaproject portfolio and set out a renewed emphasis on private capital, with PIF stating it would “further enable the role of the private sector as an effective partner for sustainable economic development”.

    PIF’s consolidated profit for 2025 rose to SR65.2bn ($17.4bn) in 2025, up 152% from SR25.8bn in 2024. The increase was driven by operating profit more than doubling, to SR78bn from SR34.7bn, as revenue growth outpaced cost of revenue and general and administrative expenses moderated relative to the prior year. Profit attributable to the owner of the fund rose to SR46.4bn, up from just SR1bn in 2024, a swing that accounts for most of the year-on-year improvement.

    Total revenue, comprising SR312bn of operating revenue and SR137.9bn of income from investment activities, rose 8.8% to SR449.9bn. Core operating revenue alone was up 9.9%, from SR284bn in 2024.

    Segment mix                                                     

    The segment breakdown shows where that growth came from, and it lines up closely with the six ecosystems named in the 2026-30 strategy. Banking and financial services remained the largest single revenue line at SR85.3bn, followed by telecommunications at SR76.8bn ($20.5bn), which was down slightly on 2024. Mining revenue rose 19.3% to SR38.8bn, consistent with the strategy’s focus on industrials and logistics, while revenue from electronic gaming and related services held broadly flat at SR15.6bn, an area PIF governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan specifically cited as a sector for strategic investment alongside artificial intelligence and renewable energy. Agricultural and livestock revenue nearly tripled, to SR7.6bn from SR2.5bn, and revenue from events operations rose to SR7.6bn from SR6bn, both pointing to the diversification into domestic ecosystems the strategy describes. Real estate operations revenue and revenue from advanced electronics and aerospace both declined slightly year-on-year.

    Total assets grew 5.1% to SR4.54tn from SR4.32tn, continuing the expansion PIF has reported since 2015, when the strategy document put assets under management at $150bn, against more than $900bn today. The two figures are not directly comparable, since the IFRS consolidated balance sheet captures the full assets of consolidated subsidiaries such as the fund’s banking, telecommunications and mining operations, while PIF’s publicly cited assets-under-management figure uses a different valuation methodology, but both point to the same order of scale.

    Total equity, by contrast, fell 2% to SR2.63tn ($701bn) from SR2.68tn, despite the sharp rise in reported profit. The gap is explained by other comprehensive income, which swung to a loss of SR113.3bn for the year, driven primarily by a SR112.8bn fair-value loss on equity instruments measured at fair value through other comprehensive income. In other words, unrealised mark-to-market losses on part of PIF’s listed equity portfolio outweighed the operating profit improvement, leaving total comprehensive income attributable to the owner of the fund at a loss of SR64.7bn for the year, though this was narrower than the SR154.4bn loss recorded in 2024.

    Total liabilities rose 16.7%, to SR1.91tn from SR1.64tn, driven mainly by loans and borrowings, which climbed 27.2% to SR725.3bn from SR570.4bn. Property, plant and equipment grew 6.3%, to SR429.6bn, reflecting continued capital spending across PIF’s real estate and gigaproject portfolio, including the stadium, hospitality and urban development programmes.

    Strategy context

    The scale of PIF’s investment activity in the run-up to 2025 is set out in the April strategy announcement rather than the financial statements themselves. Between 2021 and 2025, PIF says it invested more than $199bn in new projects in Saudi Arabia, contributed $243bn to real non-oil GDP and spent more than $157bn with the local private sector, alongside growing assets under management six-fold and delivering an annualised total shareholder return of more than 7% since 2017. Read against the 2025 results, the rise in mining, gaming, agricultural and events revenue is an early indication that this domestic ecosystem investment is beginning to show up in operating performance, even as the wider balance sheet shows the cost of that expansion in higher borrowing and greater sensitivity to listed equity markets.

    The results reinforce a theme demonstrated by PIF’s ongoing award of construction contracts for Expo 2030, the 2034 Fifa World Cup and other gigaprojects in the kingdom. Growth is increasingly funded through a combination of retained earnings, debt and, with the new strategy, private co-investment, rather than balance-sheet expansion alone. The explicit retention of Neom as a named ecosystem in the 2026-30 strategy, despite the cancellation of several Trojena contracts and the loss of the Asian Winter Games over the past year, suggests PIF intends to continue funding the project, but within a more disciplined framework most likely centred on industrial development around the Port of Neom, which is also known as Oxagon.

    The 2025 results and the 2026-30 strategy point to a fund entering a new phase: profit generation has improved markedly, but leverage has grown and comprehensive income remains exposed to swings in listed markets, both factors consistent with a strategy that emphasises capital efficiency, institutional excellence and a larger role for private capital rather than a further scaling-up of gigaproject spending on PIF’s own balance sheet.

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    Colin Foreman
  • UAE to add Ajman to its Etihad Rail passenger network

    3 July 2026

     

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    As part of ongoing procurement for the UAE’s national passenger rail rollout, Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Rail is adding Ajman to the planned network, extending coverage to five of the seven emirates.

    Etihad Rail tendered a design-and-build contract in late June to construct a section of the network to Hamriyah in Ajman, branching off from its existing freight network.

    The scope includes civil and track works, the construction of a passenger station and other associated infrastructure.

    Contractors have until 27 July to submit their proposals.

    The extension to Ajman brings Etihad Rail’s passenger network closer to the wider Northern Emirates, where Umm Al-Quwain and Ras Al-Khaimah still sit outside the current rollout, despite lying along the existing freight corridor, which currently terminates at Al-Ghail dry port in Ras Al-Khaimah.

    The sequencing of the Ajman section could pave the way for further extensions if this section proves successful.

    The latest development follows Etihad Rail’s start of passenger rail operations on 30 June 2026, with an introductory operational phase on the Abu Dhabi-Fujairah route.

    The passenger roll-out marked a major milestone for Etihad Rail, which was established in 2009 and tasked with delivering a roughly 900-kilometre railway linking key cities, ports and industrial hubs from Ghuwaifat to Fujairah on the eastern coast.

    The launch came less than five years after the UAE announced its ambition to create a national passenger railway under the country’s “Projects of the 50” programme, aiming to support economic diversification and sustainable development.

    According to Etihad Rail, passenger services will be introduced in planned phases through 2026 and 2027:

    • 23 June 2026: Passenger tickets went on sale via the Etihad Rail app and a dedicated booking website (as well as the contact centre for certain fares)
    • 30 June 2026: Introductory operational phase begins with services between Abu Dhabi and Fujairah only
    • 30 September 2026: Passenger rail services formally commence and expand to include Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Al-Dhaid and Fujairah
    • 30 December 2026: Services extend to Al-Dhafra stations
    • 30 March 2027: Services expand further to include Sharjah

    In response to MEED’s request for comment on the Ajman section, Etihad Rail said:

    “Etihad Rail remains committed to supporting the UAE’s vision for an integrated, efficient and sustainable transport network that enhances connectivity between communities and supports the nation’s long-term economic and social development.

    “As previously announced, Etihad Rail’s passenger services are being introduced in phases, with further expansion planned over time. We do not comment on market speculation, commercial discussions, procurement activity, or projects that have not been formally announced.

    “Any updates regarding future developments will be communicated through official channels in due course.”

    Passenger rail operations

    Tickets for the Abu Dhabi-Fujairah route are already on sale through the operator’s digital platforms.

    Customers can book tickets up to four weeks before travel. Tickets for new destinations will be released in line with the phased roll-out.

    At this point, Etihad Rail’s passenger service will officially connect 11 cities and regions across the UAE, supported by a station network that links key urban and economic centres. The station list includes:

    • Abu Dhabi – Mohamed Bin Zayed City Station
    • Dubai – Al-Yalayis Station
    • Sharjah – University City Station
    • Fujairah Station
    • Al-Dhaid Station
    • Al-Dhannah Station
    • Madinat Zayed Station
    • Liwa Station
    • Al-Mirfa Station
    • Al-Sila Station
    • Al-Faya Station
    Construction history

    The first phase of Etihad Rail comprised a 264-kilometre freight line spanning Shah, Habshan and Ruwais. This was primarily delivered by a consortium of Italy’s Saipem and Maire Technimont, alongside UAE-based Dodsal Engineering & Construction.

    Stage 2 of Etihad Rail comprises four major packages.

    India’s Larsen & Toubro worked with Chinese state-owned PowerChina International on the design and construction of freight facilities for Stage 2 under a AED1.87bn contract.

    A joint venture comprising China State Construction Engineering Corporation and South Korea’s SK Engineering worked on the first of four civil and track works packages for the 139km line between Ghuwaifat and Ruwais. The contract, worth AED1.5bn, was confirmed in March 2019.

    Packages B and C of Stage 2 were awarded to a joint venture of Beijing-based China Railway Construction Corporation and local Ghantoot Transport & General Contracting in June 2019.

    Both packages are understood to have a combined value of AED4.4bn and cover 310km of the rail network.

    In December 2019, a joint venture of CRCC and local National Projects & Construction was formally confirmed for the AED4.6bn Package D.

    Package D will link the ports of Fujairah and Khorfakkan to the network at the Dubai-Sharjah border and stretches over a distance of 145km.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17525193/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • IHC deepens India links with $11.5bn aluminium venture

    3 July 2026

    Abu Dhabi’s International Holding Company (IHC) has struck its third major partnership with India’s Adani Group in a year, signing an agreement to co-develop an $11.5bn greenfield aluminium complex in the eastern Indian state of Odisha.

    Under a memorandum of understanding signed with the Odisha state government on 2 July, Adani Enterprises (AEL) and International Resources Holding (IRH), the natural resources investment platform IHC operates through its 2PointZero subsidiary, will form a 50:50 joint venture to build an integrated alumina and aluminium complex. The project comprises a 4-million-tonne-a-year (t/y) alumina refinery, a 2 million t/y aluminium smelter, a 4,000MW captive power plant and a 1 million t/y downstream manufacturing park.

    The deal marks Odisha’s largest foreign direct investment proposal to date and what the partners describe as India’s largest single foreign investment in the metallurgy sector. It is expected to create about 53,500 jobs, split between roughly 35,000 during construction and 18,500 in ongoing mining, refining, smelting and manufacturing operations once the complex is running.

    The tie-up extends a fast-growing relationship between IHC and Adani that began with a renewable energy joint venture between IHC subsidiary ePointZero and Adani Green Energy earlier this year. For IHC, which has built a $233bn portfolio spanning more than 1,300 subsidiaries across technology, infrastructure, financial services and consumer sectors, the Odisha project deepens a strategy of using IRH as a vehicle to secure positions across the minerals value chain underpinning the energy transition, moving beyond passive investment into direct industrial development.

    Odisha holds some of India’s largest bauxite reserves and is already a significant alumina and aluminium producer. State officials cast the project as central to plans to position the region as a global manufacturing hub, tying it to the state’s Samruddha Odisha 2036 development programme and the national Viksit Bharat 2047 agenda.

    The project will proceed in two phases. Following the MoU signing, AEL and IRH said they would move to land acquisition, statutory approvals and infrastructure planning alongside the Odisha government.

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    Colin Foreman
  • Contractor wins Qiddiya Speed Park package deal

    3 July 2026

     

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    Riyadh-based contractor El-Seif Engineering Contracting has won a contract to build the Exclusive Viewing Lounge (EVL) project in Qiddiya Entertainment City.

    Saudi gigaproject developer Qiddiya Investment Company (QIC) awarded the contract.

    The EVL comprises a four-storey structure designed for race-day viewing and guest hospitality. It will include dedicated spectator viewing areas, indoor lounge spaces, guest amenities and back-of-house service areas to support operations.

    Local firm Ammico Contracting carried out the project’s enabling works.

    The EVL is part of the Speed Park project at Qiddiya, which El-Seif Engineering Contracting and UAE-based Alec are jointly executing, as previously reported by MEED. The wider scope includes the construction of buildings around the racetrack.

    The racetrack is being delivered by local United Maintenance & Contracting Company (Unimac). In February 2024, MEED exclusively reported that QIC had awarded an estimated SR1.8bn ($480m) contract for the racetrack and associated infrastructure at Qiddiya’s Speed Park.

    The contract scope includes the track build and all infrastructure works, including electrical networks, storm drainage systems, water and sewer networks, landscaping, and associated underground and above-ground structures, along with related civil works.

    The Speed Park is being built around a Federation Internationale de l’Automobile (FIA) Grade 1 racetrack as part of the resort core in Qiddiya Entertainment City. Once complete, the circuit will be capable of hosting Formula 1 Grand Prix and motorcycling MotoGP races. 

    The Speed Park is one of several major projects within the greater Qiddiya development. Other projects include an e-games arena, the Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Stadium, a horse race venue, a performing arts centre, the Dragon Ball and Six Flags theme parks, and Aquarabia.

    The project is a key part of Riyadh’s strategy to boost leisure tourism in the kingdom. According to GlobalData, leisure tourism in Saudi Arabia has experienced significant growth in recent years.

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    Yasir Iqbal
  • Local contractor wins DIFC tower contract

    3 July 2026

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    Dubai-based contractor Al-Basti & Muktha has been awarded a contract to build the DIFC Heights Tower mixed-use development.

    The state-backed Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) awarded the contract.

    The project comprises a 43-storey building with 366 residential units, office space, and retail and food-and-beverage outlets. Construction is expected to commence shortly, with completion slated for 2029.

    Enabling works are under way and are being undertaken by Germany’s Bauer.

    Lebanese engineering firm Dar Al-Handasah is the lead and supervision consultant, while UAE-based Time is the project manager. Canadian engineering firm AtkinsRealis is the architect and concept designer, and local firm Omnium is the cost consultant.

    In a statement, DIFC said the project is being developed on the final remaining plot within its original land bank in the Gate District.

    Earlier this year, Dubai announced a AED100bn ($27bn) expansion of DIFC through the creation of the DIFC Zabeel District. A statement from the Government of Dubai Media Office said the new district will add more than 7 million square feet (sq ft), bringing total gross floor area to 17.7 million sq ft.

    The Zabeel District is expected to more than double DIFC’s capacity to more than 42,000 businesses, support a workforce exceeding 125,000, and allocate more than 1 million sq ft for future technologies and artificial intelligence. Planned in six phases, the expansion is scheduled to open to the public in 2030, with the masterplan due for completion in 2040.

    A bridge will link the DIFC Zabeel District to the existing DIFC Gate District.


    READ THE JULY 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Stress test for Gulf aviation; Mixed performance as country outlooks diverge in the Levant; GCC tourism sector pivots from crisis to recovery mode.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the July 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
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    Yasir Iqbal