Monthly briefing: 22 key developments in the region

28 September 2022

By Indrajit Sen


Opec+ agrees minor production increase

King appoints crown prince as Saudi prime minister

Lebanon parliament approves $1.2bn draft budget

Iraq court rules against national oil company

Libya oil production continues to grow

President approves Egypt's Olympic plans

> Dubai prepares hydrogen strategy

GCC central banks raise interest rates

UK and GCC hold ministerial meeting at the UN


OIL

Oil producers will raise output by 100,000b/d in October

The Opec+ alliance of oil producers decided in September that it would increase oil production by just 100,000 barrels a day (b/d) in October to support crude prices, which have fluctuated in recent weeks amid fears that a global economic recession will curb demand for oil. 

Opec+ members also increased overall oil production by 100,000b/d in September. 

The alliance agreed to increase its July and August crude production by about 50 per cent to 648,000b/d, fully restoring the 5.8 million b/d output that the group had cut at the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic. Read more


IRAN

Deadly protests follow woman’s death in custody

Thirty-five people have been killed in protests in Iran following the death of Mahsa Amini in police custody on 16 September.

Protests have been reported in 31 provinces.

The 22-year-old Amini had been detained for breaking headscarf rules and was reportedly beaten with batons.

Officials said she suffered heart failure and Interior Minister Ahmad Vahidi has stated that she was not beaten. 

President Ebrahim Raisi pledged to crack down on the unrest on 24 September.

The official Islamic Republic News Agency reported on 25 September that there had been large-scale demonstrations to condemn the protests.



21 September: Iranian demonstrators take to the streets of Tehran during a protest for Mahsa Amini, days after she died in police custody. Credit: AFP via Getty Images


SALIK IPO

Dubai toll operator raises over $1bn from oversubscribed stock listing

Dubai toll operator Salik raised $1.017bn from its initial public offering (IPO) on the Dubai Financial Market, as part of a series of IPOs of state enterprises aimed at boosting the size of the emirate's capital market.

The IPO was more than 49 times oversubscribed across all tranches, with total gross demand at $50.2bn.

The company had set its offering price at AED2 ($0.54) a share, giving it a valuation of more than $4bn.

The emirate's government sold more than 1.867 billion shares in the company, or 24.9 per cent, up from the previously announced 1.5 billion shares, equivalent to 20 per cent.


ARAB PEACE

Saudi Arabia, Arab League and EU hold meeting in New York

Saudi Foreign Affairs Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan al-Saud and Arab League secretary-general Ahmed Aboul Gheit attended a meeting of the Arab Peace Initiative Committee and its sponsors in the EU. The meeting took place at the UN General Assembly in New York. 

The Arab Peace Initiative, which Saudi Arabia launched in 2002, is a proposal to end the Arab-Israeli conflict. The members of the Arab Peace Initiative Committee are Jordan, Egypt, Bahrain, Tunisia, Algeria, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Iraq, Palestine, Qatar, Lebanon, Morocco and Yemen. The initiative is sponsored by Spain, Sweden and France.


GCC

Two years of high oil prices set to improve regional outlook

Rating agency Moody’s Investors Service has said that elevated oil prices during the next two years will lead to a significant improvement in the fiscal and external positions of GCC sovereigns, partly reversing the sharp deterioration in their balance sheets since 2015. 

Improvements in creditworthiness will hinge on the extent to which regional governments utilise the windfall to address constraints posed by their exposure to cyclical oil price and demand volatility, and by longer-term carbon transition risks, Moody’s said.

The agency expects oil prices to average about $105 a barrel in 2022 and $95 a barrel in 2023. As a result, most hydrocarbon-exporting countries in the GCC will run fiscal and current account surpluses, allowing governments to pay down debts, rebuild fiscal reserves and accumulate foreign-currency buffers.


GULF BANKS

Regional banks are returning to pre-pandemic form

After a strong first half, ratings agency S&P Global expects that earnings for most GCC banks will almost reach pre-pandemic levels by the end of this year amid high oil prices and rising interest rates.

In the second half of 2022, S&P forecasts further strengthening of regional banks’ interest margins and a manageable rise in cost of risk amid lingering effects from the Covid-19 pandemic via loans that benefited from support measures and were then restructured. Combined, these factors will be a net positive for banks’ earnings.


SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi infrastructure and property projects top $1.1tn

The aggregate value of property and infrastructure projects since the launch of Saudi Arabia’s National Transformation Plan in 2016 has crossed $1.1tn as the kingdom continues to diversify its economy, according to real estate consultancy Knight Frank. 

The $500bn Neom city development is the biggest of 15 major projects in Saudi Arabia that are currently at various phases of construction. The kingdom plans to have more than 555,000 residential units, 275,000 hotel rooms, 4.3 million square metres (sq m) of retail and 6.1 million sq m of new office space by 2030. 

The country is also developing several large-scale tourism projects as it seeks to increase the economic contribution of the sector from 3 per cent of GDP to 10 per cent by the end of this decade.


JERUSALEM

UK prime minister considers relocating British embassy

UK Prime Minister Liz Truss is considering moving the British embassy in Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. 

Truss spoke about a possible move to the contested city during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York in September. 

Despite Israel having designated Jerusalem as its capital, Britain has long maintained its embassy in Tel Aviv. 

When he was president of the US, Donald Trump took the controversial decision to relocate the American embassy to Jerusalem in May 2018. 

Both Israelis and Palestinians claim the city as their capital.


SAUDI ARABIA

First Saudi woman to be sent to space in a crewed mission

Saudi Arabia plans to send a woman into space for the first time as part of its new mission programme. 

A crew will be launched next year that will include the first Saudi female pilot and astronaut. 

The kingdom’s astronaut programme aims to produce qualified Saudi citizens who will take part in short- and long-term space flights, as well as participate in scientific experiments, international research and future space-related missions. 

The new programme comes under the umbrella of Saudi Vision 2030 and will fall under the National Space Strategy, the details of which will be announced in the coming months.


FIFA WORLD CUP

Qatar to shut borders to non-World Cup ticket holders

Entry to Qatar will be restricted from 1 November to citizens, residents and holders of the World Cup Hayya card, the tournament’s organising committee has announced. 

The suspension of visits by people not attending Fifa World Cup matches will continue until 23 December, five days after the final match takes place in Doha. 

The restrictions apply to all air, land and sea borders into Qatar. 

Football fans in possession of a match ticket for the World Cup must also apply for a Hayya entry permit – a pre-approved digital visa linked to a passport that offers free public transport around the country. 

The Hayya card allows entry into Qatar until 23 January 2023. 

Qatari citizens and residents, GCC citizens holding a Qatari identification card, holders of work entry permits and personal visas, and approved humanitarian cases will be exempt from the restrictions.


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MEED Editorial
Related Articles
  • Bahrain extends deadline for Hawar Island water station

    25 November 2025

    Bahrain’s Electricity & Water Authority (Ewa) has extended the bid submission deadline for the main contract to build a new water distribution station on Hawar Island.

    The deadline, initially set for 23 November, has been moved to 7 December. 

    The $15m project covers the construction of two steel ground storage tanks with a capacity of one million gallons each, pumping stations, motors, pipelines and associated facilities.

    The scheme forms a key part of Bahrain’s wider plans to develop Hawar Island, which currently has limited utility infrastructure and relies on water transported from the mainland.

    The government is advancing tourism-led investment on the island, including eco-resorts and hospitality developments that require reliable potable water supplies.

    The tender is linked to Ewa’s ongoing procurement for a new seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination plant on Hawar.

    The engineering, procurement and construction contract for the SWRO facility, designed to produce one million imperial gallons a day, is currently out to tender, with bids due on 30 November.

    According to Ewa, the desalination plant will connect with two related contracts.

    One of these covers the construction of the new water distribution station, while the second covers offshore seawater intake and outfall systems.

    The main desalination contractor will be required to ensure its design and construction align with these works so that all three components function together as one integrated system.

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    Mark Dowdall
  • November 2025: Data drives regional projects

    25 November 2025

    Click here to download the PDF

    Includes: Top 10 global contractors | Brent Spot Price | Construction output

     MEED's 2025 EPC contractor ranking


    MEED’s December 2025 report on Bahrain includes:

    > COMMENT: Manama pursues reform amid strain
    > GVT & ECONOMY: Bahrain’s cautious economic evolution

    > BANKING: Mergers loom over Bahrain’s banking system
    > OIL & GAS: Bahrain remains in pursuit of hydrocarbon resources
    > POWER & WATER: Bahrain advances utility reform
    > CONSTRUCTION: Bahrain construction faces major slowdown
    > TRANSPORT: Air Asia aviation deal boosts connectivity

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
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    MEED Editorial
  • Bahrain pursues reform amid strain

    25 November 2025

    Commentary
    John Bambridge
    Analysis editor

    Cautious optimism defines Bahrain’s current economic moment as the country presses ahead with a broad agenda of diversification, reform and targeted investment. Yet the more assertively Manama moves to reshape its future, the more the tension between its ambition and its fiscal constraints becomes evident as the defining feature of its policymaking.

    Bahrain’s projects sector, which has now been shrinking for the past seven years, is emblematic of the country’s constricted spending. This year, contract awards have fallen to their lowest value in a decade. This signals a decisive shift to a more disciplined investment strategy aligned with fiscal realities and a more selective approach to forward-looking capital spending. 

    The diminished projects market is in turn a challenge for the financial sector, which now faces a receding pool of project financing and other contracting loans. This is giving further impetus to the potential consolidation of local lenders in the overbanked market, which is also beset by thinning margins, rising compliance costs and pressure to scale amid financial system modernisation. While it could create short-term pain, consolidation should boost the financial health of legacy lenders and provide stability in a sector increasingly being defined by new digital banking models and innovation.

    Yet even as some sectors change, Bahrain’s government remains deeply reliant on hydrocarbons, which continues to drive exploration, including in the technically complex Khaleej Al-Bahrain basin. These activities reflect the practical need to maintain oil revenues in the medium term and, should additional recoverable reserves be discovered, a potent source of optimism.

    Manana is meanwhile looking to overhaul the utilities sector by creating a dedicated regulator and new national operator. The reforms should make space for greater private participation, drawing more capital into power and water projects while improving efficiency and reducing state expenditure in an aspirationally positive step towards greater long-term sustainability.

    Even as fiscal concerns narrow Manama’s policy options, it continues to secure strategic wins. A new aviation agreement with Air Asia establishes Bahrain as a regional hub for one of Asia’s largest low-cost carriers. This move opens new connectivity corridors and, alongside the renewal of direct Gulf Air routes to the US, reinforces Bahrain’s position as a gateway between regions, promising benefits for tourism, logistics and services.

    Overall, Bahrain’s economic trajectory remains delicately balanced – marked by reform-driven progress yet tempered by fiscal constraint. But in threading this needle, Manama shows that cautious optimism can still be a powerful catalyst for change.

     


    MEED’s December 2025 report on Bahrain includes:

    > GVT & ECONOMY: Bahrain’s cautious economic evolution
    > BANKING: Mergers loom over Bahrain’s banking system
    > OIL & GAS: Bahrain remains in pursuit of hydrocarbon resources
    > POWER & WATER: Bahrain advances utility reform
    > CONSTRUCTION: Bahrain construction faces major slowdown
    > AVIATION: Bahrain signs game-changer aviation deal with Air Asia

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
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    John Bambridge
  • Chinese firms expand oil and gas presence

    25 November 2025

     

    > This package also includes: Larsen & Toubro climbs EPC contractor ranking


    Chinese contractors have been present in the oil and gas projects market in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region since the turn of this century, but largely remained on the fringes. In a hydrocarbons market that has traditionally been dominated by European and American contractors, and those from Japan and South Korea, Chinese firms have become a rising force, especially since the start of the decade.

    Economic competitiveness in bid battles, significant improvement in engineering and technological capabilities and commitment to execution schedules have been primary factors behind the success of Chinese contractors in the regional oil and gas projects market since 2020.

    Competitive edge

    Traditionally, Chinese engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors have enjoyed a lower cost base than their international competitors. This comes from lower manpower costs, access to cheaper materials and equipment, and financial support from state banks. 

    In addition, Chinese firms have typically had a different attitude to risk than many other contractors. Instead of seeking to turn a profit on specific projects, Chinese firms have entered markets cautiously and, as their knowledge of the local market grew, built a commanding long-term position.

    More recently, the edge that Chinese contractors enjoy has come from the technical experience they have gained from delivering large-scale, complex projects in their domestic market. While in the past Chinese contractors were only considered capable of delivering basic construction work, they now have some of the best project references in the world.

    Regional leaders

    Chinese EPC contractors have strengthened their performance in the Mena oil and gas projects market, particularly since the end of the Covid-19 pandemic. Since 2023, the combined value of projects won by Chinese firms has consistently remained well over $13bn, with them winning key contracts on major projects.

    The largest EPC scheme under execution by a Chinese contractor in the region is on a project to maintain and increase the oil production potential of the Bul Hanine offshore oil field development in Qatar. China Offshore Oil Engineering Company won contracts worth $4bn for the two main EPC packages of the project in the third quarter of 2025.

    Also this year, Abu Dhabi’s Taziz awarded the main EPC contract to build a complex of specialty chemicals plants in the Taziz Industrial Chemicals Zone at Ruwais Industrial City to China National Chemical Engineering & Construction Corporation Seven (CC7). 

    The EPC contract is valued at $1.99bn, with work expected to be completed by Q4 2028. The chemicals cluster, known as Project Salt, will produce 1.9 million tonnes a year of marketable polyvinyl chloride (PVC), ethylene dichloride (EDC), vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) and caustic soda.

    Chinese contractors have also enjoyed success in Saudi Arabia, with Aramco having awarded several key EPC contracts to Chinese firms since 2023. China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Company, Sepco and Sinopec Petroleum Services are executing EPC works on four out of the 17 packages of the third expansion phase of Aramco’s Master Gas System project.

    Sinopec Group has played a significant role in Aramco’s Jafurah unconventional gas development in Saudi Arabia. In a consortium with Spanish contractor Tecnicas Reunidas, in 2024 Sinopec won packages one and two of the Riyas natural gas liquids scheme, part of the second Jafurah unconventional gas expansion phase. The combined value of the two EPC contracts was $3.2bn.

    Just weeks after securing these EPC contracts, the consortium also won the contract to deliver the entire scope of work on the scheme’s third expansion phase, valued at $2.24bn.

    In Iraq, China Petroleum Engineering (CPE) won a major contract in August to carry out EPC works on a package covering a major seawater transmission pipeline to be built in Basra as part of the larger Common Seawater Supply Project, which is one of four main components of the estimated $10bn Gas Growth Integrated Project masterplan.

    Work on the $2.52bn contract will be carried out by CPE’s engineering arm, China Petroleum Pipeline Engineering.

    China has built up extensive resources, from skilled personnel to technical know-how. As the domestic market shows signs of slowing, these resources are being deployed internationally, supporting the growing presence of Chinese contractors in the Mena region.

    MEED's 2025 EPC contractor ranking

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    Indrajit Sen
  • Ineco appointed for Spain-Morocco tunnel study

    25 November 2025

    Spanish engineering firm Ineco has been commissioned to conduct an exploratory tunnel study to validate the feasibility of the railway connection linking Spain and Morocco.

    According to reports in Spanish media, the $1m contract will establish a detailed technical roadmap for the project.

    Ineco’s scope of work includes the preliminary design of the exploratory tunnel, revisions to previous studies, and a comprehensive update of the route, geology, geotechnical conditions, security systems, terminals and associated installations.

    Ineco will validate the critical geological conditions of the Strait, particularly in the areas where the project’s greatest risks are located.

    The study is expected to be completed by August next year.

    The latest development comes after German company Herrenknecht completed its study in October. Herrenknecht said it found the project feasible to undertake due to the availability of the technology needed to execute it.

    The media reports added that clients will further study the project and make a final decision in 2027 regarding tendering.

    Recent developments

    MEED reported in August that Ineco had secured an estimated €350,000 ($409,000) contract to carry out a financial feasibility study for the proposed infrastructure.

    UK-based Vodafone also won a contract to provide advanced telecommunications support to teams working on the project.

    These developments followed the appointment of Herrenknecht in January for a €296,400 ($307,483) contract to conduct a drilling feasibility study.

    The Spanish government revived the Morocco-Spain undersea rail link in June last year, after allocating about $2.5m for a renewed design study.

    Project background

    The project, originally launched in 2003, was put on hold following the 2008 financial crisis. It has undergone several rounds of feasibility studies, but remains in the planning phase after nearly two decades of funding-related delays.

    The proposed design includes a double-track railway and a service tunnel extending 38.5 kilometres (km) between Tarifa in Spain and Tangier in Morocco. Of this, 28km will run beneath the Mediterranean Sea at a maximum depth of 475 metres.

    Each single-track tunnel will have an inner diameter of 7.9 metres, while the service gallery will be 6 metres in diameter.

    The project is being jointly developed by Morocco’s National Society for Strait of Gibraltar Studies and Spain’s Sociedad Espanola de Estudios para la Comunicacion Fija a Traves del Estrecho de Gibraltar.

    In 2006, Swiss engineering firm Lombardi Engineering was selected to design the tunnel. Preliminary studies were completed two years later.

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    Yasir Iqbal