meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Water sector braces for likely slowdown

27 December 2024

 

Geopolitical tensions, climate change and higher-than-average population growth have exacerbated the water demand and supply gap across the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region, home to some of the world’s most water-stressed countries.

For example, Jordan, where available water per capita is equivalent to only 12% of the absolute water scarcity level, hosts over 700,000 refugees fleeing wars and conflicts in neighbouring countries.

Most regional governments have developed and started to implement water strategies aimed at narrowing this gap. Subsidies are being phased out, environmental campaigns are being developed and digital solutions are being deployed in order to manage demand and improve efficiency.

Expanding desalination and treatment capacity, increasing treated sewage effluent (TSE) reuse, boosting reservoir capacity and building more efficient transmission and distribution networks are key levers used to improve supply.

Strong spending 

These efforts have prompted significant capital spending on more energy-efficient water production, distribution and storage facilities, typically in partnership with private investors, particularly among the more affluent states.

According to data from regional projects tracker MEED Projects, the Mena region awarded $17bn of project contracts across the water desalination, treatment, transmission and distribution, storage and district cooling subsectors in the first nine months of 2024.

This figure represents about 72% of the contracts awarded in 2023 and is slightly above the average value of annual contract awards in the preceding five years.

With only a few more packages expected to be awarded before the end of the year, 2024 looks set to be one of the best years so far in terms of water project activity, even if it fails to match the record value of contracts awarded in 2023, which reached almost $24bn.

In 2024, Saudi gigaproject developer Neom set the pace in January by awarding a $4.7bn contract to build dams at the Trojena Mountain Resort in Tabuk to Italian contractor WeBuild. 

The contract covers the construction of three dams that will form a freshwater lake for the Trojena ski resort. The main dam will have a height of 145 metres and will be 475 metres long at its crest. It will be built using 2.7 million cubic metres of roller compact concrete.

While this project does not necessarily belong to the band of solutions that aim to narrow the water supply and demand gap, the overall development is part of Saudi Arabia’s drive to boost tourism and diversify its economy away from oil.

Meanwhile, 2024 also saw the award by UAE northern emirate utility Sharjah Electricity, Water & Gas Authority of the contract to develop its first independent water project (IWP), the 400,000 cubic-metres-a-day facility in Hamriyah, to Saudi utility developer Acwa Power, the contract’s sole bidder.

In May, Saudi Arabia’s National Water Company announced that it had completed the award of 10 contracts under the first phase of its privatisation programme. Each rehabilitate, operate and transfer contract involves the retrofitting or expansion of existing sewage treatment plants and associated network, and their long-term operation and management. The facilities are expected to deliver water at the TSE level for irrigation reuse.

On the greenfield sewage treatment front, Saudi Water Partnership Company (SWPC) awarded a $400m contract to develop the Al-Haer independent sewage treatment plant (ISTP) project to a team comprising the local Miahona Company and Belgium’s Besix. The facility is the largest and first to be tendered under the third round of the water offtaker’s ISTP procurement programme.

In September, Chennai-headquartered VA Tech Wabag confirmed it had won a $317m contract to build the Ras Al-Khair seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) facility in Saudi Arabia using an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) model. The project client is Saudi Water Authority (SWA), formerly Saline Water Conversion Corporation.

In Oman, Nama Water Services awarded two water distribution network packages, worth a combined $600m, catering to Al-Dhahirah Governorate.

Jordan also appointed a team comprising Paris-based Meridiam, Suez and Vinci Construction Grands Projets, along with Egypt’s Orascom Construction, for the contract to develop the Aqaba-Amman water conveyance and desalination scheme. It is the country’s largest infrastructure project to date and the first phase is valued at an estimated $2bn-$3bn.

The project is crucial to addressing Jordan’s severe water shortage problem, piping desalinated water over 445 kilometres from the southern Red Sea coast to the country’s northern regions. The consortium is talking to lenders and aims to reach financial close for the project in 2025.

Slower momentum

Despite 2024 being a good year for contract awards, it fell short of the expectation built over the past few years, when the region’s largest economies began to execute their long-term water strategies.

For example, in Saudi Arabia, the years-long restructuring of the domestic water sector took a significant turn in 2024, with Water Transmission Company (WTCO), the kingdom’s licensed desalinated water transmission operator, gaining a broader portfolio of projects. As a result, the mandate to procure upcoming water transmission pipelines has been transferred to WTCO from SWPC.

The slower pace of IWP contract awards in Saudi Arabia was somewhat offset by a slew of tenders from SWA. The authority received bids for the EPC contracts to build four SWRO facilities in 2024, although as of November it had only managed to award one.

Earlier in 2024, Saudi gigaproject developer Neom also shelved a project to develop a zero-liquid discharge (ZLD) SWRO plant.

“The year may not have been as strong as 2023, but it is still a good year,” says Robert Bryniak, CEO of Dubai-based Golden Sands Management (Marketing) Consulting. “Some projects have been delayed or cancelled – for instance a few in Saudi Arabia – but all in all [2024 has been] a good year for the water business.”

Bryniak adds that Neom’s ZLD scheme is one of the year’s shelved projects that he would like to see revived in the future.

Beyond the GCC states, Morocco and Egypt are endeavouring to move their planned SWRO projects into the tendering phase.

In Morocco, Office National de L’Electricite et de L’Eue Potable (Onee) extended the review of its second IWP in Nador while waiting for its first IWP in Casablanca to reach financial close.

The first batch of renewable energy- powered desalination plants in Egypt has yet to reach the proposals stage despite the Sovereign Fund of Egypt having completed the bid prequalification process in 2023.

Potential contract awards

According to data from MEED Projects, an estimated $34bn-worth of water projects are in the tendering stage across the Mena region. A further $40bn-worth is in the prequalification stage and $57bn is in the design and study phases.

The $22bn Dubai Strategic Sewerage Tunnels (DSST) scheme stands out among the upcoming projects due to its scale, as well as for the chosen procurement approach.

The project aims to convert Dubai’s existing sewerage network from a pumped system to a gravity system by decommissioning the existing pump stations and providing a sustainable and reliable service that is fit for the future.

In April, Dubai Municipality launched the procurement process for the DSST project, which is to be developed as a public-private partnership (PPP).

While a dose of pessimism persists over the chosen PPP model – in part due to the project’s scale and strong civil works orientation, and Dubai’s dismal track record in procuring PPP schemes outside the utility sector – the project has managed to attract strong interest from EPC contractors, as well as from potential investors and sponsors.

Some of those that have sought to prequalify as investors, such as Begium’s Besix, Beijing-headquartered China Railway Construction Corporation and South Korea’s Samsung C&T, have previously been prequalified as EPC contractors for the DSST project, which suggests that the preferred approach of prequalifying EPCs ahead of investors could offer advantages.

In Saudi Arabia, WTCO, SWA, SWPC and Neom’s utility subsidiary Enowa are each expected to let several contracts in 2025, while Bahrain and Abu Dhabi could award one IWP contract each.  

However, a robust overall pipeline does not necessarily guarantee that 2025 will resemble the upward trajectory that the sector has seen in the past two years.

“This year could be a turning point for the water industry throughout Mena,” says Bryniak, alluding to the possibility that, come January, the foreign and climate policies of the new occupant of the White House could affect the trend of water production capacity buildout in the Mena region.

Bryniak says that if US President-elect Donald Trump follows through with his promises, then we may be in store for, among other events, lower energy prices as the US drills more oil; a dampening of world trade as the US places tariffs on imports, especially on Chinese goods and services; less focus on the environment; and, generally, a more isolationist America.

“In my view, much depends on how much oil prices fall,” he continues. 

“A significant drop in oil prices could result in cut-backs in a lot of development projects, and this, in turn, will adversely impact water demand and the overall build programme.”  

However, the impact will not be uniform across asset types and procurement models, Bryniak notes. He expects water PPP projects to continue to grow, especially if capital availability is reduced by lower oil prices, as this is one way to preserve capital for use in other areas. 

“I do not see any reason for tariffs to fall further in 2025. Tariffs, in my view, will remain roughly where they are now or increase slightly,” adds Bryniak.  

However, the executive says that EPC contracts will likely have “a higher opportunity cost”, so there might be a reduced focus on this type of procurement model.  

He concludes: “To the extent that development projects get trimmed down due to less capital being available as a result of significantly lower oil prices, then water procurers and other developers will likely scale back their projects.”

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13146291/main.gif
Jennifer Aguinaldo

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Rabigh 2 IPP expansion secures $2.58bn financing

    5 October 2026

    Saudi Arabia’s Rabigh 2 combined-cycle gas-turbine (CCGT) independent power project (IPP) expansion has reached financial close.

    In a disclosure to the Saudi Exchange, Acwa said it had secured SR9.69bn ($2.58bn) in long-term financing for the project, which has a generation capacity of 2,313.5MW.

    In April, MEED reported that Acwa and Saudi Energy (formerly Saudi Electricity Company) had signed a 31-year power purchase agreement (PPA) with Saudi Arabia’s principal buyer, Saudi Power Procurement Company (SPPC), for the project.

    The project involves developing a CCGT plant in the Mecca region. It is being developed by Al-Morjan Two Electricity Company, with Acwa and Saudi Energy each owning a 40% stake in the project.

    The contract is valued at SR11.5bn ($3.07bn), the companies said in separate stock exchange filings at the time. The carbon-capture-ready power plant will be implemented under a build, own and operate contract.

    The financing has a tenor of about 34 years and was provided by a consortium of local, regional and international lenders.

    The lenders are:

    • Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank
    • Alinma Bank
    • Boubyan Bank
    • China Minsheng Banking Corporation, Hong Kong Branch
    • Commercial Bank of Dubai
    • HSBC Bank Middle East
    • Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
    • Industrial Bank, Beijing Branch
    • National Bank of Greece, Cyprus
    • Riyad Bank
    • Saudi Awwal Bank
    • Saudi National Bank
    • Standard Chartered Bank, Taiwan
    • Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, London Branch

    The project scope also includes financing and expanding a 380kV electrical substation.

    According to regional project tracker MEED Projects, construction works have commenced on the project, and a joint venture of Egypt’s Elsewedy Electric and China’s Sinohydro has been working as the main contractor.

    Rabigh 1 extension

    In January, Saudi Energy announced a separate energy conversion agreement with SPPC for the purchase of electricity from the Rabigh 1 power plant expansion.

    The contract is valued at SR5.33bn ($1.42bn).

    It covers the development, financing, construction, ownership and operation of the gas-fired power plant, which will have a generation capacity of 1,179MW.

    A joint venture of Elsewedy Electric and Germany’s Siemens Energy is undertaking the engineering, procurement and construction work for the project, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2026.

    US/India-based Synergy Consulting is the financial advisory consultant to Saudi Energy on this project.

    Acwa also recently started initial commercial operations at the Taiba 1 and Qassim 1 CCGT power plants, as reported by MEED.

    The plants have a combined generation capacity of about 3.8GW and are two of four projects procured under the first round of Saudi Arabia’s gas-fired IPP programme by SPPC.

    A team of Saudi Energy and Acwa won the contract to develop and operate the projects in 2023.

    MEED’s October 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:

    > COMMENT: Saudi projects hold steady
    > GOVERNMENT: Riyadh looks to reset its regional defence outlook
    > ECONOMY: Conflict bolsters case for Saudi economic diversification
    > BANKING: Saudi lenders readjust to lower lending and deposit climate
    > UPSTREAM: Aramco upstream spending gathers pace
    > DOWNSTREAM: Sabic steps up Saudi petchems investment
    > POWER: Saudi Arabia’s power award activity slows
    > WATER: Saudi water sector hits sharp slowdown
    > CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction defies the headwinds
    > TRANSPORT: Saudi infrastructure pushes forward amid conflict
    > DATABANK: Saudi data indicates project spending shift

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20270643/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Dubai announces $490m e-commerce hub expansion plan

    5 October 2026

    Dubai CommerCity has launched a second expansion phase valued at more than AED1.8bn ($490m), adding over 91,000 square metres (sq m) of office, retail and logistics space across the free zone’s business, social and logistics clusters.

    Dubai CommerCity is a joint venture of Dubai Airport Free Zone Authority (Dafza) and Dubai government-owned Wasl Asset Management Group.

    The expansion is scheduled for delivery between the first quarter of 2027 and the fourth quarter of 2028.

    The developer said the move builds on sustained demand at Dubai CommerCity, where occupancy has reached nearly 96% across its office, logistics and retail assets.

    Phase two will comprise a series of developments across Dubai CommerCity’s three districts: the Business Cluster, Logistics Cluster and Social Cluster.

    The Business Cluster comprises 13 office buildings with a total leasable area of 108,000 sq m. The Logistics Cluster consists of 84 logistics units with a leasable area of 68,000 sq m, while the Social Cluster features art galleries, restaurants and cafes. The development will also include 4,000 parking spaces.

    Dafza and Wasl Asset Management Group announced plans to develop the AED2.7bn ($735m) e-commerce free zone In 2017. 

    READ THE OCTOBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Industry and logistics drive development at Neom; Saudi Arabia’s investment priorities realign amid conflict; MEED’s 2026 power developer ranking.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the October 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20270228/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Iraq and Turkiye discuss oil and gas deal

    5 October 2026

    Iraq and Turkiye have opened talks in Ankara on a framework agreement for oil, gas and energy cooperation, according to a statement from the Iraqi Oil Ministry.

    Iraq’s Oil Minister Bassem Mohammed Khudair Al-Abadi led the Iraqi side, while the Turkish Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan Bayraktar led the Turkish side.

    Officials discussed a proposed roadmap to deepen work on oil and gas infrastructure, petrochemicals, and trade in oil, gas and power.

    Discussions about a future long-term deal to govern the Iraq-Turkiye Pipeline (ITP) were central to the talks.

    The ITP exports oil from northern Iraq to the port of Ceyhan in Turkiye.

    In July, Turkiye and Iraq signed a temporary agreement to allow crude flows through the ITP for a period of 12 months.

    Before the temporary agreement was signed, the previous deal governing oil exports through the pipeline was due to expire on 27 ​July.

    Speaking last month, Ali Al-Shatri, director general of Iraq’s state organisation for marketing oil (Somo), said the temporary deal was “a prelude” to a much bigger agreement.

    As well as governing pipeline exports, the new agreement is expected to cover electricity, chemicals and gas deals as well as the construction of a new oil refinery in Ceyhan.

    Under current plans, the new refinery will process Iraqi crude in order to produce refined products that can be exported to Europe.

    Bayraktar said: “Following the crude oil transportation agreement signed between our national company … we are clarifying our roadmap for a new, longer-term and more comprehensive agreement.

    “In this regard, we plan to activate our joint working groups to rapidly finalise oil and natural gas infrastructure, exploration and production, oil trading, refining-petrochemical and electricity projects.

    “In close cooperation with the new Iraqi Government, we will strongly continue to implement these concrete projects for the stability and prosperity of our shared geography.”

    Bayraktar said it was important to consider extending the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline to reach Basra in southern Iraq.

    He also said it was important to consider expanding the capacity of the ITP to create a strong alternative to the Strait of Hormuz.

    The Strait of Hormuz is a key oil export route that has been disrupted by a regional war since the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February.

    Bayraktar also said that he wanted state-owned Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO) to expand its footprint in Iraq.

    He said: “We aim for our national company TPAO to play an active role not only in the Kirkuk fields but also in different fields in Iraq, to ​​reach the target of supplying one million barrels of crude oil as stated by Iraqi Prime Minister Ali ez-Zeydi; and to transform Ceyhan into a global energy hub by increasing trade volume.”

    Bayraktar said that Turkiye wanted energy to be a key part of the plan for a north-south trade corridor from the Grand Faw Port to the Turkish border.

    Under current plans, the corridor will combine a new railway and highway system.

    Bayraktar said that Turkiye also wants the route to include oil and gas pipelines as well as electricity transmission lines.

    READ THE OCTOBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Industry and logistics drive development at Neom; Saudi Arabia’s investment priorities realign amid conflict; MEED’s 2026 power developer ranking.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the October 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20268590/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Contractors submit bids for Libya refinery

    5 October 2026

     

    Bids have been submitted for the main contract for Libya’s planned South Refinery project and are currently under technical evaluation, according to industry sources.

    The project, located in Ubari in southern Libya, has gained momentum over the past year, and the main contract is anticipated to be worth more than $600m.

    The main contract is expected to use the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) model.

    The EPC work is expected to take 50 months, and the facility will be designed to process 30,000 barrels a day (b/d) of crude oil.

    In March, US-based engineering company KBR was awarded a contract by Zallaf Exploration, Production & Refining of Oil & Gas Company to provide project management and technical services for the project.

    Under the terms of the contract, KBR will provide contract management, project management and supporting technical services throughout the project’s EPC phases.

    The refinery is expected to produce:

    • Propane and butane for domestic and industrial uses
    • Gasoline
    • Kerosene
    • Diesel
    • Fuel oil

    In March, KBR said that the project was aligned with its “long-standing commitment to advancing vital oil and gas infrastructure in Libya”.

    Libya currently operates five main refineries with a combined nameplate capacity of 380,000 b/d, but actual throughput is closer to 180,000 b/d due to poor maintenance and damage from military clashes.

    In addition to the South Refinery project, Libya also plans to upgrade the Zawiya refinery and carry out projects at the Serir, Brega, Tobruk and Ras Lanuf refineries.

    READ THE OCTOBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Industry and logistics drive development at Neom; Saudi Arabia’s investment priorities realign amid conflict; MEED’s 2026 power developer ranking.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the October 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20267178/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Dubai tenders sewage and stormwater projects

    5 October 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Dubai Municipality has issued tenders for a 3,000-cubic-metre-a-day sewage treatment plant (STP) and a strategic stormwater drainage system.

    The first tender is for the design and construction of the Al-Lissaily STP.

    The project, identified as DS311/1, covers the design, supply, installation, construction and commissioning of the plant in the Al-Lissaily area.

    Dubai Municipality’s Sewerage and Recycled Water Projects Department is issuing the tender. The bid submission deadline is 29 October.

    The facility is located near residential communities and farming areas. The project will therefore include measures for odour control, treated effluent quality, noise mitigation and environmental performance.

    The municipality said the plant will incorporate landscaping and architectural features designed to reflect Dubai’s heritage character and the surrounding farming environment.

    The second tender is for project TF-07-C1, a strategic stormwater drainage system covering more than 100 million square metres.

    The project area extends from Sheikh Mohammed Bin Zayed Road (E311) to the north to Emirates Road (E611) to the south, and from Expo Road in the west to Dubailand in the east.

    The project will provide stormwater infrastructure and service connections for more than 20 private developers, as well as the Al-Yalayis 5 community.

    It will also support major roads in the Jebel Ali area, including Sheikh Mohammed Bin Zayed Road, Emirates Road, Sheikh Zayed Road, Sheikh Zayed Bin Hamdan Al-Nahyan Road, Hessa Street, Al-Yalayis Road and Al-Fay Road.

    The scope includes a major stormwater gravity drainage system, with pipeline diameters of up to 3,000mm.

    Dubai Municipality said the project is intended to increase drainage capacity, improve relief for existing and new stormwater systems, and strengthen protection against extreme rainfall events.

    The bid submission deadline is 22 October.

    The municipality also recently invited contractors to bid for a contract to upgrade and rehabilitate the stormwater system in Abu Hail.

    The project comprises a stormwater pumping station with a total discharge capacity of 26 cubic metres a second. It is estimated to cost up to $163m.

    Bid submissions are due by 15 October.

    READ THE OCTOBER 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Industry and logistics drive development at Neom; Saudi Arabia’s investment priorities realign amid conflict; MEED’s 2026 power developer ranking.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the October 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20266881/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall