meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Water sector braces for likely slowdown

27 December 2024

 

Geopolitical tensions, climate change and higher-than-average population growth have exacerbated the water demand and supply gap across the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region, home to some of the world’s most water-stressed countries.

For example, Jordan, where available water per capita is equivalent to only 12% of the absolute water scarcity level, hosts over 700,000 refugees fleeing wars and conflicts in neighbouring countries.

Most regional governments have developed and started to implement water strategies aimed at narrowing this gap. Subsidies are being phased out, environmental campaigns are being developed and digital solutions are being deployed in order to manage demand and improve efficiency.

Expanding desalination and treatment capacity, increasing treated sewage effluent (TSE) reuse, boosting reservoir capacity and building more efficient transmission and distribution networks are key levers used to improve supply.

Strong spending 

These efforts have prompted significant capital spending on more energy-efficient water production, distribution and storage facilities, typically in partnership with private investors, particularly among the more affluent states.

According to data from regional projects tracker MEED Projects, the Mena region awarded $17bn of project contracts across the water desalination, treatment, transmission and distribution, storage and district cooling subsectors in the first nine months of 2024.

This figure represents about 72% of the contracts awarded in 2023 and is slightly above the average value of annual contract awards in the preceding five years.

With only a few more packages expected to be awarded before the end of the year, 2024 looks set to be one of the best years so far in terms of water project activity, even if it fails to match the record value of contracts awarded in 2023, which reached almost $24bn.

In 2024, Saudi gigaproject developer Neom set the pace in January by awarding a $4.7bn contract to build dams at the Trojena Mountain Resort in Tabuk to Italian contractor WeBuild. 

The contract covers the construction of three dams that will form a freshwater lake for the Trojena ski resort. The main dam will have a height of 145 metres and will be 475 metres long at its crest. It will be built using 2.7 million cubic metres of roller compact concrete.

While this project does not necessarily belong to the band of solutions that aim to narrow the water supply and demand gap, the overall development is part of Saudi Arabia’s drive to boost tourism and diversify its economy away from oil.

Meanwhile, 2024 also saw the award by UAE northern emirate utility Sharjah Electricity, Water & Gas Authority of the contract to develop its first independent water project (IWP), the 400,000 cubic-metres-a-day facility in Hamriyah, to Saudi utility developer Acwa Power, the contract’s sole bidder.

In May, Saudi Arabia’s National Water Company announced that it had completed the award of 10 contracts under the first phase of its privatisation programme. Each rehabilitate, operate and transfer contract involves the retrofitting or expansion of existing sewage treatment plants and associated network, and their long-term operation and management. The facilities are expected to deliver water at the TSE level for irrigation reuse.

On the greenfield sewage treatment front, Saudi Water Partnership Company (SWPC) awarded a $400m contract to develop the Al-Haer independent sewage treatment plant (ISTP) project to a team comprising the local Miahona Company and Belgium’s Besix. The facility is the largest and first to be tendered under the third round of the water offtaker’s ISTP procurement programme.

In September, Chennai-headquartered VA Tech Wabag confirmed it had won a $317m contract to build the Ras Al-Khair seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) facility in Saudi Arabia using an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) model. The project client is Saudi Water Authority (SWA), formerly Saline Water Conversion Corporation.

In Oman, Nama Water Services awarded two water distribution network packages, worth a combined $600m, catering to Al-Dhahirah Governorate.

Jordan also appointed a team comprising Paris-based Meridiam, Suez and Vinci Construction Grands Projets, along with Egypt’s Orascom Construction, for the contract to develop the Aqaba-Amman water conveyance and desalination scheme. It is the country’s largest infrastructure project to date and the first phase is valued at an estimated $2bn-$3bn.

The project is crucial to addressing Jordan’s severe water shortage problem, piping desalinated water over 445 kilometres from the southern Red Sea coast to the country’s northern regions. The consortium is talking to lenders and aims to reach financial close for the project in 2025.

Slower momentum

Despite 2024 being a good year for contract awards, it fell short of the expectation built over the past few years, when the region’s largest economies began to execute their long-term water strategies.

For example, in Saudi Arabia, the years-long restructuring of the domestic water sector took a significant turn in 2024, with Water Transmission Company (WTCO), the kingdom’s licensed desalinated water transmission operator, gaining a broader portfolio of projects. As a result, the mandate to procure upcoming water transmission pipelines has been transferred to WTCO from SWPC.

The slower pace of IWP contract awards in Saudi Arabia was somewhat offset by a slew of tenders from SWA. The authority received bids for the EPC contracts to build four SWRO facilities in 2024, although as of November it had only managed to award one.

Earlier in 2024, Saudi gigaproject developer Neom also shelved a project to develop a zero-liquid discharge (ZLD) SWRO plant.

“The year may not have been as strong as 2023, but it is still a good year,” says Robert Bryniak, CEO of Dubai-based Golden Sands Management (Marketing) Consulting. “Some projects have been delayed or cancelled – for instance a few in Saudi Arabia – but all in all [2024 has been] a good year for the water business.”

Bryniak adds that Neom’s ZLD scheme is one of the year’s shelved projects that he would like to see revived in the future.

Beyond the GCC states, Morocco and Egypt are endeavouring to move their planned SWRO projects into the tendering phase.

In Morocco, Office National de L’Electricite et de L’Eue Potable (Onee) extended the review of its second IWP in Nador while waiting for its first IWP in Casablanca to reach financial close.

The first batch of renewable energy- powered desalination plants in Egypt has yet to reach the proposals stage despite the Sovereign Fund of Egypt having completed the bid prequalification process in 2023.

Potential contract awards

According to data from MEED Projects, an estimated $34bn-worth of water projects are in the tendering stage across the Mena region. A further $40bn-worth is in the prequalification stage and $57bn is in the design and study phases.

The $22bn Dubai Strategic Sewerage Tunnels (DSST) scheme stands out among the upcoming projects due to its scale, as well as for the chosen procurement approach.

The project aims to convert Dubai’s existing sewerage network from a pumped system to a gravity system by decommissioning the existing pump stations and providing a sustainable and reliable service that is fit for the future.

In April, Dubai Municipality launched the procurement process for the DSST project, which is to be developed as a public-private partnership (PPP).

While a dose of pessimism persists over the chosen PPP model – in part due to the project’s scale and strong civil works orientation, and Dubai’s dismal track record in procuring PPP schemes outside the utility sector – the project has managed to attract strong interest from EPC contractors, as well as from potential investors and sponsors.

Some of those that have sought to prequalify as investors, such as Begium’s Besix, Beijing-headquartered China Railway Construction Corporation and South Korea’s Samsung C&T, have previously been prequalified as EPC contractors for the DSST project, which suggests that the preferred approach of prequalifying EPCs ahead of investors could offer advantages.

In Saudi Arabia, WTCO, SWA, SWPC and Neom’s utility subsidiary Enowa are each expected to let several contracts in 2025, while Bahrain and Abu Dhabi could award one IWP contract each.  

However, a robust overall pipeline does not necessarily guarantee that 2025 will resemble the upward trajectory that the sector has seen in the past two years.

“This year could be a turning point for the water industry throughout Mena,” says Bryniak, alluding to the possibility that, come January, the foreign and climate policies of the new occupant of the White House could affect the trend of water production capacity buildout in the Mena region.

Bryniak says that if US President-elect Donald Trump follows through with his promises, then we may be in store for, among other events, lower energy prices as the US drills more oil; a dampening of world trade as the US places tariffs on imports, especially on Chinese goods and services; less focus on the environment; and, generally, a more isolationist America.

“In my view, much depends on how much oil prices fall,” he continues. 

“A significant drop in oil prices could result in cut-backs in a lot of development projects, and this, in turn, will adversely impact water demand and the overall build programme.”  

However, the impact will not be uniform across asset types and procurement models, Bryniak notes. He expects water PPP projects to continue to grow, especially if capital availability is reduced by lower oil prices, as this is one way to preserve capital for use in other areas. 

“I do not see any reason for tariffs to fall further in 2025. Tariffs, in my view, will remain roughly where they are now or increase slightly,” adds Bryniak.  

However, the executive says that EPC contracts will likely have “a higher opportunity cost”, so there might be a reduced focus on this type of procurement model.  

He concludes: “To the extent that development projects get trimmed down due to less capital being available as a result of significantly lower oil prices, then water procurers and other developers will likely scale back their projects.”

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13146291/main.gif
Jennifer Aguinaldo

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Oman opens bids for 1GW battery storage advisory role

    4 June 2026

    Oman’s Authority for Public Services Regulation (APSR) has opened technical bids for a consultancy contract supporting a planned 1,000MW/four-hour battery energy storage system (bess) project.

    The tender seeks independent regulatory, technical and commercial validation services for the scheme. The project is planned with a rated capacity of 1,000MW and a storage duration of four hours, equivalent to 4,000 megawatt-hours (MWh) of energy storage.

    According to a tender board notice, technical bids were opened on 25 May.

    Thirteen companies submitted proposals including:

    • Afry Management Consulting (Sweden)
    • CESI Middle East (Italy)
    • DNV Dubai Branch (Norway)
    • Engineering Systems Group (Kuwait)
    • ILF Consulting Engineers (Austria)
    • Innovision Engineering Consultancy (UAE) 
    • Mott MacDonald (UK)
    • Sargent & Lundy Abu Dhabi (US)
    • Surbana Consultants Dubai Branch (Singapore)
    • Tractebel Engineering Consultancy (Belgium)
    • TUV Rheinland (Germany)
    • Universal Consulting Engineering (Egypt)
    • WSP International (Canada)

    As previously reported, APSR issued the request for proposals in April as part of wider plans to increase the share of renewable energy in the sultanate.

    The sultanate’s first utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) plant integrated with battery energy storage (Ibri 3) entered construction at the beginning of the year, comprising a 500MW solar PV plant and a 100MWh bess system.

    Last month, state offtaker Nama Power & Water Procurement Company signed a power-purchase agreement with local firm O-Green for Oman’s first round-the-clock renewable energy project.

    The company is also seeking consultants to provide separate environmental, social and governance and legal advisory services.

    Renewable energy is expected to increase from 4% of the generation mix in 2024 to 30% by 2030, driving the push for more utility-scale storage projects.

    Over roughly the same period, demand is forecast to double, reaching 10 terawatt-hours by 2031.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17106014/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Building around the strait

    4 June 2026

    Commentary
    Colin Foreman
    Editor

    The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has turned a lingering, and previously unlikely, threat into reality in 2026. The shutdown of the maritime chokepoint, which is about 33 kilometres wide at its narrowest point, has plunged the global economy into crisis, with fuel prices spiking and fears of energy shortages growing. While diplomatic efforts are under way to resolve the disruption, the GCC’s geographic Achilles heel remains.

    The closure has also highlighted the importance of alternative logistics and energy corridors. Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline has enabled the export of 7 million barrels a day of oil from the Gulf coast across the kingdom to the Red Sea, while the UAE has rapidly scaled up operations at Fujairah and directed Adnoc to accelerate development of its 520km West-East pipeline.

    Others have had fewer options. Geographically constrained states such as Kuwait recorded zero crude exports in April, reflecting their near-total dependence on shipping oil through the Strait of Hormuz.

    For the projects market, the crisis is already having, and will continue to have, a significant impact. Ongoing projects are struggling with disrupted supply chains and resulting cost escalation, while future spending is likely to be diverted towards schemes that improve the GCC’s access to markets outside the Gulf.

    For the projects market, the crisis is already having, and will continue to have, a significant impact

    For oil and gas exports, proposed pipeline routes would run south from Kuwait through Saudi Arabia and the UAE and into Oman, enabling shipments from expanded ports on the Arabian Sea. For goods entering the region, the GCC railway scheme has taken a step forward, with procurement starting in May.

    These projects will cost tens of billions of dollars and will take years to complete, which means the events of 2026 will shape the region’s infrastructure priorities for the coming decade.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here

     

     

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17105852/main.gif
    Colin Foreman
  • Fitch cuts global airport outlook on Iran war

    4 June 2026

    Fitch Ratings has revised its global airport sector outlook to ‘deteriorating’ from ‘neutral’, warning that disruption linked to the Iran conflict is creating a more challenging operating environment for airports and airlines and clouding traffic visibility into 2026.

    In a note issued on 3 June, Fitch said the conflict has increased uncertainty over “regional airspace availability, airline operations and travel demand”, with implications for route stability and the quality of traffic flows. While most airport operators’ traffic and earnings have remained broadly stable so far this year, the ratings agency expects a softer macro backdrop, a less favourable passenger mix and weaker non-aeronautical revenues to increase sector risks over the next 12 to 18 months.

    The revised outlook is particularly relevant for the Gulf, where major airports have built business models centred on international connectivity, long-haul flying and transfer traffic. Fitch said the disruption is particularly affecting airports with exposure to transfer passengers and internationally connected airline networks — categories that include the region’s largest hubs.

    Hub exposure

    Although the agency did not name Gulf airports specifically, its analysis implies that hubs reliant on long-haul corridors and complex network connectivity are more exposed to “rerouting risk, changing airline capacity decisions and weaker visibility on international demand”. For Gulf operators, that risk is compounded by the potential for further airspace restrictions and ongoing uncertainty around the availability of key flight paths linking Asia, Europe and parts of Africa.

    At the same time, the agency noted that some “Asia-Pacific airports have benefited from the redistribution of transit and long-haul traffic” away from disrupted Gulf hubs. Any sustained diversion of connecting passengers would be material for Gulf airports because duty-free, retail and food and beverage spending is typically stronger among international transfer travellers than point-to-point passengers.

    Fitch’s change of outlook also reflects a broader slowdown in the sector’s growth trajectory. Global passenger growth was strong in 2025 and early 2026, but the pace has started to cool from the post-pandemic recovery period. Fitch pointed to the International Air Transport Association’s latest projection of “4.9% passenger traffic growth in 2026”, a deceleration versus 2025, with early-2026 monthly data showing the slowdown already under way.

    Fitch also warned that non-aviation revenues could come under pressure, particularly where passenger mix shifts away from high-spending travellers. The agency expects a “low single-digit decline in nominal retail revenue for European airport operators” this year, highlighting how quickly discretionary spend can soften when operating conditions turn more volatile.

    Fuel availability and pricing is another risk. Fitch said there is rising uncertainty about jet fuel availability, especially in Europe due to disruption to Middle East supply, potentially increasing airline costs and encouraging capacity reductions. The agency expects fuel reserves to cover the summer months in Europe, even if the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, but warned that winter operations could be more challenging if disruption persists.

    Higher airfares and fuel surcharges could also weigh on near-term demand, Fitch added — a headwind for Gulf airports that have benefited in recent years from strong leisure demand and the restoration of long-haul travel.

    Fitch expects airport performance to become more uneven, with point-to-point leisure airports typically better positioned than large hubs reliant on transfer traffic and international corridors. The ratings agency cited European examples, contrasting airports such as Barcelona or Venice with Heathrow and the Paris airports.

    The same dynamic could play out in the Middle East: airports with a large share of local origin-and-destination demand may be relatively insulated compared with major connecting hubs whose business models depend on stable long-haul routings and predictable network planning by global airlines.

    The risks for the Gulf’s aviation sector were highlighted again on 3 June when Iranian drones struck Terminal 1 at Kuwait International airport, causing significant structural damage. The incident was the third major drone strike on the hub in recent months. On 1 April, a drone strike hit fuel tanks managed by Kuwait Aviation Fuelling Company, sparking massive fires. On March 28, another multi-drone raid severely damaged the airport’s primary radar systems.

    Other airports in the region have been damaged since the conflict began, including Dubai International airport, Zayed International airport in Abu Dhabi and Hamad International airport in Doha.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17105933/main.jpg
    Colin Foreman
  • Iran conflict curbs migrant labour flows to Gulf

    4 June 2026

    The International Labour Organisation (ILO) has flagged early signs that the conflict involving Iran is affecting the Gulf’s labour market. Speaking to CNBC, the ILO’s acting deputy chief, Sher Verick, said departures of migrant workers from sending countries have fallen sharply this year.

    “We don’t yet have numbers about those leaving the Gulf, but what we have are numbers that show that the departures of migrant workers from sending countries are significantly down,” Verick said. “For example, in the Philippines, the departures year on year are down by 78%.”

    Verick said disruptions in the Middle East are preventing workers from travelling to take up jobs and earn income, with knock-on effects for remittances that support household consumption, education and healthcare in sending countries. He added that the ILO would be watching for data on return flows from the Gulf back to Asian sending markets.

    Job risks

    The ILO has also assessed the share of jobs most exposed to conflict-related disruption. “Globally, we see around 15% of employment in that high exposure category, but this is much higher in the Middle East, at over 50%, and in Asia Pacific at around 22% of employment,” Verick told CNBC.

    Sectors most affected include transport, given reliance on fuel and other energy sources, and manufacturing due to supply chain exposure. Tourism-linked activities are also vulnerable, while agriculture is affected by disruption to fertiliser supply and pricing.

    A report by Fitch in early June said the conflict is placing several sectors across the GCC under severe operational and financial strain. Industries including aviation, hospitality, chemicals and residential real estate development face heightened vulnerabilities.

    Airlines are grappling with route disruption and higher fuel costs, while the hospitality sector has seen weaker occupancy amid security concerns and travel disruption. Regional chemical producers face higher feedstock prices, and residential real estate developers risk slower investment, which could dampen employment in construction – a sector that relies heavily on migrant labour.

    READ THE JUNE 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Global energy sector forced to recalibrate; Conflict hits debt issuance and listings activity; UAE’s non-oil sector faces unclear recovery period amid disruption.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the June 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17105894/main.gif
    Colin Foreman
  • Read the June 2026 MEED Business Review

    4 June 2026

    Download / Subscribe / 14-day trial access

    For decades, the Strait of Hormuz has served as a critical artery of the global energy system. Despite being only 33 kilometres wide at its narrowest point, this strategic maritime passage has traditionally handled around one-sixth of global oil consumption and nearly one-third of worldwide liquefied natural gas trade.

    Following Iran’s effective closure of the strait in 2026, Gulf states have been compelled to rapidly identify and develop alternative transport corridors. This effort extends beyond safeguarding oil exports from the region to ensuring the continued flow of food, consumer products and industrial supplies that underpin the Gulf’s economies. Read more here. 

    June’s market focus is on Iraq, which is entering mid-2026 with the largest project pipeline in its post-2003 history, encompassing more than $420bn in planned and ongoing investments. However, the country faces an exports collapse that could challenge its ability to deliver this ambitious programme.

    This edition also includes our Top 100 report – an annual ranking published by MEED that identifies the 100 largest publicly listed companies in the Middle East and North Africa based on their market capitalisation.

    In the latest issue, we explore why the UAE’s Opec departure fulfils multiple ends; investigate why insurers will only cover a fraction of war damage to oil and gas facilities; analyse Saudi Arabia’s real estate ownership reforms; and examine the first trade deal between the GCC and a G7 nation.

    We hope our valued subscribers enjoy the June 2026 issue of MEED Business Review. 

     

    Must-read sections in the June 2026 issue of MEED Business Review include:

    > AGENDA: Gulf races to reroute trade

    > EXPORT ROUTES: Regional war boosts oil and gas pipeline project activity

    > CURRENT AFFAIRS: UAE’s Opec departure fulfils multiple ends

    INDUSTRY REPORT:
    MEED Top 100
    > Middle East stocks recover unevenly

    > OIL & GAS: Insurers will only cover a fraction of war damage to oil and gas facilities

    > LEADERSHIP: Building the infrastructure that makes net zero possible

    > LEGAL: Saudi Arabia’s foreign property ownership milestone 

    > TRADE TALKS: UK-GCC trade deal talks conclude

    > IRAQ MARKET FOCUS: 
    > COMMENT: Iraq’s reform window narrows
    > GOVERNMENT: Al-Zaidi takes Iraq’s premiership under US shadow
    > BANKING: Financial challenge tests Iraq’s resolve
    > ECONOMY: Iraq enters era of resilience, reform and rising risks 
    > OIL & GAS:     Iraqi oil and gas sector in crisis
    > POWER & WATER: Focus shifts to delivery of Iraq utilities expansion
    > CONSTRUCTION: Momentum builds in Iraq’s post-war construction sector

    > MEED COMMENTS: 
    >     Institutional capital sees past conflict risk
    > Gulf conflict fails to slow Dubai’s projects push
    > Oman steps up hydrogen plans
    > Bidders assess partnership strategy for utilities projects

    > GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf Projects Index resumes growth trajectory

    > APRIL 2026 CONTRACTS: Middle East contract awards

    > ECONOMIC DATA: Data drives regional projects

    > OPINION: Hoping for a long, cool summer

    > BUSINESS OUTLOOK: Finance, oil and gas, construction, power and water contracts

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17088038/main.gif
    MEED Editorial