Mena power capacity to exceed 630GW in 2030
26 February 2024
The overall power generation capacity across 17 Middle East and North Africa (Mena) countries is expected to rise from 442.5GW in 2020 to 633.5GW by 2030, according to a forecast by GlobalData.
This equates to a compounded average growth rate of over 4% annually during the forecast period.
The total estimated power capacity across the 17 countries as of 2023 is 484.3GW.
The share of thermal power generation capacity is expected to decline by 12 percentage points, from 92% in 2020 to 80% in 2030.
Nuclear power capacity will grow from zero in 2020 to an estimated 7.1GW by 2030, mainly thanks to Abu Dhabi's Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant and the first reactors of Egypt's El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant.
Accordingly, renewable energy, inclusive of hydropower, is expected to expand to account for the remaining share of overall capacity during the 10-year period.
Based on GlobalData's parameters and methodologies, Morocco, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are expected to have the highest renewable energy installed capacities, ranging from 20% to 61% of their overall power generation installed capacity by 2030.
Renewable energy penetration levels in the following countries will be 10% or lower:
- Lebanon
- Algeria
- Kuwait
- Bahrain
- Libya
Seven countries are expected to fall within the mid-range band, with renewable energy accounting for 12%-19% of their overall capacity. These are Iraq, Yemen, Syria, Qatar, Iran, Oman and Tunisia.
At least two jurisdictions – Dubai in the UAE and Oman – have conveyed that they do not plan to procure additional thermal power plants, in line with their energy diversification targets.
Abu Dhabi has said it expects to gradually reduce gas generation and altogether eliminate its use by 2050, the UAE's deadline to reach next-zero carbon emissions.
Saudi Arabia and other jurisdictions with significant thermal capacity, including liquid oil-fired power plants, are still expanding gas-generation capacity to enable baseload and grid stability during the energy transition, when a substantial capacity of intermittent solar and wind energy will be added to their energy mix.
Exclusive from Meed
-
Consultant wins Dubai Al-Maktoum airport metro link11 September 2026
-
Saudi Arabia sets October deadline for Mecca metro design
11 September 2026
-
Consortiums submit bids for Sadara cogeneration plant11 September 2026
-
UAE plans 150km Boring Company tunnel network11 September 2026
-
Heisco wins $359m oil contract in Kuwait11 September 2026
All of this is only 1% of what MEED.com has to offer
Subscribe now and unlock all the 153,671 articles on MEED.com
- All the latest news, data, and market intelligence across MENA at your fingerprints
- First-hand updates and inside information on projects, clients and competitors that matter to you
- 20 years' archive of information, data, and news for you to access at your convenience
- Strategize to succeed and minimise risks with timely analysis of current and future market trends
Related Articles
-
Consultant wins Dubai Al-Maktoum airport metro link11 September 2026

Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access
US-based engineering firm Aecom has won a design contract for the Route 2020 extension, which will start from the Expo 2020 metro station and connect with Al-Maktoum International airport’s West Terminal.
Dubai’s Roads & Transport Authority (RTA) awarded the contract.
The extension will run about 3 kilometres (km) and include two stations.
MEED understands the invitation to bid was issued in January, with a submission deadline in mid-March.
The existing Route 2020 metro link is a 15km-long line that branches off the Red Line at Jebel Ali metro station. The line comprises 11.8km of elevated tracks and 3.2km of tunnels, and has five elevated stations and two underground stations.
The RTA awarded the AED10.6bn ($2.9bn) design-and-build contract for the project to a consortium of Spain’s Acciona, Turkiye’s Gulermak and France’s Alstom in 2016.
The RTA also selected Aecom to provide consultancy services for the upcoming Dubai Metro Gold Line project, also known as Metro Line 4, in October last year, as MEED reported.
The Gold Line will start at Al-Ghubaiba in Bur Dubai. It will run parallel to – and alleviate pressure on – the existing Red Line, before heading inland to Business Bay, Meydan, Global Village and residential developments in Dubailand.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19571676/main.jpg -
Consortiums submit bids for Sadara cogeneration plant11 September 2026

Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access
At least three consortiums have submitted bids for the contract to develop and operate a cogeneration steam and power plant catering to the Sadara petrochemicals complex in Saudi Arabia.
The planned independent steam and power plant (ISPP) project will have a capacity for 400MW-450MW of combined-cycle electricity generation and 550-700 tonnes an hour of steam.
According to sources, bids were submitted for the contract at the end of August.
The consortium bidders include:
- Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) / Samsung C&T (South Korea)
- Al-Jomaih Energy & Water (Saudi Arabia) / Albawani (Saudi Arabia) / Sepco 3 (China)
- Acwa (Saudi Arabia), Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) / Doosan Enerbility (South Korea)
Sadara Chemical Company (Sadara) is the project client. It is the downstream joint venture of Saudi Aramco and US-headquartered Dow Chemical.
The estimated $500m project includes construction of a power plant, substations, a seawater intake system and associated switchyards and switchgear.
The project will also include gas turbines and a back-pressure steam turbine, as well as facilities for steam production.
In 2024, MEED exclusively reported that Sadara had prequalified potential bidders for the project. It is understood that the request for proposals was issued towards the end of last year.
The first units at the $20bn Sadara petrochemicals complex in Jubail began production in 2016, and the complex became operational in 2017.
The Sadara complex is designed to produce more than 3 million tonnes a year (t/y) of chemicals and performance plastics, including polyurethanes, propylene oxide, propylene glycol, elastomers, polyethylene, glycol ethers and amines.
Construction is also continuing on the Najim cogeneration facility, which will supply the Amiral petrochemicals complex with up to 475MW of power and approximately 452 tonnes an hour of steam.
Previously known as the Amiral cogeneration independent steam and power plant, the project is being developed by a team comprising Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) and Japanese power generation company Jera.
South Korean contractor Samsung C&T is the engineering, procurement and construction contractor for the project.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19567716/main.jpg -
UAE plans 150km Boring Company tunnel network11 September 2026
The UAE plans to build more than 150 kilometres of underground tunnel with US tunnelling firm The Boring Company, in a programme backed by a $3bn funding round the UAE led.
The Series D round values the Boring Company at $23bn, about four times the $5.7bn it was worth after a 2022 funding round. The UAE and affiliated investment entities led the round, which will accelerate a partnership to deploy underground infrastructure across the UAE, the firm said.
The 150km target marks a substantial expansion of the company’s footprint in the country, extending work already committed through the Dubai Loop project. It contrasts sharply with what has been contracted so far. The Boring Company has signed a construction contract with Dubai’s Roads & Transport Authority (RTA) for the pilot phase of Dubai Loop, covering a 6.4km route and four stations linking Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) and Dubai Mall. The pilot is expected to cost about AED565m ($154m), with tunnelling due to begin in the second half of this year.
The 150km figure therefore represents an ambition for the wider partnership rather than a contracted volume, with the bulk of the network yet to be tendered, designed or awarded. No timeframe has been attached to the target.
A second Dubai Loop phase will connect Dubai World Trade Centre and DIFC with Business Bay, extending the tunnels to 22km across 19 stations. The total cost across both phases is expected to be about AED2bn ($545m), with completion scheduled within three years. The pilot route is projected to carry about 13,000 passengers a day, rising to about 30,000 a day across the full route.
Other investors in the round include Human Capital, Vy Capital, Valor Equity Partners, Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Temasek, Shamal Holding and Baron Capital. The proceeds will also fund hiring, the scaling of the company’s Loop transit systems in the US cities of Las Vegas and Nashville, and further development of its Prufrock tunnel-boring machines, which it says can operate in both soft ground and hard rock.
The RTA and the Boring Company signed a memorandum of understanding in February last year to explore developing the Dubai Loop, and the construction contract followed in February this year. In May, US engineering firm Parsons was appointed as programme manager for the pilot phase, with a scope covering independent design verification, permitting and multidisciplinary design reviews.
The appointment comes amid a broader shift towards underground construction across the Gulf, as metro, sewerage and highway works in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar increasingly default to tunnelling.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19567623/main.jpg -
Heisco wins $359m oil contract in Kuwait11 September 2026
Kuwait-based Heavy Engineering Industries & Shipbuilding Company (Heisco) has been awarded a contract worth KD111.05m ($359m) to develop storage tanks for Kuwait’s Jurassic Light Oil (JLO) export facilities, according to a stock market filing.
The scope of the contract includes civil, mechanical, electrical and instrumentation works, as well as engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) services for the tanks.
The contract was awarded by India’s Larsen & Toubro (L&T), the main contractor for a broader project to develop JLO storage and export facilities in Kuwait, as well as upgrade Kuwait Oil Company’s (KOC’s) existing export network.
The $979.2m main contract for this broader project was awarded to L&T on 15 July.
The contract for Heisco’s scope of work has a time period of 42 months, according to its stock market filing.
Oil crisis
Kuwait’s oil and gas sector is currently in crisis due to the regional war that started after the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February.
The war has severely disrupted exports through the Strait of Hormuz, which Kuwait relies on in order to ship crude exports.
It has also disrupted imports of equipment and materials for projects, raising project costs.
Sheikh Nawaf Saud Al-Sabah, deputy chairman and CEO of Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC), the country’s national oil company, has described the current conflict as the biggest oil crisis the country has faced since Iraq’s 1990 invasion.
Despite the significant reduction in crude exports, Kuwait’s state-owned oil companies have continued to tender some projects.
Export facilities
The scope of work under the contract awarded to L&T in July includes the EPC of six new crude oil storage tanks, each with an operating capacity of 618,000 barrels, along with associated facilities, the Mumbai-headquartered company said on 29 July.
The project also involves “the installation of new pipelines and comprehensive upgrades to Kuwait’s existing crude loading and export network, to seamlessly accommodate increased production and enhance the country’s crude handling capabilities”, the Bombay Stock Exchange-listed company said.
L&T also said that the contract will be executed on a lump-sum turnkey basis.
Only two companies submitted bids for the contract in October last year:
- L&T (India): KD303.5m ($988m)
- Petrofac (UK): KD310.6m ($1.01bn)
Following bid submission, KPC discussed the potential cancellation of the tender due to bids coming in significantly over budget and Petrofac becoming ineligible to win contracts in Kuwait.
The contractor was temporarily barred from participating in tenders in Kuwait’s oil and gas sector in December last year.
Petrofac received the ban after the company announced it had applied to appoint administrators, a move that potentially put thousands of jobs at risk and increased uncertainty for projects worth billions of dollars in the Middle East and North Africa region.
Despite discussions about cancelling the tender, KPC ultimately decided to proceed with the award process because it considered the project a high priority.
One source previously told MEED: “Around the same time, projects worth around $8bn were cancelled because of bids coming in over budget, but this one has gone ahead because KPC sees it as an essential project.”
The project was originally tendered in November 2024, with a bid deadline of 1 December the same year. The bid deadline was extended several times before bids were ultimately submitted.
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19556019/main.png -
Abu Dhabi eyes digital requirements for utility projects11 September 2026

Abu Dhabi is set to place greater emphasis on digital and data capabilities in the procurement of future energy and water projects as the emirate prepares for the next expansion phase of its infrastructure network.
Speaking to MEED, Ahmed Mohammed Al-Rumaithi, undersecretary of the Department of Energy, said: “Future utility projects in Abu Dhabi are expected to increasingly include clear digital and data requirements as a core part of the procurement process, alongside the delivery of physical infrastructure.”
The move comes as Abu Dhabi plans to invest more than AED300bn ($81.7bn) in energy and water infrastructure over the next decade under the Department of Energy’s Strategic Framework for the Energy and Water Sector through to 2050.
“Projects will be expected not only to construct assets, but also to demonstrate how operational data is generated, cleansed, governed and exchanged across the full asset lifecycle,” Al-Rumaithi said.
Procurement frameworks are also expected to “prioritise digital readiness, interoperability, cybersecurity and adherence to common data standards” so that new assets can operate as part of an integrated and connected energy and water ecosystem.
AD.WE roadmap
The approach builds on the Department of Energy’s experience with AD.WE, an artificial intelligence (AI)-powered platform that brings together live and historical data from across Abu Dhabi’s energy and water systems.
The department unveiled AD.WE’s development roadmap in October last year, including the full rollout and expansion of the platform beyond electricity and water to district cooling and petroleum products.
The roadmap initially targeted the rollout of phase three of the platform’s development by the fourth quarter of this year, identifying applications including farm irrigation optimisation, intelligent leak detection, consumption intelligence and network planning.
Al-Rumaithi said AD.WE provides a shared operational view of the system and supports operational and regulatory decision-making through agentic AI-driven optimisation and planning.
The platform enables 20% to 30% efficiency gains across capital expenditure (Capex) and operating expenditure (Opex) in targeted parts of the network, according to Al-Rumaithi.
AI planning
AI is also being used to improve long-term infrastructure planning as electricity demand grows, including demand associated with digital infrastructure.
Abu Dhabi’s power demand is expected to double by 2050, with total installed capacity projected to rise from about 25GW to 50GW, according to the Department of Energy.
“AI is reshaping infrastructure planning in two ways. It is driving new electricity demand through digital infrastructure, while also providing more sophisticated tools to understand how demand for energy and water will evolve over time,” Al-Rumaithi said.
AI enables more accurate forecasting, scenario modelling and network analysis, allowing planners to assess future requirements across electricity generation, transmission, water production, cooling and supporting infrastructure.
The strategic framework is supported by an investment of approximately AED35bn a year in “sector development and operations”, Al-Rumaithi said.
He said the increasing use of digital systems will require greater focus on data governance, cybersecurity, transparency and accountability to ensure innovation strengthens the resilience and reliability of essential services.
For utilities, developers and technology providers, Al-Rumaithi said preparation should focus on “high-quality data, robust governance, cybersecurity and workforce capabilities needed to manage increasingly connected infrastructure”.
“Equally important,” he said, “is designing systems that can exchange information securely and operate within a wider digital ecosystem. This enables better coordination between utilities, technology providers and regulators, improving both operational performance and long-term planning.”
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/19545688/main4420.jpg