Read the January 2024 MEED Business Review

3 January 2024

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The UAE's Cop28 stopped short of recommending the phasing down of fossil fuels, but scored a major victory by referencing, for the first time since Cop started, the need to transition away from fossil fuels to keep the 1.5-degree-Celsius temperature goal alive.

MEED's latest issue explores the conference's imperfect commitment, which, in many ways, was also the best a Cop has ever had.

Cop28 also saw commitments to treble renewable and nuclear power, and secured $89bn in pledges covering climate finance, local climate action and the Loss and Damage Fund. MEED's energy editor Jennifer Aguinaldo writes about how the promises will spur clean energy in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) here

In this month's industry report, MEED takes a look at the major projects the region has to look forward to in 2024.

While 2023 may have been one of the best years in the past decade for project contract awards activity in the Mena region, a pipeline of upcoming regional projects valued at $270bn bodes well for 2024.

Top schemes to watch include Saudi Arabia’s $17.6bn Neom City Development Programme, the $7bn expansion project at Abu Dhabi’s Upper Zakum offshore oil field and the $4.8bn Dubai Metro Blue Line scheme.

This month's exclusive 13-page market report, meanwhile, spotlights Oman, as Muscat strives to reinvigorate its economy. The government is having to perform a tricky balancing act as it contends with lower oil revenues and production cuts, and the sultanate is seeking to diversify its hydrocarbons value chain.

MEED's latest issue is also packed with interviews. Bahrain’s Industry & Commerce Minister, Abdulla bin Adel Fakhro, explains why an outward-looking approach is critical to the country’s industrial development, while the president of Bahrain’s Electricity & Water Authority, Kamal bin Ahmed Mohammed, discusses plans to turn the government entity into a company.

Group CEO of Orascom Development, Omar el-Hamamsy, also talks about the demands of masterplan schemes, and David Edmondson, CEO of Neom Green Hydrogen Company, sheds light on the next phase of the firm’s development.

In addition, this issue also examines the progress being made on UK-GCC trade talks, takes an in-depth look at the Cairo monorail as the project nears completion, and has analysis on topics including Oman’s goal of becoming the region’s top green hydrogen exporter and how construction has picked up pace at Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject during the past year.

We hope our valued subscribers enjoy the January 2024 issue of MEED Business Review

 

Must-read sections in the January 2024 issue of MEED Business Review include:

AGENDA: Cop28 keeps 1.5°C goal within reach

> CLEAN ENERGY: Cop28 pledges spur Mena clean energy

> CURRENT AFFAIRS: UK-GCC trade talks make slow progress

INTERVIEW: Bahrain industrial development complements GCC goals

INDUSTRY REPORT: There has been a significant build-up of regional construction schemes entering the bidding phase, which bodes well for project activity in 2024. We take a look at some of the top projects to watch over the coming 12 months.
Upcoming regional projects hit $270bn
Top pending projects in 2024

> INTERVIEW: Transforming Bahrain’s electricity and water industry

> EGYPT: Cairo monorail nears completion 

> INTERVIEW: The changing face of community  

> CONSTRUCTION: Neom becomes a busy construction site in 2023

> INTERVIEW: Neom Green Hydrogen mulls next phase 

> OMAN MARKET FOCUS:

COMMENT: Muscat needs to stimulate growth
> GOVERNMENT & ECONOMY: Muscat performs tricky budget balancing act

BANKS: Omani banks look to projects for growth
> OIL & GAS: Oman diversifies hydrocarbons value chain
> POWER & WATER: Oman expands grid connectivity
> HYDROGEN: Oman seeks early hydrogen success 
> CONSTRUCTION: Oman construction is back on track
> DATABANK: 
Oman growth slips amid oil production cuts

MEED COMMENTS: 
Restarting projects signals prosperity, but risks remain

Oil and gas industry commits to climate goals
Riyadh Expo 2030 will benefit tourism over construction
Pivotal change for Bahrain’s utilities sector

> GULF PROJECTS INDEX: Gulf projects market value swells in 2023

> NOVEMBER 2023 CONTRACTS: Region remains on track for a bumper year

> MARKET SNAPSHOT: The region’s hydrogen projects in 2024

> OPINIONTroubled end to 2023 bodes ill for stability

BUSINESS OUTLOOK: Finance, oil and gas, construction, power and water contracts

To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
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MEED Editorial
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    2 May 2024

    US-headquartered GE Vernova has invested $10.2m in Xlinks First, the investment company established by UK-based startup Xlinks to deliver the $18bn Morocco-UK power project.

    This investment equates to a minority shareholding in the company, which is developing a project comprising wind and solar generation as well as battery storage, with a total combined capacity of 3,600MW, to be transmitted from Morocco to the UK.

    Xlinks said the investment will “further accelerate delivery and buildout of the project”.

    GE Vernova joins at least four other investors in the project.

    Other investors include Africa Finance Corporation, which invested $14.1m in April; Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa), $30.7m; the UK’s Octopus Energy, $6.23m; and France’s Total Energies, $25.4m.

    The planned electricity generation and battery storage facilities, located in south Morocco, will be connected exclusively to the UK via 4,000-kilometre high-voltage, direct current (HVDC) cables.

    In December last year, Xlinks signed a contract with Canada-headquartered WSP to provide technical advisory services for the project.

    WSP will support Xlinks with route optimisation, power systems and interface management for the plan to construct the project.

    The Morocco-UK power project entails building 10,500MW solar and wind farms in Morocco’s Guelmim-Oued Noun region and sending 3,600MW a day of energy exclusively to the UK via four 3,800-kilometre HVDC cables.

    The HVDC network is envisaged to run from the UK’s south coast, passing France, Spain and Portugal undersea and then onshore to a planned solar and wind energy project in Morocco.

    This renewable energy-sourced electricity amounts to nearly 8% of the UK’s current requirements, equivalent to powering 7 million homes by 2030.

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  • Awards buoy Oman’s green hydrogen strategy

    2 May 2024

    Commentary
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    Oman has awarded two additional land blocks designed to develop green hydrogen projects.

    The latest land block concessions in Dhofar were awarded to two consortiums. One comprises a team of France's EDF Group and EDF Renewables, with partners Japanese Electric Power Development Company (J-Power) and the UK-headquartered Yamna Company.

    Another team comprises UK investment firm Actis and Australian metals firm Fortescue.

    This brings the total number of land blocks awarded through the public auction process spearheaded by Hydrogen Oman (Hydrom) to four, exclusive of the four legacy initiatives signed or agreed upon already.

    *Budgets are MEED estimates if not publicly disclosed. Sources: MEED, Hydrom

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    Stakeholders have implemented a strategy, including setting up an infrastructure company catering to these projects. The target is to generate 1 to 1.5 million tonnes a year (t/y) of green hydrogen by 2030 and 7.5 to 8.5 million t/y by 2050.

    The blueprint envisages a complete green hydrogen ecosystem, from the production of renewable energy and its distribution to electrolysis plants and hydrogen derivatives conversion plants to storage and export terminals.

    Omani ports' existing relationships with European stakeholders and growing alliances with other countries could also help seal future offtake agreements for the planned facilities.

    As things stand, the consortiums that won the land auctions and the legacy initiative partners provide much gravitas to Oman's green hydrogen programme. They comprise energy old guards such as BP and Shell that are keen to decarbonise, private companies aiming to balance their investment portfolios with clean energy investments, and offtakers or trading companies that are grappling with net-zero targets.

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    But like any emerging industry, the risks can only be properly assessed and mitigated as the first projects move toward the execution phase.

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  • Operationalise loss and damage fund says Al Jaber

    2 May 2024

    Steps must be taken to ensure a fully functioning Loss and Damage Fund, following an agreement at Cop28 to operationalise the fund, according to Cop28 President Sultan Al Jaber.

    “While delivering an agreement to operationalise the Fund at Cop28 was a huge breakthrough for climate progress more needs to be done,” Al Jaber said during the first board meeting of the fund on 30 April.

    The Loss and Damage Fund, which was first proposed in the 1990s, aims to help developing countries cope with the impact of extreme global warming events such as droughts and floods.

    Al Jaber cited the need to build a fully functioning fund, which will be endorsed at Cop29 in Baku, which will be “disbursing funds soon after and a Fund that delivers lasting, positive, socio-economic impact for decades to come."

    "While it took over three decades to establish this Fund, climate change has not stood still. Every region of the world is now vulnerable…the impacts of climate change are a clear and present danger to lives and livelihoods everywhere."

    Al Jaber’s message resonates closer home given the recent storms hitting the UAE, which brought some emirates to a standstill in mid-April.

    Heavy rainfall inundated Dubai and the Northern Emirates on 16 April, causing flooding and significant property and infrastructure damages.

    A total of $792m has been pledged for loss and damage funding arrangements – of which $662m has been pledged to the Fund to date – including a $100m contribution each from the UAE and Germany and $75m from the UK.   

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  • Norwegian firm to develop Oman wave energy project

    2 May 2024

    Oman's shipping and logistics firm Asyad Group has signed an agreement with Norwegian wave energy company Havkraft to explore the development of wave energy.

    It is the first project of its kind in the sultanate and across the region.

    Havkraft is known globally for pioneering technologies that enable the production of renewable electricity from wave energy.

    According to Havkraft Middle East adviser Matt Minshall, wave power has the potential to be the “most eco-friendly and cost-effective route to net zero”.

    Oceans cover 78% of the earth’s and waves have the potential for energy with the reliability of a constantly charged battery, and have remained untouched, according to Minshall.

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  • Saudi Arabia foregoes April nuclear deadline

    2 May 2024

     

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    The 30 April bid deadline for nuclear technology providers to submit bids for a contract to build Saudi Arabia’s Duwaiheen nuclear power plant project has passed without any clear indication of a new tender closing date, according to two sources familiar with the project.

    “The understanding is that the tendering process requires a level of [political] stability in the region. This seems like an automatic postponement for the project tendering process,” one of the sources said.

    Companies that have been invited and are expected to bid for the contract include:

    • China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC, China)
    • Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco, South Korea)
    • Rosatom (Russia) 
    • EDF Group (France)

    The project is in the so-called bid invitation specification stage, and there are no direct negotiations between the client and the potential bidders at this stage, MEED reported in July 2023.

    Saudi Arabia plans to build a large-scale nuclear power plant facility as part of its energy diversification agenda. 

    However, the ongoing conflict between Israel, Gaza and other neighbouring countries appears to be a major contributing factor in the extended procurement timeline of the Duwaiheen nuclear plant project.

    In October, an industry source said the ongoing conflict in Gaza is not likely to help advance negotiations between the countries with a key stake in the project.

    It is understood that Riyadh is using its nuclear power plant project, along with its plan to enrich uranium sources as part of its industrial strategy, as a bargaining chip with the US government. The White House is pushing for the normalisation of relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia and opposed to uranium enrichment.

    A month before the latest conflict between Israel and Hamas started, it was reported that senior Palestinian officials were in Riyadh for talks with senior Saudi and US officials.

    According to a BBC report in September 2023, the Palestinians were negotiating for hundreds of millions of dollars and more control of land in the occupied West Bank in the event of a three-way deal between Israel, Saudi Arabia and the US.

    On 14 October, Saudi Arabia suspended the talks on potentially normalising ties with Israel, which it never officially recognised as an independent state.

    Consultants

    Duwaiheen Nuclear Energy Company received three bids for the project management consultancy package for the nuclear plant project last year.

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    • Assystems (France)

    Two of the three bidders have had previous engagements with the Saudi nuclear energy project. 

    2.8GW project

    The Duwaiheen nuclear power plant is expected to be procured using a traditional design-and-build model. 

    In September 2016, MEED reported that Saudi Arabia was carrying out technical and economic feasibility studies for the first reactors, and was also looking at possible locations for the kingdom’s first nuclear project, a 2.8GW facility.

    A site at Khor Duwaiheen, on the coast near the UAE and Qatari borders, was subsequently chosen for the first project.

    In March 2022, Saudi Arabia announced the establishment of a holding company – understood to be the Duwaiheen Nuclear Energy Company – to develop nuclear power projects in the country to produce electricity, desalinate seawater and support thermal energy applications.


    MEED's April 2024 special report on Saudi Arabia includes:

    > GVT & ECONOMY: Saudi Arabia seeks diversification amid regional tensions
    > BANKING: Saudi lenders gear up for corporate growth
    > UPSTREAM: Aramco spending drawdown to jolt oil projects
    > DOWNSTREAM: Master Gas System spending stimulates Saudi downstream sector

    > POWER: Riyadh to sustain power spending
    > WATER: Growth inevitable for the Saudi water sector
    > CONSTRUCTION: Saudi gigaprojects propel construction sector
    > TRANSPORT: Saudi Arabia’s transport sector offers prospects

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11729932/main3634.jpg
    Jennifer Aguinaldo