Maghreb pushes for stability

24 July 2025

Commentary
John Bambridge
Analysis editor

The Maghreb region continues to prioritise political stability as a foundation for long-term economic development, with Morocco emerging as a frontrunner in aligning its governance with investor expectations.

Trade disruptions and fluctuating commodity prices have impacted the recent growth trajectories of the Maghreb markets, yet signs of resilience are evident as governments pivot towards diversified industrial strategies.

Morocco’s regulatory reforms and infrastructure upgrades are proving to be an effective lure for foreign investment. The country’s steady stock market performance, despite external pressures, reflects this underlying confidence and highlights Rabat’s relative resilience within the region.

Another key driver in Morocco is the infrastructure investment ahead of the 2030 Fifa World Cup. As a host nation, Morocco is undertaking projects to deliver new stadiums and improve transport networks. This momentum is expected to ripple through the construction and tourism sectors, bolstering GDP growth – projected at 3.9% in 2025 – and job creation.

Algeria is meanwhile accelerating its efforts to develop higher-value manufacturing to leverage its abundant natural resources. Through investment-friendly reforms and new laws, recent policies are laying the groundwork for a strengthened private sector and an investment environment that can boost employment and deliver long-term industrial growth.

In Libya, despite persistent political fragmentation and instability, international interest in the oil sector is returning as production has recovered to its highest level in a decade. This presents a rare bright spot for the Libyan economy, but sustained gains will require lasting political stability and security.

Tunisia, meanwhile, continues to grapple with economic and political fragility. Incremental government progress is being made in securing international financial support and pursuing structural reforms, and investment in sectors such as tourism and renewable energy is gaining cautious traction. But social and political stability is a must if the country is going to escape its current economic stagnation and stimulate renewed growth.

Energy and power are key sectors for the Maghreb as a whole, and the region has a burgeoning pipeline of projects in both – with an emphasis on renewables and green hydrogen. A weak start to project activity in 2025 leaves the hope that the region might better deliver on its potential in the second half.

Overall, despite its economic and political challenges, rising energy demand and the proximity of European markets present clear opportunities for the Maghreb and chart a potential path forward for growth and investment – lending cautious optimism to the region’s future.

 


MEED’s August 2025 report on the Maghreb includes:

> GOVERNMENT: Pursuit of political stability dominates Maghreb
> ECONOMY: Maghreb economies battle trading headwinds
> OIL & GAS: Oil company interest in Libya increases 

> INDUSTRY: Algeria’s industrial strategy builds momentum
> POWER & WATER: Slow year for Maghreb power and water awards
> CONSTRUCTION: World Cup 2030 galvanises Morocco construction
> DATABANK: Maghreb economies stabilise

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John Bambridge
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