M&A market boosted by energy deals

24 October 2024

 

The mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region received a significant boost on 1 October, when Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) finally secured agreement from German chemicals firm Covestro for a takeover worth €14.7bn ($16.1bn).

Assuming it is completed, it will be the largest acquisition to date by Adnoc, which is no stranger to large M&A transactions. Indeed, just 10 days later, the UAE energy giant said it had received all the necessary approvals to complete its purchase of a 50% stake in another chemicals producer, Fertiglobe, from Dutch-listed OCI, taking its total shareholding in the business to 86%. That €3.6bn deal had been announced in mid-December 2022.

Adnoc has been chasing the Covestro deal for some time, steadily ramping up its offer from an initial €55 a share to the eventual €62 a share. 

On current projections, it looks set to be the biggest M&A deal involving a Mena company this year. Data compiled by LSEG Data & Analytics, part of the London Stock Exchange Group, points to it being among the 10 largest M&A deals anywhere in the world this year.

Rebounding trend

Overall, there were $46.6bn-worth of M&A deals involving a Mena company in the opening half of the year, according to LSEG. This was a 48% increase on the same period of 2023, by LSEG’s metrics, and was similar to the levels seen in 2020-22.

Of that, $28.6bn were deals involving a target company outside the region – the highest level for outbound deals in the first half of a year since 2007.

There were a further $17.6bn-worth of deals involving a Mena target company from January to June, of which $11.2bn were being pursued by acquirers from outside the region.

Deals with both a local acquirer and target amounted to $6.3bn – down 12% year-on-year and now at a seven-year low.

Beyond the Covestro transaction, there have been at least nine other deals worth more than $1bn so far this year. These include a $1.1bn deal for Austrian aircraft leasing company Macquarie AirFinance to buy a portfolio of 23 aircraft from Kuwait’s Alafco Aviation Lease & Finance. The deal was announced in February and followed a similar deal in 2023 between the two companies.

Others include a deal by Adnoc Logistics & Services to acquire oil tanker operator Navig8 for up to $1.5bn in a two-stage transaction; Microsoft’s investment of $1.5bn for an undisclosed stake in the UAE artificial intelligence (AI) company Group 42; and a $2bn investment by Alat, a subsidiary of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, in convertible bonds issued by Chinese technology company Lenovo Group.

Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) has also been on the acquisition trail, announcing a $2.7bn investment in Greek renewable energy company Terna Energy in July. The same month, it also announced a deal with Italian firm Endesa to invest €817m for a 49.9% stake in a portfolio of 48 solar power plants with a total capacity of 2GW. 

In September, Masdar announced a plan to buy energy developer Saeta Yield for $1.4bn, adding 745MW of wind and solar generating capacity in Spain and Portugal.

As with the Adnoc/Fertiglobe deal, other big transactions announced last year have been completed this year. Among them is the $1.4bn merger of Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange-listed Al-Yah Satellite Communications Company and Bayanat AI, which was unveiled in December and completed on 1 October.

There were $46.6bn-worth of M&A deals involving a Mena company in the opening half of the year

Not always a done deal

Not all announced deals go through, however. In April, Dubai-based engineering consultant Dar Al-Handasah Shair & Partners Holdings (Sidara) approached London-listed John Wood Group with a takeover offer. By late May it had made a fourth and final offer valuing the Aberdeen-headquartered firm at £1.6bn ($2.1bn). However, in early August Sidara backed out saying “in light of rising geopolitical risks and financial market uncertainty” it no longer intended to make a firm offer.

Even with such setbacks, the UAE has been the most active market for M&A deals in the first half of the year. Of the announced deals involving a Mena target, $9.7bn-worth have been for a UAE firm, according to LSEG. Saudi Arabia is in second place, with $3.1bn of the total.

On a sectoral basis, the financial services industry has accounted for most of the deals involving a Mena target, with $6.3bn of the total. Technology and telecommunications companies accounted for a further $3.2bn, while deals involving materials and industrial companies totalled $2.8bn and energy and power company deals were worth $1.6bn.

According to professional services firm Ernst & Young (EY), the region’s sovereign wealth funds, such as Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia), the UAE’s Mubadala and Saudi Arabia’s PIF, have continued to lead the deal activity in the region, as they push ahead with government-directed efforts to diversify their home economies.

While the likes of Covestro and Terna are European, overall, it is the US that is the main destination for outbound M&A deals, according to EY. However, there have been some major deals announced involving other parts of the world too. In March 2024, Mubadala and Adia joined a consortium that spent $8.3bn to acquire a 60% stake in Chinese shopping mall manager Zhuhai Wanda.

Detailed data is not yet available for third-quarter activity in the Mena region, but the global trends point to a fairly active market. According to LSEG, global completed M&A advisory fees reached $23bn in the first nine months of the year, a 3% increase on the same period of 2023

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Dominic Dudley
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    If 2025 was marked by the advent of reform in the shape of public debt and mortgage laws, 2026 has been a year of resilience in the face of sharp shifts in the operating environment.

    Like their peers across the GCC, Kuwait’s banks have stood out this year for their crisis preparedness. With Kuwait facing sustained attacks from Iran – testing a hydrocarbons-based economy that is uniquely vulnerable to such shocks – banks are focusing on maintaining durability under especially challenging conditions.

    The sector entered 2026 in a relatively strong position. As of March 2026 – one month into the US-Israeli campaign against Iran – the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio stood at a creditable 1.7%. A capital adequacy ratio of 17.5% in Q1 is another sign of resilience, underscoring banks’ capacity to absorb unexpected losses.

    Kuwaiti banks’ reserve coverage stands at 223% of problem loans, one of the highest levels of loan-loss allowance coverage for Stage 3 exposures in the region. This is in large part due to the Central Bank of Kuwait’s (CBK’s) strict regulatory requirements.

    Overall, banks have strong capitalisation, solid liquidity, high loan loss-absorption buffers and sound asset quality. That mix provides confidence that the banking sector can continue to support the economy in difficult circumstances.

    Kuwait has retained significant sovereign financial strength. There are large fiscal buffers, there is the existential hydrocarbon wealth, and there is a long track record of supporting the banking sector when required
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    Bank dominance

    Banks also remain central to Kuwait’s economy. As the Washington-based IMF has noted, financial intermediation is overwhelmingly bank-based, with domestic currency bond and equity markets underdeveloped by emerging-market standards.

    “Kuwait has retained significant sovereign financial strength. There are large fiscal buffers, there is the existential hydrocarbon wealth, and there is a long track record of supporting the banking sector when required,” says Abdulla Al-Hammadi, an analyst at Moody’s.

    Bank assets reached 250% of GDP in 2024 – among the highest in the GCC, according to the IMF. This is supported by strong balance sheets, high liquidity and a large Islamic finance segment. Kuwait Finance House, Boubyan Bank, Kuwait International Bank and Warba Bank – the four main Islamic lenders – together account for KD53bn ($172bn), or 51% of total banking sector assets.

    Early 2026 performance metrics show a solid rise in assets at listed Kuwaiti banks, growing by 12.5% year-on-year to KD130.82bn ($366.4bn) in Q1. Net profits increased by a smaller margin, 1.1%, to KD382.96m ($1.07bn) in the same quarter, according to KPMG.

    National Bank of Kuwait (NBK), the largest bank by assets, reported net profit of KD324.8m ($1.06bn) for the first half of 2026, a 3% year-on-year increase. Despite the impact of the conflict, the second quarter saw profits rise 4.5% to KD181.2m ($588.4m).

    Ratings support

    Ratings agencies have retained their confidence in Kuwaiti banks. In a rating action announced on 18 June, Moody’s affirmed the long-term deposit ratings of eight Kuwaiti banks, reflecting their resilient credit profiles supported by strong capital, provisioning reserves and liquidity buffers.

    Under Moody’s central scenario – which assumes a prolonged disruption to the Strait of Hormuz through autumn and persistently high and volatile energy prices – the expected deterioration in operating conditions remains within the absorption capacity of these banks’ baseline credit assessments.

    Kuwait’s strong sovereign ratings and high level of system support provide additional comfort. Government financial assets are estimated at more than 475% of GDP, while the debt burden was around 19% of GDP as of March 2026 – factors that underpin the government’s capacity to support the banking system in the event of stress.

    Nor is Kuwait at particular risk of external funding outflows. According to S&P Global, Kuwait has a comfortable net external asset position that mitigates such risks.

    “Depositor confidence has remained stable. The banks continue to access international interbank markets,” says Al-Hammadi. “Their liquidity buffers will support their ability to continue lending and absorb any potential shock.”

    Regulatory response

    Regulatory supervision is another core strength. The CBK has a reputation for hands-on oversight of the banking sector. In March, it rolled out a stimulus package to encourage banks to lend as the Iran conflict buffeted the region. The measures included a temporary easing of macroprudential requirements, with the minimum liquidity coverage ratio and net stable funding ratio reduced from 100% to 80%. The minimum regulatory ratio was cut from 18% to 15%.

    These measures appear to have had the intended effect. According to NBK’s research arm, domestic credit growth picked up in May, rising by half a percentage point over the previous month to 6.7% in year-on-year terms. Signs of stronger business lending, with gains across services, trade and real estate, will have been particularly welcome.

    “Many Kuwaiti banks have concentrated their lending activity around the Kuwait economy,” says Al-Hammadi. “Overall GDP is under pressure given recent developments in the hydrocarbon sector. It’s still an oil-driven economy, but if you look at non-oil activity, it has continued to benefit from government investment.”

    Credit growth will be supported by improving economic sentiment, so long as deposit growth keeps pace. However, lending is unlikely to match previous years’ levels.

    “Our expectation is that lending growth will drop, given what is happening in the macroeconomic environment. Growth could be a bit slower compared to previous years,” says Al-Hammadi.

    The CBK has urged local banks to be flexible towards customers, although anecdotal evidence suggests greater caution, including tighter personal loan limits.

    Reforms, including the mortgage and housing law, provide an additional opportunity for Kuwaiti banks to support broader growth. The Real Estate Financing Law permits banks to offer supported loans under which the state covers interest payments via the Kuwait Credit Bank, while borrowers repay only the principal.

    Although hydrocarbon-sector growth will be negatively impacted by events in the Gulf this year, banks should be able to secure growth by focusing on the non-hydrocarbon economy.

    “We see growth driven by the non-oil economy and some of the project finance opportunities, which will benefit from the banking sector’s capital and liquidity position. It places the banks in the right place to grab this opportunity,” says Al-Hammadi.


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  • PDO floats tender for major flare gas monetisation scheme

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  • UAE leads Mena project pipeline recovery

    6 August 2026

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    The Middle East and North Africa’s construction project pipeline strengthened in June 2026, recovering some of the momentum lost earlier in the year as the effects of the Israel-Iran conflict continued to work through regional project markets.

    GlobalData’s Construction Projects Momentum Index (CPMI) for the Mena region rose to 0.84 in June, up 5% from 0.80 in May, leaving the region third globally behind South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. The three-month moving average held at 0.95, unchanged from May.

    The recovery was led by execution-stage activity, where the score rose to 1.18 in June from 1.06 in May. Pre-execution momentum, however, continued to soften, falling to 0.68 from 0.73. The pre-execution stage captures project planning, design development and procurement preparation, and a sustained decline there can point to a thinning of the future pipeline even when near-term execution holds up.

    Infrastructure drove the sector-level gains, with momentum rising sharply to 1.03 in June from 0.25 in May, the largest increase among the region’s sectors. Industrial momentum rose to 0.78 from 0.40. Residential activity remained elevated at 1.17, easing only marginally from 1.22.

    The gains were partly offset by a steep pullback in institutional activity, where momentum fell to 0.45 in June from 1.72 in May, the largest decline of any sector. Commercial and leisure momentum eased to 0.88 from 1.13, and energy and utilities to 0.59 from 0.82.

    The UAE posted the region’s highest score in June at 1.52, up from 1.16 in May. Algeria rose to 1.26 from 0.68, and Kuwait recovered to 0.76 from 0.26. Egypt reached 1.36, Oman held at 0.87, Qatar rose to 0.86 and Iran eased to 0.81.

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    Israel recovered to 0.65 in June from -1.66 in May, having recorded the region’s weakest scores through the earlier phase of the conflict.

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    READ THE AUGUST 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

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    The round was co-led by Woven Capital, the growth fund of Japan’s Toyota, and by Ion Pacific. It also brought in BlueCrest Capital Management and Sona Capital, alongside existing backers including BlackRock, Japan’s MUFG, Franklin Templeton, Uber and the Ontario Power Generation Pension Plan.

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    The company expects to grow its autonomous vehicle workforce by more than 220% by the end of the year, increasing from about 150 employees to about 500.

    Founded in 2020 and headquartered in the UAE, Moove finances, owns and operates mobility assets for ride-hailing platforms. It employs 3,300 people and operates about 42,000 vehicles across 29 cities in 13 countries, and has grown to $420m in annual recurring revenue. It has expanded through organic growth and acquisitions, including Kovi in Brazil and Tokyo Taxi in Japan.

    Moove is the largest global fleet partner of ride-hailing company Uber. Through a partnership with Waymo, the autonomous driving unit of US technology group Alphabet, it operates autonomous vehicle fleets in Phoenix and Miami in the US, with operations also planned in London.

    Mubadala first invested in Moove three years ago. The Series C round marks its continued backing of the company as it moves into autonomous fleet operations.


    READ THE AUGUST 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

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    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the August 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

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