M&A market boosted by energy deals
24 October 2024

The mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region received a significant boost on 1 October, when Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) finally secured agreement from German chemicals firm Covestro for a takeover worth €14.7bn ($16.1bn).
Assuming it is completed, it will be the largest acquisition to date by Adnoc, which is no stranger to large M&A transactions. Indeed, just 10 days later, the UAE energy giant said it had received all the necessary approvals to complete its purchase of a 50% stake in another chemicals producer, Fertiglobe, from Dutch-listed OCI, taking its total shareholding in the business to 86%. That €3.6bn deal had been announced in mid-December 2022.
Adnoc has been chasing the Covestro deal for some time, steadily ramping up its offer from an initial €55 a share to the eventual €62 a share.
On current projections, it looks set to be the biggest M&A deal involving a Mena company this year. Data compiled by LSEG Data & Analytics, part of the London Stock Exchange Group, points to it being among the 10 largest M&A deals anywhere in the world this year.
Rebounding trend
Overall, there were $46.6bn-worth of M&A deals involving a Mena company in the opening half of the year, according to LSEG. This was a 48% increase on the same period of 2023, by LSEG’s metrics, and was similar to the levels seen in 2020-22.
Of that, $28.6bn were deals involving a target company outside the region – the highest level for outbound deals in the first half of a year since 2007.
There were a further $17.6bn-worth of deals involving a Mena target company from January to June, of which $11.2bn were being pursued by acquirers from outside the region.
Deals with both a local acquirer and target amounted to $6.3bn – down 12% year-on-year and now at a seven-year low.
Beyond the Covestro transaction, there have been at least nine other deals worth more than $1bn so far this year. These include a $1.1bn deal for Austrian aircraft leasing company Macquarie AirFinance to buy a portfolio of 23 aircraft from Kuwait’s Alafco Aviation Lease & Finance. The deal was announced in February and followed a similar deal in 2023 between the two companies.
Others include a deal by Adnoc Logistics & Services to acquire oil tanker operator Navig8 for up to $1.5bn in a two-stage transaction; Microsoft’s investment of $1.5bn for an undisclosed stake in the UAE artificial intelligence (AI) company Group 42; and a $2bn investment by Alat, a subsidiary of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, in convertible bonds issued by Chinese technology company Lenovo Group.
Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) has also been on the acquisition trail, announcing a $2.7bn investment in Greek renewable energy company Terna Energy in July. The same month, it also announced a deal with Italian firm Endesa to invest €817m for a 49.9% stake in a portfolio of 48 solar power plants with a total capacity of 2GW.
In September, Masdar announced a plan to buy energy developer Saeta Yield for $1.4bn, adding 745MW of wind and solar generating capacity in Spain and Portugal.
As with the Adnoc/Fertiglobe deal, other big transactions announced last year have been completed this year. Among them is the $1.4bn merger of Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange-listed Al-Yah Satellite Communications Company and Bayanat AI, which was unveiled in December and completed on 1 October.
There were $46.6bn-worth of M&A deals involving a Mena company in the opening half of the year
Not always a done deal
Not all announced deals go through, however. In April, Dubai-based engineering consultant Dar Al-Handasah Shair & Partners Holdings (Sidara) approached London-listed John Wood Group with a takeover offer. By late May it had made a fourth and final offer valuing the Aberdeen-headquartered firm at £1.6bn ($2.1bn). However, in early August Sidara backed out saying “in light of rising geopolitical risks and financial market uncertainty” it no longer intended to make a firm offer.
Even with such setbacks, the UAE has been the most active market for M&A deals in the first half of the year. Of the announced deals involving a Mena target, $9.7bn-worth have been for a UAE firm, according to LSEG. Saudi Arabia is in second place, with $3.1bn of the total.
On a sectoral basis, the financial services industry has accounted for most of the deals involving a Mena target, with $6.3bn of the total. Technology and telecommunications companies accounted for a further $3.2bn, while deals involving materials and industrial companies totalled $2.8bn and energy and power company deals were worth $1.6bn.
According to professional services firm Ernst & Young (EY), the region’s sovereign wealth funds, such as Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia), the UAE’s Mubadala and Saudi Arabia’s PIF, have continued to lead the deal activity in the region, as they push ahead with government-directed efforts to diversify their home economies.
While the likes of Covestro and Terna are European, overall, it is the US that is the main destination for outbound M&A deals, according to EY. However, there have been some major deals announced involving other parts of the world too. In March 2024, Mubadala and Adia joined a consortium that spent $8.3bn to acquire a 60% stake in Chinese shopping mall manager Zhuhai Wanda.
Detailed data is not yet available for third-quarter activity in the Mena region, but the global trends point to a fairly active market. According to LSEG, global completed M&A advisory fees reached $23bn in the first nine months of the year, a 3% increase on the same period of 2023
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Diriyah awards $727m Waldorf Astoria superblock deal17 June 2026

Saudi gigaproject developer Diriyah Company has awarded a SR2.7bn ($727m) contract for the main construction works on the development’s Waldorf Astoria superblock.
The contract was awarded to the joint venture of Hassan Allam Construction Saudi and UCC Saudi, the local branch of Qatar’s Urbacon Holding.
The Waldorf Astoria superblock is a mixed-use development comprising a Waldorf Astoria hotel, Waldorf Astoria-branded residences, commercial and residential facilities, and office space.
The Waldorf Astoria hotel will feature 200 keys, while the residential component will comprise 47 branded residences.
The project is located on the Grand Boulevard South and Northern Arterial Road in the Boulevard Northwestern district at Diriyah Gate 2.
Diriyah Company tendered the contract in November last year, with submissions due in January, as MEED reported.
Diriyah Company Group CEO Jerry Inzerillo said: “We are delighted to announce this latest major construction contract for the Waldorf Astoria superblock as we continue to progress at pace across the Diriyah development area. The Waldorf Astoria will be a world-class addition to our growing portfolio of globally renowned hospitality brands, further strengthening Diriyah’s appeal as a globally significant destination that offers world-class hospitality and lifestyle experiences.
“Together with our partners, we look forward to delivering another landmark development that supports the kingdom’s Vision 2030 ambitions and contributes to the continued growth and success of Diriyah.”
Hassan Allam, chairman and CEO of Hassan Allam Holding, said: “We are proud to support the development of one of the kingdom’s most ambitious and transformative destinations and to continue our partnership with Diriyah Company in bringing its vision to life.
“Drawing on more than 90 years of experience across the Mena region, we remain committed to delivering the highest standards of quality and excellence on landmark projects that are helping shape the kingdom’s future.”
Ramez Al-Khayyat, UCC Holding president and group CEO, said: “Being awarded this contract by Diriyah Company marks another important milestone in our growing partnership and reinforces our shared commitment to delivering world-class developments across the kingdom. This project builds on our ongoing collaboration in Diriyah, including the delivery of four luxury hotels and the Royal Diriyah Equestrian and Polo Club in Wadi Safar.
“We value the opportunity to contribute once again to one of Saudi Arabia’s most ambitious and prestigious urban development destinations, supporting the vision of creating a world-class cultural, hospitality and lifestyle hub.”
The latest award follows Diriyah Company’s award of an estimated SR730m ($195m) construction contract for civic quarter buildings within the Diriyah development to local contractor Al-Rashid Trading & Contracting Company (RTCC).
In April, Diriyah announced a SR1.84bn ($490m) construction contract to build the Saudi Arabia Museum of Contemporary Art (SAMoCA) within the Diriyah development. The contract was awarded to a consortium of Egyptian contractor Hassan Allam Construction Saudi and Saudi Arabia’s Albawani.
In March, Diriyah Company awarded an estimated SR2.5bn ($666m) contract to build the Pendry superblock in the DG2 area.
The Pendry superblock includes the construction of the Pendry Hotel alongside residential and commercial assets. The package will cover 75,365 square metres and is located in the northwestern district of the DG2 area.
The previous month, Diriyah Company also awarded a SR717m ($192m) contract for the construction of the One Hotel, located in the Diriyah Two area of the masterplan, with a gross floor area of more than 31,000 sq m.
The Diriyah masterplan envisages the city as a cultural and lifestyle tourism destination. Located northwest of Riyadh’s city centre, it will cover 14 square kilometres and combine 300 years of history, culture and heritage with hospitality facilities.
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AHS Properties acquires Shangri-La hotel for $300m17 June 2026
Dubai-based real estate developer AHS Properties has announced the acquisition of the Shangri-La hotel for AED1.1bn ($300m), marking one of the largest single-asset real estate transactions in recent years.
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The acquisition expands AHS Properties’ portfolio, which includes AHS Tower, a Grade A commercial development on Sheikh Zayed Road, and AHS City, the company’s master-planned mixed-use community on the same corridor.
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UAE moves to clear the path for recovery17 June 2026
Commentary
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EditorMore than three months after the conflict began to disrupt business across the Gulf, the UAE is moving to resolve the technical challenges that the economy faces as it shifts towards recovery.
The insurance gap has been a key obstacle to the recovery of aviation and tourism. Several countries continue to maintain advisories against travel to the Gulf, making it difficult or impossible for visitors to obtain conventional cover for trips to or through the region. The concern is twofold: one, becoming stranded should hostilities resume, and two, not being able to secure medical insurance. Both Emirates and Etihad have now moved to address that directly, offering insurance to passengers flying to or through their respective home hubs. The Etihad scheme, backed by DCT Abu Dhabi and underwritten by Daman, will run from July to December and covers eligible visitors for up to 15 days.
The second area of concern is real estate. Anecdotally, buyers in sectors economically exposed to the conflict have found it increasingly difficult to obtain mortgage financing, a problem that has become especially acute at the point of handover. The recently signed partnership between Dubai Holding Real Estate and Commercial Bank of Dubai is designed to ease that pressure. The programme opens financing from the 30% construction stage once buyers have met a 50% payment threshold, giving purchasers earlier visibility of their borrowing capacity and reducing uncertainty during the off-plan purchase process.
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Libya signs three oil deals after licensing round17 June 2026
Libya’s National Oil Corporation (NOC) has signed three production-sharing agreements with several international energy companies following the country’s first licensing round in nearly two decades.
The three agreements have been signed with the following consortiums:
- Block O1 – offshore – Eni (Italy; 60%) and QatarEnergy (40%)
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- Block C3 – onshore – Repsol and TPAO
The contracts are three of the five announced as awarded in February this year as part of the 2025 licensing round.
The three contracts were signed on 15 June.
It is not known why the remaining two awarded contracts have not been signed.
The remaining two contracts are:
- Block M1 – onshore – Aiteo (Nigeria)
- Block S4 – onshore – Chevron (US)
Libya is seeking to attract investment and raise oil production capacity to 2 million barrels a day (b/d) from around 1.4 million b/d currently.
The chairman of NOC, Massoud Suleman, said that the agreements reflected growing confidence in Libya’s oil and gas sector and would support exploration, development and production growth.
The 2025 licensing round was Libya’s first licensing round since 2007.
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US–Iran deal sets Hormuz road map17 June 2026
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The US-Iran agreement, declared complete on 14 June, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, lifts the US naval blockade and ends a war that has closed the Gulf’s export artery since 28 February. The strait reopens at Friday’s signing on paper, but the recovery will take months.
US President Donald Trump announced the deal on Truth Social, authorising the "toll-free opening" of the strait and the immediate removal of the blockade, with formal signing set for Geneva on 19 June – with vice-president JD Vance to sign for Washington and parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf for Tehran in the highest-level US-Iran meeting since 1979.
Iran’s deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi confirmed the text was finalised but said Tehran would not implement it until signing, with the strait staying closed in the interim.
Signing versus substance
The signing on 19 June is merely the starting line that will set in motion a partial reopening to traffic alongside a clearance operation to remove the mines laid by Tehran across key sections of the strait.
The memorandum gives Iranian forces 30 days from signing to clear the strait of mines. At the same time, the Pentagon’s estimates appear to suggest that a full minesweeping could take up to six months, even with three dedicated vessels in the region.
Such gaps – here a 30-day treaty obligation against a six-month operational reality – have become the running feature of the bilateral negotiations, which have been framed by mutual distrust and plagued by an absence of granular detail.
The deal is welcome for the region despite its uncertainty. Behind the mines sits a tanker backlog built over more than 100 days, and Gulf producers that throttled back production and need time and assurances to restore flow.
Before the war, roughly 100 ships transited daily; Kpler now projects around 40 a day could sail within the first month, but with an estimated 300 loaded vessels stranded on either side of the strait, and 250 more sitting empty and idle in the Gulf, it is a pressure release valve, not an immediate restoration of flow.
A total restoration of oil and trade flows is unlikely to come into view before the year’s end.
Insurance represents the second brake, with war-risk premiums standing at 1-4% of vessel value per transit, or about $8m for a $200m tanker – against less than 0.1% before the war.
Shipping associations are no less cautious, with the Baltic and International Maritime Council calling for verified mine-free routes before volume traffic resumes.
Insurance underwriters are likewise unlikely to relent on prices until clearance is confirmed.
Conditional relief
Markets have already traded the sentiment, however. Brent settled at $87.33 on 13 June – an eight-week low – and have fallen further as the deal has firmed. As of early morning trading on 16 June, the first full day of trading after the Islamic New Year, Brent was down at $78.
Yet the relief remains highly conditional: a 60-day nuclear negotiation now follows the signing, and a breakdown in either this, passage through the strait or peace in Lebanon could return the strait to crisis.
The US-touted toll-free terminology is also narrower than billed, with the Iranians instead affirming a 60-day grace period for fees but not eliminating the possibility of “fees” for navigation, environmental and insurance services after that point.
The distinction is legal, not rhetorical, with international maritime law barring tolls on passage through natural straits but permitting the imposition of service fees on vessels passing through territorial waters.
It is through this terminology that Iran is now consistently framing its plans to charge fees from passing vessels through the office of its Persian Gulf Strait Authority – established 5 May and since sanctioned by the US Treasury.
For the Gulf, a 60-day waiver that resolves into an Iranian (and possibly joint Omani) fee regime is a pause in Iran’s tollgate economy, not its end – and would represent a strategic concession for the US, the Gulf and the globe.
Levant entanglement
Lebanon is another conditional space that the deal cannot fully escape, with a flare-up on that front being the final potential trigger that could collapse the 60-day agreement.
Iran has explicitly tied a ceasefire in Lebanon to the resolution of transit in the strait, but Israel does not agree with this, and the linkage may have inadvertently handed Tel Aviv the exact tool it needs to disrupt the US–Iran ceasefire – through the simple of continuing a conflict that it already wants to continue.
Within a day of the deal, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said the IDF would stay in southern Lebanon “without any time limit”, with US officials corroborating that Israeli withdrawal was never a condition of a deal.
On the ground, the ceasefire is already looking frail, with post-deal fire straying in both directions and already endangering the regional calm and Hormuz reopening the Gulf is already pricing.
For Gulf producers and shippers, the distinction and in some cases friction between what the deal declares and what it actually delivers remains a cause for uncertainty.
A declaration is easy, but the delivery requires nuclear negotiation, mine-clearance verification, insurance repricing and a 60-day political test before barrels can again move at volume.
Trump, who has been frustrated for months with the slow progress on Iran from a US perspective, is also more than likely to be distracted by other concerns on a timeline shorter than 60 days – risking the political will to peace coming up short.
In the Gulf, whether Saudi Arabia and the UAE send cabinet-level representatives to Geneva on Friday will signal whether the region’s political leaders are willing to wield the political capital necessary to keep the US on track and pursue the ceasefire to fruition.
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