Local firms rise in GCC Power Developer Ranking

24 September 2024

 

Two Saudi Arabia-headquartered firms have joined Acwa Power in the top 10 of MEED’s 2024 GCC Power Developer Ranking.

Aljomaih Energy & Water Company and Ajlan & Bros have entered the list, occupying the sixth and ninth spots, respectively.

The latest developer ranking included a survey of 109 privately owned and financed power generation plants in the six GCC states, including those with attached water desalination facilities. These plants have a collective gross electricity generation capacity of approximately 112,400MW.

These projects include seven solar, two wind and two gas-fired plants, as well as one industrial steam and cogeneration facility, with a total combined gross capacity of 19,635MW, for which contracts were awarded between September 2023 and August 2024.

Of the total capacity awarded during the 12-month period, solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind capacity accounted for 58%, or 11,400MW. Three solar PV contracts with a total capacity of 5,500MW, directly negotiated between Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) and a team led by Riyadh-headquartered Acwa Power, comprised nearly half of the awarded renewable IPP capacity.

These three contracts, along with a fourth for the development and operation of the 3,800MW Taiba 1 and Qassim 1 combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) IPP, helped boost Acwa Power’s dominance over its competitors.

Acwa Power's 35.1% stake in the 2,000MW Haden, the 2,000MW Muwayh and 1,500MW Al-Khushaybi solar PV projects, and its 40% share in Taiba 1 and Qassim 1, increased the company's total net capacity by 3,200MW, up 23% from last year’s 13,340MW. This figure takes into account the dilution of its shares in Rabigh Arabian Water & Electricity Company. As a result of the contracts it won, Acwa Power’s gross capacity also rose by 8,800MW to reach a total of 45,150MW.

Acwa Power has occupied the top spot in MEED’s GCC Power Developer Ranking in terms of net capacity since 2021, but it overtook its main rival, French utility developer and investor Engie, in terms of gross capacity only the following year.

Excluding the capacity of the directly negotiated solar IPP contracts that Acwa Power secured with the PIF in the past
three years does not change the company’s dominant position in the ranking, although it decreases its net and gross capacities by 25% and 24%, respectively.

Contenders

With no new contracts won, Engie still managed to retain second place in the ranking, with a net capacity of close to 8,000MW.

The successful bids of a team comprising Japan’s Marubeni Corporation and Ajlan & Bros for the contracts to develop and operate the 600MW Al-Ghat and 500MW Waad Al-Shamal wind schemes in Saudi Arabia increased Marubeni’s net capacity to 4,257MW, up 555MW compared to the previous year.

As with Engie, Japan’s Mitsui did not win any new contracts but retained its fourth place in the ranking, just above EDF, which climbed two positions to claim this year’s fifth spot and registered a net capacity that nearly doubled to reach 2,047MW.

EDF’s impressive performance accrued from its equities in three contracts: the 1,100MW Hinakiyah solar PV and the 3,960MW Taiba 2 and Qassim 2 CCGT projects in Saudi Arabia, and Abu Dhabi’s 1,500MW Al-Ajban solar PV scheme.

EDF knocked Japanese developer Sumitomo down the ranking; it landed in the seventh spot this year. Saudi Arabia’s Aljomaih Energy & Water Company – which was not part of the top 10 last year – rose past Sumitomo to claim sixth position.

Aljomaih’s 30% shareholding in the Taiba 2 and Qassim 2 IPP increased its net capacity by close to 1,200MW from just 775MW in the previous 12-month period.

Previously ranked sixth, Japan’s Jera fell to eighth place, despite having won the contract to develop the Najim cogeneration plant catering to Saudi Arabia’s Amiral petrochemicals complex, which it secured along with Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa).

Below Jera in the ranking is Ajlan & Bros, which is Marubeni’s partner for the contract to develop the Al-Ghat and Waad Al-Shamal wind IPPs. Ajlan is also understood to have taken a 30% stake in the consortium that won the contract to develop the Taiba 2 and Qassim 2 CCGT project.

China’s Jinko Power rounded out the top 10. It led the team that won the contract to develop the 400MW Tubarjal solar IPP in Saudi Arabia in November last year.

Local developers

The rise of Aljomaih and Ajlan & Bros, which led to South Korea’s Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) and Singapore’s Sembcorp dropping out of the power developer ranking’s top 10 this year, confirms the improving profile of regional utility developers.

The resurgence of gas-fired power generation IPPs – in part due to Saudi Arabia’s liquid fuel displacement programme and the overall demand for baseload to address rising renewable energy capacity – is helping local developers to strengthen their footing.

“The reduced interest from European and Japanese contractors in bidding for gas-fired power generation projects could present an opportunity for local developers and investors,” says a senior executive with an international developer.

“As these firms are less constrained by their 2040-50 net-zero targets, they might focus on efficiency and quick deployment rather than on adhering to decarbonisation timelines, allowing for more flexibility in CCGT projects.”

The fact that only two teams submitted bids for the contracts to develop the next pair of CCGT IPPs in Saudi Arabia supports this observation. Similarly, Qatar’s General Electricity & Water Corporation (Kahramaa) received only one bid from a team led by Sumitomo for the contract to develop the Facility E independent water and power producer (IWPP) project earlier this year.

Conscious of its own net-zero targets, and those of its partners, Abu Dhabi state utility Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) is adopting a slightly different approach for its next CCGT project in Taweelah by announcing that a carbon-capture facility will be installed as part of the project once such solutions become commercially viable.

In addition, the power-purchase agreement (PPA) for Taweelah C is expected to expire by 2049, making it several years shorter than previous PPAs and in line with the UAE's plan to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

So far, the market has responded positively, with nine companies having met Ewec’s prequalification requirements for Taweelah C.

However, the scale and volume of gas and renewable energy projects planned by Saudi Arabia, which has said it could procure up to 20GW of renewable energy capacity annually starting this year, is expected to continue to boost the net capacity of local developers and their less net-zero-constrained counterparts for the foreseeable future.

There is also an expectation that the exclusion of Acwa Power from the latest round of tenders for Saudi Arabia’s National Renewable Energy Programme (NREP) could further open up opportunities for other companies, regardless of their origin and net-zero targets.   

Tariffs

There are mixed expectations in terms of how levelised electricity costs (LCOE) will behave over the next 12 months. Compared to the preceding decade, when unsubsidised renewable energy production costs consistently and sharply declined, tariffs have become less predictable since 2022.

In the region, solar PV tariffs in particular have trended upward since Acwa Power offered to develop the Shuaibah 1 solar IPP scheme for $cents 1.04 a kilowatt-hour (kWh) in 2020-21.

These tariffs have remained highly competitive relative to those seen in other, less renewable energy-intense regions, however, disincentivising some developers that felt they could not compete on price.

The next six to 12 months could prove decisive, according to one industry expert.

“It is possible that the surge in renewable projects could limit the availability of competent engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors. The combination of aggressive national targets and competition for EPC services may drive up prices and slow project timelines,” the Dubai-based executive tells MEED.

“With raw materials and commodity prices trending downward, it's feasible that renewable energy tariffs could remain low in the short term. However, sustained record-low tariffs will also depend on the availability of financing, local regulations and grid integration costs.”

The LCOE trend for gas-fired power generation schemes seems more predictable.

According to the executive, the limited capacity of original equipment manufacturers, particularly for turbines and other key components of CCGT plants, will likely push tariffs up over the next 12 months.

“Limited availability of high-efficiency equipment will increase procurement costs and construction timelines, influencing the overall project cost.”

This extends to CCGTs incorporating carbon capture, where the LCOE will likely increase due to additional capital and operational expenses. “Whether these costs are absorbed through renegotiation or passed on to the state offtaker will depend on the power-purchase agreement structure,” he says.

Brisk pace of IPP awards set to continue

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Jennifer Aguinaldo
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    MEED’s August 2025 report on the Maghreb also includes:

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    Investors in Morocco’s stock market are enjoying a strong bull run. In the first six months of this year, the Moroccan All Shares Index gained 24%, following a 22% rise last year. It hit a record close of 18,690 points in early June this year and, after a brief dip, was growing strongly again in early July, threatening to break through the 19,000-point barrier for the first time.

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    Of the 749 projects currently planned or under way across the Maghreb region, 322 are in Morocco, according to data from MEED Projects

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    According to the latest Unctad World Investment Report, inward FDI into Algeria rose by 18% last year to reach $1.4bn, while in Tunisia it was up 21% to $936m and in Morocco it increased 55% to $1.6bn.

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    More recently, albeit on a far smaller scale, the Saudi Fund for Development signed a $38m loan agreement on 27 June this year to set up the Oasis Hub Project in southern Tunisia, which includes rural housing, infrastructure and agriculture schemes.

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    There was disappointment in Morocco at the turn of events. In the short term, however, economic growth this year is expected to be a healthy 3.9% in Morocco and 3.5% in Algeria – equal to or better than last year, according to IMF data. Mauritania is expected to grow by 4.4%, which is less than in recent years, but still ahead of its neighbours.  

    Tunisia is expected to lag behind, at just 1.4%, as the country’s authoritarian leadership struggles to come up with a viable economic model. A draft of the 2026-30 development plan has been promised before the end of the year by the Ministry of Economy and Planning secretary-general, Faouzi Ghrab. Libya’s outlook depends on domestic political factors that look as far from resolution as ever.

    Morocco, meanwhile, is intent on solidifying its position as a regional industrial and financial hub, with its thriving stock market serving as an important lever. It is still ranked as a frontier market by index company MSCI, but is hoping for promotion to emerging market status.

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    Slow year for Maghreb power and water awards

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    8 July 2025

     

    The Jordanian Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources has extended the deadline to 12 August for the submission of expressions of interest (EoIs) for a contract to build and operate a new 200MW solar plant.

    The solicitation of interest was issued by the ministry in mid-May with an original deadline of July. 

    It is unclear why the deadline has been extended, given the relative conciseness of the required documents. However, it is likely that the interested developers are still forming joint ventures in advance of submitting any EoI.

    The photovoltaic facility’s procurement is unusual in that no specific land allocation has yet been set by the government. Instead, approved applicants will sign an initial memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the ministry, under which they will be requested to identify a suitable site within a designated location in advance of final proposal preparation and submission.

    In parallel, the MoU calls for them to proceed with measurement campaigns, feasibility studies, technical integration plans for connecting to the transmission network, as well as other preparatory and due diligence work, such as negotiating access to land and financing for the proposed project.

    Proposed projects must cover local electricity demand only, with no provision for electricity export.

    The developer or developer group which subsequently submits the lowest proposed tariff will be named the preferred bidder for the independent power plant (IPP) project, which has a concession period of between 20 and 25 years under the build-own-operate (BOO) contractual model.

    Jordan has a total electricity generation installed capacity of about 7.1GW as of 2023, according to data published by the International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena).

    Solar and wind power plants account for over 30 per cent of the total installed capacity, which is one of the highest, if not the highest, renewable energy installed capacities in the Middle East and North Africa region, compared to overall generation capacity.

    Work has been under way to enable the successful integration of renewable power into the electricity grid. 

    According to MEED Projects data, roughly $3.3bn-worth of power projects are under way or planned in Jordan, with generation facilities accounting for 59% of the total.


    MEED’s July 2025 report on Jordan includes:

    > ECONOMY: Jordan economy nears inflection point
    > GAS: Jordan pushes ahead with gas plans 

    > POWER & WATER: Record-breaking year for Jordan’s water sector
    > CONSTRUCTION: PPP schemes to drive Jordan construction
    > DATABANK: Jordan’s economy holds pace, for now

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    Edward James