meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Legacy building at Diriyah

1 August 2024

It is impossible to talk about Saudi Arabia’s history without referencing Diriyah. Founded in 1446 in the Wadi Hanifa valley on the western outskirts of Riyadh, the historic town was the first capital of the Al-Saud dynasty and the launchpad for the kingdom’s unification campaign at the turn of the 20th century. In recognition, its central Turaif district was inscribed as a Unesco World Heritage site in 2010.

Today, the mud-brick settlement, built in the distinctive Najdi architectural style, has lent its name to one of the world’s most ambitious transformative developments. Sensitively conserving and building on its historical importance, it has created a unique cultural, educational, residential and tourism hub in the capital.

With an official budget of some $63bn, Diriyah is one of Saudi Arabia’s five official gigaprojects. It has held this label since early 2023, when responsibility for its development was handed to Diriyah Company, a project company formed as a Public Investment Fund (PIF) subsidiary a year earlier.

Covering an area of 14 square kilometres, Diriyah is targeting a population of 100,000 by its stated completion date of 2030. With more than 40 hotels, nine museums, 400 luxury boutiques, 100-plus restaurants and multiple educational institutions, it hopes to draw in more than 50 million annual visits.

Progress since ground was first broken four years ago has been rapid. As of May 2024, more than SR53bn ($14.1bn)-worth of construction contracts had been awarded. Today, visitors to the area can see hundreds of mobile cranes, plant and piling equipment rising over the boundary wall.

“We are in a good place,” says Mohammed Saad, Diriyah Company’s chief development officer. “We’ve finished our essential underground infrastructure and civil works, the super basement and all the tunnels that connect the basements together.”

But the real work has only just begun. Saad says a further SR30bn-35bn is scheduled to be awarded by the end of 2024, rising to SR40bn-45bn in 2025. By the end of this year, the public can expect to see substantial above-ground construction, particularly on the western side of the gigaproject, providing more tangible evidence of its advancement, which until now has been primarily below ground.

This is not to say that any vertical assets will be particularly tall. Because of the district's traditional low-rise nature, any building must be no higher than the historic structures. It should also emulate the Najdi style. For the same reason, most of the essential infrastructure, utilities and roads are hidden below ground.

Major project scopes

A significant step was made in early July when Diriyah Company awarded an estimated $2bn contract to a joint venture of El-Seif Engineering & Contracting and China State to build the North Cultural District. The deal, the largest let on the gigaproject to date, covers multiple assets, including hotels, the King Salman Foundation Library, King Salman University and the House of Saud Museum.

The work was originally planned as multiple construction packages until Diriyah Company took the commercial decision last year to bundle them into one contract. The decision to adopt super packages was driven by a dynamic market in which contractors have been almost overwhelmed with the volume of tenders from various gigaprojects and where cost inflation is taking hold.

“You will not get the attention of the big contractors if you offer small contracts,” Saad explains. By consolidating projects, contractors can focus their resources more effectively and efficiently and provide more competitive pricing.

“We have a hotel, we have an office building, we have a museum, and when we tendered them as one super package, there was a very solid response and interest from the big players because they could focus their resources and pricing and more efficiently engage their supply chains and subcontractors.”

The approach appears to be working. In late July, another estimated $2bn super package was awarded to a joint venture of local contractor Albawani and Qatar’s Urbacon to construct assets in the Wadi Safar district of the gigaproject. Featuring a mix of residential, residential farm plots, hotels, branded hotel villas, a golf course, an equestrian and polo club, and other leisure and entertainment facilities, including Aman, Chedi, Faena and Six Senses-branded hotels, Wadi Safar is positioned as the most upscale and exclusive development in Riyadh and indeed the kingdom as a whole.

The consolidated contract packages strategy reflects the supercharged nature of the Saudi projects market. With various clients, including the gigaprojects, all competing for a limited amount of contracting, material and labour resources, more innovative procurement strategies need to be adopted.

This is particularly critical for Diriyah and its enormous material requirements. For example, it has previously said that it will ultimately need some 350,000 doors, 1.5 million square metres of tiles, 1.2 million tonnes of rebar and 140,000 HVAC units.

Supply-side obstacles

Despite the progress, the project faces challenges related to contracting, engineering and material supply. The high demand for key materials, coupled with global supply chain disruptions, poses a significant conundrum. However, the delivery team has proactively secured and signed framework agreements with manufacturers to ensure a steady flow of required materials.

Transparent demand signalling is a core component of this. “We’ve analysed our material needs up to 2030 and prepared comprehensive requests for proposals for all key items,” says Saad. “We went out to the manufacturers and the supply chain in general to let them see the pipeline is tangible and secure. We are listening to vendors in order to speed things up and to lock down prices.”

Saad lists specific materials not naturally available in Saudi Arabia, such as finishing stones, as items that may be in short supply, in addition to some specialised MEP equipment that is only manufactured abroad. Overall, he is optimistic about the market’s ability to adapt. “The market will adjust itself,” he states. “Of course, there are challenges, but there are also opportunities for manufacturers to up their game.”

Likewise, contractors are being brought into discussions at earlier stages of contract planning. Diriyah is adopting strategies such as early contractor involvement in the design process to help better understand and manage construction risk. “We’re engaging with contractors and delivery partners as early as the concept design stages to get their feedback on the project’s constructability,” says Saad. “Later, these contractors can be invited to bid for the contract, which makes it easier for them and so they can be aware of any issues.”

Financial constraints

Another increasingly evident challenge is financing. As the gigaprojects programme steps up a gear, there have been growing strains on funding the huge costs associated with it, expenditure which in some cases is considerably higher than when first estimated during the initial master planning stages due to cost inflation and disruptions in the supply chain.

As with the other gigaprojects, Diriyah’s initial work has been fully funded by its PIF parent, but later phases will likely require other financing mechanisms. While some of this will come from the $100m in revenues it expects to make over the next year, the client company has been actively tapping into the capital markets, following in the footsteps of other gigaprojects such as Neom and Red Sea Global, which have concluded sizeable borrowing deals in the past two years.

This includes all options up to and including an initial public offering (IPO). The market consensus is that eventually all the PIF project company subsidiaries will go public when the time is right, and Diriyah is unlikely to be an exception.

For the same reason, the client is also exploring public-private partnerships (PPPs) to enable the private sector to take on some of the financial burden. For instance, City Cool Cooling Company recently won a $186m 25-year build-own-operate (BOO) concession to develop a 72,000-refrigeration-tonne district cooling plant. Future opportunities may include expansion of cooling capacity, other utilities and car parking operations.

“PPPs are a key component of our strategy,” says Saad. They provide a platform for private investors to participate in Diriyah's growth while leveraging the expertise and resources of the public sector. We realise we cannot build 10 million square metres alone. We need the private sector to participate and partner with us and give them an opportunity to be part of this journey.”

Another funding source will be off-plan property sales once its real estate offering comes to market. Based on the development plans, this is expected to be significant. With a mix of some 30,000 villas, apartments and townhouses, the ambition is to attract both local and expatriate residents, if or when the kingdom opens its property market to non-nationals.

Investment pathway

Eventually, third parties will also need to invest in the various real estate elements of the gigaproject. Diriyah Company, as a master developer, is actively seeking to attract other developers, family offices and financial institutions to develop land parcels for mixed-use, residential, hospitality, commercial, education and healthcare assets.

“We are already opening up to investors and meeting developers who are interested in partnering with us or buying land,” notes Saad. “It’s a good problem to have – there’s more interest than we can handle right now, which speaks volumes about the project's attractiveness.”

This is just as well. One criticism of the gigaprojects programme has been the shortfall in both local and international investment to date. A lack of understanding of what the gigaprojects are and will be, demand uncertainty, timeframe ambiguities and general market hesitancy have been identified as the stumbling blocks.

Diriyah is determined to change this situation. It is focusing on increasing public and investor awareness of the potential opportunity through initiatives such as its two-day Bashayer event last November, which showcased the masterplan and construction progress to selected key stakeholders. There has also been a push for greater transparency and publishing more specific details about the overall development to make it stand out from the crowded market.

The giant gigaproject is not being developed in isolation. Experience from successful developments worldwide highlights that connectivity and coordination with other government stakeholders are key. Diriyah is planned to be connected to an extension of Riyadh Metro’s Line 2 and a planned Line 7 linking it with King Khalid International airport and another gigaproject, Qiddiya. In total, four metro stations are planned for the development.

At the same time, talks are under way for Diriyah to be one of the main stations on the planned Q-Express high-speed rail link between the airport and Qiddiya, which will complement the metro network. For those arriving by car, there will be the opportunity to use the three-level, 1 million square-metre underground ‘super basement’ car park, which, with a capacity for 10,500 vehicles, will be the fifth-largest parking facility in the world, and by far the biggest in the region.

As Diriyah’s construction accelerates, it is already starting to define its identity more clearly. Building on the kingdom’s historical roots, it is set to create a new legacy for future generations.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12260371/main.gif
Edward James

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • World Cup 2030 galvanises Morocco construction

    8 July 2025

     

    Morocco’s construction sector is gearing up for billions of dollars in projects as the North African nation continues to award contracts for building infrastructure for the 2030 Fifa World Cup, which it is co-hosting with Spain and Portugal.

    Experience from past tournaments suggests that governments often leverage such events to advance broader economic goals. The World Cup brings fans from around the globe to enjoy a month-long festival of football.

    After the 2022 tournament, Qatar reported that more than 1.4 million fans had visited the country during the event.

    Morocco has made a strong head start in ensuring that the necessary infrastructure is ready for the tournament. According to data from regional project tracker MEED Projects, 2024 was the best year in the past decade for construction and transport contract awards in Morocco, with contracts worth over $3.6bn signed with local construction firms and international companies from South Korea, China, France and Spain.

    So far this year, Morocco has already awarded $1.6bn-worth of contracts and appears to be on track to surpass last year’s figures. Projects worth over $3.5bn are currently in the bidding stage and are expected to be awarded by the end of the year.

    Infrastructure development

    Morocco was effectively confirmed as a host nation for the 2030 Fifa World Cup – alongside Spain and Portugal – in October 2023, after the trio emerged as the sole bidders for the event. The official selection was announced in December of the same year.

    To prepare for the tournament, the Moroccan government quickly drafted plans to upgrade nationwide infrastructure, including airports, roads and the railway network.

    Following the award of multimillion-dollar civil works contracts for the Kenitra-Marrakech high-speed railway network last year, Morocco’s minister of transport and logistics unveiled a MD96bn ($9.5bn) investment plan earlier this year to transform the country’s rail infrastructure by 2030.

    In another major development, the ministry announced in January that Morocco will invest approximately MD42bn ($4.1bn) in airport expansion projects by 2030. The most immediate of these is the construction of a new terminal at the country’s largest airport – Mohammed V International airport in Casablanca – at an estimated cost of MD15bn ($1.6bn).

    In June, 28 local and international firms expressed interest in the contract to build the new terminal.

    The planned expansion will increase the airport’s capacity to 30 million passengers a year.

    Additional investments are planned to modernise other airports – including those in Rabat, Tangier, Marrakesh, Fez, Tetouan and Agadir – in anticipation of increased passenger traffic during the 2030 World Cup.

    Significant funding is also being directed towards improving the country’s road network. In March, Morocco announced plans to invest MD12.5bn ($1.2bn) in highway development projects across the country.

    This announcement followed the award of approximately MD5bn ($540m) in contracts for nine construction packages related to the Rabat-Casablanca continental expressway.

    This project is part of Morocco’s broader plan to upgrade public infrastructure in preparation for co-hosting the World Cup. The programme includes the expansion of over 1,000 kilometres of highways.

    Stadium upgrades

    Morocco began construction on its Grand Stade Hassan II stadium last year, awarding a $35m early works contract to local firm Societe Generale des Travaux du Maroc (SGTM). The stadium, with an estimated capacity of 115,000 seats, will be one of the venues for the 2030 Fifa World Cup.

    In June, the client awarded a further $320m contract for the next phase of construction. The contract went to a joint venture of Travaux Generaux de Construction de Casablanca and SGTM.

    The stadium is being built on a 100-hectare site in the El-Mansouria area of Benslimane Province, 38 kilometres north of Casablanca.

    Several other stadium projects are also in the pipeline for upgrades ahead of the tournament. These include the renovation of six existing stadiums in Agadir, Casablanca, Fez, Marrakech, Rabat and Tangier.

    Additionally, Morocco’s construction sector has a pipeline of over $2bn-worth of projects, with major developments in the hospitality sector. Notable schemes include the St Regis Marrakech Resort, Citadines Bab Hotel in Tangier, Hampton by Hilton Fes Golf and the Mogador Resort.

    With construction and transport projects worth over $17bn currently in the pipeline, Morocco is expected to invest tens of billions of dollars in the near term to ensure the necessary infrastructure is in place for the 2030 Fifa World Cup.

    The scale of the construction programme is set to provide substantial opportunities for contractors in the coming years. The initiative will also require close collaboration between local firms and experienced international contractors willing to participate in the effort.

    MEED’s August 2025 report on the Maghreb also includes:

    > ECONOMY: Maghreb economies battle trading headwinds
    > INDUSTRY: Algeria’s industrial strategy builds momentum
    > POWER & WATER: Slow year for Maghreb power and water awards

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14220755/main.gif
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Diriyah prepares more superblock tenders

    8 July 2025

     

    Saudi gigaproject developer Diriyah Company is preparing to tender more superblock packages this quarter, following the receipt of prequalification statements from interested firms last week.

    MEED understands that notices were issued in mid-June for packages that include the Waldorf Astoria superblock and the Edition superblock, both located in the second phase of the Diriyah Gate development (DG2).

    The Waldorf Astoria superblock is a mixed-use development featuring the Waldorf Astoria Residences & Hotel, commercial and residential facilities and office spaces.

    The Waldorf Astoria Hotel is a 200-key property, whereas Waldorf Astoria Residences will offer over 46 branded residences.

    The project is located along the Grand Boulevard South and the Northern Arterial Road in the Boulevard Northwestern district at DG2. 

    The prequalification statements for this package were submitted on 29 June.

    Prequalification statements for the Edition superblock were submitted on 2 July.

    This package comprises a mix of residential, commercial and office spaces, including the 200-key Edition Hotel and 150-key Equinox Hotel.

    The project is situated between King Khalid Road and the Grand Boulevard within the Boulevard East district in DG2.

    Last week, MEED reported that Diriyah Company had received prequalification statements from firms interested in constructing the upcoming Radisson Red superblock in DG2.

    The Radisson Red superblock comprises a hotel, residential apartments, retail facilities, commercial office spaces and a park.

    The project is situated in the Boulevard East district, between King Khalid Road and the Grand Boulevard in Diriyah.

    Diriyah also tendered a contract in April to build the new iconic museum in the DG2 area. 

    The same month, MEED exclusively reported that the client had awarded an estimated SR4bn ($1.1bn) contract for a utilities relocation package for the King Saud University (KSU) project located in DG2.

    The contract was awarded to the joint venture of Beijing-headquartered China Railway Construction Corporation and China Railway Construction Group Central Plain Construction Company.

    Also in April, MEED reported that the company had awarded an estimated SR5bn ($1.3bn) construction deal to build the Royal Diriyah Opera House.

    The contract was awarded to a joint venture of local firm El-Seif Engineering & Contracting, Beijing-headquartered China State Construction Engineering Corporation and Qatari firm Midmac Contracting.

    Tendering activity is progressing on several other major schemes at Diriyah, including the King Khalid Road project, which passes through the development. The client received bids from firms in the second week of April for the main construction works on this project.

    The client is also expected to finalise the contract award shortly for the Arena Block assets in the Boulevard Southwest section in the DG2 area.

    Diriyah gigaproject

    The Diriyah masterplan envisages the city as a cultural and lifestyle tourism destination. Located northwest of Riyadh’s city centre, it will cover 14 square kilometres and combine 300 years of history, culture and heritage with hospitality facilities.

    The company awarded several significant contracts last year, including three contracts worth over SR21bn ($5.5bn). These included an estimated $2bn contract awarded to a joint venture of El-Seif Engineering & Contracting and China State to build the North Cultural District.

    In July last year, Diriyah also awarded a $2.1bn package to a joint venture of local contractor Albawani and Qatar’s Urbacon to construct assets in the Wadi Safar district of the gigaproject.

    Then in December, Diriyah Company awarded an estimated SR5.8bn ($1.5bn) contract to a joint venture of local firm Nesma & Partners and local branch of Man Enterprise for its Jabal Al-Qurain Avenue cultural district, located in the northern district of the Diriyah Gate project.

    Once complete, Diriyah will have the capacity to accommodate 100,000 residents and visitors.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14219991/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Algeria’s industrial strategy builds momentum

    8 July 2025

     

    Project activity across Algeria’s energy, industrial and manufacturing sectors is steadily building as the country focuses on a vertically integrated strategy that leverages the exploitation of its natural resources.

    The country is making steady progress on projects to extract deposits of gas, lithium, iron and phosphates.

    At the same time, it is progressing projects that use these natural resources to produce high-value products within the country, rather than simply exporting the raw materials.

    The projects utilising raw materials within Algeria include a wide range of iron and steel processing facilities, fertiliser plants and factories to produce cars.

    Upstream gas

    Last month, Algeria awarded five out of the six oil and gas exploration licences it offered during its 2024 bidding round, a move viewed as a success by stakeholders in the country’s energy sector.

    The companies that were awarded blocks included France’s TotalEnergies, state-owned QatarEnergy, Italy’s Eni and PTTEP of Thailand.

    Commenting on the licensing round, one industry source said: “Successfully engaging with large international oil companies that have significant technical and financial resources is a big step forward for Algeria’s oil and gas sector.”

    The latest bid round was the first to be held under Law 13-19, Algeria’s current oil and gas investment law, which was issued on 11 December 2019.

    The 2019 law replaced a previous law created in 2005, which governed the last bid round in 2014.

    During the previous bid round, only four blocks were awarded out of the 31 offered.

    If the 2024 bidding round had been unsuccessful like the 2014 bidding round, this would have been a major setback to the country’s oil and gas strategy and raised significant concerns about the suitability of the 2019 law that governs licensing deals.

    The latest licensing round was followed by meetings between Algeria’s President Abdelmadjid Tebboune and delegations from US-based oil and gas companies ExxonMobil and Chevron.

    Awarding the licences and holding talks with Exxon and Chevron sets the scene for further upstream development projects in Algeria and will potentially boost domestic gas production in the country.

    Successfully engaging with large international oil companies that have significant technical and financial resources is a big step forward for Algeria’s oil and gas sector
    Industry source

    Phosphates push

    Extractive projects in Algeria’s mining sector are also making steady progress.

    One of the biggest mining projects in the country is the Bled El-Hadba phosphate project, which is estimated to be worth $7bn.

    The Bled El-Hadba phosphate mine has over 1.2 billion tonnes of estimated total reserves, including 800 million tonnes of estimated exploitable reserves, making it one of the biggest mines of its kind in the world.

    A joint venture deal to develop the project was signed in March 2022 between four Algerian and Chinese companies.

    The resulting joint-stock company is called Algerian Chinese Fertilisers Company (ACFC) and the project is expected to ultimately produce 5.4 million tonnes of fertilisers a year from the Bled El-Hadba phosphate mine in the eastern Algerian region of Tebessa.

    ACFC was established by the Algerian companies Asmidal and Manadjim El-Djazair (Manal), which own a 56% stake in the company, and the Chinese groups Wuhuan and Tianan, which hold the remaining 44% stake.

    Since the deal was signed, the project has seen good progress.

    Last month, Saipem was awarded the front-end engineering and design (feed) contract related to the project.

    Additionally, the Oued Keberit phosphate production and processing complex, which forms part of the $7bn project and will process phosphates extracted from the mine, is on track to come online in 2027, according to industry sources.

    Iron mining

    Another key mining project in the country is the Gara Djebilet iron ore mine in Algeria’s western Tindouf province.

    The Gara Djebilet mine was commissioned in July 2022, with plans to produce 2 million tonnes a year (t/y) by 2026.

    Officials have said they want to boost this to 50 million tonnes of iron ore annually by 2040.

    It is expected that boosting production at the facility could require between $7bn and $10bn in investment.

    Gara Djebilet is understood to hold the world’s largest iron ore reserves, with an estimated 3.5 billion tonnes at the location, of which around 1.7 billion tonnes are available for exploitation.

    The mine is expected to bolster Algeria’s steel industry by reducing the need for iron imports.

    Car manufacturing

    Low-cost steel is expected to support the country’s expanding automotive sector, which uses steel to produce parts.

    In March 2025, Great Wall Motor, one of China’s top 10 car manufacturers, announced plans to build its first factory in Algeria, joining other companies in the country, including Fiat, Peugeot and Kia.

    Last November, the Algerian Ministry of Industry & Pharmaceutical Production announced that it had granted permits for six new vehicle manufacturing factories in the country.

    In March 2023, the carmaker Stellantis announced plans to spend more than €200m ($213m) to manufacture several Fiat models in Algeria.

    The plans involved the construction of a plant, which is yet to come online.

    Stellantis stated that it anticipates the plant will generate nearly 2,000 local jobs and have an annual production capacity of 90,000 vehicles upon completion.

    Petrochemicals production

    Algeria’s growing automotive industry is also expected to use plastics derived from petrochemicals that are produced in the country using Algerian natural gas as a feedstock.

    UK-based engineering contractor Petrofac and its partner China Huanqiu Contracting & Engineering Corporation (HQCEC) are currently executing a petrochemicals project in Algeria, which is valued at approximately $1.5bn.

    Petrofac and HQCEC signed the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract for the Algerian petrochemicals project in June 2023.

    The project is being developed in the Arzew Industrial Zone to the west of Algiers and the contract was signed with STEP Polymers, a wholly owned subsidiary of Algeria’s state-owned oil and gas company Sonatrach.

    When the contract was signed, Petrofac said that its portion of the project was valued at about $1bn.

    The project’s scope includes designing and building two major integrated processing units.

    It includes the delivery of a new propane dehydrogenation (PDH) unit and polypropylene production unit, as well as associated utilities and infrastructure for the site.

    It is expected to produce 550,000 tonnes of polypropylene a year.

    Additionally, plans are being developed for zinc production projects in the country.

    In November last year, Western Mediterranean Zinc (WMZ), an Algerian-Australian joint venture, signed a $336m contract with Sinosteel Equipment & Engineering Company (Sinosteel MECC) to develop the Tala Hamza zinc project in Algeria’s Bejaia Province.

    WMZ is a joint venture of Australian Securities Exchange (ASX)-listed Terramin, which has a 49% stake, and Algerian state-owned companies Enterprise Nationale des Produits Miniers Non-Ferreux et des Substances Utiles, which owns 48.5%, and Office National de Recherche Geologique et Miniere, which owns 2.5%.

    The project scope included the development of a mine with the capacity to produce two million tonnes a year of zinc and a processing plant with the capacity to process the same volume of material.

    It is expected that the production of zinc will support the country’s battery manufacturing industry, which in turn will support the production of electric cars.

    Fertiliser focus

    The country’s fertiliser sector is expected to expand as phosphate production is ramped up.

    Earlier this month, MEED revealed that Sonatrach was developing a project that will expand the country’s fertiliser plant located in Arzew.

    Sonatrach has not publicly said when it expects to issue the invitation to bid for the main contract for the project.

    The original $2.4bn contract to develop the Arzew fertiliser complex was executed by a joint venture of South Korea’s Daewoo E&C and Japan’s Mitsubishi Corporation.

    The joint venture won the contract in April 2008 and completed the facility in April 2013.

    Steady development

    By making steady progress with an integrated strategy that leverages the exploitation of raw materials to support the production of higher-value exports, Algeria is creating an industrial environment that presents significant opportunities for companies across multiple sectors.

    If the country’s relative political stability continues, more foreign investors will likely become involved in projects within the country, and the country’s project market will continue to expand.

    MEED’s August 2025 report on the Maghreb also includes:

    > ECONOMY: Maghreb economies battle trading headwinds
    > POWER & WATER: Slow year for Maghreb power and water awards

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14209218/main.gif
    Wil Crisp
  • Maghreb economies battle trading headwinds

    8 July 2025

     

    Investors in Morocco’s stock market are enjoying a strong bull run. In the first six months of this year, the Moroccan All Shares Index gained 24%, following a 22% rise last year. It hit a record close of 18,690 points in early June this year and, after a brief dip, was growing strongly again in early July, threatening to break through the 19,000-point barrier for the first time.

    A combination of low interest rates and strong performances from local companies is helping to boost the market. There is also optimism sparked by the country’s role as a co-host of the 2030 football World Cup (alongside Spain and Portugal) and all the infrastructure spending that will flow from that.

    The country’s relative economic strength is also reflected in project activity. Of the 749 projects currently planned or under way across the Maghreb region, 322 are in Morocco, according to data from MEED Projects. The leading sectors are power and water, transport and construction.

    There are, though, reasons for caution. While Morocco’s stock market traders may have been doing well, all the Maghreb economies are facing some tricky international trading conditions, which could become more severe in the coming months and years.

    Of the 749 projects currently planned or under way across the Maghreb region, 322 are in Morocco, according to data from MEED Projects

    Global headwinds

    Weak economic conditions in Europe, the region’s most important trading partner, pose a particular threat. Key markets, such as France, Germany and Italy, are experiencing anaemic growth rates, which could lead to softer demand for the Maghreb region’s exports, as well as weaker tourism and investment flows across the Mediterranean.

    The imposition of tariffs by US President Donald Trump is also having a negative impact. However, the chaotic way in which the policy is being enacted means it is unclear just how much pain the duties might ultimately cause. Algeria, Libya and Tunisia look set to be worst affected, with tariff rates of 28-31% on their exports to the US, compared to 10% for Morocco.

    The region’s direct trade with the US is relatively limited, but if higher tariffs dent global demand, that could have a larger impact on more export-oriented economies such as Morocco and Tunisia.

    Oil market trends are likely to add to the pressure on Algeria and Libya this year, as producers continue to ramp up output. On 5 July, the eight Opec+ countries – which include Algeria, Saudi Arabia and the UAE – agreed to produce an additional 548,000 b/d from August. That will put further downward pressure on oil prices.

    “A sharp drop in activity in emerging markets will be a negative for global oil demand for the rest of 2025 and into 2026,” said Edward Bell, chief economist of the Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD on 7 July. “Just the fear of policy uncertainty will be enough to limit investment.”

    Other issues are also hard for the Maghreb countries to control. For example, the frequent droughts of recent years have dented agricultural activity and exports.

    Among other challenges, most governments are running budget deficits and are struggling to create enough jobs for their growing populations. Unemployment in Morocco remains at around 13%, according to the IMF. It is in double figures in neighbouring countries too, according to the International Labour Organisation; Libya’s unemployment rate is probably nearer 20%.

    Inward FDI into Algeria rose by 18% last year to reach $1.4bn, while in Tunisia it was up 21% to $936m and in Morocco it increased 55% to $1.6bn

    Rising resilience

    The Maghreb region is nevertheless showing signs of resilience, despite the various negative pressures. Inflation has been easing back in most countries in recent years and foreign direct investment (FDI) has been growing strongly.

    According to the latest Unctad World Investment Report, inward FDI into Algeria rose by 18% last year to reach $1.4bn, while in Tunisia it was up 21% to $936m and in Morocco it increased 55% to $1.6bn.

    A few industries are attracting some large investment deals, with Gulf money often to the fore. The UAE, for example, is helping to finance a 7,000-kilometre, $25bn gas pipeline from Nigeria to Morocco. A consortium of the UAE-based Masdar, Egypt’s Infinity and Germany’s Conjuncta is also backing a $34bn green hydrogen project in neighbouring Mauritania.

    More recently, albeit on a far smaller scale, the Saudi Fund for Development signed a $38m loan agreement on 27 June this year to set up the Oasis Hub Project in southern Tunisia, which includes rural housing, infrastructure and agriculture schemes.

    Some big projects have come unstuck, though. A plan by UK-based Xlinks to export power from Morocco to the UK via a 4,000km subsea cable has lost the support of the London government. On 26 June, junior energy minister Michael Shanks told the UK parliament it had decided the project was “not in the UK national interest at this time”.

    There was disappointment in Morocco at the turn of events. In the short term, however, economic growth this year is expected to be a healthy 3.9% in Morocco and 3.5% in Algeria – equal to or better than last year, according to IMF data. Mauritania is expected to grow by 4.4%, which is less than in recent years, but still ahead of its neighbours.  

    Tunisia is expected to lag behind, at just 1.4%, as the country’s authoritarian leadership struggles to come up with a viable economic model. A draft of the 2026-30 development plan has been promised before the end of the year by the Ministry of Economy and Planning secretary-general, Faouzi Ghrab. Libya’s outlook depends on domestic political factors that look as far from resolution as ever.

    Morocco, meanwhile, is intent on solidifying its position as a regional industrial and financial hub, with its thriving stock market serving as an important lever. It is still ranked as a frontier market by index company MSCI, but is hoping for promotion to emerging market status.

    The launch of derivatives trading in May is part of efforts to attract more liquidity and secure that higher ranking. Some simpler reforms might also be useful – MSCI pointed out in a June report that stock market information was not always readily available in English, which hindered its accessibility.

    Yet, if the market continues to grow as rapidly as it has recently, investors are likely to find a way to address such shortcomings.

    Slow year for Maghreb power and water awards

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14219130/main.gif
    Dominic Dudley
  • Developers prepare Jordan solar EoIs

    8 July 2025

     

    The Jordanian Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources has extended the deadline to 12 August for the submission of expressions of interest (EoIs) for a contract to build and operate a new 200MW solar plant.

    The solicitation of interest was issued by the ministry in mid-May with an original deadline of July. 

    It is unclear why the deadline has been extended, given the relative conciseness of the required documents. However, it is likely that the interested developers are still forming joint ventures in advance of submitting any EoI.

    The photovoltaic facility’s procurement is unusual in that no specific land allocation has yet been set by the government. Instead, approved applicants will sign an initial memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the ministry, under which they will be requested to identify a suitable site within a designated location in advance of final proposal preparation and submission.

    In parallel, the MoU calls for them to proceed with measurement campaigns, feasibility studies, technical integration plans for connecting to the transmission network, as well as other preparatory and due diligence work, such as negotiating access to land and financing for the proposed project.

    Proposed projects must cover local electricity demand only, with no provision for electricity export.

    The developer or developer group which subsequently submits the lowest proposed tariff will be named the preferred bidder for the independent power plant (IPP) project, which has a concession period of between 20 and 25 years under the build-own-operate (BOO) contractual model.

    Jordan has a total electricity generation installed capacity of about 7.1GW as of 2023, according to data published by the International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena).

    Solar and wind power plants account for over 30 per cent of the total installed capacity, which is one of the highest, if not the highest, renewable energy installed capacities in the Middle East and North Africa region, compared to overall generation capacity.

    Work has been under way to enable the successful integration of renewable power into the electricity grid. 

    According to MEED Projects data, roughly $3.3bn-worth of power projects are under way or planned in Jordan, with generation facilities accounting for 59% of the total.

    MEED’s July 2025 report on Jordan includes:

    > ECONOMY: Jordan economy nears inflection point
    > GAS: Jordan pushes ahead with gas plans 
    > POWER & WATER: Record-breaking year for Jordan’s water sector
    > CONSTRUCTION: PPP schemes to drive Jordan construction
    > DATABANK: Jordan’s economy holds pace, for now

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/14219682/main.jpeg
    Edward James