meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Kuwaiti banks hunt for growth

15 August 2024

The broader economic backdrop for Kuwaiti lenders is relatively more challenging than for peers in other Gulf states, with the state budget back in deficit territory and oil revenues down 20% in 2023-24.

The Washington-based IMF estimates real economic activity to have fallen by 2.2% in 2023, with the oil sector contracting by 4.3% due to Opec+ production quota cuts.

Even so, Kuwaiti lenders have managed to put in some decent performances, benefitting – like their Gulf peers – from stronger net interest margins (NIMs) that have flowed from the global high interest rates of recent years.

Overall banking sector profits grew at an impressive 28.7% in 2023, according to Kamco Invest Research.

This year, profit performances are unlikely to match such increases. Traditionally the country’s largest bank, National Bank of Kuwait (NBK), for example saw a 6.2% increase in first-half 2024 profits to KD292.4m ($953.6m).

Kuwait Finance House, newly enlarged since its acquisition in February this year of Ahli United Bank (AUB), creating one of the largest Islamic banks globally, reported a 2.3% increase in net income to KD341.2m ($1.12bn) for the same period.

Policy pressure

Higher interest rates have exerted a negative impact on lending in Kuwait; according to the IMF, growth in credit to the non-financial private sector fell in 2023 to only 1.8% as bank lending rates rose in response to gradual policy rate hikes by the Central Bank of Kuwait (CBK), broadly in line with global monetary policy tightening.

However, it added that in light of prudent financial regulation and supervision, banks have maintained strong capital and liquidity buffers, while their profitability has rebounded from pandemic lows, and non-performing loans remain low and well provisioned for.

One challenge facing Kuwaiti lenders is that the domestic market still does not provide sufficient lending opportunities to materially impact their performances. In part, this reflects familiar issues related to Kuwait’s unique political structure.

“Political conflicts involving the parliament and the government delayed the much-needed fiscal and economic reforms, which have put pressure on growth and limit the credit growth potential of the banking sector,” says Gilbert Hobeika, a director at Fitch Ratings.

This has implications for Kuwait’s lenders because if they cannot grow domestically, they will likely look beyond the country’s borders.

Looking beyond Kuwait is designed to create market share and build stronger franchises.

KFH is a case in point. Upon completion of its merger with AUB Kuwait, it is now placed as a rival of NBK in terms of size, giving it the critical mass to enable it to consider expanding into other GCC markets. Market speculation has centred on the potential acquisition of a large stake in Saudi Investment Bank. 

There is also the prospect of another large domestic merger, with Boubyan Bank and Gulf Bank, two Kuwait-listed sharia-compliant lenders, undertaking an initial feasibility study for a potential tie-up. Further consolidation moves could see a conventional lender absorbing an Islamic player or gaining an Islamic subsidiary. All options remain open.

Relative weakness

That focus on inorganic expansion also reflects the weaker profitability seen in Kuwait’s banking sector relative to other GCC banking markets.

There are several reasons for this, says Hobeika. “One is that Kuwait has one of the highest loan loss allowance coverages of stage three loans, meaning that while you could see in the region of 70-120% in the GCC, in Kuwait banks could reach 500% and on average around 250%. This is because the CBK is much more conservative than any other regulator in the region.”

The other point is the pressure on Kuwaiti banks’ NIMs. Different considerations explain why Kuwaiti banks have not benefitted from higher NIMs in the same way as Saudi or UAE banks have.

“The dynamics are really different,” says Hobeika. “One is the pricing cap set by the Central Bank, and then you’ve got the fixed interest rates on retail loans, so they cannot increase their pricing. Then you’ve got a huge amount of murabaha on the Islamic side, which are fixed for long durations.”

In an overbanked economy such as Kuwait, the result is increased competition, with banks bidding to take a piece of a small cake.

That said, the effective supervision of the CBK provides for some additional support for banks.

“They will provide some relief for them to be able to generate efficient operating profit, to support their capital and internal generation of capital. Even if the performance is lower, it’s still sufficient to support internal capital generation,” says Hobeika.

The NIM situation reflects Kuwait’s distinctive policy approach. CBK does not systemically follow the US Federal Reserve’s interest changes, meaning that typically, every two or three changes made by the Fed will be followed by a single change in Kuwait. 

According to an analysis by Kuwait-based research firm Marmore, the approach of skipping interest rate tweaks has meant that while the overall NIM has changed in line with the global policy rate, the magnitude of change has been smaller. For that reason, NIMs might not decline for all Kuwaiti banks in the anticipated forthcoming easing cycle.

Marmore notes that this year, while banks such as NBK expect their NIMs to be stable, other banks have highlighted the difficulty in providing guidance for NIMs given the uncertainty over the timing and magnitude of rate cuts.

And while some Kuwaiti lenders have not gained as much benefit as other Gulf banks from higher interest rates, they may yet feel the positive impact from lower rates, given that retail loans are fixed.

These advantages may seem marginal, but in a global climate where lower interest rates will reduce the capacity to generate easy profits as in past years, they may prove to be welcome for Kuwait’s lenders.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12309760/main.gif
James Gavin

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • UAE monitors desalination plants after oil spill

    3 November 2026

    State utility Etihad Water & Electricity (EtihadWE) says it is monitoring seawater quality at desalination plant intake points following an oil spill off the UAE's northern coast.

    In a statement, the utility said it is continuing to "implement proactive measures to safeguard the water production system" following the spread of an oil slick towards coastal areas in the emirates of Umm Al-Quwain, Ras Al-Khaimah, Ajman and Sharjah.

    The spill involved the tanker Gem No. 2, which was struck by a projectile in UAE territorial waters on 9 October. The resulting oil pollution has raised concerns over potential contamination of seawater used by desalination plants along the northern coast.

    EtihadWE said its measures include continuous monitoring of seawater quality at plant intake points, regular testing of produced and distributed water, and verification of compliance with approved standards before water enters the distribution network.

    The utility added that the precautionary measures will not affect the continuity of water supplies to consumers in the Northern Emirates.

    In an earlier update on 30 October, the Climate Change & Environment Ministry said the oil slick was concentrated off the coast of Umm Al-Quwain, extending partially towards coastal areas in Ras Al-Khaimah, Ajman and Sharjah.

    The ministry said the concentration of pollution had declined significantly and that the leak had been stopped at source. However, surveying, monitoring and clean-up operations are continuing in affected coastal areas.

    The Energy & Infrastructure Ministry said specialised technical teams are continuing work to address technical issues with the tanker, including repairing damaged sections, restoring operational systems and assessing the integrity of its structure.

    The proximity of the oil slick to the Naqa'a desalination plant in Umm Al-Quwain has drawn particular attention. According to media reports, the slick approached to within approximately 2 kilometres of the facility.

    Naqa'a has a production capacity of 150 million imperial gallons a day, equivalent to approximately 682,000 cubic metres a day. The plant supplies water to the Northern Emirates and has been operational since 2022.

    It is owned by Naqa'a Desalination Plant, a special-purpose vehicle established by Mubadala, Acwa and the former Federal Electricity & Water Authority, now known as EtihadWE.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/21104534/main3427.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Oman signs 1GW battery storage agreement

    3 November 2026

    Oman's Nama Holding, a subsidiary of Oman Investment Authority (OIA), has signed a framework agreement with China's State Grid International Development to develop battery energy storage systems (bess) with a targeted capacity of 1GW.

    The agreement covers two battery storage systems, each with a capacity of 500MW, at Duqm Industrial Station and Al-Subaikhi (Ibri Solar 3) Station.

    It is understood that both systems will operate at 400kV and connect to Oman's national electricity transmission grid.

    The deal is part of a package of economic and investment agreements signed by OIA with Chinese institutions and companies during the Oman-China conference on 2 November. OIA put the combined value of the bess projects at approximately RO384.5m ($1bn).

    The agreement comes as Oman advances plans to expand its renewable energy capacity and strengthen the electricity transmission network.

    Nama Power & Water Procurement Company is also procuring a separate 950MW standalone bess programme comprising five facilities in the sultanate, as MEED exclusively reported.

    The wider package of agreements, signed during Sultan Haitham Bin Tariq's state visit to China, covers sectors including renewable energy, mining, logistics, digital transformation and space technology.

    In the wind energy sector, Oman's O-Green and Shanghai Electric Wind Power signed a strategic partnership to establish a joint research and development centre and wind turbine testing facility at the Mawarid turbine factory in Duqm.

    The partnership will focus on adapting turbine technologies to Gulf climate conditions, supporting local manufacturing and developing green ammonia projects in Oman.

    The partnership is valued at RO3.85m-RO7.69m ($10m-$20m). It also identifies potential future contracts exceeding $1bn, alongside green ammonia projects and initial investment commitments in Oman exceeding $200m.

    In solar, OIA signed a preliminary term sheet with Chinese firms PCG Power and Hoymiles for a partnership valued at RO38.45m ($100m).

    The partnership aims to develop solar energy projects in Oman and establish a solar inverter manufacturing facility serving markets in the Middle East and North Africa.

    It is also intended to support the localisation of solar-related industries, expand domestic production and develop export markets.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/21102638/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Consultants bid for Roshn’s north Riyadh scheme

    3 November 2026

     

    Saudi gigaproject developer Roshn Group has received proposals from lead design consultants for its planned flagship development in north Riyadh.

    Consultants submitted proposals on 1 November for detailed design, tender documentation and construction documents for the project’s first plot.

    The planned development covers 13.7 square kilometres and will be a residential-led mixed-use scheme containing retail, office, hospitality, education and civic facilities.

    The consultancy scope for plot one includes infrastructure, utilities, public-realm works and the site adaptation of Roshn’s residential prototypes. It has been divided into two work packages.

    The first package covers phases A, B and E, which cover about 7.8 million square metres (sq m) and will include 17,000 units.

    The second package covers phases C and D, covering about 4.7 million sq m and with more than 15,000 units.

    The site is bordered by the Expo 2030 site, King Abdulaziz Park, the Sports Innovation Lab Zone and National Housing Company’s Khozam development.

    Transport connectivity is a key element of the masterplan. Two metro stations are planned, including a station at the interchange between the existing Line 4 and planned Line 7, and a dedicated Line 7 station. The development could also be served by the planned Qiddiya high-speed rail link and a potential diversion of King Salman Road.

    The scheme will add to Roshn’s existing development pipeline in Riyadh, which includes the multi-phase Sedra community. The developer is expanding its focus from single-family housing to larger mixed-use districts under its Roshn 3.0 strategy.

    Last month, Roshn signed a preliminary agreement with TMG Saudi, the local subsidiary of Egypt’s Talaat Moustafa Group, to establish a joint venture to explore a separate mixed-use project in Riyadh.

    TMG Saudi will hold a 51% stake in the proposed joint venture and Roshn will hold the remaining 49%. The companies said they will undertake detailed masterplanning and prepare a business case for the project, which preliminary studies indicate could include more than 55,000 residential units.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/21101503/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Adnoc awards contract for Ruwais Diyab unconventional gas

    3 November 2026

     

    Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has taken the final investment decision (FID) for the Ruwais Diyab unconventional gas development in Abu Dhabi.

    The project will deliver 345 million standard cubic feet a day (scf/d) of raw gas from 2029 over a 25-year period, with the potential to reach up to 1 billion scf/d in the future.

    Gas will be processed on site and connected to the UAE’s gas network through new pipeline infrastructure, “strengthening domestic supply, supporting the nation’s economic and industrial growth as well as Adnoc’s liquefied natural gas export ambitions”, the Abu Dhabi energy giant said when announcing FID on the project at the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (Adipec) 2026.

    According to sources, Adnoc has awarded the design, build and operate (DBO) contract for the Ruwais Diyab unconventional gas development to China-based Jereh Group.

    A formal kick-off meeting between Adnoc and Jereh is expected to take place later in November, sources told MEED.

    The DBO contract awarded by Adnoc to Jereh is understood to cover the second phase of the Ruwais Diyab unconventional gas development. The tendering exercise for the project started last year.

    “The development [of Ruwais Diyab] follows a disciplined programme of technical studies, field testing and subsurface analysis, delivered by Adnoc Onshore under a DBO model, to reduce development risk,” Adnoc said in its statement on 2 November.

    “It brings together advanced subsurface expertise, artificial intelligence-enabled drilling and completion technologies and integrated project delivery capabilities to support the efficient and responsible development of domestic gas resources,” it added.

    The UAE holds the seventh-largest gas reserves in the world, with 298 trillion standard cubic feet (scf) of conventional gas reserves and 160 trillion scf of unconventional gas resources.

    Adnoc holds the majority 60% stake in the Ruwais Diyab concession, the majority of which is situated onshore, while France’s TotalEnergies holds the other 40% interest.

    The agreement to explore, appraise and develop the area’s unconventional gas resources was signed by Adnoc and TotalEnergies in November 2018. The partners announced first gas output at the concession, presumably on a pilot basis, two years later.

    Adnoc has set a target of producing 1 billion scf/d of gas from the Ruwais Diyab concession by 2030, in line with its target to achieve self-sufficiency in overall gas production by the end of this decade.

    “Ruwais Diyab’s additional unconventional gas supply will strengthen Adnoc’s gas value chain, including Adnoc Gas’s ability to meet rising domestic and international customer demand,” Adnoc said in its 2 November statement.

    “Ruwais Diyab advances Adnoc’s ambition to establish a scalable unconventional gas business and create a platform for future growth,” the company added.

    Ruwais Diyab first phase

    Adnoc awarded the contract for engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) on the first phase of the unconventional gas development programme to local contractor Astra Engineering & Construction in early 2025, according to regional project tracker MEED Projects.

    The first phase aims to achieve a gas output level of 100 million scf/d. The main structures to be built in the first phase include a central processing facility, two well pads, interconnecting well fluid pipelines, gas export pipelines and tie-in stations.

    The EPC contractor will be required to provide services such as surveying, design, engineering, procurement, expediting, transportation, fabrication, construction, testing, installation, pre-commissioning, commissioning, site performance testing, operation and maintenance of all units.

    The duration of the EPC works is understood to be 20 months, with the contractor also responsible for operating and maintaining the phase one facilities for 15 years.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/21100974/main4351.png
    Indrajit Sen
  • Sultan Al-Jaber appeals for global energy security reset

    2 November 2026

    The global energy industry must fundamentally rethink how it builds, protects and delivers secure energy, following a year of unprecedented disruption that has exposed critical vulnerabilities in international supply chains, Sultan Ahmed Al-Jaber, the UAE’s Industry & Advanced Technology Minister and managing director and group CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc Group) has said.

    Delivering the opening address at the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (Adipec) 2026 on 2 November, Al-Jaber said preparedness is essential to navigating an increasingly uncertain global landscape.

    “For decades, energy security was a question for specialists. It was debated in rooms like this, by people like us, in a language that few needed to learn. This year, every family, every farmer, every industry and every business owner is asking about it, and our collective job is to find the answers.”

    Noting that it is not possible to control every situation and remove every risk, Al-Jaber said: “The choices we make today will determine the energy landscape a decade from now. Let’s apply the lessons we have learnt. Let’s build capacity and everything that supports it. Let’s forge partnerships that hold when it matters. And if you want a partner you can count on, you are in the right room, in the right city, in the right country. Because when it counts the most, you can count on the UAE.”

    Setting out the case for a more resilient energy system, Al-Jaber said that since the disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, nearly 1 billion barrels of crude have been drained from inventories. He noted that in some markets, stocks of diesel are at their lowest seasonal level in 35 years, while others are facing a supply gap for liquefied natural gas (LNG) of 600 billion cubic feet. “Simply put, the world has eroded its supply buffers,” Al-Jaber said.

    “But supply is only half the story. The other half is delivery. Before the disruption, logistics were less than 5% of the cost of a barrel. Today, they are more than 30%. In short, energy security is not only measured at the point of production. It is now also measured at the point of delivery.”

    Mitigation steps

    Al-Jaber outlined five steps the energy industry can take to reduce the impact of future shocks. “First, accessible supply. We need expanded strategic storage, larger stockpiles of products and flexible refining capacity closer to consumer markets.

    “Second, routes to market. Supply only counts when it arrives. Infrastructure must be built before it is needed and enabled by advanced logistics.

    “Third, operational intelligence. Moving from automated operations to intelligent energy systems that anticipate risk, optimise performance and drive down the cost of every barrel.

    “Fourth, capital follows confidence. Policy must create it, finance must accelerate it and insurance must keep trade moving.

    “Fifth, which is in my view the most important, is people. Because behind every barrel that arrives is a person who made sure it did. Systems don’t carry responsibility, people do.”

    Photo credit: Adipec via LinkedIn

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/21091189/main2954.jpeg
    Indrajit Sen