Jordan refinery project delay is major setback
20 June 2024
Vital oil and gas projects in Jordan are witnessing little to no progress in the absence of a stable and effective project finance structure required to support the sector’s growth.
Jordan imports more than 90% of its oil, gas and refined product needs and therefore has a strong economic case for developing projects to boost its domestic hydrocarbon infrastructure.
However, despite the government being willing to push through projects deemed essential for reducing reliance on energy imports, the lack of project financing options and inability to attract foreign investments into the energy industry has led to these projects stalling.
Delays to the fourth expansion phase of the Zarqa refinery complex, Jordan’s only oil refining asset, are a prime example of the sluggish environment in Jordan’s oil and gas sector.
Zarqa refinery expansion
Located in Zarqa governorate, roughly 35 kilometres east of the capital Amman, the refinery has a capacity of 60,000 barrels a day (b/d).
The refinery’s first expansion project was completed in 1970, when capacity was boosted to 2,100 tonnes a day. The second expansion was completed in 1973, and the third in 1982, when the refinery’s production was increased to 8,700 tonnes a day.
Jordan Petroleum Refinery Company (JPRC) aims to increase Zarqa’s refining potential by two and a half times to 150,000 b/d. The expansion is also planned to allow the Zarqa refinery to upgrade residual fuel oil into lighter products, in accordance with Euro 5 emission standards, to reduce reliance on imports.
JPRC has been working to double the Zarqa refinery’s production capacity since April 2017, when it signed two separate agreements with the US’ Honeywell UOP and KBR to facilitate the expansion project, but the project has been starting and stopping ever since.
Under the terms of the 2017 agreement, Honeywell UOP was to provide manager licensor services, technology licensing, front-end engineering and design (feed) consultancy services and basic engineering designs, as well as catalysts and process equipment, training and start-up services.
KBR was to license its proprietary slurry-phase hydrocracking technology for the project. KBR’s scope of work increased in November 2017 when it signed another agreement with JPRC for the basic engineering design of a residue hydroprocessor to be installed as part of the expansion.
In October 2017, Spain’s Tecnicas Reunidas was appointed feed consultant for the project. Feed work resumed in July 2018 after a temporary suspension, with KBR selected as the new process technology licensor. France-based Technip Energies is the project management consultant.
Prevailing situation
The situation around the Zarqa refinery’s fourth expansion turned positive last May when JPRC was reported to have selected contractors to execute engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on the project.
JPRC’s CEO, Abdul Karim Al-Alawin, told Jordan’s Arabic-language newspaper Alghad that the state-owned refiner had awarded the project’s main contract, but stopped short of revealing the winner.
MEED learned through sources that JPRC had selected a consortium of Italian contractor Tecnimont and China’s Sinopec Engineering to execute EPC works on the expansion project.
According to the sources, JPRC issued a notification in “early May” to all bidders competing for the project, informing them of the selection of Tecnimont/Sinopec Engineering for the project’s main contract.
However, the official EPC contract is yet to be awarded as JPRC continues to secure funding from international credit agencies and other lenders for the project, which is estimated to cost $2.64bn, according to Al-Alawin.
“There is no definite date for this. We are still in the negotiation process for funding. We cannot decide when these negotiations are completed,” the CEO told Alghad. As per the latest information gathered by MEED Projects, Tecnimont has pulled out of the project due to its uncertain future.
As one of Jordan’s most significant and vital projects, the Zarqa refinery is a bellwether for the health of the kingdom’s overall oil and gas sector – and based on how hamstrung this project has become, the prognosis is not good.
Exclusive from Meed
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15 October 2024
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Group expects robust steel demand in 2024
14 October 2024
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Acwa Power taps artificial intelligence
14 October 2024
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14 October 2024
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Algeria allocates $3bn for desalination plants
15 October 2024
The Algerian Energy Company (AEC) said the state plans to invest $3bn in the second phase of its ambitious water desalination capacity expansion, with six new plants planned by 2030.
According to a local media report citing AEC chief executive Lotfi Zennadi, the initiative is part of a $5.4bn project to bolster Algeria's ability to "provide drinking water as it faces increasing climate-related challenges".
The second-phase projects will follow the commissioning of five new desalination plants in 2024 as part of the $2.4bn first phase of the initiative.
MEED reported in March this year that Algeria plans to procure new seawater desalination plants between 2025 and 2030.
The plan covers building two desalination plants in Tizi Ouzou and one each in Tlemcen, Mostaganem, Tizi Ouzou Chlef, Jijel and Skikda, Algeria's Hydraulics Minister, Taha Derbal, said at the time.
Five seawater desalination stations are under construction in Oran, Tipasa, Boumerdes, Bejaia and El-Tarf. They are expected to be completed this year.
The new plants will raise the amount of drinking water the country can produce from the Mediterranean from 2.2 million cubic metres a day (cm/d) to 3.7 million cm/d.
Together, the 11 seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) plants, each capable of producing up to 300,000 m3/day of drinking water, will increase Algeria's desalination capacity to 5.8 million cm/d, providing 60% of the country's drinking water by the end of the decade.
In February 2023, Riyadh-based water utility developer Wetico won two contracts to develop the El-Tarf and Bejaia seawater desalination plants in Algeria. Each will have a production capacity of 300,000 cubic metres a day.
Societe Algerienne de Realisation de Projects Industriels (Sarpi) awarded the contract for the El-Tarf desalination plant.
Entreprise Nationale de Canalisations (Enac) is the client for the Bejaia facility.
The projects are part of the Algeria Desalination Programme, which is being led by the state-backed Sonatrach Group.
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Abu Dhabi receives bids for Al-Khazna solar IPP
15 October 2024
Abu Dhabi state utility Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) has received proposals from companies for a contract to develop the emirate's fourth utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) project.
The Al-Khazna solar independent power producer (IPP) project, also known as PV4, will have an installed capacity of 1,500MW.
According to industry sources, utility developers including a team of China's Jinko Power and Japan's Jera, and another team led by France's EDF Renewables, submitted bids for the contract. It is unclear if Engie, also of France, submitted a proposal for the contract.
MEED understands Ewec has yet to open the bids it received on 14 October.
The solar IPP project will be located in Khazna, between Abu Dhabi and Al-Ain, and is expected to be commercially operational by 2027.
Ewec requested proposals for the contract to develop and operate the solar IPP scheme in April and initially set the end of August as the last day for bidders to submit their proposals.
The state utility prequalified nine companies and consortiums as managing members and another 10 that can bid as consortium members.
Parties or companies prequalified as managing members are free to bid individually or as part of a consortium. These include:
- Acwa Power (Saudi Arabia)
- EDF Renewables (France)
- International Power (Engie, France)
- Jera Company (Japan)
- Jinko Power (China)
- Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kowepo, South Korea)
- Marubeni Corporation (Japan)
- Sumitomo Corporation (Japan)
- TotalEnergies Renewables (France)
The following companies can bid as part of a consortium with a managing member:
- Al-Jomaih Energy & Water (Jenwa, Saudi Arabia)
- Avaada Energy (India)
- Buhur for Investment Company (Saudi Arabia)
- China Machinery Engineering Corporation (China)
- China Power Engineering Consulting Group International Engineering Corporation (CPECC, China)
- Kalyon Enerji Yatrimlari (Turkiye)
- Korea Western Power Company (Kowepo, South Korea)
- Orascom Construction (Egypt)
- PowerChina International Group
- Spic Huanghe Hydropower Development (Spic, China)
A transaction advisory team comprising UK-headquartered Ashurst and Alderbrook Finance and Norwegian engineering services firm DNV is advising Ewec on the 1,500MW Al-Khazna IPP scheme.
Solar energy is integral to achieving Abu Dhabi's target of producing nearly 50% of its electricity from renewable and clean energy sources by 2030.
In April, Ewec awarded the contract to develop PV3, the 1,500MW Al-Ajban solar IPP, to a team led by EDF Renewables and including South Korea’s Korea Western Power Company (Kowepo).
A team of Japan's Marubeni and Jinko Power won the contract to develop and operate Abu Dhabi's first utility-scale solar PV project in 2016 in Sweihan, the 934MW Noor Abu Dhabi IPP.
In 2020, a team comprising EDF Renewables and Jinko Power won the contract to develop the 1,500MW Al-Dhafra solar PV, which was inaugurated last year.
Like the first three schemes, the Khazna solar PV project will involve the development, financing, construction, operation, maintenance and ownership of the plant and associated infrastructure.
The successful developer or developer consortium will own up to 40% of the entity, while the Abu Dhabi government will retain the remaining equity.
The developer will enter into a long-term power-purchase agreement with Ewec.
Once fully operational, the Khazna solar PV, along with Noor Abu Dhabi, the Al-Dhafra solar PV and Al-Ajban solar PV, will raise Ewec's total installed solar PV capacity to 5.5GW and collectively reduce CO2 emissions by more than 8.2 million metric tonnes a year by 2027.
On 1 October, Ewec issued the expressions of interest notice for a contract to develop the emirate's fifth solar PV in Al-Zarraf.
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Group expects robust steel demand in 2024
14 October 2024
Middle East steel demand is forecast to grow by 4.9% in 2024 to 56.9 million tonnes on the back of strong economic and projects market growth, according to the World Steel Association.
Speaking at the 17th Arab Steel Summit in Doha on 14 October, Adam Szewczyk, data management head at the World Steel Association, said that the demand growth for finished steel anticipated this year comes on the back of a 4.2% year-on-year rise between 2022 and 2023.
The trend will continue into 2025 where demand is expected to increase by 3.3% to 58.7 million tonnes.
Growth in the region far outpaces other parts of the world, which as a whole is projected to see a decline in demand of 0.9% to 1,751 million tonnes this year and growth of only 1.2% in 2025.
This forecast is attributed to the fall in real estate demand and a sluggish economic performance in China, the largest global market, which continues to impact the market. Higher energy costs and geo-political issues in Europe are also major factors affecting output.
Overall, the Middle East is one of only four regions globally to exhibit demand growth in 2024 alongside India, other developing Asian economies – excluding China – and sub-Saharan Africa.
Specifically, finished steel demand in the GCC is forecast at 6.2% this year to reach 24.2 million tonnes and 4.1% in 2025.
On a country level, Saudi Arabia is exhibiting the strongest growth of the region’s major economies with demand growth of 7% to reach 12.1 million tonnes projected in 2024, rebounding strongly from a fall of 6% in 2023 when the Gaza war, the Red Sea crisis, and weaker global demand deeply impacted the local market’s performance.
It is a similar story in North Africa, which following a decline of 5.3% in 2023, is expected to surge 6.5% to 18.6 million tonnes this year and 5.3% the next on the back in part of a weaker Egyptian pound helping boost exports.
MEED data suggests GCC 2025 steel demand could well exceed current forecasts.
A doubling of annual contract awards to a record $236bn in 2023 is likely to have a major positive impact on steel demand in 2025 and 2026 as this increase in spending flows through into the market over time.
Projects cashflow in the GCC will hit $177bn in 2024 and $250bn in 2025 according to MEED Projects, up from $110bn and $127bn in 2022 and 2023 respectively. Given that the majority of all steel products output in the region is utilised on construction and energy projects, the rapid ramp-up in capital expenditure by extension is likely to result in an equally significant jump in steel demand.
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Acwa Power taps artificial intelligence
14 October 2024
Riyadh-headquartered utility and green hydrogen developer and investor Acwa Power has topped MEED’s annual power and water developer ranking over the past few years.
The company’s portfolio, which it values at approximately $94bn, includes 49 thermal and renewable energy power plants and about a dozen water desalination plants.
These assets can generate 65GW of power and 8 million cubic metres a day of desalinated water.
Acwa Power continues to bid and win new contracts at home and abroad under Marco Arcelli, who was appointed as the firm’s chief executive shortly after Paddy Padmanathan, the firm’s CEO for 18 years, stepped down in March last year.
The company has tapped artificial intelligence (AI) and the stacks of technologies behind it to enable its future strategy, notes Thomas Altmann, the company’s executive vice-president for innovation and new technology.
“At Acwa Power, we are not talking about AI, we are doing it,” says Altmann, who cites that the company has developed an in-house algorithm to enable an augmented AI or human-in-the-loop (HITL) AI application.
Through this application, a plant operator may receive data or advice from an AI-enabled module that can trigger a response after the data is validated through the operator’s experience.
“We are focusing on human-in-the-loop, under the umbrella of collective intelligence … this in-house artificial neural network (ANN) algorithm has so far contributed to about 12% cost reduction of chemical dosing in one of our water desalination plants, which encourages us to industrialise this technology and implement it in selected plants,” explains Altmann.
“I think generally that AI is not stoppable; we’re not using it as a buzzword; we are focusing very much on use cases that make sense and create bottom-line impact.”
Analytics and machine learning
Acwa Power has been at the forefront of innovations not just in operating its plants but in winning tenders by proposing the use of new technologies.
“Over the past decade, we managed to reduce power consumption in our desalination plants by over 80%,” notes Altmann.
“I recall in 2005 when Acwa Power submitted the first bid, most of the desalination plants that were built during that period were based on thermal water desalination technologies such as MSF.”
However, things changed when Saudi Arabia tendered the Shuqaiq 2 independent water and power project (IWPP), which, for the first time, did not prescribe a specific technology for the project’s desalination unit.
There are a lot of things that typically are not discussed, like having to write new procedures to distinguish tasks that can be done by robots, algorithms and humans
“This allowed Acwa Power to innovate and deploy for the first time a membrane-based desalination technology at scale in Saudi Arabia. We were the only consortium that offered to build a 100% reverse osmosis plant in combination with a power plant (IWPP). Our bid was successful by offering 17% to 19% lower tariff due to significantly lower energy consumption compared to an MSF plant,” Altmann said.
Several years later, with the Rabigh 3 independent water project, the offtaker specified a drastically reduced energy consumption. Altmann said they “had to press the reset button, turn every stone and create a paradigm shift in RO design to meet these requirements”.
At this point, Acwa Power has used the so-called Typical Meteorological Year (TMY) methodology for renewable energy to predict future power generation in solar plants.
Altmann subsequently introduced a similar Typical Seawater Year (TSY) methodology, which used the previous five years’ worth of seawater data, used big data analytics to understand seawater resources, and designed their plant according to this result.
“This contributed significantly to our successful bid because we used real data rather than assumed data based on the request for proposals and implemented several design improvements, which resulted in the lowest ever specific energy consumption for RO in the region,” the executive noted.
Altmann says Acwa Power also introduced the so-called pressure centre in an RO plant in Saudi Arabia, where a high-pressure pump in a desalination plant is not necessarily linked to one reverse osmosis (RO) train. Instead, a pipe connects the pump and the racks, and each pipe can fit any rack. This allows fewer and larger pumps to be used and improves efficiency.
“Rabigh 3 was a breakthrough, and we continued to further optimise the process, and the results were applied, for example, in Taweelah in Abu Dhabi and Jubail 3A in Saudi Arabia.
“We added a solar component to the Taweelah IWP as an innovation and we continued to fine-tune and optimise as we move forward.”
Altmann also says they were the first to introduce machine learning to reduce chemical costs and predict the optimal time for membrane cleaning in RO desalination plants in the region.
The goal is to continue innovating into the future, says Altmann, citing their research and development (R&D) centres in leading universities across the GCC, in particular at the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology in Saudi Arabia, where they operate centres of excellence focusing on water, solar, hydrogen and AI.
AI and the future of utility jobs
While a fully autonomous water desalination plant may still be a few years away depending on how fast AI technologies develop, Altmann acknowledges that future plants will have fewer people on the floor.
This does not necessarily mean large-scale staff displacement since “we keep winning new plants, and we can reassign and retrain or reskill our staff.”
“As some jobs disappear, new jobs will be created,” adds Altmann. “There are many opportunities to utilise experienced people.”
The executive, however, cautions that AI deployment in a company is not just a matter of installing software codes.
It requires a change in culture and processes, particularly in HR, where one has to move away from thinking of employees’ positions or jobs but rather their tasks.
“One needs to distinguish which tasks require a lot of data, and involve routines, and which can be done by an algorithm, versus tasks involving creativity, human interaction or validation against ethical standards or privacy compliance and so on.”
“There are a lot of things that typically are not discussed, like having to write new procedures to distinguish tasks that robots, algorithms and humans can do,” he continues.
The executive also cites the paramount importance of the quality of data and the AI readiness of the Internet of Things (IoT) system to enable AI applications.
“The most important thing, besides ethics and privacy, from a technical perspective, is data. If you want a high-quality prediction or an advisory module, you need to put most of your effort into the data first.
“Utilising an algorithm … that’s the easy part, the difficult one is to get clean data, eliminate bias, noise and spurious correlations and consider differential shifts in the training of data since AI works differently to a human brain. AI doesn’t have an intuition or awareness to sense biases and is susceptible to providing wrong predictions,” explains Altmann.
Renewable-powered desalination plants
Altmann argues that if green hydrogen can be produced using 100% renewable energy, the same can be applied to water production.
Acwa Power built a 20MW solar PV to complement the grid-sourced electricity supply for the Taweelah IWP in Abu Dhabi because, according to Altmann, the RFP did not disallow it.
They are looking at doing more of these projects where it makes sense from a sustainability and efficiency point of view.
“The (Taweelah) RFP did not disallow the installation of a solar PV, and there was an available space, so we went ahead to build an on-site solar PV farm, which allowed us to reduce more expensive energy import from the grid.”
Altmann asserts that desalinated water can have a zero-carbon footprint by building captive water desalination plants or sourcing clean energy from the grid.
However, moving to a 100% renewable source will increase the complexity of building desalination plants.
“There’s a difference from a technical perspective if you take power from the grid, which has certain stability and inertia and is often linked to power plants.
“You will need to redesign the desalination plants differently, with a different operation strategy and different motors, and to deploy long-duration energy storage due to intermittency of renewable energy,” he concludes.
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Qiddiya to tender utility EPC contracts
14 October 2024
Qiddiya Investment Company (QIC) is tendering the Qiddiya entertainment city’s utility packages individually, according to sources close to the project.
“One of the packages is in the prequalification phase,” one source said.
QIC previously tendered the multi-utility package using a public-private partnership (PPP) model. That package included power generation, water desalination, sewage treatment and water transmission networks.
QIC received two bids for the PPP contract in June 2020. Saudi-based utilities developers Acwa Power and Alfanar Company submitted bids for the PPP project.
That plan has since been cancelled, and the project’s various components have been tendered using an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract model.
The EPC contract for the project’s sewage treatment plant (STP) project is understood to be in the prequalification phase.
The infrastructure package will cater to Saudi Arabia’s 360-square-kilometre Qiddiya entertainment city.
Under the previous PPP plant, the solar power plant for the project was expected to have a design capacity of 300MW.
The Qiddiya development is one of four major projects being developed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF). Two other developments, the Red Sea and Amaala, have each awarded multi-utility packages using a PPP model.
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