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Iraq steps up post-war revival

13 May 2024

Latest news from Iraq’s construction and transport sectors:

> Iraq taps international consultant for Europe road
> Iraq to award metro projects by May
> Countries sign Iraq to Europe road agreement
> AD Ports signs agreement with Iraqi ports operator
> Iraq remains tough to sell
> Iraq approves new airport and steel plant projects
> Iraq confirms consultants for metro schemes

 

Recent signs of infrastructure project progress in Iraq have generated a renewed sense of optimism that certain major schemes may finally move ahead under the country’s post-war building initiatives.

Contract awards in Iraq’s construction and transport projects market reached $5bn in 2023, the highest value in the sector since 2012 and well above the average of $2.9bn over the past decade. The 2023 awards value was also a much-needed rebound from the disappointing value of just $1.4bn-worth of awards in the sector in 2022.

The sector has more generally been headed on a clear upward path, with awards averaging $3.4bn a year in the past five years (2019-23) compared to $2.4bn a year in the five years prior to that (2014-18).

Benefitting from higher oil prices and a period of relatively stable governance, Baghdad has shifted its focus to reconstructing and modernising Iraq’s deteriorating infrastructure.

The positive sentiment in the sector has been particularly buoyed by the robust 2023 budget, which outlined plans for substantial investments into transport, social infrastructure and housing initiatives.

Key infrastructure priorities for the country include advancing transport plans to capitalise on the expanding Al-Faw Port, including through the delivery of a north-to-south high-speed rail system—a proposal that has been under discussion for more than two decades.

Transport

As part of its 2023 budget, Baghdad approved 16 new projects, with an estimated value of nearly $17bn, for the development and construction of roads, bridges and overpasses in the capital. 

The schemes are part of the first package of the master plan revealed in December that included 150 projects intended to modernise and expand infrastructure, address congestion, and improve access and security in central Baghdad and inside the Green Zone.

One of the first contracts to be awarded was the $55m contract to build the Al Zafaraniyah Bridge project, which the Ministry of Construction & Housing awarded to Lebanese contractor Setraco in August 2023.

In a strong positive sign for market activity, Iraq floated tender notices in February 2024 for a combined $4bn-worth of contracts to develop the Baghdad and Najaf-Karbala metro projects on a design, build, operate, maintain, finance and transfer basis.

In April 2024, the country further advanced its infrastructure plans by signing a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with Turkiye, Qatar and the UAE to establish a framework for implementing a 1,200km-long Development Road project from Al-Faw Port to Turkiye.

While previous false starts on ambitious transport schemes such as these have eroded investor confidence in the country, there appears to be some hope that Iraq may have reached a tipping point leading to the most recent revival of projects.

One smaller, but still strategically important, transport scheme in the works is the $200m project to rehabilitate and expand Baghdad International airport, which is due to be awarded in 2025. In February, Baghdad also approved the construction of the $800m Diwaniyah International airport.

As the $5.8bn Al-Faw Grand Port masterplan – one of Iraq’s most significant ongoing projects – nears completion in 2025 after a decade of delays, it is also especially critical that new projects proceed to market.

Housing initiatives

Despite past efforts to boost supply, the housing shortfall in Iraq remains critical, with three million homes needed urgently and presenting a supply gap that is increasingly problematic for the government.

Between 2016 and 2020, Iraq reported 971 reconstruction projects, of which 718 were completed. 

Most recently, Iraq broke ground on the estimated $2bn Al-Jawahiri residential city project in Abu Ghraib, west of Baghdad. It selected East China Engineering Science & Technology Company and China National Chemical Engineering Company, in collaboration with the local Shams Al Binaa, as the main contractors for the project.

The Jawahiri project is part of a programme to construct five cities across Iraq, including Babil, Karbala, Nineveh and Anbar, to fill the country's housing shortages. 

Continuing the Iraq Housing Programme, which aims to build 3 million residential units in the form of low-rise buildings and townhouses nationwide, also remains pivotal for driving future construction activity.

Projects pipeline

Iraq has a total of around $86bn-worth of project work in planning and pre-execution across its construction and transport sectors. This is split roughly evenly between the sectors, at $43bn each.

It is hard to estimate how much of this value consists of work that will likely go ahead soon. Much of the value is still at an early stage, though $30bn-worth of construction projects and $41bn-worth of projects in the transport sector have on paper proceeded past study.

The immediate outlook for transport projects seems optimistic as the government continues to focus on economic revitalisation through expansive infrastructure initiatives.

These projects hold the potential to attract investors, stimulate local employment opportunities and generate significant revenues. The specific allocation of funds for vital metro and airport projects will also likely boost investor confidence.

There nevertheless remains a pressing need for major investments across other project sectors, including energy, utilities, construction and transport, to fully address infrastructural requirements and spur economic growth.

MEED's June 2024 market focus on Iraq also includes:

> Al Sudani struggles to maintain Iraq’s political stability
> Iraq economic revival faces headwinds
> Iraq electricity sector makes slow progress

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Yasir Iqbal

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    After initial concerns that the market would experience a sharp downturn and project cancellations following the onset of conflict in the region, regional president McGrail says WSP has yet to see a single major contract cancelled across its regional portfolio.

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    Under the surface

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    “None of the projects we are currently involved in have been put on hold or suspended,” he says. “It is more re-evaluation. Some of that is investor sentiment, but some of it is materials and logistics as well, which people do not necessarily consider.”

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    “Requests for proposals have not slowed down across any of our disciplines or business units,” he says. “We are definitely seeing an uptick in infrastructure.”

    Infrastructure pivot

    That focus points to where McGrail expects the next few years of growth to come from. Rail sits at the centre of the UAE story, alongside road upgrades and other major developments in Abu Dhabi. In Dubai, the clearest signal of intent is the expansion of Al-Maktoum International airport.

    “Al-Maktoum is a really good indicator of the future direction of travel,” he says. “That is not a project that is slowing down. There has been a commitment to Emirates that it will move there, and it is still progressing.”

    The scale of the airport – and the challenge of relocating an airline the size of Emirates in one move – raises the question of how it will be funded. Here, McGrail returns to the theme of stability and to the mechanism that underpins it.

    “One of the beauties of this region is the ability of government to step in,” he says. “They can fund it. If the private sector does start to suffer, that is the backstop. They push money into infrastructure – roads, rail, airports – which keeps our industry moving.”

    Saudi reset

    In Saudi Arabia, the recalibration story predates the conflict, and McGrail says the change should be read as a strength rather than a retreat.

    “I am positive,” he says. “When the reprioritisation started at the beginning of 2025, having lived through the global financial crisis here, I saw the decision to stop, re-evaluate and reprioritise expenditure as a positive. When Vision 2030 was set, Saudi Arabia had not won Expo or the World Cup, so the reprioritisation was the right thing to do. Saudi Arabia will come out of it stronger. Short-term pain, long-term gain.”

    The nature of the work is shifting with the budget. McGrail sees the kingdom moving towards a model long familiar in the UAE, in which core infrastructure and a handful of landmark buildings are delivered first, before surrounding plots are carved up and sold on.

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    That approach is increasingly tied to public-private partnerships (PPPs), although McGrail is measured on how far the model will stretch.

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    The $3bn Taweelah C combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) project has been the UAE power sector’s standout contract award this year, accounting for the majority of the $4.17bn in awards as of early September.

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    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

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    > COMMENT: Saudi projects hold steady
    > GOVERNMENT: Riyadh looks to reset its regional defence outlook
    > ECONOMY: Conflict bolsters case for Saudi economic diversification
    > BANKING: Saudi lenders readjust to lower lending and deposit climate
    > UPSTREAM: Aramco upstream spending gathers pace
    > DOWNSTREAM: Sabic steps up Saudi petchems investment
    > POWER: Saudi Arabia’s power award activity slows
    > WATER: Saudi water sector hits sharp slowdown
    > CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction defies the headwinds
    > TRANSPORT: Saudi infrastructure pushes forward amid conflict
    > DATABANK: Saudi data indicates project spending shift

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    The Public Investment Fund, Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth vehicle, launched Expo 2030 Riyadh Company – a wholly owned subsidiary – in June 2025 to build and operate facilities for Expo 2030.

    MEED’s October 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:

    > COMMENT: Saudi projects hold steady
    > GOVERNMENT: Riyadh looks to reset its regional defence outlook
    > ECONOMY: Conflict bolsters case for Saudi economic diversification
    > BANKING: Saudi lenders readjust to lower lending and deposit climate
    > UPSTREAM: Aramco upstream spending gathers pace
    > DOWNSTREAM: Sabic steps up Saudi petchems investment
    > POWER: Saudi Arabia’s power award activity slows
    > WATER: Saudi water sector hits sharp slowdown
    > CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction defies the headwinds
    > TRANSPORT: Saudi infrastructure pushes forward amid conflict
    > DATABANK: Saudi data indicates project spending shift

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/20580855/main.jpeg
    Yasir Iqbal