Hail and Ghasha galvanises UAE upstream market

12 October 2023

This package on the UAE’s upstream sector also includes: 

> Adnoc seeks commercial bids for Upper Zakum
> Adnoc Onshore awards Sahil field upgrade contract
> Dubai-owned Dragon Oil to boost production in Egypt and Iraq

> Oil and gas players at Adipec strive for net-zero goals
> Adnoc awards $17bn EPC contracts for Hail and Ghasha
> Dana Gas makes changes to leadership


 

The UAE has made a giant leap towards becoming self-sufficient in natural gas production with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company's (Adnoc's) final investment decision on the Hail and Ghasha offshore sour gas project.

Adnoc and its partners in the Ghasha concession awarded contracts worth $16.94bn in early October for engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works on the Hail and Ghasha project.

The investment represents the largest-ever capital expenditure (capex) on an oil and gas project in the UAE. As such, it will have a galvanising, trickle-down effect on the UAE oil and gas supply chain.

Hail and Ghasha programme

The Hail and Ghasha fields are part of Abu Dhabi’s Ghasha concession, which is expected to produce more than 1.5 billion cubic feet a day (cf/d) of gas before the end of this decade.

Adnoc holds the majority 55 per cent stake in the Ghasha concession. The other stakeholders are Italian energy major Eni with 25 per cent, Germany’s Wintershall Dea with 10 per cent, and Austria’s OMV and Russia’s Lukoil, each with 5 per cent.

A consortium of Abu Dhabi’s National Petroleum Construction Company (NPCC) and Italian contractor Saipem was awarded the project's offshore engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) package. Its value is $8.2bn, with Saipem declaring its share to be worth $4.1bn.

The scope of work broadly involves the EPC of offshore facilities, including facilities on artificial islands and subsea pipelines.

Italy-headquartered Tecnimont was awarded the onshore EPC contract. The $8.74bn contract relates to the EPC of onshore facilities, including carbon dioxide (CO2) and sulphur recovery and handling.

The Hail and Ghasha project was initiated by Adnoc in 2018, with at least three EPC tendering rounds since. Its size and scope made it a vastly strategic proposition, hence shelving the gas production programme was not an option. 

Through achieving the FID and awarding close to $17bn-worth of EPC contracts, Adnoc and its Ghasha concession partners have demonstrated the project's importance in ensuring the UAE is self-sufficient in gas by 2030.


NEWS FROM ADIPEC:
> Adnoc doubles 2030 carbon capture target
> Adnoc Gas awards $615m carbon capture contract
> Adnoc and Oxy to study direct air capture project
> Firms bid for Abu Dhabi airport tank farms project
> Sharjah and Ras al-Khaimah sign gas storage deal

Oil production push

Adnoc is also accelerating projects deemed vital to reaching its goal of 5 million barrels a day (b/d) of oil production potential by 2027, a target that has been brought forward from 2030.

Raising output from Abu Dhabi’s offshore oil fields is necessary for Adnoc to increase its overall crude production capacity. With this in mind, the Abu Dhabi energy giant has committed capex to key projects to raise output from the Upper Zakum and Lower Zakum offshore hydrocarbon concessions.

Through the UZ1000 project, Adnoc Group subsidiary Adnoc Offshore aims to grow oil production from Upper Zakum to 1.2 million b/d.

The main work scope involves the EPC of multiple surface facilities and plants at the Upper Zakum offshore development’s four main artificial islands of Al-Ghallan, Umm al-Anbar, Ettouk and Asseifiya – also known as Central Island, West Island, North Island and South Island, respectively.

Contractors submitted technical bids for EPC works on the Upper Zakum oil production increment project by 5 June. Adnoc Offshore has set a deadline of 23 October to submit commercial bids for the project.

Separately, Adnoc Offshore has undertaken a couple of projects to increase oil and gas production from the Lower Zakum field in Abu Dhabi’s waters.

Adnoc Offshore and its partners in the Lower Zakum concession intend to sustain oil production from the asset at its current level of 450,000 b/d until 2025, and then increase output to 470,000 b/d. This target will be achieved through the Lower Zakum early production scheme 2 (EPS 2) and proved developed producing (PDP) project.

Contractors submitted technical bids for the EPC works on the Lower Zakum EPS 2/PDP project by 11 September. While the EPS 2/PDP project is anticipated to increase the Lower Zakum concession’s oil production potential to 470,000 b/d by 2027, Adnoc Offshore’s larger, longer-term objective is to raise the asset’s output capacity to 520,000 b/d by 2027 and maintain that level until 2034.

This strategic goal will be accomplished through the Lower Zakum Long-Term Development Plan (LTDP-1) project. Front-end engineering and design (feed) work is progressing on the Lower Zakum LTDP-1 project and is being performed by France’s Technip Energies.

Onshore oil output

Adnoc Onshore, meanwhile, has started a slew of projects to spike crude output from fields such as Asab, Bab, Northeast Bab, Bu Hasa, Mender, Qusahwira, Sahil and Shah.

An EPC contract, estimated to be worth more than $300m, for the third development phase of the Sahil oil field was recently awarded by Adnoc Onshore to local contractor Target Engineering Construction Company.

Another project being pursued by Adnoc Onshore relates to the conversion of wells and installation of associated tie-ins at the southeast cluster of oil fields in Abu Dhabi. The EPC scope of work has been divided into two packages, with technical bids submitted by contractors in August.

Increasing production from Abu Dhabi’s onshore fields, some of which have been in operation since the 1960s, is equally crucial for Adnoc to hit its 5 million b/d by 2027 target. The capacity enhancement projects that Adnoc Onshore has been advancing indicate the importance its parent entity attaches to maintaining and raising output from its onshore assets.

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Indrajit Sen
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    The GCC projects market has absorbed almost eight months of conflict better than its economies

    Resilient awards

    The UAE leads the regional market for a second consecutive year, with the value of contract awards 6.1% higher than in the same period of 2025. Oman and Kuwait are also running ahead of last year’s pace, despite the IMF’s forecast that Kuwait’s economy will contract by about a sixth.

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    Beneath the headline award totals, there are warning signs. Regional contract awards performed well between March and June, but the value of work awarded in recent months has dropped sharply compared with the same months of 2025. According to MEED Projects, the main cause is a fall in the number of tenders being issued, particularly in real estate.

    The timing is significant. The strong period included the April ceasefire, when clients appear to have pressed ahead expecting a short conflict. Tendering slowed as hostilities resumed. In July, Iranian attacks reached Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan and Oman, while Houthi escalation against Saudi Arabia began.

    The pattern suggests conflict fatigue may be setting in, with clients deferring projects amid a war with no clear end date. As tendering is a leading indicator, the impact on awards is likely to become more visible in coming months.

    In Saudi Arabia, monthly performance has been mixed as the market adjusts to revised spending priorities and the regional conflict. Most sectors are up on last year, with the exception of power and water, which has struggled in 2026, possibly as a result of overbuilding in the past three years. The kingdom’s gigaprojects have continued their retreat. Awards peaked at $31.7bn in 2023 and fell to $14.4bn in 2025. The total so far in 2026 is $9.4bn, most of it for work at Qiddiya, Diriyah and Rua Al-Madinah.

    The GCC has more than $3.4tn of known, planned and unawarded projects over the next 10 to 15 years

    Dubai slowdown

    The clearest signal of the conflict’s impact on the projects market comes from Dubai. The emirate’s market performed strongly until May. Since then, activity has been subdued, and contract awards for the year to date are 0.6% lower than in the same period of 2025.

    The main cause is a decline in residential contract awards. Data from Bayut and the Dubai Land Department shows a marked fall in the value of off-plan sales since late February, when the war began. Residential construction awards have fallen in step, with no sign of the time lag that would normally be expected.

    Third-quarter figures from Savills confirm the trend. Residential transactions fell 38% year on year to 34,500, and transaction value dropped 46% to AED70.8bn ($19.3bn) from AED132.2bn. The decline was concentrated in the off-plan segment, where value fell to AED45.7bn in Q3 from AED61.3bn in Q2, while ready-market value rose to AED25.1bn from AED21.3bn.

    Developers have sharply reduced new launches. Savills recorded about 5,000 units launched in Q3, taking the total for the year to date to about 50,000, roughly 64% below the same period of 2025. Fewer launches mean fewer construction contracts, which explains why residential awards have fallen so quickly. More than 525,000 units are scheduled for delivery between 2027 and 2030, which Fitch says could add pressure to a sector accounting for 8% of non-oil GDP if population growth weakens.

    Escaping Hormuz

    The conflict is also generating new project demand. Saudi Arabia is prioritising ports and transport infrastructure on the Red Sea coast, along with new pipelines to the Red Sea and to Oman. The UAE is developing ports and transport links to the east coast and Oman, and additional pipelines to Fujairah. Fitch anticipates new and expanded road, rail, pipeline and port infrastructure in Oman and Saudi Arabia as GCC states seek routes that bypass the strait.

    The IMF’s forecasts underline the value of those routes. It describes Saudi Arabia as “somewhat less affected” than its neighbours because of its more diversified export routes, while Oman is the only GCC state forecast to grow this year. Houthi strikes on Aramco facilities in Yanbu in September show that Red Sea infrastructure is not beyond reach, however. Defence spending is rising in both Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and repair and rehabilitation work will add to the pipeline once hostilities end.

    The long-term fundamentals remain strong: the GCC has more than $3.4tn of known, planned and unawarded projects over the next 10 to 15 years, about half of it in Saudi Arabia. Many of the kingdom’s priorities are tied to fixed dates, with Riyadh hosting the World Expo in 2030 and Saudi Arabia hosting the Fifa World Cup in 2034.

    The capacity to fund this pipeline depends on oil revenues. MEED’s assessment is that crude prices must remain above $70-$80 a barrel for spending levels to be maintained. With exports through Hormuz disrupted, the volume of oil Gulf producers can move to market matters as much as the price.

    The GCC projects market has absorbed almost eight months of conflict better than its economies. The question for the final quarter is whether the slowdown in tendering is a temporary pause or the start of a sustained retreat. If the IMF’s assumption of a March 2027 reopening of the strait holds, clients will be setting their 2027 budgets with a rebound in sight. If it slips, the resilience of contract awards will face a sterner test. 

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    Colin Foreman