Gulf markets slide as US tariff shockwaves hit
24 April 2025

This package also includes:
> GCC shelters from the trade wars
> Lower oil prices raise Gulf’s fiscal pressure
> Gulf utility projects unbothered by Trump tariffs so far
Gulf markets fell sharply after the US announced a new tariff regime on 2 April, triggering declines as trading resumed after Eid. The 10% baseline import duty and levies on aluminium and industrial metals led to selloffs across regional indices.
Almost all major Gulf indices were dragged down by the tariff shock and began the week on Sunday 6 April with losses: Kuwait’s market dropped 5.7% and Qatar’s fell 4.2%, while the Muscat Securities Market Index declined 2.1% and Bahrain’s All Share Index fell approximately 2.5%.
Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index (Tasi) fell 6.1% at the start of trading on 6 April, marking its steepest single-day decline since March 2020 and wiping out over SR500bn ($133.3bn) in value. The index partially recovered, rebounding 0.7% on 7 April and rising 3.7% on 10 April after the US announced a 90-day tariff suspension, its largest daily gain in nearly five years.
Almost all major Gulf indices were dragged down by the tariff shock
The Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange and Dubai Financial Market followed similar trajectories as trading resumed on Monday 7 April. Dubai’s DFM index dropped 3.1%, led by a 5.7% fall in Dubai Islamic Bank. Abu Dhabi’s main index slipped 2.6%, with Adnoc Gas down nearly 5%.
Both indices began recovering on 10 April. By 14 April, Dubai’s index had risen 1.8%, led by a 4.7% gain in Emirates NBD and a 3.2% rise in Dubai Islamic Bank, while Abu Dhabi’s index climbed 0.9%.
Equities dropped sharply across the region on 6 and 7 April, with blue-chip and sector-leading stocks in banking, real estate and energy posting heavy losses. The UAE’s Emaar Properties fell nearly 9% during intraday trading before closing 2.5% lower.
The aluminium sector came under scrutiny following the reinstatement of the 25% US import duty. However, the impact was limited, as Gulf aluminium exports, particularly from Bahrain and the UAE, represent a modest share of total output.
Oil price drop
The energy sector was not immune to the volatility. Brent crude dropped nearly 15% to around $64 a barrel – one of its steepest weekly declines in over a year. This slide is significant, given that fiscal breakeven oil prices are estimated at $90.9 for Saudi Arabia and $124.9 for Bahrain. Saudi Aramco lost over SR340bn in market value on 6 April before recovering 1% the next day.
Gulf petrochemicals producers also came under pressure. Saudi-based petrochemicals manufacturer Sabic is forecast to report a 47% year-on-year decline in Q1 earnings, according to a Riyad Capital report. The report cited softer product pricing and weaker demand from key markets including China and the US as the main cause.
Oil, energy and most petrochemicals products are exempt from US tariffs. While Gulf trade exposure to the US remains modest, the wider effects were felt through sentiment, capital flows and commodity pricing, and the deeper threat lies in reduced global demand, prolonged oil price weakness and weakened investor appetite.
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This is the same level that was being transported prior to Israel shutting down production from its offshore gas fields due to security concerns, and halting flows to Egypt on 28 February.
Despite having its own gas reserves, Egypt is a net importer of natural gas and has been impacted by the surge in global prices since the US and Israel started their war with Iran.
Last month, Egypt increased the prices of several petroleum products and natural gas for vehicles due to higher global energy prices.
On 9 March, Egypt raised the price of natural gas for vehicles by 30% to E£13 ($0.25) a cubic metre.
Egypt’s Petroleum & Mineral Resources Ministry said the increase was introduced due to “exceptional circumstances” resulting from geopolitical developments in the Middle East and their direct impact on global energy markets.
It said that the regional conflict had led to a significant increase in import and domestic production costs.
Egypt, the Middle East and North Africa region’s biggest liquefied natural gas (LNG) importer, is facing uncertainty over its LNG supplies in the coming months.
Between March 2025 and February 2026, Egypt imported 9,440 kilotonnes of LNG, with the majority purchased under short-term agreements, mainly with third parties such as trading houses.
Last year, it was reported that Egypt had signed deals for around 150 cargoes through to the summer of 2026.
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Egypt gas sector activity surges amid regional conflict7 April 2026

There is a surge of activity in Egypt’s gas sector as investors pour money into boosting domestic production and the country makes deals to leverage its existing liquefied natural gas (LNG) export infrastructure.
The increase in activity has come as the disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continues to prevent the shipment of around 20% of the world’s LNG supplies to consumer nations.
While Egypt remains a net importer of natural gas, its geographical position, significant gas reserves and existing infrastructure, including two LNG export terminals, mean it can potentially capitalise on the current supply crunch.
Harmattan development
On 6 April, Arcius announced the final investment decision (FID) to develop the Harmattan gas field offshore Egypt.
Arcius is a joint venture between UK-based BP and the UAE’s Adnoc, focused on developing gas assets in Egypt and the wider Eastern Mediterranean.
The company acquired the El-Burg offshore concession area, which includes the Harmattan field, in February.
An engineering, procurement, installation and commissioning (EPIC) contract for the project has been awarded to Egypt’s Enppi, while Cairo-based Petrojet and Petroleum Marine Services (PMS) have been awarded work as subcontractors.
In a statement, Naser Al-Yafei, the chief executive of Arcius, said: “The FID to develop the Harmattan field marks an important milestone in advancing one of our first projects in Egypt toward production.”
Idku LNG
UK-based Shell also held a meeting with Egypt’s Petroleum Minister Karim Badawi recently, with talks focusing on increasing domestic natural gas production and utilising the Idku LNG export terminal.
The terminal has a nameplate capacity of 7.2 million tonnes a year, but is not currently operated at full capacity.
The Idku facility is owned by a consortium of companies, with Shell and Malaysia’s Petronas holding the biggest stakes.
Gas corridor
On 30 March, Egypt signed a natural gas cooperation agreement with Cyprus, laying the groundwork for a regional gas corridor that will allow Nicosia to transport its gas to Egypt to use its export infrastructure.
The signing ceremony took place on the sidelines of a conference in Cairo, where both parties agreed to cooperate on the development and exploitation of gas resources.
The text of the agreement focused on technical and commercial aspects of the deal, establishing a basis for future negotiations.
Under the agreed terms, Cyprus’ gas will be processed in Egypt’s liquefaction facilities before being shipped to export markets.
The agreement built on a memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed in February last year, in which Egypt agreed to buy gas from Cyprus’ Aphrodite field.
Block 6
It is also expected that Italy’s Eni, which operates Cyprus’ Block 6 concession with France’s TotalEnergies, will announce FID for the development of the Kronos field in the coming weeks.
The field has reserves of 3.1 trillion cubic feet and, under current plans, the field’s gas will be transported to Egypt via pipeline before being exported from Egypt’s Damietta LNG terminal.
Future investment
As a net importer of natural gas, Egypt faces short-term economic problems due to the current high-price environment, forcing the country to pay more for energy imports.
While this is a major setback for the country and is likely to erode its foreign currency reserves over the coming months, the current global shortage of natural gas could lead to increased investment in the country’s oil and gas sector.
This could accelerate existing project plans within the sector as well as the development of new projects.
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Adnoc Gas and Borouge facilities suffer Iranian attacks6 April 2026
Debris from Iranian drones intercepted by the UAE’s air defence systems has caused damage at the Habshan gas processing facility operated by Adnoc Gas in Abu Dhabi, killing one person on site, as well as at the petrochemicals complex operated by Borouge.
In a disclosure to the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) on 5 April, Adnoc Gas, a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc Group), said debris resulting from a successful interception by UAE air defences in the area caused damage to a limited number of facilities within the Habshan gas complex on 3 April.
The incident resulted in the death of an engineer working at the facility for Egyptian contractor Petrojet during evacuation. Four other contractors sustained minor injuries and were discharged from hospital after receiving treatment.
Specialised teams were immediately dispatched to isolate the affected area and begin a comprehensive assessment of the damage to the production line, which is ongoing, Adnoc Gas said.
“We are profoundly saddened by the loss of life and extend our deepest condolences to the family and loved ones of the deceased. Our thoughts are also with the injured colleagues, and we wish them a full and speedy recovery. The safety, security and wellbeing of our people remains our highest priority,” Fatema Al-Nuaimi, CEO of Adnoc Gas, said in the filing.
“We remain committed to delivering shareholder value. Our balance-sheet strength and capital discipline support the resilience of the company,” she added.
Adnoc Gas further said it is meeting domestic demand in the UAE through other facilities, with no impact on customer supply. “The company continues to actively collaborate with international customers and partners where needed,” it said in its disclosure.
The Habshan gas processing facility has been attacked at least twice in March during Iran’s ongoing war with Israel and the US.
Borouge incident
Authorities in Abu Dhabi reported fire damage at Borouge’s main petrochemical facility caused by fragments from a drone interception falling on the complex on 5 April. No injuries were reported, the Abu Dhabi Media Office said.
“Production activity in affected areas has been suspended following the incident whilst damage assessment and repairs are carried out,” the company said in a filing with ADX on 6 April.
The company also highlighted market conditions. “A global shortage of polyolefins is driving a strong recovery in prices in March, which has continued in April,” it said.
Borouge said it remains financially positioned to manage near-term impact. “Borouge retains significant financial resilience to navigate short-term operational disruption due to its strong cash generation and significant available liquidity.”
Borouge pointed to strong operating performance heading into the disruption. “In the first quarter of 2026, Borouge achieved high utilisation rates and was able to sell a significant proportion of its production during the month of March via alternative routes,” the statement said.
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Bapco Energies reports Iranian drone attack on facility6 April 2026
Bahrain’s state energy conglomerate, Bapco Energies, said a fire broke out at one of its storage facilities following a drone strike, in the latest attack by Iran on the kingdom’s energy and industrial assets amid its ongoing war with Israel and the US.
The tank fire, which resulted from the 5 April drone attack, has been fully extinguished and the situation is under control, Bapco Energies said.
The state enterprise said the attack caused no injuries, adding that it is assessing the damage.
“Emergency response teams acted immediately, working closely with the Civil Defence and relevant authorities to contain the incident and safeguard the site. The safety of our employees remains a top priority,” Bapco Energies said in its statement.
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Large-scale IPPs drive UAE power market6 April 2026

State utility Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) recently announced it had received four bids for the development of the 3.3GW Al-Nouf independent power producer (IPP) project in Abu Dhabi.
The facility is scheduled to be one of at least four major IPP projects to reach contract award this year as the IPP procurement model becomes increasingly popular in the UAE for large-scale power generation projects.
The four IPP projects include the planned 2.5GW Taweelah C combined-cycle gas turbine plant, the 1.5GW Al-Zarraf solar photovoltaic (PV) plant and the 1.5GW Madinat Zayed open-cycle gas turbine plant.
As of the beginning of April, these accounted for $9.3bn, or 92%, of total power projects under bid evaluation. To put that into context, the UAE’s power market recorded its highest annual total for contract awards on record in 2025, with $11.8bn in confirmed awards.
Three of these were IPP projects, making up $8.1bn, or 69%, of total awards. In 2024, that number was lower again, with just one IPP project accounting for 26% of total power awards.
The last time contract awards surpassed $5bn was in 2018, when the Hamriyah combined-cycle plant accounted for 21%.
IPP awards
Among recent awards, a consortium of France’s Engie and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) signed a contract in November to develop the 1.5GW Khazna solar PV IPP.
A month previously, Etihad Water & Electricity (EtihadWE) and South Korea’s Kepco won the award to develop a 400MW battery energy storage system (bess) project following the same IPP model.
That same month, Abu Dhabi’s landmark $6bn solar plant and 19GWh bess project entered construction, with Larsen & Toubro (India) and Power China working as contractors.
This project can be considered somewhat of an outlier, inflating the total value of awards in 2025. Otherwise, power contract awards remained broadly in line with the $5.7bn-worth of contract awards the year before.
Project pipeline
Looking further into the pipeline, the trend looks set to continue, with two IPP projects currently under main contract bidding, representing almost all of the $3.7bn-worth of projects at this stage.
The first, and by far, the largest concerns the seventh phase of Dubai Electricity & Water Authority’s (Dewa) Mohammed Bin Rashid Al-Maktoum Solar Park, which is estimated to cost $3.4bn.
Phase seven will add 2,000MW from PV solar panels and include a 1,400MW bess with a six-hour capacity.
The other relates to the Al-Sila wind IPP, a greenfield renewable energy project with a generation capacity of up to 140MW. When fully operational, it will more than double the existing wind generation capacity in the UAE.
Five of the six IPP projects in the pipeline are being procured by Abu Dhabi’s Ewec, which also continues to advance its solar PV programme as part of plans to reach 10GW of capacity by 2030.
The offtaker told MEED that, following the groundbreaking of the Abu Dhabi bess project, also known as PV5, it has been seeking government approvals to release a request for proposals for PV6 and PV7. If all goes according to plan, the expression of interest process should be launched soon.
Transmission
Beyond generation, there remains a steady flow of transmission infrastructure investment, led by Taqa Transmission, which awarded $830m across 11 grid projects last year.
The largest of these involves a $240m contract to build three 400kV substations in Abu Dhabi. Larsen & Toubro, Germany’s Siemens Energy and Japan’s Toshiba are working as the main contractor.
Total power transmission contracts reached $2.8bn in 2025, a slight increase from $2.5bn the year before.
Transmission and distribution upgrades have become central to maintaining grid stability and integrating intermittent renewables. Ewec and Taqa are expanding 400kV and 132kV networks across Abu Dhabi and the Northern Emirates, while Dewa continues to reinforce its cable and substation systems in Dubai. These works are vital precursors to the next phase of large-scale solar and battery storage integration.
Waste-to-energy
Waste-to-energy (WTE) is becoming an increasingly important part of the UAE’s infrastructure pipeline as the country seeks to reduce landfill dependence and diversify its power mix through alternative generation sources.
In Ajman, Ajman Sewerage Private Company is progressing the fourth-phase expansion of its sewerage system, which includes the flagship sludge-to-energy (S2E) facility. Belgium’s Besix has been appointed as the engineering, procurement and construction contractor.
In Sharjah, Emirates Waste to Energy Company, a joint venture of Beeah Group and Tadweer Group, is planning the second phase of its WTE treatment plant. The estimated $200m expansion is expected to almost double the facility’s annual output to 60MW, while increasing processing capacity to 600,000 tonnes of hard-to-recycle waste a year.
It is understood that a consortium led by Samsung E&A and China Everbright Environment Group has submitted the lowest bid, with a contract award expected in the coming months.
Meanwhile, Dubai Municipality issued a tender in February for consultancy services related to the second phase of the Warsan WTE Plant. The scheme is estimated to cost $500m and follows the emirate’s first major WTE public-private partnership project, which entered full commercial operations in 2024.
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