meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Global LNG demand set for steady growth

30 August 2024

 

The low density of natural gas makes it costlier to contain and transport compared to other fossil fuels such as coal or crude oil. 

For more than a century after gas was recognised as a viable energy source, producers were unable to utilise the fundamental infrastructure that facilitated international oil trade – marine transportation.

Prior to the development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) technology, the transportation of gas was limited to movement by pipeline. The development of LNG revolutionised the manner in which gas is transported and consumed worldwide. 

The first experimental shipment of LNG was made from Lake Charles in the US state of Louisiana to Canvey Island in the UK in 1958, aboard the vessel the Methane Pioneer. Since then, with improvements in technology and cost efficiencies, LNG has become an internationally traded commodity, the demand for which has risen through the years.

LNG production and transmission

LNG is natural gas that has been reduced to a liquid state by cooling it to a cryogenic temperature of -160 degrees Celsius. Natural gas is converted to a liquid in a liquefaction plant, or train.

Train sizes tend to be limited by the size of the available compressors. In the early years of development, train sizes had capacities of about 2 million tonnes a year (t/y), and a greenfield facility would often require three trains to be economically viable.

Improvements in compressor technology in this century have made it possible to design larger trains, to benefit from economies of scale. In the early 2000s, Qatar’s state-owned companies Qatargas and RasGas, in partnership with Western companies such as ExxonMobil and TotalEnergies (which was known as Total at the time), started operating trains with capacities of 7.8 million t/y.

When natural gas is in a liquid form, it takes up approximately one 600th of the space it would occupy as a vapour. Reducing its volume and its weight by half makes it easier and safer to transport across long distances on specially designed double-hull ships or vessels. 

In the final stage of transmission, LNG is offloaded from a marine jetty to cryogenic storage tanks at the receiving terminal. It remains at -160 degrees Celsius during this process.

Benefits and applications

A slew of benefits and applications in various industries has fuelled the growth of LNG in the global economy. 

LNG produces 40% less carbon dioxide than coal and 30% less than oil, therefore offering lower carbon emissions. 

The LNG liquefaction process also releases very little nitrogen oxide, a harmful greenhouse gas, and sulphur dioxide, which can cause significant damage to terrestrial and atmospheric ecosystems.

With an energy density 600 times greater than natural gas, LNG can be used as an alternative fuel for sectors such as shipping. This helps to reduce the carbon footprint of industries that are slower to decarbonise.

On the socioeconomic front, LNG sales have facilitated the economic progress of producer nations, as witnessed in Australia, Qatar and Nigeria. Consumer countries also get access to a source of affordable and environmentally sustainable energy.

Separately, investments in LNG – in the form of LNG infrastructure building, as well as the expansion of production facilities – spur economic growth and help to stimulate job creation.

LNG is primarily used as a major source for electricity generation in powering industries, households and social infrastructure.

The chemicals industry is also one of the largest consumers of LNG, where it is mainly used for steam production and for heating, cracking and reforming units.

In the transport sector, meanwhile, LNG is one of the foremost sources of fuel, particularly for marine tankers and heavy surface vehicles, due to its high energy density compared to conventional fuels, coupled with its low emissions.

In addition, in food manufacturing, LNG is used as fuel for intense processes such as the steaming and drying of food produce.

Buoyant demand outlook

According to Shell’s LNG Outlook 2024, the global demand for LNG is estimated to rise by more than 50% by 2040, as industrial coal-to-gas switching gathers pace in China, and as South and Southeast Asian countries use more LNG to support their economic growth.

Global trade in LNG reached 404 million tonnes in 2023, up from 397 million tonnes in 2022, with tight supplies of LNG constraining growth while maintaining prices and price volatility above historic averages.

Demand for natural gas has already peaked in some regions but continues to rise globally, with LNG demand expected to reach about 625-685 million t/y in 2040, according to the latest industry estimates.

“China is likely to dominate LNG demand growth this decade as its industry seeks to cut carbon emissions by switching from coal to gas,” says Steve Hill, executive vice president for Shell Energy, in the company’s LNG Outlook 2024. 

“With China’s coal-based steel sector accounting for more emissions than the total emissions of the UK, Germany and Turkiye combined, gas has an essential role to play in tackling one of the world’s biggest sources of carbon emissions and local air pollution.”

Over the following decade, declining domestic gas production in parts of South and Southeast Asia could drive a surge in demand for LNG as these economies increasingly need fuel for gas-fired power plants or industry. However, these countries will need to make significant investments in their gas import infrastructure, Shell said in the report.

The Shell LNG Outlook 2024 also notes that gas complements wind and solar power in countries with high levels of renewables in their power generation mix, providing short-term flexibility and long-term security of supply.

Three stages of growth

UK-based consultancy Wood Mackenzie, in its global gas strategic planning outlook, identifies three distinct phases of LNG market growth in the coming decade.

First, it says that continued market volatility will remain for the next couple of years as limited supply growth amplifies risk. 

The pace of LNG supply growth and demand across Europe and Asia provide both upside and downside risks. Uncertainty over Russian gas and LNG exports further complicates the matter, making 2025 a potentially tumultuous year for supply, and therefore for prices.

This phase could be followed by a major wave of new supply, ushering in lower prices from 2026, Wood Mackenzie says in the report. 

A muted demand response to lower prices across Asia would undoubtedly draw out the market imbalance. Conversely, supply risks cannot be ruled out. An anticipated escalation of Western sanctions on Russian LNG threatens to impact the overall supply growth scenario, increasing the potential for a stronger-for-longer market.

Beyond 2026, as LNG supply growth slows, prices will recover again before a new wave of LNG supply triggers another cycle of low prices in the early 2030s, Wood Mackenzie predicts. 

Much will depend on long-term Asian demand growth. Booming power demand and a shift away from coal makes gas and renewables the obvious choice. 

However, if LNG prices are too high, Asia’s most price-sensitive buyers could quickly return to coal. 

On the upside, delays or cancellations to the expansion of Central Asian and Russian pipeline gas into China will push Chinese LNG demand higher for longer. 

Region advances LNG projects with pace

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12432749/main.gif
Indrajit Sen

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Nakheel awards $143m Dubai Islands infrastructure deal

    20 April 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Dubai-based developer Nakheel, now part of Dubai Holding, has awarded a AED527m ($143m) contract for the construction of the primary infrastructure and utilities works on Island B at the Dubai Islands development.

    The contract was awarded to local firm Al-Nasr Contracting Company.

    The scope covers the construction of roads, water networks, electrical and telecommunications networks, drainage and sewerage systems, and integration with the district cooling plant network at Island A.

    In October last year, Nakheel awarded Al-Nasr Contracting Company a AED169m ($46m) contract for the construction of the internal roads and utilities for the Bay Villas development at Dubai Islands.

    In August, MEED reported that Nakheel had awarded a AED2.6bn ($708m) contract to Abu Dhabi-based Fibrex Contracting to build the Bay Villas project at Dubai Islands. The contract includes the construction of 636 villas.

    The Dubai Islands development consists of five islands spanning 18.6 square kilometres. It features more than 59 kilometres (km) of waterfront and 20km of beaches, as well as parks, golf courses, promenades and cycling paths.

    The offshore island project gained renewed momentum in 2022, when Nakheel unveiled a new masterplan and rebranded it as Dubai Islands.

    The reclaimed islands were originally part of the Palm Deira project, which was partially completed before being put on hold in 2008.

    READ THE APRIL 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Economic shock threatens long-term outlook; Riyadh adjusts to fiscal and geopolitical risk; GCC contractor ranking reflects gigaprojects slowdown.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the April 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > GCC CONTRACTOR RANKING: Construction guard undergoes a shift
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here

     

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16476987/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Borouge International appoints chief financial officer

    20 April 2026

    Newly formed chemicals giant Borouge Group International AG (Borouge International) has appointed Patrick Jany as chief financial officer (CFO). He will take office from 1 May, until which time Daniel Turnheim will continue to serve as interim CFO.

    Jany joins Borouge International with more than three decades of international finance leadership across industrial, logistics and chemical businesses. “With 20 years’ CFO experience in publicly listed companies, he brings deep financial expertise and a disciplined approach to capital management,” Borouge International said in a statement.

    Most recently, Jany served as executive vice-president and CFO of Danish shipping company A P Moller-Maersk, where he joined the executive board in 2020 and played a central role in strengthening financial discipline, portfolio management and value creation during a period of major strategic transformation.

    Prior to Maersk, he spent 25 years at Swiss specialty chemicals company Clariant AG, holding a range of senior finance, general management and corporate development roles across Europe, Asia and the Americas, eventually becoming group CFO. Earlier in his career, he held finance leadership roles at Sandoz AG, Clariant’s predecessor.

    Jany holds a Master of Business Administration degree from ESCP Business School.

    “As CFO, he will be part of a strong management team, leading and shaping Borouge International into a global industrial leader with scale, reach and financial discipline, supporting its long-term growth ambitions,” the company said in its statement.

    Chemicals giant

    Abu Dhabi National Oil Company’s (Adnoc Group) overseas investment arm XRG and Austrian energy major OMV completed the creation of Borouge International, a global chemicals giant with the fourth-largest polyolefins production capacity in the world, on 31 March.

    The new entity was formed by the merger of Adnoc Group and OMV’s respective shareholdings in Abu Dhabi chemicals producer Borouge and Austria-based Borealis, as well as the acquisition of Canada-based Nova Chemicals.

    Adnoc and OMV started the transaction to merge their interests in Borouge and Borealis, as well as acquire Nova Chemicals, in March last year. In July, Adnoc announced it would transfer its stake in Borouge International to XRG upon completion of the transaction.

    Borouge International is headquartered and tax-domiciled in Austria, with regional headquarters in Abu Dhabi, UAE. The new company will operate corporate hubs across North America, Europe and Asia, with innovation centres in the UAE, Austria, Canada, Finland and Sweden.

    Financial prospects

    Borouge International will benefit from a superior resilient margin profile and well over $500m in identified earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (ebitda) run-rate synergies per annum, with 75% expected to be realised within the first three years, XRG said at the time of creation of the entity.

    “The company’s global reach, combined with long-term shareholders and a robust capital structure, will deliver resilience throughout the business cycle and an enhanced ability to drive consistent performance and sustainable value for shareholders,” XRG said in its statement.

    The new company has also secured credit ratings of A (Negative) / Baa1 (Stable) / A- (Stable) ratings from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch, respectively, “confirming its robust financial position and capital structure and ability to access a range of long-term financing options”.

    “XRG and OMV are committed to maintaining investment-grade credit ratings for Borouge International,” they said.

    Additionally, Adnoc and OMV plan to tender an offer to convert Borouge Plc shares to Borouge International AG shares, thereby “creating a simplified structure that will enable value creation from the new global growth platform”.

    The tender offer is expected to take place in 2027, subject to market conditions and approval by the UAE Capital Market Authority, with its timing “aligning with the new company’s future equity raise, to maximise value for all shareholders”.

    Until then, Borouge International will be privately held, and Borouge Plc shares will remain listed on the Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX). The recently received credit ratings factor in the impact and flexibility on timing of both the future equity raise and the planned acquisition of Borouge 4 at cost by Borouge International.

    Borouge International also recently announced a dividend payment of $1.32bn for 2025, “reflecting the company’s strong operational performance and record sales”.

    The final shareholder-approved dividend payment for 2025 amounts to $658m (8.1 fils per share), bringing the total 2025 dividend to approximately $1.32bn (16.2 fils per share). The dividend will be paid on or around 7 May to all shareholders of record as of 17 April.

    Including this dividend, Borouge Plc will have distributed $4.89bn in dividends since listing, one of the largest payout levels on the ADX over this period.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16476909/main.gif
    Indrajit Sen
  • Dubai’s RTA opens Hessa Street upgrade

    20 April 2026

    Dubai’s Roads & Transport Authority (RTA) has opened Hessa Street for public traffic after announcing that the construction of the road’s expansion has been completed.

    The scope of the project included expanding Hessa Street from two to four lanes in each direction and developing four intersections with Sheikh Zayed Road, First Al-Khail Street, Al-Asayel Street and Al-Khail Road. 

    The project increases the road’s capacity from 8,000 to 16,000 vehicles an hour in both directions.

    It will reduce the travel time from Sheikh Zayed Road to Hessa Street from 15 minutes to just four minutes.

    The Sheikh Zayed Road intersection will have a two-lane road heading from Sheikh Zayed Road to Hessa Street, eastwards to Emirates Road.

    The upgrade of the First Al-Khail intersection includes increasing the number of lanes from three to four in each direction on the existing Hessa Street Bridge.

    The third improvement covers upgrading the Hessa Street and Al-Asayel Street intersection by increasing the number of lanes from two to four in each direction.

    The Hessa Street and Al-Khail Road intersection upgrade includes the construction of a two-lane road to serve traffic travelling northwards to Al-Khail Road in the direction of Sharjah.

    The project mainly serves residential areas, including Al-Sufouh 2, Al-Barsha and Jumeirah Village Circle.

    In February 2024, MEED exclusively reported that the RTA had awarded a AED689m ($187.5m) contract to Turkiye’s Gunal Construction for the first phase of the Hessa Street improvement project.

    The RTA recently started the construction works on the second phase of the project.

    The scope covers upgrade works on three intersections, including the construction of bridges totalling 8.8 kilometres (km), a 480-metre tunnel, and enhancements to access points on surrounding roads to improve entry and exit flow on a 3km stretch between Al-Khail Road and Sheikh Mohammed Bin Zayed Road.

    READ THE APRIL 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Economic shock threatens long-term outlook; Riyadh adjusts to fiscal and geopolitical risk; GCC contractor ranking reflects gigaprojects slowdown.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the April 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > GCC CONTRACTOR RANKING: Construction guard undergoes a shift
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16475593/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Kuwait LNG project expected to be worth about $200m

    20 April 2026

     

    The planned Kuwaiti project to develop a reliquefaction unit at the Al-Zour LNG import terminal is expected to be worth about $200m, according to industry sources.

    The client on the project is state-owned Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Company (Kipic).

    The project is focused on the development of a boil-off-gas unit at the import terminal, according to a report in Kuwait’s Al-Anba newspaper.

    The project scope includes engineering, procurement and construction works, along with pre-commissioning, commissioning and performance testing services.

    The list of prequalified companies is:

    • Fluor (US)
    • GS Engineering & Construction (South Korea)
    • Tecnicas Reunidas (Spain)
    • Larsen & Toubro (India)
    • Hyundai Engineering (South Korea)
    • CTCI Corporation (Taiwan)
    • Daewoo Engineering & Construction (South Korea)
    • Hyundai Engineering & Construction (South Korea)
    • Saipem (Italy)
    • Samsung Engineering (South Korea)
    • Sinopec Engineering (China)
    • JGC Holdings (Japan)
    • KBR (US)
    • China National Petroleum Corporation (China)
    • Technip (France)

    Kuwait’s LNG import terminal is currently not operating due to disruption caused by the US and Israel’s war with Iran.

    READ THE APRIL 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Economic shock threatens long-term outlook; Riyadh adjusts to fiscal and geopolitical risk; GCC contractor ranking reflects gigaprojects slowdown.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the April 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > GCC CONTRACTOR RANKING: Construction guard undergoes a shift
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16445370/main1228.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Saudi Arabia’s Misk tenders residential package

    17 April 2026

     

    Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed Bin Salman Foundation (Misk Foundation) has floated two tenders for the construction of a residential community in District 5 of Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Nonprofit City in Riyadh.

    The first tender is split into two packages, one that covers the construction of 237 villas and the other covering 223.

    The second tender covers the construction of a community centre, swimming pool, mosque and school.

    The bid submission deadline for both tenders is 27 April.

    Misk Foundation is jointly developing the project in collaboration with local real estate developer Kinan.

    The estimated SR900m ($240m) project will span an area of about 121,692 square metres.

    In March 2022, the Misk Foundation released the masterplan for Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Nonprofit City.

    Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud said in November 2021 that the Misk Foundation development in Riyadh will be the world’s first non-profit city.

    “Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Nonprofit City, which implements the digital twin model, will host academies; colleges; Misk schools; a conference centre; a science museum; and a creative centre offering a space to support the ambitions of innovators in sciences and new-generation technology, such as AI [artificial intelligence], IoT [Internet of Things] and robotics,” he said.  

    “It will also feature an arts academy and art gallery, a performing arts theatre, a play area, a cooking academy and an integrated residential complex.

    “In addition, the city will host venture capital firms and investors to support and incubate innovative enterprises to drive community contributions from around the world.”

    The consultants working on the project include Germany’s Albert Speer + Partner as master planner and architect, and UK-based Buro Happold as the engineer. The project manager for the first phase of construction is UK-based Mace.

    MEED’s April 2026 report on Saudi Arabia includes:

    > COMMENT: Risk accelerates Saudi spending shift
    > GVT &: ECONOMY: Riyadh navigates a changed landscape
    > BANKING: Testing times for Saudi banks
    > UPSTREAM: Offshore oil and gas projects to dominate Aramco capex in 2026
    > DOWNSTREAM: Saudi downstream projects market enters lean period
    > POWER: Wind power gathers pace in Saudi Arabia
    > WATER: Sharakat plan signals next phase of Saudi water expansion
    > CONSTRUCTION: Saudi construction enters a period of strategic readjustment
    > TRANSPORT: Rail expansion powers Saudi Arabia’s infrastructure push

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/16440697/main.png
    Yasir Iqbal