meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Global LNG demand set for steady growth

30 August 2024

 

The low density of natural gas makes it costlier to contain and transport compared to other fossil fuels such as coal or crude oil. 

For more than a century after gas was recognised as a viable energy source, producers were unable to utilise the fundamental infrastructure that facilitated international oil trade – marine transportation.

Prior to the development of liquefied natural gas (LNG) technology, the transportation of gas was limited to movement by pipeline. The development of LNG revolutionised the manner in which gas is transported and consumed worldwide. 

The first experimental shipment of LNG was made from Lake Charles in the US state of Louisiana to Canvey Island in the UK in 1958, aboard the vessel the Methane Pioneer. Since then, with improvements in technology and cost efficiencies, LNG has become an internationally traded commodity, the demand for which has risen through the years.

LNG production and transmission

LNG is natural gas that has been reduced to a liquid state by cooling it to a cryogenic temperature of -160 degrees Celsius. Natural gas is converted to a liquid in a liquefaction plant, or train.

Train sizes tend to be limited by the size of the available compressors. In the early years of development, train sizes had capacities of about 2 million tonnes a year (t/y), and a greenfield facility would often require three trains to be economically viable.

Improvements in compressor technology in this century have made it possible to design larger trains, to benefit from economies of scale. In the early 2000s, Qatar’s state-owned companies Qatargas and RasGas, in partnership with Western companies such as ExxonMobil and TotalEnergies (which was known as Total at the time), started operating trains with capacities of 7.8 million t/y.

When natural gas is in a liquid form, it takes up approximately one 600th of the space it would occupy as a vapour. Reducing its volume and its weight by half makes it easier and safer to transport across long distances on specially designed double-hull ships or vessels. 

In the final stage of transmission, LNG is offloaded from a marine jetty to cryogenic storage tanks at the receiving terminal. It remains at -160 degrees Celsius during this process.

Benefits and applications

A slew of benefits and applications in various industries has fuelled the growth of LNG in the global economy. 

LNG produces 40% less carbon dioxide than coal and 30% less than oil, therefore offering lower carbon emissions. 

The LNG liquefaction process also releases very little nitrogen oxide, a harmful greenhouse gas, and sulphur dioxide, which can cause significant damage to terrestrial and atmospheric ecosystems.

With an energy density 600 times greater than natural gas, LNG can be used as an alternative fuel for sectors such as shipping. This helps to reduce the carbon footprint of industries that are slower to decarbonise.

On the socioeconomic front, LNG sales have facilitated the economic progress of producer nations, as witnessed in Australia, Qatar and Nigeria. Consumer countries also get access to a source of affordable and environmentally sustainable energy.

Separately, investments in LNG – in the form of LNG infrastructure building, as well as the expansion of production facilities – spur economic growth and help to stimulate job creation.

LNG is primarily used as a major source for electricity generation in powering industries, households and social infrastructure.

The chemicals industry is also one of the largest consumers of LNG, where it is mainly used for steam production and for heating, cracking and reforming units.

In the transport sector, meanwhile, LNG is one of the foremost sources of fuel, particularly for marine tankers and heavy surface vehicles, due to its high energy density compared to conventional fuels, coupled with its low emissions.

In addition, in food manufacturing, LNG is used as fuel for intense processes such as the steaming and drying of food produce.

Buoyant demand outlook

According to Shell’s LNG Outlook 2024, the global demand for LNG is estimated to rise by more than 50% by 2040, as industrial coal-to-gas switching gathers pace in China, and as South and Southeast Asian countries use more LNG to support their economic growth.

Global trade in LNG reached 404 million tonnes in 2023, up from 397 million tonnes in 2022, with tight supplies of LNG constraining growth while maintaining prices and price volatility above historic averages.

Demand for natural gas has already peaked in some regions but continues to rise globally, with LNG demand expected to reach about 625-685 million t/y in 2040, according to the latest industry estimates.

“China is likely to dominate LNG demand growth this decade as its industry seeks to cut carbon emissions by switching from coal to gas,” says Steve Hill, executive vice president for Shell Energy, in the company’s LNG Outlook 2024. 

“With China’s coal-based steel sector accounting for more emissions than the total emissions of the UK, Germany and Turkiye combined, gas has an essential role to play in tackling one of the world’s biggest sources of carbon emissions and local air pollution.”

Over the following decade, declining domestic gas production in parts of South and Southeast Asia could drive a surge in demand for LNG as these economies increasingly need fuel for gas-fired power plants or industry. However, these countries will need to make significant investments in their gas import infrastructure, Shell said in the report.

The Shell LNG Outlook 2024 also notes that gas complements wind and solar power in countries with high levels of renewables in their power generation mix, providing short-term flexibility and long-term security of supply.

Three stages of growth

UK-based consultancy Wood Mackenzie, in its global gas strategic planning outlook, identifies three distinct phases of LNG market growth in the coming decade.

First, it says that continued market volatility will remain for the next couple of years as limited supply growth amplifies risk. 

The pace of LNG supply growth and demand across Europe and Asia provide both upside and downside risks. Uncertainty over Russian gas and LNG exports further complicates the matter, making 2025 a potentially tumultuous year for supply, and therefore for prices.

This phase could be followed by a major wave of new supply, ushering in lower prices from 2026, Wood Mackenzie says in the report. 

A muted demand response to lower prices across Asia would undoubtedly draw out the market imbalance. Conversely, supply risks cannot be ruled out. An anticipated escalation of Western sanctions on Russian LNG threatens to impact the overall supply growth scenario, increasing the potential for a stronger-for-longer market.

Beyond 2026, as LNG supply growth slows, prices will recover again before a new wave of LNG supply triggers another cycle of low prices in the early 2030s, Wood Mackenzie predicts. 

Much will depend on long-term Asian demand growth. Booming power demand and a shift away from coal makes gas and renewables the obvious choice. 

However, if LNG prices are too high, Asia’s most price-sensitive buyers could quickly return to coal. 

On the upside, delays or cancellations to the expansion of Central Asian and Russian pipeline gas into China will push Chinese LNG demand higher for longer. 

Region advances LNG projects with pace

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12432749/main.gif
Indrajit Sen

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Kuwait awards oil contract to Baker Hughes

    18 August 2026

    Kuwait’s state-owned upstream operator Kuwait Oil Company (KOC) has awarded a multi-year contract to the Houston-based oil services company Baker Hughes, according to a statement from the US company.

    The contract is focused on accelerating technology innovation in the country’s upstream energy sector, the statement said.

    Baker Hughes did not disclose the contract value.

    It said that the deal positioned Baker Hughes as a key technology collaborator in the Ahmadi Innovation Valley (AIV), KOC’s flagship initiative aimed at establishing an in-country research and innovation hub to address its strategic oil and gas development priorities.

    Under the terms of the agreement, Baker Hughes and KOC will focus on developing and deploying technology solutions that optimise production as well as addressing other issues.

    Baker Hughes said it is planning to use its portfolio of digital and artificial intelligence (AI) automation solutions as part of the deal.

    These solutions are designed to help operators increase recovery from existing wells, lower operating costs, reduce water production and minimise power consumption, it said.

    Baker Hughes chairman and CEO Lorenzo Simonelli said: “Baker Hughes is committed to deeply understanding KOC’s development aspirations and providing the solutions needed to help achieve them.

    “Working together, we aim to deliver tailored technology solutions at scale that improve production performance and efficiency, supporting KOC’s goals to maximise value from their assets.”

    As part of the agreement, Baker Hughes will build a dedicated research and technology development centre in the AIV to deliver technology solutions and build local expertise.

    Kuwait’s oil and gas sector is currently in crisis due to the regional war that started after the US and Israel attacked Iran on 28 February.

    The war has severely disrupted exports through the Strait of Hormuz, which Kuwait relies on in order to ship crude exports.

    Shaikh Nawaf Saud Al-Sabah, deputy chairman and CEO of Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC), the country’s state energy conglomerate, has described the current crisis as the biggest oil crisis the country has faced since Iraq’s 1990 invasion.

    Kuwait relies on the oil and gas sector for more than 90% of government revenues.

    Despite the dramatic reduction in crude exports, Kuwait’s state-owned oil companies continue to tender some projects.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/18833241/main2359.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Firms submit Mid Island Parkway prequalifications

    18 August 2026

     

    Abu Dhabi’s Modon Infrastructure has received expressions of interest and prequalification statements for the next phase of Abu Dhabi’s Mid Island Parkway Project (MIPP), which will be developed as a public-private partnership.

    Modon Infrastructure will act as the lead developer and will hold a majority equity stake in the project company. It will award contracts for engineering, procurement and construction; operations and maintenance; and project advisory services.

    Phase two of the MIPP involves constructing about 11 kilometres (km) of highways, comprising a mix of three-, four- and five-lane sections. The highways will connect the Um-Yifeenah, Al-Jubail, Al-Sammaliyyah and Sas Al-Nakhl islands to Khalifa City and the E10 road.

    The scope also includes the construction of three interchanges – E20, E10 and Dumbbell – on Al-Sammaliyyah Island.

    The project includes several major structures, including the E20 interchange, which will feature cast-in-place box-girder and void-slab bridges, and the E10 interchange, which will feature cast-in-place box-girder bridges. It also includes I-girder bridges between Raha Beach West and Sas Al-Nakhl Island, as well as a causeway at Sas Al-Nakhl Island.

    Further elements include a cast-in-place balanced cantilever bridge between Sas Al-Nakhl Island and Al-Sammaliyyah Island; a tunnel between Al-Sammaliyyah Island and Bilrimaid Island; and a cut-and-cover tunnel on Bilrimaid Island. Another tunnel will connect Bilrimaid Island to Um-Yifeenah Island.

    Abu Dhabi awarded three packages for phase one of the MIPP in 2024. The contract for Package 1A was awarded to a joint venture of Turkish contractor Dogus Construction and UAE firm Gulf Contractors. Package 1B was awarded to a joint venture of Yas Projects (Alpha Dhabi Holding) and China Railway International Group. Beijing-headquartered China Harbour Engineering Company and the UAE’s Agility Engineering & Contracting Company won the contract for Package 1C.

    Phase one starts at the existing Saadiyat Interchange, connecting the E12 to the MIPP, and ends at the recently constructed Um-Yifeenah Highway.

    It comprises a dual main road with a total length of 8km, including four traffic lanes in each direction, two interchanges, a tunnel and associated infrastructure works.

    READ THE AUGUST 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Saudi Arabia builds for the global stage; Rising uncertainty creates fresh set of challenges in the Maghreb; Gulf banks remain robust in the face of geopolitical tensions.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the August 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > MARKET FOCUS: Maghreb fortunes diverge
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/18830452/main.png
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Adnoc selects contractors for new LNG project in the UAE

    18 August 2026

     

    Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has selected contractors for a design competition it is overseeing for a major project to build a new liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facility along the UAE’s eastern coast.

    The proposed onshore LNG liquefaction facility – whose precise location Adnoc has yet to reveal – will have a nameplate output capacity of 4 million tonnes a year (t/y) and will mainly serve export purposes, MEED reported in June. The facility will receive sales-gas-quality feedstock via pipelines from Adnoc’s gas processing facilities in Abu Dhabi and will export LNG via a loading jetty.

    MEED previously reported on Adnoc’s intention to execute work on the project through a design competition or front-end engineering and design (feed)-to-engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contest.

    Under this model, the project operator selects contractors to carry out feed work. The operator then awards the EPC contract to the contractor with the most competitive feed proposal, while compensating the other contestants for their work.

    The Abu Dhabi energy giant has selected the following three entities to undertake feed work on the planned onshore LNG liquefaction facility, according to sources:

    • Saipem (Italy) / Larsen & Toubro Energy Hydrocarbon (India)
    • Technip Energies (France) / JGC Corporation (Japan)
    • Tecnimont (Italy)

    Adnoc issued draft letters of award to the selected contractors between 11 and 12 August, the sources added.

    In addition to the contractors picked by Adnoc, MEED previously reported that the following contractors were shortlisted for the feed-to-EPC contest:

    • McDermott (US)
    • Samsung E&A (South Korea)
    • Wison (China)

    MEED reported that Adnoc issued the expression of interest (EoI) document for the planned LNG facility project on 2 June, with contractors submitting responses by 5 June.

    Given the strategic importance of the project, Adnoc is understood to be fast-tracking the tendering exercise, issuing the main tender for the feed-to-EPC contest within days of the EoI submission. The company sought proposals from participating contractors by 1 July, sources said.

    In its EoI document, Adnoc said it intends to award the main EPC contract in the third quarter of this year.

    Adnoc has yet to specify where it plans to build the LNG complex, stating only in the EoI document that it will be located at a coastal site in the UAE.

    MEED understands Adnoc may be considering a site near one of the UAE’s eastern port facilities in the emirate of Fujairah. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in recent months has increased interest in prioritising exports and maritime trade through ports on the Gulf of Oman.

    The scope of work on the planned LNG facility covers the following units:

    LNG facilities:

    • An onshore LNG liquefaction facility in a coastal location, with a nominal output capacity of 4 million t/y;
    • Process units necessary to bring sales feed to a liquefaction-quality feed gas (i.e. carbon dioxide removal, dehydration, mercury removal and total sulphur reduction);
    • Common facilities including inlet receiving facilities, refrigerant storage and flares;
    • Utilities to support the facility, allowing it to be self-sufficient, including but not limited to local power generation and any necessary tie-ins;
    • LNG export facilities, including a jetty and berth;
    • Structures including control buildings, amenities, a laboratory, a warehouse, workshops and administration buildings, to fully support the plant operation.

    LNG storage facilities:

    • LNG storage tanks, handling of boil-off gases (BOG) and potentially a BOG reliquefaction unit to facilitate major shutdown operations for bidders opting to compete with a single liquefaction train option.

    Feed gas supply:

    • Supplying and installing an additional identical gas compressor to be located at an existing compression station near Adnoc Gas’ Habshan complex in Abu Dhabi, to provide additional capacity in an existing gas pipeline system;
    • A new feed gas pipeline, approximately 160 kilometres long, to route sales gas quality feed gas from an existing pipeline network to the LNG facility.

    Modifications to upstream facilities (alternative scope):

    • Installation of sulphur removal beds in Habshan to bring feed gas to required LNG quality at the upstream gas conditioning facility, rather than at the LNG facility. This may be selected by bidders to avoid additional investment for processing the regeneration gas.

    Construction facilities:

    • Temporary construction facilities, laydown area and material offloading facility, to support EPC execution requirements;
    • Construction labour accommodation camp.
    Adnoc LNG output capacity

    Adnoc has an LNG liquefaction capacity of 6 million t/y, which is set to more than double to 15 million t/y when its under-construction LNG terminal complex in Abu Dhabi’s Ruwais enters operations in 2028.

    The upcoming LNG export terminal in Ruwais will have the capacity to produce about 9.6 million t/y of LNG from two processing trains, each with a capacity of 4.8 million t/y.

    Adnoc awarded the full EPC contract and reached the final investment decision for the Ruwais LNG terminal project in June 2024. A consortium of France’s Technip Energies, Japan-based JGC Corporation and Abu Dhabi-owned NMDC Energy – a subsidiary of NMDC Group – was awarded the $5.5bn EPC contract. In March of that year, Adnoc issued a limited notice to proceed to the consortium of contractors led by Technip Energies for early EPC works on the Ruwais LNG terminal project.

    The complex will feature process units, storage tanks and an export jetty for loading cargoes and LNG bunkering, as well as utilities, flare handling systems and associated buildings.

    The planned LNG facility will run on electric-powered rotary equipment and compressors instead of gas-fired units. Adnoc awarded a $400m contract in October 2023 to US-based Baker Hughes for the supply of all-electric compression systems for the project. The LNG trains will run on energy-efficient Baker Hughes technology, including compressors driven by 75MW electric motors.

    Adnoc has also signed agreements with international energy companies to divest a total stake of 40% in the Ruwais LNG project. UK energy producer BP, Mitsui & Co, Shell and French energy producer TotalEnergies will each hold 10% stakes in the Ruwais LNG terminal project, with Adnoc retaining the majority 60% stake in the facility.

    Adnoc Group subsidiary Adnoc Gas will acquire its parent company’s 60% stake in the Ruwais LNG facility at cost in the second half of 2028, when first production from the complex is due.

    To date, Adnoc has secured offtake agreements totalling 8 million t/y, representing approximately 90% of the Ruwais LNG project’s output capacity.

    Photo for illustration only

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/18829520/main.jpg
    Indrajit Sen
  • Saudi Arabia extends bid deadline for Round 7 solar projects

    18 August 2026

     

    Saudi Arabia’s principal buyer, Saudi Power Procurement Company (SPPC), has extended the deadline for developers bidding for four solar projects under the seventh round of the National Renewable Energy Programme (NREP).

    Round seven of the NREP comprises solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind independent power producer (IPP) projects with a combined capacity of 5,300MW. The renewables programme is being led and supervised by the Ministry of Energy.

    The four solar PV projects comprise:

    • 1,400MW Tabjal 2 solar PV IPP (Tabrijal, Al-Jouf province)
    • 600MW Mawqqaq solar PV IPP (Mawqqaq, Hail province)
    • 600MW Tathleeth solar PV IPP (Tathleeth, Aseer province)
    • 500MW South Al-Ula solar PV IPP (Al-Ula, Medina province)

    The projects were tendered in January, with submissions previously expected by 30 August. The new deadline is 13 September.

    The programme also includes the 1,300MW Bilgah and 900MW Shagra wind IPPs. The bid submission deadline for these projects is 14 September.

    As previously reported by MEED, procurement for the seventh round of the NREP opened in August 2025 when SPPC issued a request for qualification. 

    In January, MEED reported that 16 developers qualified to bid as both managing and technical members for the four solar PV projects. A further six companies qualified to bid as a managing member only.

    For the wind IPPs, SPPC qualified 13 developers in the managing and technical members category, and a further six companies in the managing member category only. The request for proposals for both wind and solar IPPs was issued that same month. 

    The renewable energy programme aims to supply 50% of the kingdom’s electricity from renewable energy by 2030.

    Earlier rounds under the NREP have already put in place large capacities. Last October, SPPC awarded contracts to develop and operate five renewable energy projects under round six of the NREP.

    These comprise four solar PV IPP projects and one wind IPP project with a total combined capacity of 4,500MW.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/18828963/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Construction begins on phase two of Cairo Metro Line 4

    18 August 2026

    Egypt’s National Authority for Tunnels (NAT) has begun implementing the second phase of Cairo Metro’s Line 4, spanning about 27 kilometres.

    The main construction works contract was awarded to a joint venture of local firms, including Arab Contractors, Hassan Allam, Petrojet and Concord Engineering & Contracting.

    Cairo Metro Line 4 will stretch from Fustat station to Zahraa Nasr City station in New Cairo. The line will comprise 21 stations, 15 underground and six elevated.

    According to data from regional projects tracker MEED Projects, the scope also covers:

    • Construction of a tunnel route starting from Al-Fustat station, following Salah Salem Road, and intersecting with the sixth metro line at Sayeda Aisha station
    • An extension along Hafez Ibrahim Street, intersecting the Shinzo Abe Axis and linking Ahmed Al-Zomor and Al-Mithaq streets
    • A section running via Nasr Road and Nasr City to Anwar Al-Mufti Street, with an interchange with the East Nile Monorail at Aviation station
    • Construction of a depot at the Omra El-Gasima site
    • Integration of interchange stations with existing lines, including Line 1 and Line 2
    • Construction of structures over and under major roadways, including the Ring Road and Cairo-Suez Road
    • Earthworks and site preparation, including elevated foundations and underground excavations
    • Construction of all other associated infrastructure

    Local media reports said construction work on the first phase of Line 4 is expected to be completed in 2028.

    The joint venture of Arab Contractors, Hassan Allam, Petrojet and Concord Engineering & Contracting is also undertaking the main works on the first phase.

    The Japan International Cooperation Agency (Jica) provided half of the $4bn funding required for Line 4’s first phase.

    The media reports added that NAT is currently studying the third and fourth phases of Line 4.

    The third phase aims to connect the Ashgar Gardens and Al-Hosary areas via a rail line spanning more than 16km.

    The fourth phase will be more than 38km long and will connect the Al-Rehab area with the capital’s international airport east of Cairo.

    Once completed across all phases, Line 4 will link 6th of October City with southern and eastern Cairo, the New Administrative Capital and Capital International airport, making it one of the longest transport networks in the country.

    In April last year, MEED reported on Egypt’s future rail project plans, which include eight key projects spanning metro, high-speed rail and light rail transit.

    READ THE AUGUST 2026 MEED BUSINESS REVIEW – click here to view PDF

    Saudi Arabia builds for the global stage; Rising uncertainty creates fresh set of challenges in the Maghreb; Gulf banks remain robust in the face of geopolitical tensions.

    Distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the August 2026 edition of MEED Business Review includes:

    > MARKET FOCUS: Maghreb fortunes diverge
    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/18825481/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal