GCC strives to reach real estate potential
27 June 2024

The real estate sector across the six states that make up the GCC has not yet achieved its full potential when it comes to attracting foreign investment.
This is best illustrated by the region’s largest economy, Saudi Arabia. The kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification strategy includes ambitious targets to increase homeownership among citizens and attract international investors with its recently introduced Premium Residency Visa. The new visa is designed to open up the market to global investors, and while some gains are starting to be made, the market is still at the start of this journey.
Throughout the GCC, real estate markets have demonstrated a degree of resilience and stability following the Covid-19 pandemic, but challenges remain.
Rising borrowing costs and slow-paced reforms have affected the residential sector in the region, although the impact has not been universal. In Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, real estate sales have declined significantly, whereas in Dubai, sales continue apace.
For commercial real estate, the demand for high-quality, sustainable office spaces is a common trend. Businesses are increasingly favouring high-quality Grade A properties, leading to higher rental rates compared to mid- and low-end offices.
The retail sector has benefited from increased consumer activity, particularly during festive seasons. Malls and mixed-use developments have maintained stable rental rates, although some areas, like strip retail rentals, have seen slight declines. This reflects a broader trend of consumer preferences shifting towards more integrated and experiential shopping environments with a keen focus on entertainment.
Meanwhile, the industrial sector has shown robust demand, driven by manufacturing and logistics. High occupancy rates for large and medium-sized warehouses underline the sector’s resilience.
Bahrain
Bahrain’s property market is performing steadily, driven by strategic homebuyers focusing on mid-range properties, as well as a growing demand for luxury waterfront homes.
The market’s attractiveness has been enhanced by masterplanned developments such as Bahrain Bay and Diyar Al-Muharraq, which have achieved a critical mass that means they are now perceived as thriving communities rather than ongoing construction projects.
While project completions are important for confidence, in its Q1 2024 market report, property consultant Savills warns that key project completions such as Onyx Residences, Al-Nasseem Phase 2 Villas and Wadi Al-Riffa could lead to a short-term dip in capital values due to oversupply.
Any possible fall could reverse recent gains. According to Savills, high-end apartment units registered modest 0.3% quarterly growth, averaging BD832 ($2,207.6) a square metre (sq m), while high-end villas have experienced a 4.5% year-on-year decline, averaging BD583/sq m.
Savills reports that the office sector has remained stable, with businesses favouring high-quality Grade A properties, leading to higher rental rates compared to mid- and low-end offices. Demand for Leed-certified spaces and co-working environments is increasing, reflecting environmental, social and governance (ESG) commitments. Grade A properties face mild value corrections due to new developments.
Retail benefited from festive mall footfalls, keeping rental rates stable for malls and mixed-use developments, while strip retail rentals dropped slightly.
Kuwait
The Kuwait real estate sector continued its dismal performance in 2023 due to rising borrowing costs and the slow pace of ongoing reforms. The volume of transactions saw a significant downturn, according to a report by Marmore, a fully owned research subsidiary of Kuwait Financial Centre, Markaz.
Real estate sales dropped to KD2.1bn ($6.7bn) in the first nine months of 2023, reflecting a 26% year-on-year decline from KD2.8bn ($9.1bn). This downturn has affected all segments of the market.
In the residential sector, sales fell by 26% in Q3 2023, totalling KD1.1bn ($3.6bn), down from KD1.4bn ($4.7bn) in the same period of the previous year. The number of transactions also declined by 34% year-on-year. High house prices and borrowing costs have kept demand muted.
The residential rental segment also decreased by 20% year-on-year, reaching KD666m ($2.2bn) in Q3 2023, down from KD831m ($2.7bn) in Q3 2022.
The commercial sector experienced a 37% year-on-year drop in sales, to KD321m ($1bn) in 2023, compared to KD511m ($1.6bn) in 2022. The number of transactions in this sector declined by 35% year-on-year.
In July last year, Kuwait’s National Assembly approved the Housing Development Law and amendments to the Housing and Real Estate Affairs Law that enables private sector involvement – including foreign investment – in developing cities and residential areas, and aims to prevent land monopolies. These measures could positively influence the country’s real estate market this year.
Oman
After a couple of tough years during and immediately following the Covid-19 pandemic, Oman is again capitalising on its real estate potential, with new projects attracting interest from residents and investors.
The sultanate’s real estate market in 2024 is buoyed by a combination of increasing expatriate populations, attractive pricing and favourable government policies.
A recent report by property consultancy Cavendish Maxwell highlights the contribution of the government’s strategic reforms and investments in infrastructure as critical drivers for the growth of the real estate sector in the country. These have included the easing of foreign ownership restrictions, the introduction of new real estate laws and enhanced regulatory frameworks that have created a more transparent and attractive market for investors.
Longer term, Muscat has set targets for the economy that will support the real estate sector. Under Oman’s Vision 2040 plan, the government aims to attract 11 million visitors annually by 2040, which will boost the tourism industry. Investments in economic zones, renewable energy, manufacturing and tourism projects will contribute to the growth of the construction industry, including the real estate sector.
Oman is developing new projects in response to the long-term opportunities that this growth will create. These include the Sultan Haitham City project to the west of Muscat and a masterplanned mountain development on Jebel Akhdar, launched earlier this year.
Qatar
Following a period of fluctuation around the 2022 Fifa World Cup, Qatar’s real estate market is showing signs of stability, according to Cushman & Wakefield. The number of real estate sales transactions surged by 17.3% in January and February this year compared to the same period in 2023, with an overall value increase of 4.1%.
The declining trend in residential sales transactions seen in 2023, when a drop of 16.2% was recorded compared to 2022, has been reversed in the first two months of this year. Residential sales transactions have increased by 30% compared to the same period last year, reflecting a significant 46% rise in transaction value.
In the rental segment, the early months of 2024 have highlighted a growing disparity between newly constructed residential projects and those built over a decade ago. Tenants are increasingly drawn to modern, well-managed serviced appartments.
Office leasing activity declined in the first quarter of 2024, following a good run at the end of 2023. Over the past six months, more than 70,000 sq m of Grade A office space has been reserved, leading to a decrease in availability in areas including Lusail and Msheireb.
In the first quarter of 2024, hotel room supply in Qatar reached 38,000, which marks a 45% increase in supply over the past five years.
Despite initial concerns of oversupply, Qatar’s hotel industry has experienced a significant boost due to a rise in tourist arrivals since January. Hotel occupancy rates also soared to 84% in January and 85% in February, reaching their highest levels since 2015.
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is moving into a new phase as it aims to build on its recent successes and targets foreign investment more proactively.
Real estate forms a key part of the kingdom’s Vision 2030, which aims to increase homeownership by Saudi nationals to 70% by 2030, from 63.7% in 2023.
The residential real estate market in Saudi Arabia is experiencing robust demand, especially in the major cities of Riyadh, Jeddah and Dammam. In Q1 2024, Riyadh recorded a 77% year-on-year increase in sales transactions, while Jeddah saw a 92.9% rise. This surge in activity underscores the strong appetite for residential properties in these urban centres.
Despite this growth, the market faces challenges such as affordability and a shortage of appropriately priced homes.
Historically, foreign ownership restrictions have limited international investment in Saudi real estate. However, the new visa scheme signifies a pivotal shift, encouraging a diverse pool of global talents and investors to contribute to the local economy. This move is expected to drive up property values in premium segments and spur the development of luxury real estate projects.
“The real estate market in Saudi Arabia has long anticipated a change in the foreign ownership rules. A significant milestone was reached at the start of the year when a raft of new Premium Residency Visa options were unveiled, including a real estate ownership-linked visa, which is likely to pave the way for international buyers and investors,” says real estate consultancy Knight Frank in its recent Destination Saudi Report.
This move is expected to create supplemental demand from foreign investors that have been waiting for changes in the kingdom’s ownership laws.
Saudi Arabia’s new Premium Residency Visas include a real estate ownership-linked option that is designed to attract foreign investment by allowing non-Saudis to own property worth at least SR4m ($1.1m).
This policy shift marks a strategic opening up of the market to international investors and affluent expatriates and could potentially boost high-value transactions and increase the demand for luxury residential properties in the kingdom.
One of the early focus areas for new investment inflows could be the holy cities of Mecca and Medina.
The demand for real estate in Saudi Arabia is also being driven by high-net-worth individuals (HNWI), particularly those from Muslim-majority countries. Surveys indicate that 82% of international HNWI buyers are keen to own real estate in the kingdom, with significant interest in the two holy cities.
These buyers view Saudi Arabia as a good investment opportunity, with cultural and religious reasons also playing a crucial role in their decision-making, Knight Frank says in its Destination Saudi report.
UAE
The UAE’s real estate market started 2024 on a robust note, showing increased activity levels across all sectors during the first quarter, according to the latest report by property consultant CBRE.
The report shows that the total transaction volumes in Dubai’s residential market reached 35,310 in Q1 2024. This is the highest total ever recorded in the first quarter of the year, marking an increase of 20.5% from the previous year.
Off-plan transactions in Dubai also increased by 23.9%, whereas secondary market transactions rose by 15.2% during the same period.
The CBRE report also outlined that in the first quarter of 2024, Dubai’s residential market witnessed an increase in average prices of 20.7% by March 2024 compared to the previous year.
In Abu Dhabi, average apartment prices rose by 4.3% and villa prices saw an increase of 2.3% during the same period.
In the commercial sector, the total number of rental registrations in the office sector increased to 46,850, a hike of 35.8% compared to the previous year, according to data from Dubai Land Department.
In Abu Dhabi, an increased activity level in the commercial space sector has taken the occupancy rate to 94% in the first quarter of 2024, up from the 92.5% registered in the same period last year. The increased occupancy levels have led to a growth in rentals, where Prime, Grade A and Grade B rents posted average growth rates of 6.6%, 3.4% and 9.7%, respectively.
The hospitality sector also noted improvement. The number of international visitors to Dubai totalled 5.2 million in the period from January to March 2024, up by 10.2% from a year earlier. The total number of hotel guests in Abu Dhabi stood at 1.3 million, a growth of 22% compared to Q1 2023.
In the retail sector, leasing activity lagged in Abu Dhabi as 7,779 rental contracts were registered in the first quarter of 2024, marking a decline of 8.1% compared to Q1 2023. Dubai witnessed a marginal increase of 0.2% in retail registrations compared to same period last year, recording a total of 23,139.
Finally, the UAE’s industrial and logistics sector also recorded positive leasing activity, with the total number of rental registrations in Abu Dhabi and Dubai increasing by 4.7% and 3.2%, respectively, compared to the same period last year.
Additional reporting by Yasir Iqbal
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King Salman Park prepares for soft opening30 September 2026

King Salman Park Foundation is preparing a phased soft opening of the Riyadh park as it moves from construction to operations.
Dale Chadwick, the foundation’s acting CEO, speaking at MEED’s Shaping Mega Projects conference in Riyadh on 28 September, said 95% of the contracts for phases one and two had been awarded, and irrigation for both phases was installed.
“There are areas of the landscape in the park that, literally, we could open tomorrow,” he said. "It’s trying to stitch this all together into a cohesive opening.”
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The Royal Arts Complex, one of the park’s anchor assets, is due to be handed over to the Ministry of Culture within three to six months.
Operational shift
The foundation has moved out of its headquarters in King Abdullah Financial District (Kafd). About 230-240 staff are now based in the operations and maintenance building it built inside the park. The foundation will relocate fully once its permanent headquarters is complete.
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Private assets
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Phase three
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Oxagon takes centre stage at Neom29 September 2026

For all the talk of cancellations, Neom completed its biggest project yet in August, commissioning the $8.5bn Neom Green Hydrogen project.
The project reflects Neom’s reprioritisation, which has seen the $500bn gigaproject shift from a speculative vision towards a delivery-focused industrial development.
This shift was clearly signalled in April, when Public Investment Fund (PIF) governor Yasir Al-Rumayyan publicly backed Oxagon, Neom’s planned industrial and manufacturing hub on the Red Sea coast. Since then, there have been increasing signs that the development is taking precedence over the rest of the giga-portfolio.
Announced strategy
Al-Rumayyan’s remarks, delivered as PIF unveiled its 2026-30 strategy, were the clearest public articulation yet of where the fund’s priorities lie. Asked whether The Line needed to be delivered, he was blunt: it would be good to have, but it was not essential. Oxagon, on the other hand, was described as “the fundamental part of Neom”.
The comment reframed two years of speculation about scaled-back ambitions at Neom into something closer to a strategic decision, with capital following the assets capable of generating revenue, and the industrial city sitting at the top of that list.
The shift in language also matters, since PIF has been at pains to stress that no Neom projects have been formally cancelled, even as billions of dollars of contracts have been terminated or re-scoped over the past two years.
Under the new strategy, Neom has effectively been reclassified as its own reporting line within PIF’s portfolio, separated from the fund’s other domestic holdings. That separation gives Oxagon room to be judged on its own commercial merits, while distancing it from the reputational weight still carried by more conceptual elements of the wider development.
There have been increasing signs that Oxagon is taking precedence over the rest of the giga-portfolio
Conflict acceleration
The reprioritisation was already under way before the region’s latest conflict began. PIF has spent the past two years pushing Neom to identify which elements of the gigaproject were fundamental and which were aspirational, a process that has as much to do with capital discipline as geopolitics.
With the fund committing to direct roughly 80% of its $925bn portfolio towards domestic investment, while simultaneously funding Expo 2030 and the 2034 World Cup, Riyadh needed its flagship projects to start showing commercial returns rather than absorbing capital indefinitely.
Oxagon, with a port, an export-ready hydrogen plant and land that could be leased to industrial tenants, was always the part of Neom best placed to answer that requirement, and the regional conflict that began in late February only accelerated the shift. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz to a fraction of its normal commercial throughput has hit Saudi Arabia’s oil export capacity hard and pushed the kingdom into a sizeable quarterly fiscal deficit.
Riyadh has also had to contend with direct disruption to its own energy infrastructure, including the temporary closure of the East-West oil pipeline following drone strikes. Against that backdrop, an industrial city with its own deep-water port on the Red Sea, outside the Strait of Hormuz chokepoint, has taken on added strategic weight.
Oxagon offers the kingdom a second maritime gateway, one that is not exposed to the same geopolitical risks as the Gulf coast terminals that have historically carried Saudi trade. For a government having to defend every riyal of committed capital spending, a project that can plausibly generate port fees, hydrogen export revenue and data-centre hosting income within the current decade is a far easier sell than a 170-kilometre linear city that is still taking shape.
Construction ramps up
The clearest evidence of that pivot is what has actually broken ground at Oxagon recently. At a time when Neom’s recent news flow has been about contract terminations, Oxagon’s has been about starts.
The most visible of these is the artificial intelligence (AI) data-centre campus being developed by Humain, the PIF-owned AI company, in partnership with digital infrastructure developer DataVolt.
Construction on the first 100MW of a planned 360MW first phase began this year, as part of a wider 1.5GW campus that builds on the companies’ original 2025 agreement, backed by roughly $5bn of investment. The facility is designed to draw on Oxagon’s pre-zoned industrial land, renewable power and subsea cable links to Europe and Africa, with the first 100MW targeted for service in 2028.
For Neom, the project answers a question that has dogged the gigaproject for years: namely, what, beyond real estate and tourism, Oxagon actually sells.
Connectivity is following the same pattern. Neom issued an expression of interest in September for consultancy services to plan a freight rail line of more than 400km linking the Port of Neom at Oxagon to Saudi Arabia Railways’ North-South Railway at the Al-Baseeta junction.
The North-South network currently serves the kingdom’s phosphate and bauxite mining sector, running from Al-Jalamid and Baitha to the Gulf coast industrial cluster around Ras Al-Khair, Jubail and Dammam, with branches to Riyadh and the Jordanian border.
A connection to Oxagon would give that network a second maritime outlet on the Red Sea and would finally give the Port of Neom a direct rail link into the kingdom’s interior, something it has lacked since operations began in 2022.
Cargo currently depends on road transport or an additional sea leg, a constraint that has limited the port’s usefulness beyond a regional hub.
Utilities work is quietly keeping pace with the more visible projects. Neom has tendered an industrial wastewater treatment plant at Oxagon, with proposals due in early October. The scheme has an initial capacity of 35,000 cubic metres a day, (cm/d) expandable to a maximum of 45,000 cm/d as demand grows.
The plant is expected to cater to the wider industrial developments planned at Oxagon and points towards it developing into a full-fledged industrial cluster rather than a single-phase development.
Road infrastructure has moved in parallel. A design-and-build tender is currently out for the permanent upgrade of Oxagon’s Highway 55, which connects the Red Sea coast with the mainland in northwestern Saudi Arabia.
It currently serves as the only road providing north-south connectivity between Duba and the Neom region. The project is expected to support the anticipated increase in construction activity at Oxagon and facilitate the movement of cargo vehicles from Duba Port to other parts of the country and the wider region.
These construction packages represent the unglamorous groundwork needed before an industrial city can function at scale, and that foundational build-out is already being mirrored in Neom’s external connectivity. In April, a new multimodal logistics corridor linking Europe, Egypt, Neom and the GCC was enabled, offering a faster and more flexible route for European cargo entering the region.
The most advanced element of the build-out remains the port itself. Dutch marine contractor Boskalis has completed the deepening and widening of the main access channel, and Belgian contractor Besix has finished more than 4.6km of quay wall across seven berths, some with draughts of up to 18.5 metres.
The Terminal 1 development, a 900-metre, fully automated container facility designed to be one of the first ports in the kingdom to use automated ship-to-shore cranes, is being phased in through 2026. This will take capacity from the port’s current 250,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) towards a 2030 target of 1.5 million TEUs, and an eventual ambition of 12 million TEUs once fully built out. The facility has been described as an accelerator for the kind of integrated, end-to-end supply chain the wider Oxagon concept was built around.
A development this capital-intensive will require continued private and foreign investment
Project rationale
Set against the rest of Neom’s portfolio, Oxagon’s advantage stands out. It has the potential to produce things that can be sold, shipped or leased within a timeframe investors and government auditors can underwrite.
Green hydrogen converted into green ammonia for export; port capacity sold by the container; data-centre capacity sold by the megawatt; industrial land leased by the hectare. These are conventional infrastructure economics, not the largely unprecedented urban-planning bet represented by The Line or other components of the wider Neom masterplan.
There is also a coherence to Oxagon’s individual pieces that is harder to find elsewhere in the Neom story. A port needs rail and road connections to move cargo inland. An AI data-centre campus needs power, land and subsea connectivity – things an industrial port city is well placed to provide. A green hydrogen plant needs an export terminal close by. Each project reinforces the case for the others, in a way that an industrial city announced in 2021 as one vision among several has arguably never quite managed to replicate.
Oxagon is not without risk. Schedules have already slipped once, and a development this capital-intensive will require continued private and foreign investment if its backers are serious about reducing direct funding exposure.
The direction of travel this year has been positive. With the green hydrogen plant entering commissioning, a hyperscale AI campus breaking ground, a new rail corridor being planned and a port moving towards its next phase, Oxagon is reinforcing its position as one of the kingdom’s flagship projects for the future.
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Contractors submit bids for Oxagon Highway 55 upgrade29 September 2026

Contractors submitted bids on 28 September for a design-and-build contract to upgrade Highway 55 in Saudi Arabia’s Oxagon region.
The first phase of the project includes the construction of 14 kilometres of road with two lanes in each direction, as well as one bridge and three interchanges.
The project duration is 22 months.
Highway 55 connects the Red Sea coast with the mainland in northwestern Saudi Arabia. It is currently the only road providing north-south connectivity between Duba and the Neom region.
MEED reported exclusively in August last year that contractors had submitted responses to an expression of interest notice that Neom issued earlier that month.
The project is expected to support cargo movement from Duba Port to other parts of the kingdom and the wider region.
Last year, Neom tested a pilot initiative by handling a shipment that travelled from Cairo via the Port of Safaga, across the Red Sea to the Port of Neom, and then inland to Erbil, Iraq.
In a statement, Neom said: “The shipment travelled through an intermodal corridor spanning over 900 kilometres, marking a significant milestone in the kingdom’s transformation into a regional and global logistics hub.”
The Port of Neom is located on the Red Sea near the Arar border, a key entry point into Iraq.
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