GCC battery storage pipeline hits over 55GWh
28 February 2025
Analysis
Jennifer Aguinaldo
Energy & technology editor

The battery energy storage system (bess) plant project pipeline in the GCC region – mainly in Saudi Arabia and the UAE – has reached 55.4 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of estimated rated capacity.
Data from MEED and regional projects tracker MEED Projects indicates that schemes with a total capacity of about 21.7GWh are under construction, primarily in Saudi Arabia, while bess plants in the pre-execution phase have an estimated cumulative rated capacity of 33.8GWh.
This substantial pipeline has been built over the past two to three years, when a total of 3.9GWh of capacity was built in Saudi Arabia through the 1.3GWh Red Sea multi-utility project and the recently completed 2.6GWh battery energy storage plant by Saudi Arabia's National Grid.
"The main energy storage driver across the GCC region is the rapid deployment of low-cost solar power to meet growing demand," notes Marek Kubik, a Saudi Arabia-based industry expert.
"As photovoltaic (PV) produces power only in the day and is a non-synchronous form of power, this brings with it certain balancing, ramping and stability challenges.
"Bess is needed for storing and shifting solar power from day to night, to reduce congestion and improve utilisation on the transmission system, as well as providing stability services to support stable grid operations," says Kubik.
Capacity ramp-up
With an estimated 775MW/3.9GWh of deployed capacity at the end of 2024, the GCC region accounts for a small proportion of the global deployment of about 160GW or 363GWh, according to the Volta Foundation.
The global not-for-profit group said global bess installations last year accounted for more than 45% of the total cumulative global capacity.
The region is poised to catch up with the rest of the world, however. Saudi Arabia's Bisha bess plant is one of 17 projects globally with a capacity of over 1GWh that entered operations in 2024.
A total of 21.7GWh of capacity is under construction in Saudi Arabia and is expected to be completed by the end of the year, with more under way.
Such growth will likely overtake the 55% year-on-year growth observed by the Volta Foundation.
The GCC region’s first major bess independent power producer (IPP) scheme was integrated into Red Sea Global’s multi-utility package in Saudi Arabia.
Developed by Saudi utility developer Acwa Power and built by China’s Huawei Digital, the 1,300 megawatt-hour (MWh) facility caters to the 28,000 square-kilometre “regenerative” tourism project on the west coast of the kingdom, which is being powered 100% by clean energy.
A bess facility with a capacity of 760MWh is also included in a similar multi-utility package for Red Sea Global’s sister development, Amaala.
The 2.6GWh Bisha represents an important milestone, ushering the kingdom onto the list of the world's top locations for lithium iron phosphate (LFP)-based bess.
So far, every utility or grid operator in the GCC, Morocco and Jordan plans to procure or has started to procure bess capacity independently, to balance their grid as electricity demand and renewable energy capacity increase, or as part of a solar power plant scheme.
In the absence of viable hydropower capacity, which is the main energy storage capacity in non-water-scarce regions, or thermal energy storage systems like molten salt, bess is emerging as the best alternative to enhance the flexibility of existing energy or electricity systems as sources increasingly diversify.
Abu Dhabi state utility Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) received 93 expressions of interest and prequalified more than two dozen companies to bid individually or as members of consortiums for its first pair of bess plants, which will have a capacity of up to 800MWh.
In January, Ewec and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) announced a project that aims to convert solar power into base load capacity by coupling a 5GW solar PV plant with a 19GWh battery energy storage facility in Abu Dhabi.
Falling lithium prices and oversupply
The need for grid flexibility and a steep fall in the price of lithium – the main raw material for the dominant battery technology – has helped utilities to move forward with their plans to procure bess, which was considered cost-prohibitive until a year ago.
According to a BloombergNEF (BNEF) report in December, lithium-ion battery pack prices dropped 20% from 2023, to a record-low of $115 a kilowatt-hour.
Factors driving the decline include cell manufacturing overcapacity, economies of scale, low metal and component prices, the adoption of lower-cost LFP batteries and a slowdown in electric vehicle (EV) sales growth.
In the past two years, battery manufacturers have expanded production capacity in anticipation of surging demand for batteries in the EV and stationary storage sectors.
According to BNEF, overcapacity is rife, with 3.1 terawatt-hours of fully commissioned battery-cell manufacturing capacity globally, which is more than 2.5 times the annual demand for lithium-ion batteries in 2024.
It added that while demand in all sectors saw year-on-year growth, the EV market – the biggest demand driver for batteries – grew more slowly than in recent years.
In contrast, stationary storage markets have taken off, with strong competition in cell and system providers, especially in China.
Completed and under-construction bess plants in the GCC are all supplied by Chinese battery cell and system providers. BYD and Sungow account for 59% and 36% of completed and under-construction battery energy storage plants in Saudi Arabia, respectively, while Huawei accounts for the rest.
Contemporary Amperex Technology Company (CATL) will be supplying the battery cell and systems for Abu Dhabi's round-the-clock 1GW solar project.
Prices are expected to fall further, which will likely accelerate GCC deployments.
Some experts predict the prices could drop to as low as $50/kWh-$25/kWh and, at best, to as low as $10/kWh by the end of the decade, subject to extrapolating current battery learning rates of about 25% for every doubling of capacity.
Longer-duration battery cells
Despite their expected widespread deployment, there are concerns that batteries providing up to six hours of storage may not be sufficient to address the peak electricity demand in most GCC states.
Demand in the GCC states peaks between 6pm and 6am, when air-conditioning systems, street lighting and other home appliances are turned on, and where there is little wind capacity to supply renewable power.
Nevertheless, a staged approach to bess deployment is necessary to get to a fully net-renewable electricity system, says Kubik.
"Around the world, this is approached in a staged manner and bess of increasing duration is added over time, as the depth of renewable penetration increases," he says.
"The GCC has, to an extent, leapfrogged other markets by starting with four-hour to six-hour bess, but over time this need will grow to about eight- to 10-hours, which is enough to move to more or less a ‘baseload’ around-the-clock solar profile. As LFP costs continue to fall, longer-duration systems are rapidly becoming more economic."
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The knock-on effects extend beyond airline revenues. Transfer passengers are also the highest-spending travellers in duty-free, retail and food and beverage outlets. Fitch noted that some Asia-Pacific airports have already begun benefiting from the redistribution of transit and long-haul traffic away from disrupted Gulf hubs.
The global body representing airlines, the International Air Transport Association (Iata), was equally downbeat when it released its latest financial outlook on 8 June. The organisation now expects the global airline industry to achieve a combined net profit of $23bn in 2026 – roughly half the $41bn previously projected and about half the $45bn estimated for 2025. The net profit margin is forecast at 2%, compared with the earlier projection of 3.9% and last year’s 4.2%. Net profit per passenger is expected to be $4.50, down from $9.10 in 2025.
“War-related disruptions in the Middle East and rising fuel costs have shifted the outlook for airlines to the worse,” said Willie Walsh, Iata’s director general. “At the regional level, all are in the black but with sharply reduced financial performance, with the exception of the Middle East. The Gulf carriers face operational uncertainty following a near complete shutdown of airspace at the outbreak of the war. These carriers are doing an amazing job maintaining connectivity, but major financial impacts are unavoidable.”
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Fitch also raised concerns about the availability of jet fuel in Europe, noting potential disruption to Middle Eastern supply chains. While the agency expects European fuel reserves to cover the summer months even if the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, it cautioned that winter operations could prove more challenging if the disruption persists. Higher airfares and fuel surcharges could further weigh on near-term demand – a headwind for Gulf airports that have benefited in recent years from the restoration of long-haul leisure travel following the Covid-19 pandemic.
The insurance market adds another layer of complexity. Aviation policies typically grant insurers the right to cancel cover during active conflict, and the terms on which cover is being extended in a region that has seen airports repeatedly targeted are likely to be materially more expensive than before.
Jet fuel prices are expected to average $152 a barrel for the year – an increase of almost 70% on the $90-a-barrel average recorded in 2025
Carrier optimism
The Gulf’s airlines are more optimistic about the future. Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways said in early June that it is operating at 90% of its pre-war available seat kilometres – the key industry capacity metric – and that by 15 June the airline will surpass 100%. Planes are 84% full, and crucially, fares are back at pre-war levels. Officials at the airline say that demand for transit through Abu Dhabi from Paris to Asia is running so strongly that the airline is laying on two of its A380 aircraft a day on that corridor from July.
While the expectation in the industry outside the Gulf had been that carriers such as Etihad and Emirates would need to discount heavily to entice passengers back after the ceasefire, Etihad has said that it does not expect prices to come down.
The airline will not be entirely unscathed. Etihad had been on course to deliver a 10% operating margin in 2026, up from 8% in 2025, but that target will now be missed. The airline was badly hit in March, April and May and will not be fully back on track until August.
Dubai’s Emirates Group released its 2025-26 annual results in May, which confirmed the airline’s status as the world’s most profitable carrier for the reporting year. The group posted a record profit before tax of AED24.4bn ($6.6bn), up 7% year-on-year, on revenues of AED150.5bn, also a record.
Unprecedented situation
The context is important: the results cover the financial year to 31 March 2026, meaning only the final month of March was affected by the conflict. For the first 11 months, the group was surpassing its targets every month. March then brought what Emirates’ chairman and chief executive Sheikh Ahmed Bin Saeed Al-Maktoum described as an “unprecedented situation”. Emirates was flying just 58% of its capacity by 31 March.
Despite the disruption, the results illustrate the depth of the financial cushion the group has built. Emirates also announced a 20-week salary bonus for employees – far exceeding the 13-week payout that had been linked to performance targets. For the year ahead, Sheikh Ahmed said Emirates would continue taking aircraft deliveries and pressing ahead with its retrofit programme, without resorting to “knee-jerk cost control measures”. The group has hedged its fuel exposure through to 2028-29. “Our fundamentals are strong,” he said.
On 8 June, Riyadh Air – the airline backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund – announced five new destinations: Cairo, Dubai, Jeddah, Madrid and Manchester, coinciding with the arrival of its first three Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner aircraft. The airline also moved up its inaugural London flight from 1 July to 10 June.
The airline will play a key role in delivering Saudi Arabia’s ambition to develop Riyadh into a global aviation hub and to position the kingdom as a major connecting point between East and West. The carrier has set a target of connecting Riyadh to more than 100 destinations worldwide by 2030. Pressing ahead with new routes and aircraft deliveries amid regional turbulence sends a signal that Saudi Arabia’s aviation ambitions are not for deferral.
Future direction
Looking ahead, there appears to be diverging fortunes for the sector. Globally, analysts say point-to-point leisure airports are typically better positioned than large hubs reliant on transfer traffic and international corridors, and this may also play out across the Middle East. Airports with a large share of local origin-and-destination demand may prove better insulated compared with the major connecting hubs whose business models depend on stable long-haul routings.
For the Gulf’s flagship hub carriers, including Emirates, Etihad and Qatar Airways, state ownership and strong backing mean that the question is less about survival and more about how long it will take to restore the full confidence of international airlines and their passengers.
Much remains uncertain. A ceasefire is in place and, as Sheikh Ahmed noted in the Emirates annual report, there are hopes for “a clear resolution to the hostilities soon, and a return to market stability”. But the drone attack on Kuwait shows that the threat from Iran to the region’s aviation infrastructure has not been neutralised. The coming months will be crucial in determining the long-term trajectory of Gulf aviation.
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