meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Familiar realities threaten Egypt’s energy ambitions

7 February 2024

This package on Egypt's power sector also includes:

> Egypt to complete Gabal El Zeit wind farms sale
> Egypt president and Putin mark El Dabaa construction
> EBRD invests in 1.1GW Egypt wind farm
> Scatec in talks for Nagaa Hammadi solar project
> Team signs land deal for 1.1GW Egypt wind project
> Acwa Power moves forward with Egypt green hydrogen project

 

As of early 2024, Egypt appears to have come full circle in terms of providing electricity services to its citizens.

The country faced severe power shortages in 2013-14, which gave way to the fast-tracked construction of 14.4GW of gas-powered generation capacity in 2018. This, along with the increase in renewable energy capacity, resulted in a surplus of up to 25%, yet since late last year consumers have once again been experiencing power outages lasting up to two hours.

This time, however, the power outages – which began in the summer of 2023 and are expected to last until March this year – are not due to a capacity deficit.

The government-initiated load-shedding programme initially aimed to rein in rising electricity consumption and reduce pressure on the country's gas network.

According to the country’s Electricity & Renewable Energy Ministry, national electricity consumption reached 43,650MW in mid-July last year, up significantly from previous highs of about 31,000MW.

While the record-high consumption level is still way below the official generation installed capacity of close to 60,000MW, consumption levels of between 34,000MW and 36,000MW will require around 129-146 million cubic metres of gas and diesel a day.

Barring load-shedding, any increase in consumption beyond 36,000MW will require a commensurate increase in gas and diesel, which is understood to be beyond the government’s capacity to procure.

Crucially, the other side of the electricity rationing initiative has to do with the need to save gas for exports, to boost the government’s dollar reserves in the face of the ongoing currency crisis.

Frustration over the power cuts and their impact on job productivity and the overall economy has been growing over the past few months.

There are no magic pills, however, and any solution needs to start with broader economic and energy sector reforms, to improve the prospects of attracting investments, notes Jessica Obeid, a partner at Dubai-headquartered New Energy Consult.

“Reducing reliance on gas for domestic power generation and increasing renewable energy plus storage are critical, not only to reduce the shortage gap but also to improve energy security, since one gas field, Zohr, feeds almost half of the domestic needs,” she explains. “In the immediate term, doubling down on energy-efficient measures and demand-side management is needed.”

It is an awkward and unprecedented situation for the North African state, which has espoused a clear intention – and started executing relevant projects – to establish itself as a regional energy hub, exporting natural gas and electricity to neighbouring countries, as well as to Europe.

“The government has signaled its prioritisation of exports, although no economy can grow nor become a hub while dealing with energy shortages,” Obeid says.

“The Egyptian government has showcased that the focus is on economic revenues from gas exports, even if that is at the expense of the living conditions of the citizens. However, Egypt cannot realise its hefty regional ambitions without efficient measures and reforms to mend the high domestic reliance on gas, and the lower gas production prospects.”

Another expert on Egypt’s energy policies notes that the country is in a tough spot and “needs ideas to move ahead from this”.

In addition to its energy hub plans, Egypt could look into other opportunities such as setting up repair hubs for ships, as well as education centres to cater to the needs of those hubs, the expert suggests, while noting – as Obeid does – the need for wide-ranging reforms, including improving the rule of law and developing alternative sources of wealth and income.

Important milestones

Six months of electricity rationing makes it easy to overlook the cumulative – though, in hindsight, insufficient – steps that Egypt has taken to avoid falling once again into the power outage trap.

Egypt has one of the highest renewable energy penetration rates in relation to overall installed capacity in the Middle East and North Africa region. While this is commendable, it has only served to highlight the weakness of the country's electricity grid when it comes to handling intermittent renewable energy sources such as solar and wind.

Nonetheless, the country is continuing to build additional renewable energy capacity, including hydropower, and with the help of Russian financing, it has also embarked on the construction of its first nuclear power plant. These projects could replace the ageing oil and gas fleet, lowering the sector's emissions while also supporting the country's energy diversification and security agendas.

Egypt aims to be a global green hydrogen and ammonia hub, and signed preliminary agreements for over a dozen such schemes when it hosted the UN global climate summit, Cop27, in November 2022.

If these projects reach the execution stage, not only do they have the potential to advance the country’s ambition to be a global green energy hub, they will also help to attract much-needed dollars to fund its economic diversification plans.

However, the ability to implement reforms and develop bankable projects lies at the heart of the deployment of any technology in Egypt, points out Obeid.

“Egypt’s existing experience in hydrogen, and being part of that trade market, along with abundant renewable energy resources, a vast land [area] and the country’s geographic location are enablers of a hydrogen market," she says.

“Yet, Egypt’s economic and financial challenges have led to higher interest rates, lower lending capacity and higher costs for system components, and these need to be addressed first.”

Never say die 

Despite a bleak short- to medium-term outlook, some projects are moving ahead in Egypt.

The European Bank for Reconstruction & Development will invest $75m in equity in the Netherlands-based subsidiary of Egypt's Hassan Allam Utilities, which along with Saudi utility developer Acwa Power is co-developing a wind independent power producer scheme in the country's Gulf of Suez and Gabal El Zeit area.

Acwa Power also reached financial close for a 200MW solar photovoltaic facility in Kom Ombo in August last year, two years after the project was put on hold due to rising solar panel and freight costs.

Even the 505MW Amunet wind farm project, located in Ras Ghareb in the Gulf of Suez on the Red Sea coast, is moving ahead. A consortium of the UAE-based Amea Power and Japan’s Sumitomo Corporation last year enlisted Shanghai-headquartered Envision Energy to supply wind turbines for the project.

According to the New & Renewable Energy Authority (NREA), solar and wind projects with a total capacity of close to 3.5GW were under development in Egypt as of the end of 2023, while schemes totalling 39GW are in the planning stage. 

Hydrogen and ammonia

In November, Abu Dhabi-based Fertiglobe delivered what might have been the world's first internationally certified renewable ammonia from its pilot electrolyser site in Egypt to India. The ammonia will be used to produce near-zero-emissions synthetic soda ash – a key ingredient in laundry powder – for Unilever.

Several planned integrated green hydrogen projects in Egypt are in the pre-front-end engineering and design (pre-feed) stage.

One of the green ammonia projects is being developed by Germany's DAI Infrastruktur. To be located in East Port Said, the Ra green ammonia project will have a total production capacity of 2 million tonnes a year (mtpa) of green ammonia, of which 1.65 mtpa is expected to be based purely on renewable energy resources when complete.

DAI has signed a preliminary agreement with Siemens Energy, which plans to supply electrolysers, auxiliary plant systems and critical equipment making up the hydrogen island of the project.

DAI and UK-headquartered Freepan Holding are also understood to have signed an offtake agreement for the ammonia produced at the Ra plant. The 10-year offtake agreement covers 800,000 tonnes a year of ammonia, with the first green ammonia delivery to Freepan expected in 2028.

A similarly sized project is being developed by Amea Power in the coastal town of Ain Sokhna in the Suez governorate. The company is in the process of appointing pre-feed consultants and contractors that will undertake geotechnical, topography and environmental studies for the project.

Detailed studies are also under way for interconnections transporting clean energy from Egypt to Europe, as the latter seeks alternatives to Russian energy exports.

Stakeholders in these projects will continue to monitor the Egyptian government's management of its energy policies at home and abroad over the next few months as they decide the next steps in their investment plans.

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11489597/main.jpg
Jennifer Aguinaldo

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Dubai receives $22bn tunnels investor prequalifications

    30 October 2024

    Potential investors have submitted their statements of qualifications (SOQs) for a contract to develop and operate various packages of the $22bn Dubai Strategic Sewerage Tunnels (DSST) project.

    MEED understands the project client, the Dubai Municipality, received SOQs from over a dozen companies, including several that have been prequalified as engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors for the project's first four packages.

    According to industry sources, the companies that are keen to prequalify as investors or sponsors of the planned public-private partnership (PPP) project include:

    • Abrdn Investcorp Infrastructure Investments Manager (UK)
    • Besix (Belgium)
    • China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC)
    • China Railway Engineering Group (CREG)
    • China State Construction Engineering Corporation (China)
    • Itochu (Japan)
    • Plenary (Australia)
    • Samsung C&T (South Korea)
    • Vision Invest (Saudi Arabia)
    • WeBuild (Italy)

    The project client and its consultants held a consortium match-making event for prospective contractors and sponsors or investors in Dubai on 7 October.

    MEED previously reported that the bidders for the six public-private partnership (PPP) packages will be prequalified consortiums comprised of sponsors or investors; engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors; and operations and maintenance contractors.

    The overall project will require a capital expenditure of about AED30bn ($8bn), while the whole-life cost over the full concession terms of the entire project is estimated to reach AED80bn.

    The investor prequalification process for the scheme comes after the client prequalified EPC contractors that can partner with the developers or investors to bid for the contracts.

    MEED understands that packages J1 and W will be tendered together as separate contracts first, followed by J2 and J3, with the requests for proposals to be issued sequentially, staggered about six to 12 months apart.

    Dubai Municipality is expected to invite prequalified companies to submit bids for the contracts to develop the first two packages of the DSST project in the fourth quarter of 2024.

    DSST packages

    Under the current plan, the $22bn DSST project is broken down into six packages, which will be tendered as PPP packages with concession periods lasting between 25 and 35 years.

    The first package, J1, comprises Jebel Ali tunnels (North) and terminal pump stations (TPS). The tunnels will extend approximately 42 kilometres (km), and the links will extend 10km. 

    The second package, J2, covers the southern section of the Jebel Ali tunnels, which will extend 16km and have a link stretching 46km.

    W for Warsan, the third package, comprises 16km of tunnels, TPS and 46km of links.

    J3, the fourth package, comprises 129km of links.

    J1, J2, W and J3 will comprise the deep sewerage tunnels, links and TPS (TLT) components of the overall project.

    J1, J2 and W will be procured under a design-build-finance-operate-maintain model with a concession period of 25-35 years.

    J3 will be procured under a design-build-finance model with a concession period of 25-35 years. Once completed, Dubai Municipality will operate J3, unlike the first three packages, which are planned to be operated and maintained by the winning PPP contractors.  

    The project’s remaining two packages entail the expansion and upgrade of the Jebel Ali and Warsan sewage treatment plants.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12804424/main.jpg
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • TotalEnergies $11bn hydrogen project starts pre-feed

    30 October 2024

     

    France’s TotalEnergies has started the pre-front-end engineering and design (feed) for its planned $11bn integrated project to produce green hydrogen and ammonia in Morocco, according to a company spokesperson.

    TotalEnergies signed the joint development agreement with the relevant authorities and ministers in Morocco on 28 October, during French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to the North African state.

    It was previously reported that the planned integrated facility would be located in Guelmim-Oued Noun in southern Morocco.

    TotalEnergies’ chairman and CEO, Patrick Pouyanne, signed the agreement for the local production of green hydrogen and ammonia in the presence of Morocco’s King Mohammed VI and Macron.

    The counterparties included Morocco’s Energy Minister, Leila Benali; Economy and Finance Minister, Nadia Fattah; Interior Minister, Abdelouafi Laftit; and Minister Delegate in charge of Investment, Karim Zidane.

    It is understood that the project will require the development of 10GW of solar and wind energy and a land area of 187,000 hectares.

    It was reported that Morocco’s Unified Regional Investment Commission had approved the project’s launch in November 2022.

    The other agreements signed during Macron’s visit to Morocco cover financial cooperation in the rail, forestry, aviation, logistics and energy sectors, with a particular focus on decarbonisation and energy transition.

    TotalEnergies has been exploring green hydrogen and other related projects in the Middle East and North Africa region.

    In August, the Courbevoie-headquartered firm and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) signed an agreement to assess the viability of developing a commercial green hydrogen-to-methanol-to-sustainable aviation fuel (saf) project.

    It is also among the early investors in UK-based Xlinks First, which aims to deliver the $18bn Morocco-UK power interconnector project. TotalEnergies acquired a minority stake in the company following an investment of $25.4m announced in November last year.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12819510/main.gif
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • Decarbonising steel is hard to resist

    29 October 2024

    Commentary
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
    Energy & technology editor

    A pilot green hydrogen plant supplying a small amount of colourless gas that will be used to extract iron from iron ore – a key steelmaking step – is not a big deal, especially given the multibillion-dollar industrial and petrochemicals investments that this region has grown accustomed to over the past decades.  

    The project can be seen as a just one element of Abu Dhabi's multi-pronged strategy to decarbonise large swathes of its economy, given that the client for this project, the newly rebranded Emsteel, holds a 60% share in the local steel industry and exports products to about 70 countries.    

    The global steel industry accounts for about 7% of annual greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

    On one hand, it will take a lot more than a few electrolysers to produce hydrogen that will be used to further decarbonise Emsteel's production and operations; on the other, a small first step is required to make a future big leap given the enormity and urgency of the challenge, and the vast investment it requires.

    Specific details are sparse regarding the pilot plant and the future timeline to scale hydrogen production at Emsteel's manufacturing complex in Abu Dhabi.

    However, as the executives of Emsteel and its hydrogen partner, Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar), have said, the completion of the pilot project is a vital first step towards producing certifiable green steel, which is expected to enjoy brisk demand as pressures to decarbonise sectors such as construction increase across the globe.

    As it is, Emsteel's credentials include being the world's first steelmaker to capture part of its carbon dioxide emissions, thanks to Abu Dhabi National Oil Company's (Adnoc) Al-Reyadah carbon capture, utilisation and storage facility. This has enabled the company to operate with "45% less carbon intensity than the global average". Its utilisation of clean energy also rose above 80% last year.

    Today, from the vantage point of the stakeholders, the specific details of the pilot project matter less than what it signifies, which is that Abu Dhabi intends to become a major green steel producer, and that it can transform a hard-to-abate sector into a hard to resist one.

     

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12812275/main.jpg
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • Neom to tender hydropower contract

    29 October 2024

     

    Neom's utility subsidiary Enowa is expected to issue the request for proposals (RFP) for a contract to develop and operate the first phase of a pumped hydropower storage (PHS) network catering to Saudi Arabia's Neom gigaproject before the end of the year.

    The planned first phase of Neom’s PHS project, known as Nestor, will have an installed capacity of 2,200MW and a storage capacity of 23.1 gigawatt-hours, or about 11 hours, according to industry sources.

    Enowa received statements of qualifications from international and local developers and investors on 30 June.

    However, it has yet to release the prequalification evaluation results. 

    "As far as we know, the RFP is set to be issued some time in December this year," a source familiar with the project tells MEED. 

    The Nestor project will be developed using a build-own-operate-transfer model that is expected to cover 40 years, excluding the construction period.

    The expected capital expenditure for the project is $2.7bn.

    Enowa received expressions of interest in bidding for the project from developers and contractors in January this year.

    PHS network

    The overall infrastructure will involve developing four PHS stations in Neom. The planned schemes will form the backbone of an energy storage infrastructure at the SR1.5tn ($500bn) development. 

    The other three planned PHS projects will be located in Al-Qimmah, Nima and Beach Mountain, and will have capacities of about 3,000MW, 1,000MW and 3,000MW, respectively.

    UK-based HSBC and US-based White & Case are advising the client on the scheme.

    The PHS independent power project will complement Neom’s planned multi-gigawatt renewable energy infrastructure, in line with its vision of being 100% powered by renewable energy by 2030.

    A PHS facility typically comprises two water reservoirs at different elevations that can generate power when water passes through a turbine and moves down or is discharged from the upper reservoir to the lower reservoir.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12812234/main.jpg
    Jennifer Aguinaldo
  • TotalEnergies signs $11bn Morocco green hydrogen deal

    29 October 2024

    France's TotalEnergies has signed an agreement to develop an $11bn project to produce hydrogen and green ammonia in Morocco.

    It was previously reported that the planned integrated facility will be located in Guelmim-Oued Noun in southern Morocco.

    The deal is one of 22 that were signed during French President Emmanuel Macron's visit to the North African state on 28 October.

    TotalEnergies' chairman and CEO, Patrick Pouyanne, signed the agreement for the local production of green hydrogen and ammonia in the presence of Morocco's King Mohammed VI and Macron, according to local media reports.

    The counterparty includes Morocco's Energy Minister, Leila Benali; Economy & Finance Minister, Nadia Fattah; Interior Minister, Abdelouafi Laftit; and Minister Delegate in charge of Investment, Karim Zidane.

    It is understood that the project will require the development of 10GW of solar and wind energy and a land area of 187,000 hectares.

    It was reported that Morocco's Unified Regional Investment Commission had approved the project’s launch in November 2022.

    The other agreements signed during Macron's visit to Morocco cover financial cooperation in the rail, forestry, aviation, logistics and energy sectors, with a particular focus on decarbonisaton and energy transition.

    TotalEnergies has been exploring green hydrogen and other related projects in the Middle East and North Africa region.

    In August, the Courbevoie-headquartered firm and Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company (Masdar) signed an agreement to assess the viability of developing a commercial green hydrogen to methanol to sustainable aviation fuel (saf) project.

    It is also among the early investors in UK-based Xlinks First, which aims to deliver the $18bn Morocco-UK power interconnector project. TotalEnergies acquired a minority stake in the company following an investment of $25.4m, which was announced in November last year.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/12811486/main.gif
    Jennifer Aguinaldo