Energy security facilitates upstream spending
1 March 2023
MEED's upstream oil & gas report also includes: Hydrocarbons exploration rebounds
Middle East and North Africa (Mena) oil and gas producers have stepped up to the challenge of meeting the world’s energy needs, especially since the outbreak of the Russia- Ukraine war in February 2022. Although state-owned and private energy producers alike are motivated by the profitability that high commodity prices bring, supply from the region is critical in addressing global energy security.
Regional hydrocarbons producers spent almost $19bn on upstream projects in 2022 as they sought to swiftly bring additional energy supplies online to offset the impact of the lack of Russian volumes on the global market, and particularly on Europe.
With the larger issue of an effective energy transition taking longer than projected, coupled with the prevailing supply shortage, Mena players have put in place major capital expenditure (capex) plans to boost their long-term oil and gas production potential.
The overall value of Mena oil and gas production projects in various pre-execution stages is more than $125bn, according to regional projects tracker MEED Projects.
Robust upstream spending
Qatar dominated spending on upstream projects for the second year in a row in 2022, accounting for more than a third of the $18.9bn of engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract awards in the Mena region.
With the goal of consolidating its position as the world’s largest supplier of gas, QatarEnergy is making progress with its North Field liquefied natural gas (LNG) expansion programme, estimated to be worth about $30bn. This will raise Qatar’s LNG production to 126 million tonnes a year (t/y) in two phases by 2027.
The two-stage North Field Production Sustainability (NFPS) programme will run in parallel, to help maintain gas production from the large offshore reserve in order to match the feedstock requirements of the LNG expansion scheme.
QatarEnergy’s biggest award in 2022 was a $4.5bn EPC contract won by Italian contractor Saipem. It covers the building and installation of two gas compression facilities as part of the second development phase of the NFPS project.
The two gas compression complexes covered in the package will weigh 62,000 tonnes and 63,000 tonnes and will be the largest fixed steel jacket compression platforms ever built.
Saudi Aramco allocated a capex budget of $40bn-$50bn for 2022, an increase on the $31.9bn it spent in 2021. The firm came second to QatarEnergy, spending about $5.8bn on upstream EPC contracts in 2022.
Aramco awarded contracts for 11 offshore engineering, procurement, construction and installation (EPCI) tenders during the year to contractors in its Long-Term Agreement (LTA) pool of offshore service providers.
Through these offshore structure refurbishment and modification works, Aramco intends to maintain and enhance the oil and gas production capacity of its Abu Safah, Manifa, Marjan, Qatif and Safaniya fields.
In the first quarter of 2022, Aramco also selected Japanese contractor JGC Corporation for the two main onshore packages of the Zuluf upstream project. Package one is estimated to be the bigger of the two onshore packages, with an approximate contract value of $2bn-$2.5bn. It covers EPC work to build hydrocarbons processing facilities. Package two, covering utilities and water injection facilities, is estimated to be worth about $1bn.
Healthy projects pipeline
With regional energy producers stepping up efforts to achieve their oil and gas output goals more quickly, the level of spending on upstream EPC project contracts this year is expected to increase to almost three times that of 2022.
Iran is still under the weight of economic sanctions and has failed to reach an agreement with Western governments regarding its nuclear programme. Despite this, the country appears to still be striving to increase its oil and gas production levels.
State-owned Pars Oil & Gas Company (POGC) is understood to be moving ahead with a programme to develop the offshore North Pars gas field, estimated to hold reserves of up to 55 trillion cubic feet.
POGC has undertaken a $16bn EPC project, with offshore and onshore components, to start gas production from North Pars. With Tehran suffering from a lack of foreign investment in its energy sector, however, the actual size of the project could shrink significantly and there could be delays to its development timeline.
QatarEnergy, meanwhile, has progressed to the next phase of its North Field LNG expansion programme, known as North Field South (NFS). Contractors submitted commercial bids in February for the estimated $6bn package covering EPCI work on two main LNG trains.
Investing in growth
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has adopted a five-year business plan with a capex budget of $150bn for 2023-27. The firm has also said it now aims to meet its oil production capacity target of 5 million barrels a day (b/d) by 2027 instead of 2030.
Having brought its oil and gas production capacity targets forward, Adnoc is accelerating work on key projects. The firm plans to raise gas output by 3 billion cubic feet a day (cf/d) in the next few years, and the Hail and Ghasha offshore sour gas production project will be central to achieving this goal.
In January, Adnoc signed pre-construction service agreements with two consortiums of contractors for the offshore and onshore EPC work on the gas production project, which is estimated to be worth more than $10bn.
France-headquartered Technip Energies, South Korean contractor Samsung Engineering and Italy’s Tecnimont have formed a consortium for the Hail and Ghasha onshore package.
Italian contractor Saipem, Abu Dhabi’s National Petroleum Construction Company and state-owned China Petroleum Engineering & Construction Company will work together on the offshore package.
Under the agreements, which are valued at $80m and $60m for the onshore and offshore packages, respectively, the contractors will perform initial detailed engineering and procurement services for critical long-lead items.
The consortiums will also prepare proposals for the main EPC work on the project, which Adnoc will evaluate on an open-book cost estimate basis.
Production from the Ghasha concession, where the Hail and Ghasha fields are located, is expected to start in 2025, ramping up to more than 1.5 billion cf/d before the end of the decade.
Meanwhile, Saudi Aramco is striving to increase its maximum oil output spare capacity to 13 million b/d by 2027 from about 12 million b/d currently, and raise gas production by 50 per cent by the end of this decade.
To realise these targets, Aramco is expected to significantly raise capex on upstream EPC contracts this year. The company is preparing to award more than $3bn-worth of offshore EPCI deals to its LTA contractors before the end of the first quarter of 2023.
Later this year, Aramco is anticipated to award several more multibillion-dollar offshore EPCI jobs. This will include 10 packages of a project to incrementally increase oil production from the Safaniya offshore oil and gas field in Saudi Arabia – the world’s largest offshore oil field.
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Abu Dhabi hopes bigger is better with Disney theme park
8 May 2025
Commentary
Colin Foreman
EditorEver since Aldar Properties first launched the Yas Island project with its Yas Marina Circuit for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix in 2006, Abu Dhabi has been steadily adding theme parks to the island’s roster of attractions. First, there was the Ferrari theme park, then came a water park, a Warner Bros theme park and, most recently, SeaWorld.
The theory with theme park development is bigger is better.
A destination needs a series of parks to create a critical mass to attract visitors who can stay and enjoy multiple parks in one visit. The example always cited is Florida, which is home to many of the world’s largest theme parks, including Disney World.
The theory gained particular traction in the region when Dubai Parks and Resorts opened. The company, which was public until it was acquired by Meraas in 2021, reported significant losses as it struggled to attract enough visitors.
Although it opened with Legoland, Legoland Waterpark, Motiongate and Bollywood theme parks, insiders said that the problem with the development was that it did not have enough attractions to turn it into a successful theme park destination.
The financial performance of theme parks on Yas Island has not been publicly disclosed. While it is accepted that they have been more successful than their counterparts in Dubai, some say that the island still does not have the critical mass required to establish itself as a global destination for theme park visitors.
Miral has developed a series of theme parks and other entertainment-related attractions on Yas Island
Enter Disney
Disney changes that. It is the largest brand in the theme park space and will be a major attraction, but with limited information released on the project so far, it is difficult to fully gauge how significant the project will be.
The official release said that the project will be developed and operated by Abu Dhabi developer Miral, adding that Disney’s in-house design and engineering unit, Walt Disney Imagineering, will lead creative design and operational oversight to provide a world-class experience. It did not give any details on the ownership of the project.
In Hong Kong, for example, a company, Hong Kong International Theme Parks, was established as a joint venture, with the Government of Hong Kong holding 57% and The Walt Disney Company holding 43%.
In Japan, the structure is different. The Tokyo Disney Resort is owned and operated by Oriental Land, and the company pays licences and royalties to The Walt Disney Company.
In interviews following the launch announcement, Miral CEO Mohamed Abdalla Al-Zaabi confirmed the arrangement will be like Tokyo.
Waterfront location
The official release for the Abu Dhabi launch also said that the project is on Yas Island, which only has limited areas of land to develop. The release also said that the land is waterfront, and imagery in the launch video shows the Abu Dhabi skyline in the background, suggesting the land is on the northern waterfront of Yas Island.
There is a substantial tract of undeveloped land on the north shore of the island, which measures about 2 square kilometres (sq km). This is larger than the site that Hong Kong Disneyland occupies, and much smaller than Disney World in Florida, which spans an area of 111 sq km – nearly five times the size of the whole of Yas Island and nearly double the size of Abu Dhabi Island.
The hope is that Yas Island will become a leading global theme park destination and attract large numbers of visitors wanting a holiday with multiple theme park visits
Exclusivity clause
Another area of interest will be whether Abu Dhabi has an exclusivity agreement with Disney for the region. No exclusivity was mentioned at the launch, but in Hong Kong, the issue became contentious when Disney announced plans to build a park shortly after Disneyland Hong Kong opened. Local politicians criticised the Hong Kong government for not including an exclusivity clause in its deal with Disney.
Tourism gateway
Like Hong Kong, Abu Dhabi is a smaller economy sitting next to a larger regional player. With Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030 strategy and its existing roster of theme park developments at Qiddiya, which includes a Six Flags, a water park and a Dragon Ball Z theme park, developers in Riyadh would likely be keen to have a Disney theme park, too.
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If that potential is realised, then the bigger is better theory will be proved right. If the park’s performance disappoints, then it will suggest the region is not such a great destination for theme parks after all.
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Firms bag $850m Qatar substation contracts
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Four local and international firms have won contracts for the construction of seven high-voltage substations in Qatar.
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Qatar Minister of State for Energy Affairs, Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi, and senior executives from Kahramaa and the contracting firms signed the deals at a ceremony held in Doha.
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Qatar has been ramping up its power generation capacity in recent years.
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The two plants have a combined capacity of 875MW and will more than double Qatar’s solar energy production to 1,675MW.
In February, Qatar Electricity & Water Company (QEWC) and Kahramaa signed a power-purchase agreement for a 511MW peak electricity generation plant at Ras Abu Fontas, which will have a total cost of approximately QR1.6bn. The peak power plant is scheduled to become operational by January 2027.
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Photo credit: Kahramaa
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OQ to take interest in Oman renewable projects
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Data centres churn investments
8 May 2025
Global investment firm KKR appointed retired US Army general and former Central Intelligence Agency director David Petraeus as chairman of its Middle East operations in mid-April.
The move is indicative of the region’s importance as a destination for the firm’s future investments, and capitalises on the strength of the relationships Petraeus has forged with Gulf country leaders during his years as a top US military strategist.
KKR’s most recent commitment in the region entails acquiring a stake in UAE-based Gulf Data Hub (GDH), which operates seven data centres in the UAE and Saudi Arabia. The UAE firm plans to build additional data centre facilities in Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, and KKR has committed to support its $5bn expansion plan.
“[Petraeus' appointment] is a good move on their part. It reinforces the region’s growing status and importance as a data centre investment destination, due to a significant interest in artificial intelligence (AI) deployments,” says a senior executive with an international data centre operator.
KKR’s prior investments in the region include a partnership with Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) in 2019 to create Adnoc Oil Pipelines, and acquiring a portfolio of commercial aircraft from Abu Dhabi’s Etihad Airways in 2020.
The private equity firm’s investment in GDH, however, shows only part of the picture as far as the rapidly evolving data centre investment landscape is concerned.
In March, Abu Dhabi-based critical infrastructure-focused sovereign investor ADQ and US-headquartered power developer Energy Capital Partners agreed to establish a 50:50 partnership to build new power generation and energy infrastructure that will serve the long-term needs of data centres and industrial clusters in the US and selected other international markets.
The two firms plan to make total capital investments of more than $25bn across 25GW-worth of projects. The combined initial capital contribution from the partners is expected to amount to $5bn.
That announcement came a day after UAE National Security Adviser and Deputy Ruler of Abu Dhabi, Sheikh Tahnoon Bin Zayed Al-Nahyan, met with US President Donald Trump at the White House. During the meeting, the UAE is understood to have committed to a 10-year, $1.4tn investment framework for the US.
Tech funds
In the past 24 months, Abu Dhabi and Riyadh in particular have set up funds, sometimes in partnership with global firms, to invest in AI and data centre infrastructure, both domestically and abroad.
Abu Dhabi’s MGX aims to build $100bn in assets under management within a few years, along with US-headquartered and Blackrock-backed Global Infrastructure Partners and Microsoft, the fund's key partners. It is part of the US’ Stargate consortium, which aims to mobilise up to $500bn to build AI infrastructure in the US over the next four years.
In Riyadh, a $100bn AI initiative known as Project Transcendence is expected to invest in data centres, technology startups and other related infrastructure for the development of AI.
US-based Silver Lake announced in March 2025 that, together with MGX, it has become a minority shareholder in state-backed, Abu Dhabi-based Khazna Data Centres, one of the region’s largest data centre operators.
In 2023, Saudi sovereign wealth vehicle the Public Investment Fund (PIF) partnered with US-based DigitalBridge to develop data centres in Saudi Arabia and across the GCC states.
In early 2025, Saudi Arabia-based DataVolt – which is owned by Vision Invest, a major shareholder in Saudi utility developer Acwa Power and a public-private partnership advocate – signed a preliminary agreement to build a data centre in Neom, Saudi Arabia. The $5bn facility, with an initial phase of 300MW, is the first of many such schemes that DataVolt is planning.
Not to be outdone, the founder of Dubai-based private real estate developer Damac pledged to invest $20bn in data centre projects in several US cities earlier this year.
And there is more to the growing – if outsized – number of bidirectional data centre-focused investment flows than meets the eye.
Given the global AI race and mounting competition, investment decisions regarding data centres are moving from a simple, commercial focus to account for complex geopolitical considerations, according to Jessica Obeid, a partner at Dubai-headquartered New Energy Consult.
“As the US weaponises its technological advancements, decisions to invest in US-based data centres hedge against the risks of US export controls, positioning developers in proximity to suppliers, ensuring reliable access to components.
“Yet, this access could become costlier, driven by trade tariff wars, heightened regulations and limited access to grid infrastructure,” Obeid says.
She adds that the GCC is quickly positioning itself as a global digital hub, driven by cost-competitive energy, advanced infrastructure and strong government backing.
“Proximity to reliable power supply at an affordable cost, and speed in licensing processes and grid connections, are increasingly becoming strategic factors in data centre deployment – and the GCC offers that.”
Powering AI strategies
Almost all of the GCC states have formulated AI strategies that aim to improve operational efficiencies, create jobs and support their energy transition and net-zero initiatives.
As a result, analysts expect the region to register double-digit annual growth in data centre construction activities in the next few years.
In a recent update, global consultancy PwC projected that the Middle East data centre capacity could triple from 1GW in 2025 to 3.3GW in five years’ time.
According to data from regional projects tracker MEED Projects, as of April, an estimated $12bn-worth of data centre construction projects are in the planning stage, in addition to over $820m under bid and $7bn under construction.
Li-Chen Sim, assistant professor of civil security at Abu Dhabi’s Khalifa University, says that AI investments are, on the one hand, “all part of a carefully conceived strategy to … diversify out of a hydrocarbons-driven economy, to create new revenue streams from overseas data centres, build new growth sectors, support business requirements and offer more knowledge-based jobs as opposed to traditional manufacturing from domestic investments”.
On the other hand, AI investments also aim to future-proof the hydrocarbons sector, which Sim expects will continue to be a significant driver of growth, revenue and exports, even as the use of renewable power grows.
However, the ability of Gulf states to execute their plans for leveraging AI to diversify economies and create jobs –and specifically to address youth unemployment – depends on two factors, according to Obeid.
The first factor is the ability of countries to advance their AI goals from infrastructure to capital and partnerships. The second involves the speed with which they can build up adequate human capital and a skilled workforce.
“We will have to see how governments align their educational curricula with the AI policies and electricity infrastructure development,” she says.
Ecosystem investment
AI and data centre investments go beyond the facilities that house thousands of advanced graphics processing units, miles of cables and many cooling systems. To run and execute applications – particularly AI inferencing tasks – data centre facilities require a substantial amount of energy.
Moreover, data centres in the Middle East and North Africa region face elevated environmental risks due to the high ambient temperatures, which increase energy demand for cooling, as well as water requirements.
This presents both a challenge and an opportunity, according to Obeid. "The GCC has an opportunity to advance innovation in energy and cooling technologies. Liquid cooling is necessary for AI workloads, and small modular reactors will become central in these data centres.”
In January, Abu Dhabi’s Emirates Water & Electricity Company (Ewec) appeared to show the way with a plan to build a round-the-clock solar photovoltaic (PV) plant combined with a battery energy storage system (bess) facility.
The 5.2GW solar PV and 19 gigawatt-hour bess plant is expected to deliver renewable power as baseload, and UAE President Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Bin Sultan Al-Nahyan has said that the project will help power advancements in AI and emerging technologies, and support the delivery of the UAE National AI Strategy 2031 and 2050 Net Zero initiative.
Sim agrees that renewables combined with battery storage is part of the answer when it comes to building sustainable data centres. “Globally, data centres consume about 1% of electricity, and this figure – together with carbon emissions by data centres – is expected to grow significantly.”
He notes that Goldman Sachs Research forecasts that global power demand from data centres will increase 50% by 2027, and 165% by the end of the decade, compared to 2023.
“The other part of the puzzle with regard to sustainability is water consumption by data centres, particularly those in the Gulf, where high temperatures necessitate even more cooling measures.
“Singapore, for instance, has pioneered integrated water systems that recycle treated wastewater for reuse – and this circular water model could be an option for data centres in the Gulf, instead of using expensive desalinated water,” says Sim.
As things stand, the GCC can play a key role in the advancement of these and other technologies, along with efficiency measures and the optimisation of server utilisation through AI applications such as digital twins, says Obeid.
This is just as well, since the region appears to be on the cusp of a boom in inbound and outbound investments that will build data centre capacity abroad and closer to home.
“We are at a pivotal moment for innovation, where the intersection of digital advancements and energy innovation could position the GCC as a global leader, shaping the future of sustainable digital infrastructure,” concludes Obeid.
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