Egypt faces political and economic trials

22 February 2024

Commentary
John Bambridge
Analysis editor

Egypt finds itself both at the centre of a regional conflagration of conflict and in an increasingly difficult fiscal position – challenges that are requiring Cairo to think carefully about its every move.

Since October, the war in Gaza has compounded the perils on Egypt’s borders, with the protracted civil strife in Libya to the west and the fierce fighting in the Sudanese civil war to the south. 

The latest conflict has robbed Egypt of its last remaining quiescent land border and triggered strikes by the Houthis on shipping in the Red Sea that have in turn dramatically impacted the revenue from the passage of traffic through the Suez Canal. It has also pushed the Egyptian government into a complex geopolitical standoff with Israel.

Domestically, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi’s administration is wrestling with a deepening fiscal crisis driven by a decade of extravagant spending on infrastructure projects across the country. Public debt now stands at around 90% of GDP, and debt servicing has been increasingly eating into the budget in recent years, even as revenues have wavered amid repeated knocks to global trade and travel.

High inflation due to the rising cost of imports has led to chronic weakness in the Egyptian pound that has it bound for a further devaluation – to join three other devaluations in the past three years, alongside El Sisi’s seminal devaluation back in 2016. A further correction in the exchange rate by the central bank is also one of the terms that the IMF is pushing for in the final negotiations over the reforms expected in exchange for fresh financing.

The financial package being worked out with the IMF nevertheless represents a lifeline for Cairo, which otherwise could be struggling to pay its bills as $8bn-worth of loans come due over the next four years, on top of the country’s other burgeoning capital and operational costs.

Beyond the border, the situation in Gaza is threatening to spill over onto Egyptian soil – a development that would metastasise a humanitarian catastrophe that is currently only partly Cairo’s problem into one that is wholly its problem. Israeli politicians have repeatedly voiced a desire to forcibly displace the Gazan population into Egypt, and several leaked reports have revealed their attempts to convince Cairo to acquiesce to the same – an unappealing and politically precarious prospect for El Sisi.

El Sisi’s claim to political legitimacy, beyond Egypt’s questionable electoral process, has been built on the promise of security, great works and economic progress. Under the present circumstances, convincingly delivering that trifecta looks set to be an increasingly tricky prospect.

 


  MEED’s March 2024 special report on Egypt also includes:

Cairo beset by regional geopolitical storm
More pain for more gain for Egypt
Egypt oil and gas project activity declines
Familiar realities threaten Egypt’s energy hub ambitions
Egypt’s desalination projects inch forward
> Infrastructure carries Egypt construction

https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/11528305/main.gif
John Bambridge
Related Articles
  • Consultants submit bids for Saudi Arabia’s GCC rail link

    20 July 2026

     

    Consultants submitted proposals on 14 July for a contract to provide design consultancy services for the Saudi Arabian section of the GCC railway network, which is intended to link all six member states.

    Saudi Arabia Railways (SAR) issued the tender on 7 May, MEED previously reported.

    The tender covers the concept, preliminary and issued for construction design stages. SAR requires the selected consultant to review, update and complete the existing preliminary design.

    The consultants who submitted bids include: 

    • Atkins with Khatib & Alami
    • DeutscheBahn with ARX
    • Egis with Sener
    • Idom with Dal al-Handasah
    • Systra

    Saudi Arabia’s section of the railway will start at Al-Khafji in the Eastern Province, near the border with Kuwait, and end at Al-Batha, on Saudi Arabia’s border with the UAE. The route length in Saudi Arabia will be about 672 kilometres (km).

    The railway will interface with the Kuwait National Rail Road (KNRR) project on the Kuwaiti side. Last year, MEED exclusively reported that the KNRR design contract was awarded to Turkiye’s Proyapi Muhendislik ve Musavirlik Anonim Sirketi.

    The KNRR forms part of the wider GCC rail network. GCC railway projects have gained renewed momentum since the six member states signed the Al-Ula Declaration in January 2021.

    In October last year, Qatar’s cabinet approved a draft agreement paving the way for a railway link between Qatar and Saudi Arabia as part of the GCC railway network.

    GCC railway line

    Under the overall plan, the railway will run from Kuwait, pass through Dammam in Saudi Arabia, reach Bahrain via a planned causeway, and continue from Dammam to Qatar, the UAE and, ultimately, Muscat via Sohar in Oman. The railway is reported to span about 2,186km in total.

    The route length within each member state is as follows: 684km in the UAE, 672km in Saudi Arabia, 306km in Oman, 283km in Qatar, 145km in Kuwait and 36km in Bahrain.

    The railway is designed for passenger trains travelling at 220km/h and freight trains operating at 80-120km/h.

    With high levels of project activity, governments in spending mode and renewed cooperation under the Al-Ula Declaration, the latest efforts to restart the GCC railway project may make more progress than previous attempts. If completed, the railway could prove transformational for a region that is globally connected but still divided by national borders.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17705320/main.gif
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Chinese firm wins Dubai drainage contract

    20 July 2026

    China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC) has announced it has won a contract to deliver a stormwater drainage pipeline package under Dubai Municipality’s Tasreef programme.

    The contract is for the TF-15-C2 stormwater drainage network project located along Umm Suqeim Road in the Al-Barsha and Al-Quoz areas of Dubai. 

    MEED exclusively revealed in May that the contractor had been selected for the engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract. The project is estimated to cost $162m.

    The scope of work includes the construction of about 20 kilometres of new stormwater pipelines, together with associated inspection and intake manholes. The project is located west of the Dubai Canal and will connect the Al-Quoz 3 and Al-Quoz 4 industrial areas with Al-Quoz 1.

    It is being delivered as part of Dubai’s Tasreef strategic plan, which supports the Dubai 2040 Urban Master Plan. Once completed, the new drainage infrastructure is expected to improve the emirate’s stormwater network, increase flood protection and enhance the resilience of Dubai’s infrastructure.

    In February, the municipality confirmed it had awarded contracts for five new projects under phase two of the programme to expand and strengthen Dubai’s stormwater drainage network.

    These include a separate contract awarded to CSCEC for the TF-11-C1 stormwater drainage project in the Dubailand area.

    Also in February, Dubai Municipality invited consultants to qualify for a contract to supervise construction on the TF-15-C2 stormwater drainage projects along with two other projects (TF-13-C1 and TF-16-C1) under the Tasreef programme.

    According to a source, a consultant has yet to be appointed.

    TF-16-C1 involves upgrading and rehabilitating the stormwater system east of the Dubai Canal, while TF-13-C1 involves building a water pipeline stormwater drainage system at Al-Marmoum, Al-Qudra and Al-Yalayis 2 & 3.

    Bids are currently under evaluation for the EPC contracts for both projects.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17705058/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Dubai receives eight bids for Hassyan SWRO pipeline contract

    20 July 2026

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Eight contractors have made offers for a contract to supply, install, test and commission glass-reinforced epoxy (GRE) water transmission pipelines and associated works for the Hassyan seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) phase two network in Dubai.

    The contract relates to project one of the Hassyan pipeline network expansion being undertaken by state utility Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (Dewa).

    Local firm Binladin Contracting Group submitted the lowest offer of AED335.92m ($91.5m), according to results published by the utility.

    The other bids were:

    • Green Oasis General Contracting (UAE) – AED345.00m ($93.9m)
    • Al-Nasr Contracting (UAE) – AED391.54m ($106.6m)
    • Wade Adams Contracting (UAE) – AED393.80m ($107.2m)
    • RMB Contracting (UAE) – AED437.96m ($119.3m) 
    • Tristar Engineering & Construction (UAE) – AED441.55m ($120.2m)
    • Shapoorji Pallonji Mideast (UAE/India) – AED451.47m ($122.9m)
    • Gulf Petrochemical Services Trading (UAE) – AED495.20m ($134.8m)

    RMB also submitted a conditional discounted offer of AED427.02m ($116.3m). Three companies submitted regret notices, while one offer was rejected after no valid commercial offer was received. 

    In January, Dewa announced that construction of the 180-million-imperial-gallon-a-day phase one of the Hassyan SWRO independent water project was 90% complete.

    Dewa has two other contracts out for tender for GRE water transmission pipeline work related to the Hassyan SWRO phase two network.

    Project two was tendered on 22 January and has a bid submission deadline of 21 July. Project three was tendered on 26 January and has a bid submission deadline of 29 July.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17704940/main.jpg
    Mark Dowdall
  • Abu Dhabi launches E20 highway expansion project

    20 July 2026

    Abu Dhabi’s Department of Municipalities and Transport (DMT) has announced the E20 highway expansion project.

    The scheme covers widening the main carriageway from three to five lanes, constructing more than 10 kilometres (km) of new ramps and loops, and building four bridges.

    Works also include 1.5km of internal roads and the addition of eight signalised junctions across Khalifa City and the Zayed International airport precinct.

    The project includes utility works, comprising 62km of stormwater drainage, 37km of irrigation networks and the installation of 485 streetlights.

    The E20 expansion is one of the major infrastructure schemes being overseen by DMT in Abu Dhabi.

    Separately, DMT is evaluating bids for a design-and-build contract to construct two bridges serving Hudayriyat Island in Abu Dhabi.

    The scope includes a two-lane bridge connecting 32nd Street to Shakhbout Bin Sultan Street, and a single-lane bridge on 8th Street. It also includes upgrades to signalised intersections.

    Shakhbout Bin Sultan Street is a two-way road with three lanes in each direction, providing access to and from Hudayriyat Island.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17704696/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Firms given more time for Mid Island Parkway prequalifications

    20 July 2026

     

    Abu Dhabi’s Modon Infrastructure has extended the deadline to 31 July for firms to submit expressions of interest and prequalification statements for the next phase of Abu Dhabi’s Mid Island Parkway Project (MIPP), which will be developed as a public-private partnership (PPP).

    The previous deadline was 15 July. MEED understands the prequalification notice was issued in June, following Modon Infrastructure’s invitation in May for firms to register their interest.

    Modon Infrastructure will act as the lead developer and will hold a majority equity stake in the project company. It will award contracts for engineering, procurement and construction; operations and maintenance; and project advisory services.

    Phase two of the MIPP involves the construction of about 11 kilometres (km) of highways, comprising a mix of three-, four- and five-lane sections. The highways will connect the Um-Yifeenah, Al-Jubail, Al-Sammaliyyah and Sas Al-Nakhl islands to Khalifa City and the E10 road.

    The scope also includes the construction of three interchanges – E20, E10 and Dumbbell – on Al-Sammaliyyah Island.

    The project includes several major structures, including the E20 interchange, which will feature cast-in-place box-girder and void-slab bridges, and the E10 interchange, which will feature cast-in-place box-girder bridges. It also includes I-girder bridges between Raha Beach West and Sas Al-Nakhl Island, as well as a causeway at Sas Al-Nakhl Island.

    Further elements include a cast-in-place balanced cantilever bridge between Sas Al-Nakhl Island and Al-Sammaliyyah Island; a tunnel between Al-Sammaliyyah Island and Bilrimaid Island; and a cut-and-cover (open) tunnel on Bilrimaid Island. Another tunnel will connect Bilrimaid Island to Um-Yifeenah Island.

    Abu Dhabi awarded three packages for phase one of the MIPP in 2024. The contract for Package 1A was awarded to a joint venture of Turkish contractor Dogus Construction and UAE firm Gulf Contractors. Package 1B was awarded to a joint venture of Yas Projects (Alpha Dhabi Holding) and China Railway International Group. Beijing-headquartered China Harbour Engineering Company and the UAE’s Agility Engineering & Contracting Company won the contract for Package 1C.

    Phase one starts at the existing Saadiyat Interchange, connecting the E12 to the MIPP, and ends at the recently constructed Um-Yifeenah Highway.

    It comprises a dual main road with a total length of 8km, including four traffic lanes in each direction, two interchanges, a tunnel and associated infrastructure works.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/17704765/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal