Cooperation strengthens Gulf markets

21 November 2024

 

The message was loud and clear at the second Gateway Gulf investment forum hosted by the Bahrain Economic Development Board (Bahrain EDB) in Manama in early November. Regional integration will be crucial to the GCC’s ongoing economic success story.

The comments by ministerial speakers and business leaders at the event underscored how the GCC has grown closer both politically and economically since the signing of the Al-Ula declaration in 2021, which effectively ended the Qatar diplomatic dispute that began in 2017, and kickstarted a new era of regional cooperation. 

The drive to bind the GCC as a more integrated economic bloc contrasts sharply with the political backdrop of the first Gateway Gulf. That event in May 2018 started the day President Donald Trump withdrew the US from the Joint Cooperative Plan of Action, better known as the Iran nuclear deal, and was set amid the GCC’s diplomatic dispute with Qatar.

Closer ties

The political backdrop is very different in 2024; the six GCC states enjoy warm relations, and tensions with Iran have cooled following a series of diplomatic rapprochements involving Tehran, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi. 

These diplomatic efforts have resulted in a more stable business environment that has produced robust economic growth, record levels of inward investment and record spending on projects. 

“As with every great moment in history, our region’s progress depends on continued unity and collaboration with current geopolitical complexities. A unified GCC can serve as a stabilising force shaping not only our own future but influencing the future,” said Bahrain’s Finance & National Economy Minister, Sheikh Salman Bin Khalifa Al-Khalifa, during his opening address at Gateway Gulf. 

The stability that the Gulf offers has enhanced its appeal to investors at a time of war and instability in other areas. 

“We have become one of the most promising destinations, not only for those looking to raise capital, but also for those looking to deploy it,” said Sheikh Salman. “Dynamic transformation is sweeping across the region.”

Saudi Arabia’s Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih also highlighted how the GCC has managed to prosper while other regions struggle with challenges. “GCC countries come out of these tensions stronger. We know how to navigate unfortunate difficulties. We’ve seen it over many, many decades … and if you look at the numbers, our credit ratings are going up, our stock markets are strong, unemployment is coming down across the region,” he said.

Regional integration will be crucial to the GCC’s ongoing economic success story

Attracting investment

Investment funds also play a key role in the region’s success. “The GCC also has [Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund] the PIF and the Emirati, Qatari and Kuwaiti funds that are all well-capitalised sovereign funds that can co-invest with global investors,” said Al-Falih. 

Over the past year, some of the world’s leading investment companies have formed joint ventures with the GCC’s sovereign wealth funds. 

In November, US-based Apollo and Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala Investment Company extended their multibillion-dollar partnership, initially formed in 2022, to capitalise on global private debt and equity opportunities. This extension enhances Apollo’s Capital Solutions division, supporting large-scale investment origination to meet rising demand for private financing. 

The partnership aligns with Apollo’s goal to reach $275bn in annual originations, with a focus on sectors like clean energy and digital infrastructure.

In April 2024, BlackRock and the PIF agreed to establish BlackRock Riyadh Investment Management, a multi-asset investment firm based in Riyadh. The venture began with an anchor investment of up to $5bn from the PIF, aiming to accelerate the growth of Saudi Arabia’s capital markets by supporting foreign institutional investment.

Al-Falih also highlighted changes in how sovereign wealth funds that traditionally used to invest overseas to offset volatility in the oil markets are increasingly looking to domestic investment within the GCC. 

“We are investing globally, but quite frankly, when we look around the world, we can’t find a better location to invest than within the region and in our own economies, which are transitioning,” he said. 

Sheikh Salman echoed Al-Falih’s comments. “I chair Mumtalakat, [Bahrain’s] sovereign wealth fund, and we look at where we deploy capital. What we have found is that the most compelling investment opportunities, with the highest return on equity, are increasingly at home or in the region. 

“Mumtalakat has in effect turned itself into the joint venture partner of choice for inward investment because it provides a higher return on equity versus other investments in other places,” he said.

Many of those investments have involved infrastructure, with notable transactions in oil infrastructure, the power and water sector and real estate. 

An example came in September, when Bahrain’s state-owned Bapco Energies sold a stake in the Saudi Bahrain Pipeline Company (SBPC) to a fund managed by BlackRock. SBPC owns a portion of the 112-kilometre pipeline supplying crude oil from Saudi Aramco to Bahrain’s Sitra refinery.


Sheikh Salman and Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih met at Gateway Gulf 2024. Credit: Bahrain News Agency


Another emerging trend could be cross-border mergers and acquisitions across the GCC. Over the past decade, there has been a steady stream of consolidation as companies combine their operations. This has remained within national borders and typically involved government or government-related entities. 

Abu Dhabi, in particular, has been a hotbed for consolidation involving companies in a variety of sectors, including banking, hydrocarbons, industry, real estate and construction. 

The new trend is for companies to merge with other players outside their national boundaries, but within the GCC. Also at Gateway Gulf, Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) chairman Khalid Al-Rumaihi provided an update and insight into the proposed merger of Alba with the aluminium business of Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden). 

The pioneering transaction could pave the way for further consolidation across the region. Al-Rumaihi emphasised that private sector deals need to make business sense when asked about the impact of the deal on future transactions. 

“When we talk about integration in the GCC, the private sector should lead, and we hope that others will look at this [transaction] and explore opportunities. It could happen in banking, it could happen in other industries, but I think it could accelerate, and it needs the transaction to make sense,” he said.

The GCC’s projected growth will provide plenty of opportunities for everyone

Promoting collaboration

As cooperation across the GCC intensifies, seasoned Gulf watchers will be reminded that the region has been through periods of accelerated integration, only to have those efforts dashed due to internal disputes and greater protectionism introduced during economic downturns. The most cited historical example is the single currency project pursued in the early 2000s, which was reportedly aborted after governments could not decide where to locate the GCC Central Bank.

At the same time, other regional projects, such as the GCC rail scheme, had failed to make substantial progress.   

Speaking at Gateway Gulf, Bahrain’s Industry & Commerce Minister Abdulla Bin Adel Fakhro said that the GCC has evolved. He explained that in the past, the GCC countries produced oil and exported it out of the region, which gave little economic incentive for cooperation. Today, economies are more diversified and trade with one another enhances cross-border collaboration.  

Collaboration is already visible in the projects market. There are schemes to connect the electricity grids of the UAE with Saudi Arabia and Oman, and the once dormant GCC rail project is advancing, with progress being made on rail projects in all six GCC states. 

Growth also supports integration. Sheikh Salman said that the GCC’s projected growth will provide plenty of opportunities for everyone. 

“The GDP of the Gulf countries is approximately $2.3tn. Over 50% of that is in Saudi Arabia and over 25% is in the UAE. That $2.3tn is conservatively going to reach $3tn of GDP by 2030 and $6tn of GDP by 2050,” said Sheikh Salman. 

“That in and of itself is the single biggest opportunity for any other GCC country – to ensure that they are providing the services, providing the growth engine, providing any sort of services to [support] that growth.”

On a similar note, Al-Falih explained that what is good for one GCC country will ultimately benefit all. “If it is good for Bahrain, it is good for Saudi Arabia, and what is good for Saudi Arabia is good for the rest of the GCC. It is the old adage that a rising tide lifts all boats.” 

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Colin Foreman
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    > This package also includesMiddle East becomes a hub as rail networks mature


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    In the UAE, the momentum is just as strong. The ongoing Etihad Rail project is entering a new phase with the anticipated rollout of passenger services, connecting Abu Dhabi, Dubai and eventually the northern emirates. Freight operations are already under way, providing a backbone for industrial connectivity and cross-border trade. Plans for an Abu Dhabi–Dubai high-speed link are also progressing as bid evaluation continues for the main construction works.

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    Bringing together transport, tourism, logistics and sustainability is creating a practical approach to modern urban development

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    Main image: Haramain high-speed train in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia


    Middle East becomes a hub as rail networks mature: MEED interviews Martin Vaujour, Alstom’s Africa, Middle East and Central Asia region president

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    Yasir Iqbal
  • Middle East becomes a hub as rail networks mature

    21 November 2025

     

    The resurgence in investment in metro and intercity lines means the region is no longer an emerging market for the global rail industry. It is now an established hub with an expanding network of projects and, increasingly, the need for ongoing servicing, upgrades and new technologies.

    “We are reaching a point where it is not just about building new lines. Customers are now understanding that it is not enough to just buy new trains – they also need long-term partnerships to service and maintain them efficiently,” says Martin Vaujour, Alstom’s Africa, Middle East and Central Asia region president.

    Alstom, which has supplied rolling stock and systems for major schemes in the region such as the Riyadh Metro, is now seeing growing demand for both new-build contracts and service agreements. “There are still lots of new investments,” he says, “but also growing activity in signalling projects, service projects and spare parts – areas that used to be small but are now taking off. That is a [source] of satisfaction for me, because those businesses are less risky, have better margins and create long-term relationships with customers.”

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    Saudi expansion

    Buoyed by the opening of Riyadh Metro at the end of 2024, Saudi Arabia remains an important market. “They are happy with the success [of Riyadh Metro],” says Vaujour. “There is extension work on the existing lines, new rolling stock being discussed and a potential Line 7 project. The network is expanding, and that is a great success story.”

    The next wave of growth in Saudi Arabia includes the planned Qiddiya Express high-speed line, which has recently attracted expressions of interest. 

    “That project has been on our radar for some time,” says Vaujour. “It is under the umbrella of the Royal Commission for Riyadh City, which is very well organised and structured. That gives the project strength and credibility.”

    The scheme is being developed as a public-private partnership, a model that Vaujour says fits Saudi Arabia’s stable economic environment. “Public-private partnerships (PPPs) take longer to put together because they are more complex to structure, but in countries like Saudi Arabia – stable and with the capacity to raise debt – why not?” he says. 

    “We are fine with PPPs. We have experience from France, the UK and Spain.”

    While Alstom does not invest directly, it plays a key role in structuring deals. “We are facilitators and advisers,” says Vaujour. 

    “Our job is to accompany the customer, to adjust and iterate with them, and to help find the best solution. PPP is one of the tools in the box – not the simplest one, but one that works.”

    The challenge in the market today is not a lack of opportunity, but deciding where to focus. 

    “Our main problem is not the market; it is how to be selective,” he says. “We have more than enough opportunities to ensure a nice trajectory of growth. The difficulty is to pick our battles and fight for the right ones.”

    The challenge in the market today is not a lack of opportunity, but deciding where to focus

    Shifting focus

    In Africa and Central Asia, Alstom has long-term locomotive and commuter train partnerships that offer years of visibility. In the Gulf, by contrast, the model remains dominated by engineering, procurement and construction-style projects. 

    “It is more big projects, where civil contractors team up with us to deliver metros or airport people movers,” says Vaujour.

    As regional urban transport networks become established, attention is turning to intercity and high-speed rail. “In the Gulf, the Abu Dhabi-Dubai high-speed project is probably the most advanced, while Qiddiya Express and upgrades to the Haramain line in Saudi Arabia could also accelerate momentum.”

    Interest in high-speed connections between Riyadh, Doha and Kuwait is also growing, although such schemes will depend on electrification. “High-speed rail comes with electrification,” Vaujour notes. “And that means significant investment.”

    In addition to new infrastructure, the rail sector is being reshaped by technology. Alstom is investing in clean traction systems, such as hydrogen and battery-powered trains, as well as in autonomous operations.

    “Hydrogen and battery traction are progressing, but they are still in an early stage,” says Vaujour. “Diesel will continue to dominate freight for some time, because there is no clean technology yet that can deliver that level of power. But for passenger services, we are starting to see progress.”

    Driverless trains are another major growth area. “Customers everywhere are interested, partly because it is increasingly hard to find drivers, and also because software drives more efficiently than humans. It is more energy-efficient and reduces wear and tear,” says Vaujour.

    As the Middle East’s networks expand, upgrading existing infrastructure is becoming as important as building new lines. Signalling systems are central to this evolution. “You cannot just create new lines every year – it is too expensive,” says Vaujour. “Signalling allows you to double train frequency. It is what makes networks more efficient.”

    The evolution reflects a wider transformation of the region’s rail sector. “The Middle East has become an established rail hub,” says Vaujour. “It is no longer just about building – it is about operating, maintaining and evolving.” 

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    Colin Foreman