meed-logo

line1 line2 line3
SIGN IN / REGISTER

Bankability remains hydrogen’s unbreakable challenge

6 February 2025

Commentary
Jennifer Aguinaldo
Energy & technology editor

There is some indication that green hydrogen as an industry has arrived at the valley of disillusionment if the Gartner hype cycle is anything to go by.

This is evident with the dwindling number of attendees and absence of offtakers – global commodity trading companies that are expected to buy premium green hydrogen and derivative products – at previously well-attended green hydrogen summits in major cities in the Gulf.

Following frenzied announcements of multibillion-dollar integrated green hydrogen and ammonia plants in the Middle East and North Africa region, particularly Egypt, Morocco, Oman and the UAE, between 2021 and 2023, it appears that key stakeholders have started coming to grips with reality.

Of the close to 80 green hydrogen projects that MEED and MEED Projects track, only three have so far signed an offtake agreement, and only one has managed to reach financial close.

The $8.4bn Neom green hydrogen project in Saudi Arabia reached financial close in March 2023, nearly two years after it was announced.

The project, the largest of its kind requiring over 4GW of renewable energy and 2GW of electrolyser capacity, managed to reach financial close based on one of the three co-developers, the US’ Air Products, assuming the full offtake and construction risks for the project, note some experts.

A project’s bankability ultimately relies on suitable stakeholders taking on the risks for every aspect of the project, from construction to operations.

Currently, the risks or threats include evolving global regulations related to consumption and carbon emissions pricing; lack of technology maturity; supply and demand uncertainty; and the lack of mainstream demand, according to Wael Almazeedi, chief executive at Abu Dhabi-based International Renewable Energy Certification (I-rec) certified firm Avance Energy.

Almazeedi said these risks “need to be mitigated to the satisfaction of project lenders” if the planned green hydrogen projects in the region are to secure financing and reach the construction phase.

The challenges do not necessarily mean all projects will fail, however.

Similar to predecessors such as solar and electrification technologies, the hope is for the planned green hydrogen projects to eventually emerge out of the realm of disillusionment and reach the so-called enlightenment slope and, ultimately, plateaus of productivity, using Gartner’s hype cycle model.

Government support in terms of regulatory frameworks, inevitably including some form of subsidies to bridge the so-called green premium, as well as global certification standards, are at the top of suppliers’ agendas. 

Across the key aspiring Mena clean hydrogen hubs, like the UAE in particular, clearer regulatory frameworks have started to emerge, which could encourage more cohesive cooperation and enable projects to get off the ground.

Key EU countries also appear to remain committed to clean and green hydrogen imports as part of the green deal, while at least one power plant in Japan has completed a three-month trial of co-firing green ammonia with coal “with positive results”.  

But until all these come together to ensure an unencumbered global supply chain, offtakers and project financing deals will likely remain elusive. 

Related reads:

READ THE FEBRUARY MEED BUSINESS REVIEW

Trump unleashes tech opportunities; Doha achieves diplomatic prowess and economic resilience; GCC water developers eye uptick in award activity in 2025.

Published on 1 February 2025 and distributed to senior decision-makers in the region and around the world, the February MEED Business Review includes:

> WATER & WASTEWATER: Water projects require innovation
https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/13370135/main.gif
Jennifer Aguinaldo

Register for MEED's guest program now to access this article.

Click here to register
Exclusive from Meed
Related Articles
  • Prequalification begins for Riyadh King Salman Stadium

    27 November 2025

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Saudi Arabia’s Sports Ministry has issued a notice inviting companies to prequalify for a contract to design and build the King Salman International Stadium in Riyadh.

    The notice was issued on 26 November, with a prequalification deadline of 16 February.

    The stadium will cover an area of about 660,000 square metres (sq m) and will have a seating capacity of 92,000.

    The stadium will feature a 150-seat royal suite, 120 hospitality suites, 300 VIP seats and 2,200 dignitary seats.

    The plan also includes several sports facilities covering more than 360,000 sq m, including two training fields and fan zones; a closed sports hall; an Olympic-sized swimming pool; an athletics track; and outdoor courts for volleyball, basketball and padel.

    The new stadium will host the final of the 2034 Fifa World Cup and will serve as the Saudi national football team’s main headquarters.

    US-based architectural firm Populous is the lead architect for the stadium.

    Construction of the stadium is expected to be completed by 2029.

    The stadium will be located next to King Abdulaziz Park.

    Saudi Arabia stadium plans

    In August last year, MEED reported that Saudi Arabia plans to build 11 new stadiums to host the Fifa World Cup in 2034.

    Eight stadiums will be located in Riyadh, four in Jeddah and one each in Al-Khobar, Abha and Neom.

    An additional 10 cities will host training bases. These are Al-Baha, Jazan, Taif, Medina, Alula, Umluj, Tabuk, Hail, Al-Ahsa and Buraidah.

    There are expected to be 134 training sites across the kingdom, including 61 existing facilities and 73 new training venues.

    The kingdom was officially selected to host the 2034 Fifa World Cup through an online convention of Fifa member associations at the Fifa Congress on 11 December 2024.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15166460/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Morocco signs $861m deal for polysilicon plant

    27 November 2025

    Register for MEED’s 14-day trial access 

    Morocco has signed a MD8bn ($861m) investment agreement with GPM Holding to establish the country’s first polysilicon manufacturing plant in the southern province of Tan-Tan.

    GPM Holding is a US-based company and a key partner in Green Power Morocco (GPM), which specialises in the installation and maintenance of photovoltaic solar panels.

    GPM is a joint venture with UAE-based renewable energy company Amea Power.

    The planned facility will be located in the El-Ouatia industrial zone, according to the North African country’s Ministry of Investment.

    The facility will have an annual production capacity of 30,000 tonnes, with 85% earmarked for export.

    The plant is expected to generate 1,500 direct and more than 2,000 indirect jobs and strengthen Morocco’s position in renewable energy supply chains, particularly in the manufacturing of solar panel components, according to the Ministry of Investment.

    Last year, GPM completed a 34MW solar project in Hjar Nhal, south of Tangier, under a corporate power purchase agreement.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15163133/main.jpg
    Wil Crisp
  • Bahrain’s economy walks precarious path

    26 November 2025

    Download the PDF

    MEED’s December 2025 report on Bahrain includes:

    > COMMENT: Manama pursues reform amid strain
    > GVT & ECONOMY: Bahrain’s cautious economic evolution
    > BANKING: Mergers loom over Bahrain’s banking system
    > OIL & GAS: Bahrain remains in pursuit of hydrocarbon resources
    > POWER & WATER: Bahrain advances utility reform
    > CONSTRUCTION: Bahrain construction faces major slowdown
    > TRANSPORT: Air Asia aviation deal boosts connectivity

    To see previous issues of MEED Business Review, please click here
    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15159666/main.gif
    MEED Editorial
  • Rua Al-Madinah signs hotel operations agreement

    26 November 2025

    Saudi Arabia’s Rua Al-Madinah, the Public Investment Fund (PIF) subsidiary tasked with Medina’s tourism and cultural development, has signed a hotel operations and management agreement with Adeera Hospitality for its Rua Al-Madinah project.

    Adeera Hospitality, which PIF also backs, will operate two buildings comprising 250 hotel rooms and 120 residential units under its Alia brand within the Rua Al-Madinah project, which is being developed near the Prophet’s Mosque.

    Adeera joins Rua Al-Madinah’s roster of hotel operators, which includes leading global hospitality brands such as Marriott, Hyatt, Accor and Hilton.

    The Rua Al-Madinah development includes the construction of 18 hotels under three categories – three-star, four-star and five-star – as well as secondary infrastructure.

    The towers will range in height from 11 to 21 storeys.

    Rua Al-Madinah estimates that superblock five will require 430,000 cubic metres of concrete, 875,000 square metres of block wall, 423,000 sq m of drywall, 74,000 tonnes of steel rebar, 215,000 sq m of tiles, and 228,000 sq m of facades, curtain walls and windows.

    The hotels, which will mainly provide accommodation for pilgrims visiting the holy city, will have a built-up area of about 65,000 sq m.

    In February last year, the client awarded two contracts worth SR300m ($80m) to international consulting firms for work on the superblocks four and five components of the Rua Al-Madinah project.

    Rua Al-Madinah signed a contract with US-based engineering firm Jacobs for design consultancy services for 12 hotels and other infrastructure for superblock four of the project.

    Another contract was signed with US-based KEO International Consultants to oversee the implementation of the superblock five project.

    Other consultants working on superblock five include US-based Perkins Eastman and Singapore-based Meinhardt. 

    UAE-based Ema Design is the interior designer.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15158923/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal
  • Meraas confirms $517m The Acres villas contract award

    26 November 2025

    Dubai-based real estate developer Meraas, now part of Dubai Holding Group, has confirmed that it has awarded a AED1.9bn ($517m) contract to build 642 three-, four- and five-bedroom villas as part of the first phase of its residential community, The Acres, in Dubailand.

    The contract was awarded to the local firm United Engineering Construction Company.

    MEED exclusively reported in August that Meraas had awarded the contract for the project.

    The Acres project is designed by local architectural practice U+A Architects.

    The masterplan includes 1,200 villas ranging from three to seven bedrooms.

    It also features a nursery, school, clinic, mosques, clubhouses, a retail zone, a 2,000-square-metre garden, walking and biking trails, an outdoor gym, children’s playgrounds, swimming pools and sports facilities.

    The latest announcement follows Meraas awarding a AED440m ($120m) contract for the construction of the Northline residential project in the Al-Wasl area of Dubai.

    The contract was awarded to the local GCC Contracting Company.

    The project includes the construction of three residential buildings. Construction work is expected to begin shortly, and the project is slated for completion by 2027.

    Meraas’ latest project contract awards in Dubai are backed by heightened real estate activity in the UAE’s construction market. Schemes worth over $323bn are in the execution or planning stages, according to UK analytics firm GlobalData.

    The company forecasts that the output of the UAE’s construction sector will grow by 4.2% in real terms in 2025, supported by developments in infrastructure, energy and utilities, as well as residential construction projects.

    https://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15158561/main.jpg
    Yasir Iqbal