Bahrain charts pathway to net-zero future
8 November 2023
The rebranding of state oil and gas holding company Nogaholding to Bapco Energies in May was the first overhaul made by Bahrain in a long, phased campaign to achieve net-zero emissions.
As a country that produces just 200,000 barrels a day (b/d) of oil and is almost solely dependent on its neighbour Saudi Arabia for oil and gas supplies, attaining net-zero emissions might be easier and quicker for Bahrain than for its hydrocarbons-heavy Gulf peers.
Bahrain appears to be aware of this potential and has been focusing its efforts on curating a programme to become net-zero by 2060. It has brought on board advisors such as Boston Consulting Group to devise a strategy to achieve its environmental goals.
Following the launch of the new brand identity, Bapco Energies published emissions-reduction targets in July, in one of the most detailed disclosures by any state energy enterprise in the GCC.
Using 2017 as a baseline year, Bapco Energies has committed to reducing absolute Scope 3 emissions in Bahrain by 30 per cent by 2035, and to reaching net-zero Scope 3 emissions by 2060.
In addition, Bapco Energies lists its Scope 1 and 2 net emissions intensity reduction targets, also using 2017 as a baseline, as 15 per cent by 2025, 25 per cent by 2030, 30 per cent by 2035, 50 per cent by 2040 and 75 per cent by 2050, to eventually reach net zero Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2060.
Scope 1 and 2 emissions are directly related to the core operations of an energy-producing company. In contrast, Scope 3 refers to emissions for which the company is indirectly responsible – a critical measure in the fight against climate change.
Bapco Energies has made its Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions targets public as part of a framework it has adopted to link its environmental sustainability efforts to its financing exercises. Standard Chartered Bank will support the financing framework.
Decarbonisation action
Similar to large-scale decarbonisation project investments made by Gulf national oil companies, Bapco Energies has initiated a carbon capture and storage (CCS) project estimated to be worth about $4bn, according to its CEO Mark Thomas. The project is expected to be able to sequester 10-12 million tonnes of carbon dioxide a year for at least 50 years.
The scope of the project involves sequestering the carbon dioxide emissions in a large gas reservoir in the Bahrain field, which is also known as the Awali field. The reservoir is big enough to sequester more than 550,000 million tonnes of carbon dioxide, according to Thomas.
The CCS project is bigger than any other project of its kind that has been announced, Thomas claimed in an interview with MEED.
“The good thing is that it is all onshore. Ten to 12 million tonnes of emissions are all within a 7 kilometre radius and the field where it will be stored is 10 kilometres away,” Thomas said.
“I have the space there,” he said. “The challenge is the technology and the cost. This is a very expensive project. We are looking for economies of scale and how we might stage it in a way that makes sense.
“We completed a very early feasibility study last year, in 2022,” he continued.
“We have subsequently engaged with experts in CCS and we expect that [a second] study will be done by mid-2023,” he said, adding that front-end engineering and design work for the project is expected to start before the end of this year.
Sitra refinery upgrade megaproject
Meanwhile, a $4.2bn project by Bahrain Petroleum Company (Bapco) to upgrade the Sitra refinery in Bahrain has made slow progress. The objective of the Bapco Modernisation Programme (BMP) is to boost the processing capacity of the country’s only oil refinery from 267,000 b/d to 380,000 b/d – a strategic target for Bahrain’s long-term downstream potential.
In February 2018, Bapco awarded the $4.2bn contract to perform engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) works to upgrade the Sitra refinery to a consortium led by France’s Technip Energies that includes Spain’s Tecnicas Reunidas and South Korea’s Samsung Engineering.
The project was originally expected to reach mechanical completion in 2023, with operations set to begin in 2024. MEED understands that Bapco will likely miss this commissioning schedule, however.
According to the latest update on EPC progress on the BMP, all of the catalysts required to start operating the newly-installed units have been delivered to the site, although the catalysts still need to be fully loaded into the units.
Upstream objectives
Despite its low oil production capacity, Bahrain is a key member of the Opec+ coalition of oil producers.
Bapco Upstream, the wholly-owned subsidiary of Bapco Energies, is striving to maintain, or even increase, its oil and gas production levels through capital expenditure on key projects.
Bapco Upstream, previously known as Tatweer Petroleum, is the sole operator of the onshore Bahrain field – the first oil field discovered in the Gulf region in 1932. The company produces an average of 42,400 b/d of crude oil and 1.67 billion cubic feet a day of non-associated gas from the Bahrain field.
This represents less than a quarter of the country’s oil output capacity, but is important to Manama as it is the only indigenous oil-producing asset and is key to meeting domestic oil demand.
Bapco Upstream also shares the offshore Abu Safah field, located in the Gulf waters between Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with Saudi Aramco. Abu Safah contributes about 145,000 b/d to Bahrain’s oil production.
At present, the firm is pushing ahead with a phased field development project to install non-associated gas compressor facilities and remote gas dehydration units to maintain gas deliverability from the Bahrain field. Bapco Upstream is understood to be close to awarding a contract for EPC work on non-associated gas compressor facilities and associated works as part of this project.
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A consortium of Egypt’s Hassan Allam Utilities Energy and Infinity Power has won contracts to develop two major solar projects with a combined capacity of 1,200MW and 720 megawatt-hours (MWh) of battery storage.
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Abu Dhabi’s National Infrastructure Construction Company (NICC), a subsidiary of Etihad Rail, is preparing to tender the second section of the phosphate railway line that will run from Ghor Al-Safi to Aqaba in Jordan.
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Bahrain’s cautious economic evolution5 November 2025

Bahrain’s economic outlook is currently defined by a steady but cautious sense of forward motion. The country has succeeded in maintaining growth driven almost entirely by the non-oil economy, while its reliance on hydrocarbons, though diminished, still shapes the fiscal landscape.
Public debt remains high and continues to constrain government spending, yet the state has avoided severe austerity and instead adopted a gradual approach to balancing economic reform with social stability.
Real GDP is expected to expand by 2.9% in 2025 in a slight improvement on the 2.6% growth rate in 2024, according to the IMF, and in an indication that non-oil sectors are gaining traction and that domestic demand and investment are holding up.
In 2026, growth is projected to rise further to 3.3%, suggesting that the economy is picking up momentum.
There have also been positive signs in foreign direct investment (FDI). In the second quarter of 2025, FDI inflows rose by 5.4%, according to the Ministry of Finance, led by the financial and insurance services sectors.
At the same time, the kingdom’s national debt – as a consequence of its persisting fiscal deficit – now stands at around 140% of GDP and weighs heavily on public finances.
Efforts at fiscal consolidation, such as subsidy reforms and spending controls, have been gradual, reflecting the government’s cautious approach to balancing fiscal responsibility with investment. Still, the underlying pressures are significant, and the cracks in Bahrain’s fiscal sustainability will remain a key risk factor for the foreseeable future.
Non-oil expansion
Looking closer at recent growth, the economy expanded by 2.5% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025, driven largely by a 3.5% surge in non-oil activity.
The non-oil sector is now responsible for over 80% of GDP and has become the main engine of growth, led by the finance, trade, real estate and hospitality sectors. Pro-business reforms and foreign investment incentives have supported this.
Financial services remain at the centre of Bahrain’s non-oil transition, with the country having long positioned itself as a regional banking and finance hub. In recent years, its regulatory openness and fintech-friendly environment, including in emerging spaces such as crypto, have become increasingly defining competitive advantages.
Flexible licensing, direct regulatory engagement and support from initiatives such as Bahrain FinTech Bay and the Central Bank of Bahrain's regulatory sandbox framework have all bolstered the country’s competitiveness – and the result has been an uptick in fintech, investment management and digital banking activity.
Tourism, too, has evolved into a structural contributor to national growth. Rather than attempting to compete with the scale and spectacle of Dubai or Doha, Manama has focused on cultivating a hospitality sector geared towards short-stay travel, weekend tourism within the Gulf, business events and cultural programming.
The opening of new hotels and entertainment venues, combined with the resumption of Gulf Air’s direct route to the US, has reinforced Bahrain’s strategic push to widen its global connectivity.
Manufacturing and logistics continue to play an important role, anchored by its Alba-led aluminium production and supported by Bahrain’s advantageous trade relationships, particularly its free trade agreement with the US.
While not the flashiest component of the economy, this industrial base provides resilience and employment diversity that helps counterbalance the more volatile elements of its service-sector expansion.
Real estate and regulation
The real estate and construction sector has grown in response to these economic shifts, but in a measured and demand-driven way. Unlike the rapid speculative development cycles observed elsewhere in the Gulf, Bahrain’s residential market has expanded moderately, with consistent demand coming primarily from middle-income Bahraini nationals and supported by subsidised housing and mortgage assistance programmes.
High-end residential developments exist but are not oversaturated, and the market overall has avoided the sharp imbalances seen in larger regional economies.
Large waterfront and mixed-use developments, such as Bahrain Bay and Marassi Al-Bahrain, outline the government’s focus on sustainable urban liveability and integrated community design – a key theme of the government’s 2023-26 national plan – rather than architectural statements.
Public infrastructure spending and hospitality expansion continue to sustain construction activity, though rising material and labour costs remain a concern. Commercial real estate is also stabilising after a period of oversupply, with new demand emerging from expanding financial and professional services firms.
From a regulatory perspective, the real estate sector has also been undergoing gradual liberalisation, especially in relation to foreign property ownership. While Bahrain has long allowed foreign nationals to own property in designated freehold zones, recent reforms have focused on expanding these zones as well as simplifying regulatory procedures and linking property ownership more directly to residency and long-term investment incentives.
The regulatory adjustments have also made it easier for foreign investors to own commercial office and retail space.
Taken together, these trends show a country reshaping its economic identity through deliberate adaptation rather than dramatic reinvention. Bahrain is not pursuing the hyper-scaled transformation seen in Saudi Arabia or the branding-driven global city strategy of Dubai.
Instead, it is cultivating a model grounded in regulatory agility, human capital development, manageable growth and incremental diversification.
At the same time, high debt levels and a narrowing fiscal space continue to pose risks to long-term stability and weigh on the kingdom’s economic trajectory.
Yet for now, the kingdom’s recent progress is something to be celebrated, even as its vulnerabilities are equally real.
Sustaining momentum will require continued investor confidence, tighter fiscal management and progress toward addressing longstanding social and political pressures, particularly those affecting youth employment and public trust.
The question is whether its governance, fiscal policy and social framework can continue to evolve at a pace that matches the economic transformation already under way.
MEED's December special report on Bahrain also includes:
> BANKING: Mergers loom over Bahrain’s banking system
> OIL & GAS: Bahrain remains in pursuit of hydrocarbon resources
> CONSTRUCTION: Bahrain construction faces major slowdownhttps://image.digitalinsightresearch.in/uploads/NewsArticle/15025369/main.gif
