Another bumper year for Mena projects

25 December 2024

 

The Middle East’s projects market in 2024 has been fuelled by the same heady cocktail of favourable oil prices, continued investment into oil and gas projects, government infrastructure spending, the energy transition, real estate investment and economic diversification that propelled the total value of awards in 2023 to record levels.

By the end of October 2024, there were $262bn of contract awards across the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) region, according to regional projects tracker MEED Projects. By the end of the year, the 2024 total may top the $290bn recorded in 2023. 

While economic diversification is a priority for governments across the region, oil and gas remains a key sector for project awards. The three largest contract awards in 2024 were from the sector.

The top-ranked contract by value was a $20bn deal awarded to Iranian companies Petropars, Oil Industries Engineering & Construction, Khatam Al-Anbiya Construction Headquarters and Mapna Group for the South Pars gas field pressure-boosting project in Iran by Pars Oil & Gas Company.

Next was the $8bn deal won by China’s Hualu Engineering Technology Company for delivering the Al-Faw refinery in Iraq for Southern Refineries Company.

The third-largest award was a $5.5bn contract won by a joint venture of France’s Technip Energies, Japan’s JGC Corporation and the UAE’s NMDC Group for the Ruwais low-carbon liquefied natural gas terminal project by Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc).

These contract awards mean that the oil and gas sector accounted for 32% of the $262bn total that was recorded in the Mena region by the end of October 2024.

Breaking down the sector into oil and gas separately reveals a telling trend. Oil accounts for 12% of awards, while gas accounts for 20%. These numbers reflect the growing importance of gas as a transition fuel that is cleaner and more environmentally friendly than oil, but still provides the dependable energy that many renewable alternatives still do not offer. 

Strong performances

Construction is the second-largest sector after oil and gas, accounting for 23% of awards. Its significance has dropped in 2024 compared to 2023, when it accounted for 32% of contract awards. 

In terms of value, there were $68bn of contract awards in 2024 until the end of October. If the same pace is maintained during November and December, the 2024 total is expected to be about $81bn, which falls short of the 2023 total of $97bn. 

While the total value of contract awards may have dropped, there was the largest construction contract award on record in 2024 – a $4.7bn deal secured by Italian contractor WeBuild for the construction of three dams for the Trojena mountain resort at Saudi Arabia’s Neom gigaproject. 

The power sector accounted for 18% of the total awards during the period, the largest of which was the $5.3bn contract won by Saudi Arabia’s Alfanar Projects and China Electric Power Equipment & Technology Company for the 7,000MW Saudi Central, Western and Southern Regions high-voltage direct current overhead transmission lines project being developed by Saudi Electricity Company.

When analysed by country, Saudi Arabia and the UAE dominate the market, and together they account for over 60% of contract awards across the region in 2024 up to the end of October. 

As the region’s largest economy, it is unsurprising that Saudi Arabia accounts for the largest share, with 38.6%, followed by the UAE, which had 22%. The next most significant country was Iran, which came in a distant third with 8% of contract awards. 

The outsized contribution of Saudi Arabia and the UAE reflects the relative economic stability found in the GCC compared to other countries in the region that are grappling with the impact of conflict and other associated financial pressures. 

Looking beyond the contract awards numbers, the biggest project announcement in 2024 came in April, when Abu Dhabi investment vehicle ADQ released details of plans to invest $35bn in Egypt. The plans involve ADQ acquiring the development rights for Ras El-Hekma, a planned new city on Egypt’s northern Mediterranean coast, for $24bn. 

The development has been billed as having the potential to attract over $150bn in investment.

In October, ADQ appointed its subsidiary Modon Holding as the master developer for Ras El-Hekma. Modon will act as the master developer for the entire development, which covers more than 170 square kilometres (sq km). 

Modon will develop the first phase, which covers 50 sq km, and the remaining 120 sq km will delivered with private developers.

Key partners for delivering the project have already been found. For construction, Modon has signed a framework agreement with Egyptian firm Orascom Construction to serve as the primary contractor for the project’s first phase. 

Modon also signed a deal with Abu Dhabi National Energy Company (Taqa) for developing, financing and operating greenfield utility infrastructure projects, water desalination projects, electricity transmission and distribution projects and wastewater projects at the Ras El-Hekma development.

While economic diversification is a priority for governments across the region, oil and gas remains a key sector for project awards

Future prospects

Looking ahead, the performance of the projects market in 2025 will depend  on the favourable macroeconomic conditions remaining in the GCC, which if the other four members of the six-nation bloc are added, accounted for nearly 72% of the Mena region’s total contract awards during the first 10 months of 2024. 

The key metric to watch in 2025 will be the oil price. In mid-November, the price of Brent Crude was $72 a barrel, which is below what many in the region, including Saudi Arabia, require if they are to maintain their project spending plans. 

The outlook for oil prices is uncertain and after oil producers’ group Opec cut its global demand growth forecasts for both 2024 and 2025 for the fourth time, highlighting economic weakness in China, India and other regions, there are concerns prices will dip in 2025. 

The election of Donald Trump as US president adds to those concerns. He has promised to “drill, baby, drill”, and a sharp uptick in output from the US could cause oil prices to soften further.

Trump is also a protectionist and has said ‘tariff’ is his favourite word. Most of his new tariffs are expected to be aimed at China, which could mean that Chinese companies look to other markets that remain open to them, including the Middle East.

The appeal is clear to see. Chinese contractors already command a dominant position in the region – particularly in North Africa and Iraq – and Chinese companies will find great appeal in affluent markets such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which can offer large-scale project opportunities.

The other metric that will drive the projects market in 2025 is real estate. In the UAE, much of the ongoing development work is supported by the buoyant property market, particularly in Dubai, which has grown strongly throughout 2024. 

According to a report by data and analytics company Reidin, property sales in the UAE reached AED46.52bn ($12.7bn) in October 2024, marking a 55% year-on-year increase. Demand also remains robust, with 19,500 transactions recorded in October, reflecting a 72% rise compared to the same period in 2023. 

Looking ahead to 2025, Reidin says that the outlook remains optimistic as sustained demand, rising property values and steady inventory turnover are all expected to continue driving growth. 

While the forecast supports a positive outlook for construction in the UAE, those who have seen Dubai’s property market collapse before will be keenly watching the data in 2025.

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Colin Foreman
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    In December last year, Aramco brought the greenfield Jafurah gas processing plant online, with a production capacity of 450 million cf/d, marking the commissioning of the first phase of its $100bn capital expenditure programme to produce gas from the unconventional resource base.

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    ALSO READ: Aramco moves apace with Jafurah unconventional gas campaign

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    29 September 2026

     

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    Completed infrastructure and open assets are making it easier to attract private developers and foreign investors to Saudi Arabia’s gigaprojects, said speakers at MEED’s Shaping Mega Projects conference in Riyadh on 28 September.

    Dale Chadwick, acting CEO of King Salman Park Foundation, said investor appetite had grown as construction advanced. The foundation has received 23 expressions of interest from private developers, and Chadwick said that number was increasing.

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  • Giga developers absorb supply chain shocks

    29 September 2026

     

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    Saudi Arabia’s gigaproject developers are rerouting shipments and absorbing higher freight costs as regional geopolitical tensions disrupt supply chains. Executives discussed the impact at MEED’s Shaping Mega Projects conference in Riyadh on 28 September.

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    “It is a genuine challenge, and it’s on a case-by-case basis,” said Chadwick. “We make the call, then we pivot and start trying to secure the material from elsewhere.”

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    Ben Edwards, group head of cost, commercial and procurement at Red Sea Global, said the developer had been shielded by the stage its projects had reached. The high proportion of local content in its procurement had also helped.

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    Edwards said the local supply chain had strengthened since the peak of gigaproject construction activity.

    “The capability was here in Saudi, but the capacity wasn’t necessarily here at the time that everybody needed it three or four years ago,” he said. “Everybody needed all the same stuff all at the same time.”

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    Saad said the contracting market was also maturing. A correction was allowing contractors to be more selective about the work they pursue.


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  • Saudi developers pivot to operations

    29 September 2026

     

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    As Saudi Arabia’s largest real estate developers move from construction to operations, executives say the kingdom’s services sector must expand quickly to keep pace.

    Speaking at MEED’s Shaping Mega Projects conference in Riyadh on 28 September, Dale Chadwick, acting CEO of King Salman Park Foundation, said that finding enough people with the right skills to run newly completed assets was the next major hurdle.

    “The service side of the industry here has to ramp up so quickly,” he said. “The resource has to ramp up. Capability has to ramp up. These assets are huge, and to mobilise the number of people and the right skill set really is the next challenge.”

    King Salman Park has awarded 95% of the contracts for its first two phases and is now engaging operators. Chadwick said the foundation had agreed how its operations would be structured. He described the transition as “a challenge that we haven’t really traversed yet”.

    Red Sea Global is further along on its delivery journey. Ben Edwards, the developer’s group head of cost, commercial and procurement, said the developer was nearing completion of phase one of The Red Sea destination and would open more hotels on Shura Island before the end of the year. The airport, utilities and school are already operating, and a hospital opened last week.

    "We’re well into operations now,” said Edwards.

    He credited the construction management approach Red Sea Global adopted for its hotels. Under it, each project was procured as a separate package, giving the client greater control over the supply chain, quality, and health and safety.

    “There was a degree of scepticism across the market and within the kingdom about that delivery model,” he said. "We’ve actually proved our critics wrong. It’s worked really well for us, and we will continue to use that model going forward.”

    Live sites

    Diriyah is opening assets while about 74,000 workers remain on site each day. Mohamed Saad, president of Diriyah Company’s development arm DevCo, said the developer had awarded about SR130bn ($34.7bn) of contracts to date.

    The Ministry of Culture has moved into its new headquarters at the project. Diriyah is also preparing to hand over its first residential community, The Residences. Saad said the company had surrounded the community with landscaping and public realm so residents would not feel they were living on a construction site.

    “Planning ahead is extremely important,” he said. “We cannot expect that Diriyah will open in one day. All these assets will open gradually over the years.”

    Saad said the move into operations was creating significant opportunities for mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) contractors, fit-out contractors and facility managers.

    “This is the next phase to come,” he said. “We are now in the middle of construction, but very soon more assets will come, and we need operators and facility managers.”

    Chadwick said the industry should also use prefabrication more widely. He pointed to the large number of hotel rooms the kingdom plans to deliver before it hosts the 2034 Fifa World Cup. “Modular panelisation and prefab is definitely the way to go,” he said.


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    Colin Foreman